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DOWN X DOWN › players › Bills › Dalton Kincaid
Updated Nov 2, 5:48 PM ET
2026
2026this season2025final

2026 season · TE · #86 · 4th season

86Dalton Kincaid

Age 27 · 6'3" · 246 lb · Utah; Univ of California-San Diego · Pick 25 overall (2023). Listed TE1 on the 3WR 1TE depth chart. Snap share 66% across 7 games.

Week 8 report · Chest · QuestionableTE1Bills players
BUFBills offense66% of snaps
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Targets
35
5.0 per game
T-16th of 45
Receptions
27
77% catch rate
T-16th of 45
Yards
401
57 per game
6th of 45
Touchdowns
2
15 first downs
T-17th of 45
Target share
18%
18% of air yards
12th of 45
aDOT
10.1
air yards per target
2nd of 45
EPA / target
+0.50
+17.3 total
8th of 45
YAC / catch
5.6
151 after the catch
15th of 45
The short version
  • How goodKincaid's +17.3 EPA is 9th of 45 tight ends.
  • Where it comes fromThe biggest share comes in the air (+15.8, 94th percentile per target).
  • Fantasy7.4 standard points a game, TE8 of 109.9.4 half-PPR points a game, TE9 of 109.11.3 PPR points a game, TE8 of 109.
  • How he's usedHe is a straight-dropback target: 11% of his targets come off play action (league 22%).
  • LatelyTargets are steady: 5.3 a game over his last three against 5 for the season.
  • This weekA tough matchup: the Vikings rank 3rd vs TE, allowing -0.09 EPA per target to tight ends.

How good is hehis line against the league at his position

Scorecard · among 45 tight ends with 15 targets+League percentiles
StatValueRankLeaguePctl
Target shareof team targets18%12th of 45
74th
Depth of targetair yards per target10.12nd of 45
97th
After the catchyards per reception5.615th of 45
68th
Catch ratereceptions per target77%9th of 45
81st
EPA per target+0.508th of 45
83rd
StatValueRankLeaguePctl
First downsper target43%14th of 45
68th
Drop ratedrops per target, lower is better0%1st of 45
80th
Yards per game57.35th of 45
90th
Success rate57%16th of 45
66th
Total EPA+17.39th of 45
81st
How this is measured

Each bar is the league at his position; the marker is him. Right is better, the dashed line is the median. Ranks are out of the qualifying pool, ties shown as T-, and move every week as the pool changes.

Fantasy · points, rank, range and the next matchup

Kincaid scores 7.4 standard points a game, TE8 of 109 TEs with enough games. Most weeks land between 2.0 and 14.3; 3 boom weeks (9+) and 3 busts (under 3). Next up, in Week 9, the Vikings allow the 1st-fewest standard points to TEs, 3.9 a game.

Points a game7.4TE8 of 109
Season52.1TE11 · 7 games
Most weeks2.0–14.3his middle 60% of games
Booms · busts3 · 39+ · under 3

Kincaid scores 9.4 half-PPR points a game, TE9 of 109 TEs with enough games. Most weeks land between 2.9 and 16.4; 3 boom weeks (12+) and 3 busts (under 4). Next up, in Week 9, the Vikings allow the 1st-fewest half-PPR points to TEs, 5.5 a game.

Points a game9.4TE9 of 109
Season65.6TE11 · 7 games
Most weeks2.9–16.4his middle 60% of games
Booms · busts3 · 312+ · under 4

Kincaid scores 11.3 PPR points a game, TE8 of 109 TEs with enough games. Most weeks land between 3.7 and 18.5; 3 boom weeks (15+) and 3 busts (under 5). Next up, in Week 9, the Vikings allow the 1st-fewest PPR points to TEs, 7.1 a game.

Points a game11.3TE8 of 109
Season79.1TE9 · 7 games
Most weeks3.7–18.5his middle 60% of games
Booms · busts3 · 315+ · under 5
How this is measured

Fantasy points are nflverse's standard and full-PPR scoring (6 points for a rushing or receiving touchdown, 4 for a passing touchdown, minus 2 for an interception or a lost fumble); half PPR is the average of the two. Ranks are points a game among players at his position with at least half the most games played. Most weeks is his 20th to 80th percentile game. Bars are green on a boom week and red on a bust; the dashed line is the starter line, the points a game of the TE12 in a 12-team league. The format you pick is remembered on this device.

How he's usedhis fingerprint, where the ball finds him and when

Playstylehow he is used, against the league at his positionamong 45 tight ends

He is a straight-dropback target: 11% of his targets come off play action (league 22%). He works the middle of the field: 34% of his targets come between the numbers (league 26%). His share of the team's targets is 18%: on third down it falls to 12%; inside the 20 it holds at 21%. Dalton is a downfield target: 14% of his targets travel 20 yards or more, against 6% for the league's receivers.

Dropback targetPlay action 11% · 7th pctlWorks the middleMiddle of the field 34% · 92nd pctlNot the third-down option12% on third down · 18% overallDownfieldDeep share 14% · 90th pctl
TraitLeague · line is the medianHimPctl
Deep sharetargets 20+ yards downfield
14%
90th
Screensshare of his targets
8%
72nd
Middle of the fieldtargets between the numbers
34%
92nd
After the catchshare of his yards after the catch
38%
30th
TraitLeague · line is the medianHimPctl
Third-down shareof team targets on 3rd down
12%
52nd
Red-zone shareof team targets inside the 20
21%
68th
Motiontargets with pre-snap motion
56%
58th
Play actiontargets off play action
11%
7th
How this is measured

Every trait is a share of his own targets, so volume does not move it. The marker is him among the league's qualifying tight ends; the dashed line is the median. Styles are not grades: a high or low percentile is a description, not a verdict. Play action, screen, RPO, motion and blitz flags come from FTN charting and read low in a week it has not published.

Week by weekthe shape of his season, the game log and the defenses behind it

Next upWeek 9 · at VikingsMon Nov 9 · 8:15 PM EST
The game
MINat Vikings
Mon Nov 9 · 8:15 PM EST
U.S. Bank Stadium
BUF −3.5 · O/U 46.5
The defense vs TE
3rd vs TE
allow -0.09 EPA per target to tight ends, league +0.21
a tough matchup
His history
vs top-10 defenses: 2 games, 2.0 targets a game, 7 yards a game
First meeting this season
His status
Questionable · Chest
Snap share, last 3: 66%

A tough matchup: the Vikings rank 3rd vs TE, allowing -0.09 EPA per target to tight ends. He has averaged 7 yards a game against top-10 defenses this season.

Careerseason by season, back to his rookie year

Career · regular season4 seasons
48Games
250Targets
183Receptions
2,093Yards
11TD
2023 to 2026 · 4 seasons · 1 team

His best year was 2023, 673 receiving yards in 16 games. This season's 57.3 a game puts him on pace for 974 over 17, a career high.

05001,100★23242526
SeasonTeamGTgtRecYdsTDY/RYds/gEPA/tgt
2023BUF16917367329.242.1+0.14
2024BUF137544448210.234.5+0.20
2025BUF124939571514.647.6+0.80
2026BUF73527401214.957.3+0.50
Career1 tm482501832,0931111.443.6+0.34
Career highsYards 673 · 2023TD 5 · 2025Receptions 73 · 2023
How this is measured

Regular season only, from nflverse weekly stats back to 1999. This season is partial and drawn hollow; the pace is his per-game rate over 17 games. Bold cells are career highs.

Intel & playsthe report, his best snaps, his teammates

IntelWeek 8
Depth chart
TE1 · 3WR 1TE
Injury report
Chest, questionable
Red zone touches
…
Third down
…
Explosive plays
…
Drops
0 on 35 targets
Broken tackles
3
Passer rating when targeted
97.9
Play action
…
Contested
…
Best plays · by EPA
    Teammates · share of the ball
    PlayerTouchesYdsEPA
    4James CookRB155817 · 7 TD+11.7
    17Josh AllenQB56271 · 9 TD+19.5
    10Khalil ShakirWR38354 · 1 TD+15.3
    2DJ MooreWR30269 · 2 TD+6.7
    0Keon ColemanWR27287 · 3 TD+19.1
    26Ty JohnsonRB21184+14.6
    7Ray DavisRB1482+1.6
    88Dawson KnoxTE1342 · 1 TD-2.2