2025
2025 season · TE · #86 · 3rd season
Dalton Kincaid
Age 27 · 6'3" · 240 lb · Utah; Univ of California-San Diego · Pick 25 overall (2023). Snap share 37% across 12 games.
- How goodKincaid's +39.4 EPA is 5th of 72 tight ends.
- Where it comes fromThe biggest share comes after the catch (+30.4, 72nd percentile per target).
- Fantasy7.3 standard points a game, TE6 of 108.8.9 half-PPR points a game, TE9 of 108.10.5 PPR points a game, TE13 of 108.
- How he's usedDalton is a downfield target: 10% of his targets travel 20 yards or more, against 5% for the league's receivers.
- LatelyTargets are steady: 2.7 a game over his last three against 4.1 for the season.
How good is hehis line against the league at his position
| Stat | Value | Rank | League | Pctl |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target shareof team targets | 15% | 25th of 72 | 66th | |
| Depth of targetair yards per target | 9.5 | 4th of 72 | 95th | |
| After the catchyards per reception | 6.6 | 11th of 72 | 85th | |
| Catch ratereceptions per target | 80% | 12th of 72 | 84th | |
| EPA per target | +0.80 | 4th of 72 | 95th |
| Stat | Value | Rank | League | Pctl |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| First downsper target | 55% | 4th of 72 | 95th | |
| Drop ratedrops per target, lower is better | 2% | 22nd of 72 | 70th | |
| Yards per game | 47.6 | 10th of 72 | 87th | |
| Success rate | 63% | T-14th of 72 | 81st | |
| Total EPA | +39.4 | 5th of 72 | 94th |
How this is measured
Each bar is the league at his position; the marker is him. Right is better, the dashed line is the median. Ranks are out of the qualifying pool, ties shown as T-, and move every week as the pool changes.
Kincaid scores 7.3 standard points a game, TE6 of 108 TEs with enough games. Most weeks land between 3.5 and 10.8; 5 boom weeks (9+) and 2 busts (under 3).
Kincaid scores 8.9 half-PPR points a game, TE9 of 108 TEs with enough games. Most weeks land between 4.7 and 13.6; 5 boom weeks (12+) and 2 busts (under 4).
Kincaid scores 10.5 PPR points a game, TE13 of 108 TEs with enough games. Most weeks land between 5.8 and 16.4; 3 boom weeks (15+) and 2 busts (under 5).
How this is measured
Fantasy points are nflverse's standard and full-PPR scoring (6 points for a rushing or receiving touchdown, 4 for a passing touchdown, minus 2 for an interception or a lost fumble); half PPR is the average of the two. Ranks are points a game among players at his position with at least half the most games played. Most weeks is his 20th to 80th percentile game. Bars are green on a boom week and red on a bust; the dashed line is the starter line, the points a game of the TE12 in a 12-team league. The format you pick is remembered on this device.
How he's usedhis fingerprint, where the ball finds him and when
Dalton is a downfield target: 10% of his targets travel 20 yards or more, against 5% for the league's receivers. The screen game runs through him: 10% of his targets are screens (league 5%). His share of the team's targets is 11%: on third down it holds at 14%; inside the 20 it holds at 12%.
How this is measured
Every trait is a share of his own targets, so volume does not move it. The marker is him among the league's qualifying tight ends; the dashed line is the median. Styles are not grades: a high or low percentile is a description, not a verdict. Play action, screen, RPO, motion and blitz flags come from FTN charting and read low in a week it has not published.
Kincaid's +39.4 EPA is 5th of 72 tight ends. The biggest share comes after the catch (+30.4, 72nd percentile per target).
career +0.17 over 2023–2024 · the best of his 3 seasons so far
How this is measured
Every target this season, split by what happened. Catches divide at the catch: the yards in the air and what came after. The percentile is him among the qualifying tight ends, higher is better, so a cost smaller than most ranks high. The parts add up to the totals above; the career strip counts seasons with at least 15 targets.
He is targeted intermediate left 2.9× as often as the league (22% of his targets against 8%) and gains +1.13 EPA a target there.
How this is measured
Every target with a charted depth and direction this season; sacks and throws with no charted direction are left out. Left and right are as the offense sees the field. Cells with fewer than three targets show no EPA.
On the field
By depth of target
Who he works withthe connection, and the rest of the huddle
By depth
Week by weekthe shape of his season, the game log and the defenses behind it
| Wk | Opponent | Defense | Snap | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs BAL W 41-4010th D | 10th vs TE | 51% | 4 | 4 | 48 | 1 | +2.9 |
| 2 | at NYJ W 30-1028th D | 28th vs TE | 48% | 6 | 4 | 37 | -0.6 | |
| 3 | vs MIA W 31-2118th D | 18th vs TE | 55% | 6 | 5 | 66 | 1 | +5.0 |
| 4 | vs NO W 31-1912th D | 12th vs TE | 37% | 2 | 1 | 28 | 1 | +2.5 |
| 5 | vs NE L 20-2315th D | 15th vs TE | 54% | 6 | 6 | 108 | +10.2 | |
| 6 | at ATL L 14-24Did not play · Questionable (oblique) | |||||||
| 7 | Bye week | |||||||
| 8 | at CAR W 40-932nd D | 32nd vs TE | 22% | 3 | 1 | 23 | +1.5 | |
| 9 | vs KC W 28-2120th D | 20th vs TE | 35% | 6 | 6 | 101 | 1 | +8.6 |
| 10 | at MIA L 13-3018th D | 18th vs TE | 26% | 3 | 2 | 37 | +2.0 | |
| 11 | vs TB W 44-32Did not play · Out (hamstring) | |||||||
| 12 | at HOU L 19-23Did not play · Out (hamstring) | |||||||
| 13 | at PIT W 26-7Did not play · Questionable (hamstring) | |||||||
| 14 | vs CIN W 39-3429th D | 29th vs TE | 34% | 5 | 4 | 41 | 1 | +3.7 |
| 15 | at NE W 35-3115th D | 15th vs TE | 36% | 4 | 3 | 34 | +1.6 | |
| 16 | at CLE W 23-208th D | 8th vs TE | 38% | 1 | 0 | 0 | -0.5 | |
| 17 | vs PHI L 12-13Did not play · Questionable (knee) | |||||||
| 18 | vs NYJ W 35-828th D | 28th vs TE | 13% | 3 | 3 | 48 | +2.4 | |
| 19 | at JAX W 27-24Stats not posted yet | |||||||
| 20 | at DEN L 30-33Stats not posted yet | |||||||
| 21 | Bye week | |||||||
| 22 | Bye week | |||||||
| 12 games | 37% | 49 | 39 | 571 | 5 | +39.4 |
| Wk | Opponent | Defense | Tgt share | Air share | aDOT | YAC | EPA/tgt | 1D | Drops |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs BAL W 41-4010th D | 10th vs TE | 9% | 10% | 10.0 | 8 | +0.72 | 3 | |
| 2 | at NYJ W 30-1028th D | 28th vs TE | 24% | 20% | 4.8 | 30 | -0.10 | 1 | |
| 3 | vs MIA W 31-2118th D | 18th vs TE | 22% | 37% | 6.8 | 43 | +0.83 | 4 | |
| 4 | vs NO W 31-1912th D | 12th vs TE | 9% | 17% | 18.5 | 11 | +1.24 | 1 | |
| 5 | vs NE L 20-2315th D | 15th vs TE | 20% | 30% | 12.5 | 33 | +1.69 | 5 | |
| 6 | at ATL L 14-24Did not play · Questionable (oblique) | ||||||||
| 7 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 8 | at CAR W 40-932nd D | 32nd vs TE | 13% | 22% | 11.0 | 7 | +0.51 | 1 | |
| 9 | vs KC W 28-2120th D | 20th vs TE | 24% | 36% | 8.0 | 53 | +1.44 | 4 | |
| 10 | at MIA L 13-3018th D | 18th vs TE | 8% | 10% | 13.7 | 10 | +0.66 | 2 | 1 |
| 11 | vs TB W 44-32Did not play · Out (hamstring) | ||||||||
| 12 | at HOU L 19-23Did not play · Out (hamstring) | ||||||||
| 13 | at PIT W 26-7Did not play · Questionable (hamstring) | ||||||||
| 14 | vs CIN W 39-3429th D | 29th vs TE | 19% | 16% | 4.2 | 41 | +0.75 | 3 | |
| 15 | at NE W 35-3115th D | 15th vs TE | 15% | 19% | 12.5 | 6 | +0.41 | 1 | |
| 16 | at CLE W 23-208th D | 8th vs TE | 6% | 16% | 19.0 | 0 | -0.50 | 0 | |
| 17 | vs PHI L 12-13Did not play · Questionable (knee) | ||||||||
| 18 | vs NYJ W 35-828th D | 28th vs TE | 11% | 16% | 10.3 | 17 | +0.80 | 2 | |
| 19 | at JAX W 27-24Stats not posted yet | ||||||||
| 20 | at DEN L 30-33Stats not posted yet | ||||||||
| 21 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 22 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 12 games | 15% | 21% | 9.5 | 259 | +0.80 | 27 | 1 |
| Wk | Opponent | Defense | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | 20+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs BAL W 41-4010th D | 10th vs TE | 4 | 48 | 12.0 | 1 | 1 |
| 2 | at NYJ W 30-1028th D | 28th vs TE | 4 | 37 | 9.3 | ||
| 3 | vs MIA W 31-2118th D | 18th vs TE | 5 | 66 | 13.2 | 1 | 1 |
| 4 | vs NO W 31-1912th D | 12th vs TE | 1 | 28 | 28.0 | 1 | 1 |
| 5 | vs NE L 20-2315th D | 15th vs TE | 6 | 108 | 18.0 | 3 | |
| 6 | at ATL L 14-24Did not play · Questionable (oblique) | ||||||
| 7 | Bye week | ||||||
| 8 | at CAR W 40-932nd D | 32nd vs TE | 1 | 23 | 23.0 | 1 | |
| 9 | vs KC W 28-2120th D | 20th vs TE | 6 | 101 | 16.8 | 1 | 2 |
| 10 | at MIA L 13-3018th D | 18th vs TE | 2 | 37 | 18.5 | 1 | |
| 11 | vs TB W 44-32Did not play · Out (hamstring) | ||||||
| 12 | at HOU L 19-23Did not play · Out (hamstring) | ||||||
| 13 | at PIT W 26-7Did not play · Questionable (hamstring) | ||||||
| 14 | vs CIN W 39-3429th D | 29th vs TE | 4 | 41 | 10.3 | 1 | 1 |
| 15 | at NE W 35-3115th D | 15th vs TE | 3 | 34 | 11.3 | 1 | |
| 16 | at CLE W 23-208th D | 8th vs TE | 0 | 0 | - | ||
| 17 | vs PHI L 12-13Did not play · Questionable (knee) | ||||||
| 18 | vs NYJ W 35-828th D | 28th vs TE | 3 | 48 | 16.0 | 1 | |
| 19 | at JAX W 27-24Stats not posted yet | ||||||
| 20 | at DEN L 30-33Stats not posted yet | ||||||
| 21 | Bye week | ||||||
| 22 | Bye week | ||||||
| 12 games | 39 | 571 | 14.6 | 5 | 13 |
Targets are steady: 2.7 a game over his last three against 4.1 for the season. Yards are slipping: 27 a game lately against 48. At or above a starter's median in yards in 11 of 12 games.
How this is measured
Bars are his week. The shaded band is the league's middle half at his position, every qualifying player-game this season, and the dashed line is its median. The solid line is his trailing three games. An × on the baseline is a game his team played without him; a dotted tick is the bye.
He has faced the 33rd-toughest slate vs TE: his opponents rank 19.4 of 32 on average (league middle 16.3).
The slate · played solid, ahead dashed
His line by defense faced
| Defenses | G | Tgt/g | Yds/g | EPA/tgt |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ranked 1 to 10Top-10 defenses | 2 | 2.5 | 24 | +0.48 |
| 11 to 22Middle | 6 | 4.5 | 62 | +1.11 |
| 23 to 32Bottom-10 | 4 | 4.3 | 37 | +0.42 |
| All games | 12 | 4.1 | 48 | +0.80 |
Yards against the rank of the defense
His production barely moves with the opponent (r = 0.01); it has traveled.
Careerseason by season, back to his rookie year
His best year was 2023, 673 receiving yards in 16 games. This season's 47.6 a game puts him on pace for 809 over 17, a career high.
| Season | Team | G | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | Y/R | Yds/g | EPA/tgt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | BUF | 16 | 91 | 73 | 673 | 2 | 9.2 | 42.1 | +0.14 |
| 2024 | BUF | 13 | 75 | 44 | 448 | 2 | 10.2 | 34.5 | +0.20 |
| 2025 | BUF | 12 | 49 | 39 | 571 | 5 | 14.6 | 47.6 | +0.80 |
| Career | 1 tm | 41 | 215 | 156 | 1,692 | 9 | 10.8 | 41.3 | +0.31 |
How this is measured
Regular season only, from nflverse weekly stats back to 1999. This season is partial and drawn hollow; the pace is his per-game rate over 17 games. Bold cells are career highs.
Intel & playsthe report, his best snaps, his teammates
- Depth chart
- not listed
- Injury report
- clean
- Red zone touches
- …
- Third down
- …
- Explosive plays
- …
- Drops
- 1 on 49 targets
- Broken tackles
- 1
- Passer rating when targeted
- 117.6
- Play action
- …
- Contested
- …
| Player | Touches | Yds | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|
 James CookRB | 349 | 1912 · 14 TD | +14.2 |
 Josh AllenQB | 112 | 579 · 14 TD | +38.8 |
 Khalil ShakirWR | 96 | 724 · 4 TD | +7.4 |
 Ty JohnsonRB | 83 | 463 · 5 TD | +14.2 |
 Ray DavisRB | 71 | 361 · 2 TD | +6.1 |
 Keon ColemanWR | 59 | 404 · 4 TD | +12.4 |
 Dawson KnoxTE | 49 | 417 · 4 TD | +17.5 |
 Josh PalmerWR | 37 | 303 | +6.7 |