2025
2025 season · WR · #5 · 5th season
Josh Palmer
Age 27 · 6'1" · 210 lb · Tennessee · Pick 77 overall (2021). Snap share 48% across 12 games.
- How goodPalmer's +6.7 EPA is 92nd of 146 wide receivers.
- Where it comes fromThe biggest share comes in the air (+13.3, 50th percentile per target).
- Fantasy2.5 standard points a game, WR93 of 170.3.4 half-PPR points a game, WR91 of 170.4.4 PPR points a game, WR91 of 170.
- How he's usedHe wins before the catch rather than after it: 16% of his yards come after the catch (league 30%).
- LatelyTargets are steady: 2 a game over his last three against 3.1 for the season.
How good is hehis line against the league at his position
| Stat | Value | Rank | League | Pctl |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target shareof team targets | 10% | 99th of 146 | 33rd | |
| Depth of targetair yards per target | 11.5 | 74th of 146 | 50th | |
| After the catchyards per reception | 2.5 | 122nd of 146 | 17th | |
| Catch ratereceptions per target | 59% | 90th of 146 | 39th | |
| EPA per target | +0.18 | 86th of 146 | 41st |
| Stat | Value | Rank | League | Pctl |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| First downsper target | 38% | 69th of 146 | 53rd | |
| Drop ratedrops per target, lower is better | 0% | 1st of 146 | 92nd | |
| Yards per game | 25.3 | 82nd of 146 | 44th | |
| Success rate | 43% | 110th of 146 | 25th | |
| Total EPA | +6.7 | 92nd of 146 | 37th |
How this is measured
Each bar is the league at his position; the marker is him. Right is better, the dashed line is the median. Ranks are out of the qualifying pool, ties shown as T-, and move every week as the pool changes.
Palmer scores 2.5 standard points a game, WR93 of 170 WRs with enough games. Most weeks land between 0.6 and 4.5; 0 boom weeks (12+) and 10 busts (under 5).
Palmer scores 3.4 half-PPR points a game, WR91 of 170 WRs with enough games. Most weeks land between 1.1 and 5.5; 0 boom weeks (16+) and 10 busts (under 6.5).
Palmer scores 4.4 PPR points a game, WR91 of 170 WRs with enough games. Most weeks land between 1.6 and 6.5; 0 boom weeks (20+) and 10 busts (under 8).
How this is measured
Fantasy points are nflverse's standard and full-PPR scoring (6 points for a rushing or receiving touchdown, 4 for a passing touchdown, minus 2 for an interception or a lost fumble); half PPR is the average of the two. Ranks are points a game among players at his position with at least half the most games played. Most weeks is his 20th to 80th percentile game. Bars are green on a boom week and red on a bust; the dashed line is the starter line, the points a game of the WR24 in a 12-team league. The format you pick is remembered on this device.
How he's usedhis fingerprint, where the ball finds him and when
He wins before the catch rather than after it: 16% of his yards come after the catch (league 30%). He works the middle of the field: 30% of his targets come between the numbers (league 20%). His share of the team's targets is 7%: on third down it holds at 5%; inside the 20 it holds at 7%. Screens are not part of his role: 0% of his targets (league 4%).
How this is measured
Every trait is a share of his own targets, so volume does not move it. The marker is him among the league's qualifying wide receivers; the dashed line is the median. Styles are not grades: a high or low percentile is a description, not a verdict. Play action, screen, RPO, motion and blitz flags come from FTN charting and read low in a week it has not published.
Palmer's +6.7 EPA is 92nd of 146 wide receivers. The biggest share comes in the air (+13.3, 50th percentile per target). Interceptions cost him more than most (-7.8, 19th percentile).
career +0.26 over 2021–2024 · his 4th best of 5
How this is measured
Every target this season, split by what happened. Catches divide at the catch: the yards in the air and what came after. The percentile is him among the qualifying wide receivers, higher is better, so a cost smaller than most ranks high. The parts add up to the totals above; the career strip counts seasons with at least 15 targets.
He is targeted intermediate middle 3.0× as often as the league (19% of his targets against 6%) and gains +0.15 EPA a target there.
How this is measured
Every target with a charted depth and direction this season; sacks and throws with no charted direction are left out. Left and right are as the offense sees the field. Cells with fewer than three targets show no EPA.
On the field
By depth of target
Who he works withthe connection, and the rest of the huddle
By depth
Week by weekthe shape of his season, the game log and the defenses behind it
| Wk | Opponent | Defense | Snap | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs BAL W 41-4024th D | 24th vs WR | 62% | 9 | 5 | 61 | +0.9 | |
| 2 | at NYJ W 30-1030th D | 30th vs WR | 51% | 3 | 2 | 47 | +3.3 | |
| 3 | vs MIA W 31-2127th D | 27th vs WR | 43% | 1 | 1 | 5 | +0.2 | |
| 4 | vs NO W 31-1915th D | 15th vs WR | 25% | 3 | 2 | 25 | +1.7 | |
| 5 | vs NE L 20-234th D | 4th vs WR | 51% | 2 | 2 | 36 | +1.8 | |
| 6 | at ATL L 14-2414th D | 14th vs WR | 11% | 2 | 2 | 60 | +4.1 | |
| 7 | Bye week | |||||||
| 8 | at CAR W 40-9Did not play · Out (knee) | |||||||
| 9 | vs KC W 28-21Did not play · Out (knee) | |||||||
| 10 | at MIA L 13-30Did not play · Questionable (knee) | |||||||
| 11 | vs TB W 44-3211th D | 11th vs WR | 50% | 5 | 2 | 17 | -5.7 | |
| 12 | at HOU L 19-236th D | 6th vs WR | 50% | 4 | 2 | 21 | +1.7 | |
| 13 | at PIT W 26-7Did not play · Questionable (ankle) | |||||||
| 14 | vs CIN W 39-34Did not play · Doubtful (knee) | |||||||
| 15 | at NE W 35-314th D | 4th vs WR | 33% | 2 | 1 | 16 | +1.2 | |
| 16 | at CLE W 23-208th D | 8th vs WR | 70% | 1 | 1 | 2 | -0.4 | |
| 17 | vs PHI L 12-135th D | 5th vs WR | 50% | 2 | 1 | 12 | -0.3 | |
| 18 | vs NYJ W 35-830th D | 30th vs WR | 84% | 3 | 1 | 1 | -1.9 | |
| 19 | at JAX W 27-24Stats not posted yet | |||||||
| 20 | at DEN L 30-33Stats not posted yet | |||||||
| 21 | Bye week | |||||||
| 22 | Bye week | |||||||
| 12 games | 48% | 37 | 22 | 303 | 0 | +6.7 |
| Wk | Opponent | Defense | Tgt share | Air share | aDOT | YAC | EPA/tgt | 1D | Drops |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs BAL W 41-4024th D | 24th vs WR | 20% | 29% | 12.8 | 12 | +0.10 | 3 | |
| 2 | at NYJ W 30-1030th D | 30th vs WR | 12% | 32% | 15.7 | 16 | +1.09 | 2 | |
| 3 | vs MIA W 31-2127th D | 27th vs WR | 4% | 5% | 5.0 | 0 | +0.19 | 0 | |
| 4 | vs NO W 31-1915th D | 15th vs WR | 14% | 10% | 7.3 | 8 | +0.55 | 1 | |
| 5 | vs NE L 20-234th D | 4th vs WR | 7% | 15% | 18.0 | 0 | +0.91 | 2 | |
| 6 | at ATL L 14-2414th D | 14th vs WR | 8% | 19% | 27.5 | 5 | +2.06 | 2 | |
| 7 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 8 | at CAR W 40-9Did not play · Out (knee) | ||||||||
| 9 | vs KC W 28-21Did not play · Out (knee) | ||||||||
| 10 | at MIA L 13-30Did not play · Questionable (knee) | ||||||||
| 11 | vs TB W 44-3211th D | 11th vs WR | 17% | 13% | 9.2 | 5 | -1.13 | 1 | |
| 12 | at HOU L 19-236th D | 6th vs WR | 13% | 31% | 12.5 | -1 | +0.44 | 1 | |
| 13 | at PIT W 26-7Did not play · Questionable (ankle) | ||||||||
| 14 | vs CIN W 39-34Did not play · Doubtful (knee) | ||||||||
| 15 | at NE W 35-314th D | 4th vs WR | 8% | 10% | 13.0 | 0 | +0.61 | 1 | |
| 16 | at CLE W 23-208th D | 8th vs WR | 6% | -3% | -4.0 | 6 | -0.41 | 0 | |
| 17 | vs PHI L 12-135th D | 5th vs WR | 6% | 8% | 10.5 | 1 | -0.13 | 1 | |
| 18 | vs NYJ W 35-830th D | 30th vs WR | 11% | 3% | 1.7 | 2 | -0.63 | 0 | |
| 19 | at JAX W 27-24Stats not posted yet | ||||||||
| 20 | at DEN L 30-33Stats not posted yet | ||||||||
| 21 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 22 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 12 games | 10% | 14% | 11.5 | 54 | +0.18 | 14 |
| Wk | Opponent | Defense | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | 20+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs BAL W 41-4024th D | 24th vs WR | 5 | 61 | 12.2 | 1 | |
| 2 | at NYJ W 30-1030th D | 30th vs WR | 2 | 47 | 23.5 | 1 | |
| 3 | vs MIA W 31-2127th D | 27th vs WR | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | ||
| 4 | vs NO W 31-1915th D | 15th vs WR | 2 | 25 | 12.5 | ||
| 5 | vs NE L 20-234th D | 4th vs WR | 2 | 36 | 18.0 | 1 | |
| 6 | at ATL L 14-2414th D | 14th vs WR | 2 | 60 | 30.0 | 1 | |
| 7 | Bye week | ||||||
| 8 | at CAR W 40-9Did not play · Out (knee) | ||||||
| 9 | vs KC W 28-21Did not play · Out (knee) | ||||||
| 10 | at MIA L 13-30Did not play · Questionable (knee) | ||||||
| 11 | vs TB W 44-3211th D | 11th vs WR | 2 | 17 | 8.5 | ||
| 12 | at HOU L 19-236th D | 6th vs WR | 2 | 21 | 10.5 | ||
| 13 | at PIT W 26-7Did not play · Questionable (ankle) | ||||||
| 14 | vs CIN W 39-34Did not play · Doubtful (knee) | ||||||
| 15 | at NE W 35-314th D | 4th vs WR | 1 | 16 | 16.0 | ||
| 16 | at CLE W 23-208th D | 8th vs WR | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | ||
| 17 | vs PHI L 12-135th D | 5th vs WR | 1 | 12 | 12.0 | ||
| 18 | vs NYJ W 35-830th D | 30th vs WR | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | ||
| 19 | at JAX W 27-24Stats not posted yet | ||||||
| 20 | at DEN L 30-33Stats not posted yet | ||||||
| 21 | Bye week | ||||||
| 22 | Bye week | ||||||
| 12 games | 22 | 303 | 13.8 | 0 | 4 |
Targets are steady: 2 a game over his last three against 3.1 for the season. 6 straight games below a starter's median in rec yards. Week 18 was his season low in yards. EPA / target is falling too: -0.43 over the last three.
How this is measured
Bars are his week. The shaded band is the league's middle half at his position, every qualifying player-game this season, and the dashed line is its median. The solid line is his trailing three games. An × on the baseline is a game his team played without him; a dotted tick is the bye.
He has faced the 10th-toughest slate vs WR: his opponents rank 14.8 of 32 on average (league middle 16.2).
The slate · played solid, ahead dashed
His line by defense faced
| Defenses | G | Tgt/g | Yds/g | EPA/tgt |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ranked 1 to 10Top-10 defenses | 5 | 2.2 | 17 | +0.37 |
| 11 to 22Middle | 3 | 3.3 | 34 | +0.01 |
| 23 to 32Bottom-10 | 4 | 4.0 | 29 | +0.16 |
| All games | 12 | 3.1 | 25 | +0.18 |
Yards against the rank of the defense
His production barely moves with the opponent (r = 0.15); it has traveled.
Careerseason by season, back to his rookie year
His best year was 2022, 769 receiving yards in 16 games with LAC. This season's 25.3 a game puts him on pace for 429 over 17, short of it.
| Season | Team | G | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | Y/R | Yds/g | EPA/tgt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | LAC | 15 | 49 | 33 | 353 | 4 | 10.7 | 23.5 | +0.26 |
| 2022 | LAC | 16 | 107 | 72 | 769 | 3 | 10.7 | 48.1 | +0.22 |
| 2023 | LAC | 10 | 61 | 38 | 581 | 2 | 15.3 | 58.1 | +0.14 |
| 2024 | LAC | 15 | 65 | 39 | 584 | 1 | 15.0 | 38.9 | +0.42 |
| 2025 | BUF | 12 | 37 | 22 | 303 | 0 | 13.8 | 25.3 | +0.18 |
| Career | 2 tm | 68 | 319 | 204 | 2,590 | 10 | 12.7 | 38.1 | +0.25 |
How this is measured
Regular season only, from nflverse weekly stats back to 1999. This season is partial and drawn hollow; the pace is his per-game rate over 17 games. Bold cells are career highs.
Intel & playsthe report, his best snaps, his teammates
- Depth chart
- not listed
- Injury report
- clean
- Red zone touches
- …
- Third down
- …
- Explosive plays
- …
- Drops
- 0 on 37 targets
- Broken tackles
- 0
- Passer rating when targeted
- 75.6
- Play action
- …
- Contested
- …
| Player | Touches | Yds | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|
 James CookRB | 349 | 1912 · 14 TD | +14.2 |
 Josh AllenQB | 112 | 579 · 14 TD | +38.8 |
 Khalil ShakirWR | 96 | 724 · 4 TD | +7.4 |
 Ty JohnsonRB | 83 | 463 · 5 TD | +14.2 |
 Ray DavisRB | 71 | 361 · 2 TD | +6.1 |
 Keon ColemanWR | 59 | 404 · 4 TD | +12.4 |
 Dawson KnoxTE | 49 | 417 · 4 TD | +17.5 |
 Dalton KincaidTE | 49 | 571 · 5 TD | +39.4 |