2025
2025 season · WR · #11 · 2nd season
Luke McCaffrey
Age 25 · 6'2" · 195 lb · Rice; Nebraska · Pick 100 overall (2024). Snap share 32% across 9 games.
- How goodMcCaffrey's +9.5 EPA is 81st of 146 wide receivers.
- Where it comes fromThe biggest share comes after the catch (+10.7, 98th percentile per target).
- Fantasy4.5 standard points a game, WR60 of 170.5.1 half-PPR points a game, WR65 of 170.5.7 PPR points a game, WR74 of 170.
- How he's usedMotion is part of the plan: 69% of his targets come with pre-snap movement (league 53%).
- LatelyTargets are steady: 1.7 a game over his last three against 1.7 for the season.
How good is hehis line against the league at his position
| Stat | Value | Rank | League | Pctl |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target shareof team targets | 7% | 130th of 146 | 11th | |
| Depth of targetair yards per target | 14.5 | 15th of 146 | 90th | |
| After the catchyards per reception | 6.3 | 15th of 146 | 90th | |
| Catch ratereceptions per target | 73% | 14th of 146 | 90th | |
| EPA per target | +0.63 | 11th of 146 | 93rd |
| Stat | Value | Rank | League | Pctl |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| First downsper target | 40% | 54th of 146 | 62nd | |
| Drop ratedrops per target, lower is better | 0% | 1st of 146 | 92nd | |
| Yards per game | 22.6 | 89th of 146 | 39th | |
| Success rate | 67% | T-4th of 146 | 96th | |
| Total EPA | +9.5 | 81st of 146 | 45th |
How this is measured
Each bar is the league at his position; the marker is him. Right is better, the dashed line is the median. Ranks are out of the qualifying pool, ties shown as T-, and move every week as the pool changes.
McCaffrey scores 4.5 standard points a game, WR60 of 170 WRs with enough games. Most weeks land between 0.0 and 8.6; 0 boom weeks (12+) and 5 busts (under 5).
McCaffrey scores 5.1 half-PPR points a game, WR65 of 170 WRs with enough games. Most weeks land between 0.0 and 9.4; 0 boom weeks (16+) and 6 busts (under 6.5).
McCaffrey scores 5.7 PPR points a game, WR74 of 170 WRs with enough games. Most weeks land between 0.0 and 10.2; 0 boom weeks (20+) and 6 busts (under 8).
How this is measured
Fantasy points are nflverse's standard and full-PPR scoring (6 points for a rushing or receiving touchdown, 4 for a passing touchdown, minus 2 for an interception or a lost fumble); half PPR is the average of the two. Ranks are points a game among players at his position with at least half the most games played. Most weeks is his 20th to 80th percentile game. Bars are green on a boom week and red on a bust; the dashed line is the starter line, the points a game of the WR24 in a 12-team league. The format you pick is remembered on this device.
How he's usedhis fingerprint, where the ball finds him and when
Motion is part of the plan: 69% of his targets come with pre-snap movement (league 53%). The screen game runs through him: 13% of his targets are screens (league 4%). His share of the team's targets is 4%: on third down it holds at 3%; inside the 20 it holds at 6%.
How this is measured
Every trait is a share of his own targets, so volume does not move it. The marker is him among the league's qualifying wide receivers; the dashed line is the median. Styles are not grades: a high or low percentile is a description, not a verdict. Play action, screen, RPO, motion and blitz flags come from FTN charting and read low in a week it has not published.
McCaffrey's +9.5 EPA is 81st of 146 wide receivers. The biggest share comes after the catch (+10.7, 98th percentile per target). Incompletions cost him more than most (-7.9, 2nd percentile).
career +0.14 over 2024 · the best of his 2 seasons so far
How this is measured
Every target this season, split by what happened. Catches divide at the catch: the yards in the air and what came after. The percentile is him among the qualifying wide receivers, higher is better, so a cost smaller than most ranks high. The parts add up to the totals above; the career strip counts seasons with at least 15 targets.
He is targeted intermediate right 5.3× as often as the league (40% of his targets against 8%) but averages -0.68 EPA a target there.
How this is measured
Every target with a charted depth and direction this season; sacks and throws with no charted direction are left out. Left and right are as the offense sees the field. Cells with fewer than three targets show no EPA.
On the field
By depth of target
Who he works withthe connection, and the rest of the huddle
By depth
Week by weekthe shape of his season, the game log and the defenses behind it
| Wk | Opponent | Defense | Snap | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs NYG W 21-620th D | 20th vs WR | 7% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | |
| 2 | at GB L 18-2729th D | 29th vs WR | 23% | 1 | 1 | 19 | +2.3 | |
| 3 | vs LV W 41-2425th D | 25th vs WR | 36% | 3 | 3 | 56 | 1 | +6.8 |
| 4 | at ATL L 27-3414th D | 14th vs WR | 37% | 3 | 2 | 21 | 1 | +1.1 |
| 5 | at LAC W 27-103rd D | 3rd vs WR | 39% | 2 | 1 | 50 | +1.3 | |
| 6 | vs CHI L 24-2523rd D | 23rd vs WR | 38% | 1 | 1 | 33 | 1 | +3.5 |
| 7 | at DAL L 22-4432nd D | 32nd vs WR | 54% | 2 | 0 | 0 | -5.9 | |
| 8 | at KC L 7-289th D | 9th vs WR | 51% | 3 | 3 | 24 | +0.4 | |
| 9 | vs SEA L 14-382nd D | 2nd vs WR | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | |
| 10 | vs DET L 22-44Did not play | |||||||
| 11 | at MIA L 13-16Did not play | |||||||
| 12 | Bye week | |||||||
| 13 | vs DEN L 26-27Did not play | |||||||
| 14 | at MIN L 0-31Did not play | |||||||
| 15 | at NYG W 29-21Did not play | |||||||
| 16 | vs PHI L 18-29Did not play | |||||||
| 17 | vs DAL L 23-30Did not play | |||||||
| 18 | at PHI W 24-17Did not play | |||||||
| 19 | Bye week | |||||||
| 20 | Bye week | |||||||
| 21 | Bye week | |||||||
| 22 | Bye week | |||||||
| 9 games | 32% | 15 | 11 | 203 | 3 | +9.5 |
| Wk | Opponent | Defense | Tgt share | Air share | aDOT | YAC | EPA/tgt | 1D | Drops |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs NYG W 21-620th D | 20th vs WR | 0% | 0% | - | 0 | - | 0 | |
| 2 | at GB L 18-2729th D | 29th vs WR | 3% | 6% | 17.0 | 2 | +2.25 | 1 | |
| 3 | vs LV W 41-2425th D | 25th vs WR | 17% | 9% | 4.7 | 42 | +2.26 | 1 | |
| 4 | at ATL L 27-3414th D | 14th vs WR | 13% | 18% | 17.3 | 1 | +0.36 | 1 | |
| 5 | at LAC W 27-103rd D | 3rd vs WR | 9% | 28% | 34.0 | 0 | +0.66 | 1 | |
| 6 | vs CHI L 24-2523rd D | 23rd vs WR | 4% | 9% | 20.0 | 13 | +3.52 | 1 | |
| 7 | at DAL L 22-4432nd D | 32nd vs WR | 6% | 11% | 17.0 | 0 | -2.96 | 0 | |
| 8 | at KC L 7-289th D | 9th vs WR | 10% | 8% | 4.3 | 11 | +0.14 | 1 | |
| 9 | vs SEA L 14-382nd D | 2nd vs WR | 0% | 0% | - | 0 | - | 0 | |
| 10 | vs DET L 22-44Did not play | ||||||||
| 11 | at MIA L 13-16Did not play | ||||||||
| 12 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 13 | vs DEN L 26-27Did not play | ||||||||
| 14 | at MIN L 0-31Did not play | ||||||||
| 15 | at NYG W 29-21Did not play | ||||||||
| 16 | vs PHI L 18-29Did not play | ||||||||
| 17 | vs DAL L 23-30Did not play | ||||||||
| 18 | at PHI W 24-17Did not play | ||||||||
| 19 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 20 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 21 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 22 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 9 games | 7% | 10% | 14.5 | 69 | +0.63 | 6 |
| Wk | Opponent | Defense | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | 20+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs NYG W 21-620th D | 20th vs WR | 0 | 0 | - | ||
| 2 | at GB L 18-2729th D | 29th vs WR | 1 | 19 | 19.0 | ||
| 3 | vs LV W 41-2425th D | 25th vs WR | 3 | 56 | 18.7 | 1 | 1 |
| 4 | at ATL L 27-3414th D | 14th vs WR | 2 | 21 | 10.5 | 1 | |
| 5 | at LAC W 27-103rd D | 3rd vs WR | 1 | 50 | 50.0 | 1 | |
| 6 | vs CHI L 24-2523rd D | 23rd vs WR | 1 | 33 | 33.0 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | at DAL L 22-4432nd D | 32nd vs WR | 0 | 0 | - | ||
| 8 | at KC L 7-289th D | 9th vs WR | 3 | 24 | 8.0 | ||
| 9 | vs SEA L 14-382nd D | 2nd vs WR | 0 | 0 | - | ||
| 10 | vs DET L 22-44Did not play | ||||||
| 11 | at MIA L 13-16Did not play | ||||||
| 12 | Bye week | ||||||
| 13 | vs DEN L 26-27Did not play | ||||||
| 14 | at MIN L 0-31Did not play | ||||||
| 15 | at NYG W 29-21Did not play | ||||||
| 16 | vs PHI L 18-29Did not play | ||||||
| 17 | vs DAL L 23-30Did not play | ||||||
| 18 | at PHI W 24-17Did not play | ||||||
| 19 | Bye week | ||||||
| 20 | Bye week | ||||||
| 21 | Bye week | ||||||
| 22 | Bye week | ||||||
| 9 games | 11 | 203 | 18.5 | 3 | 3 |
Targets are steady: 1.7 a game over his last three against 1.7 for the season. 9 straight games below a starter's median in targets. Week 9 was his season low in yards. EPA / target is falling too: -1.10 over the last three.
How this is measured
Bars are his week. The shaded band is the league's middle half at his position, every qualifying player-game this season, and the dashed line is its median. The solid line is his trailing three games. An × on the baseline is a game his team played without him; a dotted tick is the bye.
He has faced the 25th-toughest slate vs WR: his opponents rank 17.4 of 32 on average (league middle 16.2).
The slate · played solid, ahead dashed
His line by defense faced
| Defenses | G | Tgt/g | Yds/g | EPA/tgt |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ranked 1 to 10Top-10 defenses | 3 | 1.7 | 25 | +0.34 |
| 11 to 22Middle | 2 | 1.5 | 11 | +0.36 |
| 23 to 32Bottom-10 | 4 | 1.8 | 27 | +0.95 |
| All games | 9 | 1.7 | 23 | +0.63 |
Yards against the rank of the defense
His production barely moves with the opponent (r = -0.09); it has traveled.
Careerseason by season, back to his rookie year
His best year was 2024, 168 receiving yards in 13 games. This season's 22.6 a game puts him on pace for 383 over 17, a career high.
| Season | Team | G | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | Y/R | Yds/g | EPA/tgt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | WAS | 13 | 24 | 18 | 168 | 0 | 9.3 | 12.9 | +0.14 |
| 2025 | WAS | 9 | 15 | 11 | 203 | 3 | 18.5 | 22.6 | +0.63 |
| Career | 1 tm | 22 | 39 | 29 | 371 | 3 | 12.8 | 16.9 | +0.33 |
How this is measured
Regular season only, from nflverse weekly stats back to 1999. This season is partial and drawn hollow; the pace is his per-game rate over 17 games. Bold cells are career highs.
Intel & playsthe report, his best snaps, his teammates
- Depth chart
- not listed
- Injury report
- clean
- Red zone touches
- …
- Third down
- …
- Explosive plays
- …
- Drops
- 0 on 15 targets
- Broken tackles
- 0
- Passer rating when targeted
- 113.9
- Play action
- …
- Contested
- …
| Player | Touches | Yds | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|
 Jacory Croskey-MerrittRB | 188 | 873 · 8 TD | -5.5 |
 Deebo Samuel Sr.WR | 116 | 802 · 6 TD | +17.8 |
 Chris Rodriguez Jr.RB | 116 | 530 · 6 TD | +2.9 |
 Jeremy McNicholsRB | 75 | 417 · 1 TD | +0.3 |
 Zach ErtzTE | 72 | 504 · 4 TD | +11.7 |
 Terry McLaurinWR | 60 | 582 · 3 TD | +31.7 |
 Jayden DanielsQB | 58 | 278 · 2 TD | +1.7 |
 Marcus MariotaQB | 50 | 297 · 1 TD | +6.7 |