2025
2025 season · WR · #10 · 1st season
Luther Burden III
Age 22 · 6'0" · 205 lb · Missouri · Pick 39 overall (2025). Snap share 40% across 15 games.
- How goodBurden III's +30.1 EPA is 24th of 146 wide receivers.
- Where it comes fromThe biggest share comes after the catch (+39.3, 97th percentile per target).
- Fantasy5.4 standard points a game, WR50 of 170.7.0 half-PPR points a game, WR50 of 170.8.5 PPR points a game, WR51 of 170.
- How he's usedThe screen game runs through him: 22% of his targets are screens (league 4%).
- LatelyTargets are climbing: 6.7 a game over his last three against 4 for the season.
How good is hehis line against the league at his position
| Stat | Value | Rank | League | Pctl |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target shareof team targets | 13% | 78th of 146 | 47th | |
| Depth of targetair yards per target | 7.7 | 127th of 146 | 13th | |
| After the catchyards per reception | 7.1 | 6th of 146 | 96th | |
| Catch ratereceptions per target | 78% | 6th of 146 | 96th | |
| EPA per target | +0.50 | 26th of 146 | 83rd |
| Stat | Value | Rank | League | Pctl |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| First downsper target | 45% | 25th of 146 | 83rd | |
| Drop ratedrops per target, lower is better | 8% | 124th of 146 | 15th | |
| Yards per game | 43.5 | 48th of 146 | 67th | |
| Success rate | 58% | 26th of 146 | 83rd | |
| Total EPA | +30.1 | 24th of 146 | 84th |
How this is measured
Each bar is the league at his position; the marker is him. Right is better, the dashed line is the median. Ranks are out of the qualifying pool, ties shown as T-, and move every week as the pool changes.
Burden scores 5.4 standard points a game, WR50 of 170 WRs with enough games. Most weeks land between 0.4 and 7.3; 2 boom weeks (12+) and 8 busts (under 5).
Burden scores 7.0 half-PPR points a game, WR50 of 170 WRs with enough games. Most weeks land between 0.9 and 9.5; 2 boom weeks (16+) and 8 busts (under 6.5).
Burden scores 8.5 PPR points a game, WR51 of 170 WRs with enough games. Most weeks land between 1.6 and 11.7; 1 boom week (20+) and 8 busts (under 8).
How this is measured
Fantasy points are nflverse's standard and full-PPR scoring (6 points for a rushing or receiving touchdown, 4 for a passing touchdown, minus 2 for an interception or a lost fumble); half PPR is the average of the two. Ranks are points a game among players at his position with at least half the most games played. Most weeks is his 20th to 80th percentile game. Bars are green on a boom week and red on a bust; the dashed line is the starter line, the points a game of the WR24 in a 12-team league. The format you pick is remembered on this device.
How he's usedhis fingerprint, where the ball finds him and when
The screen game runs through him: 22% of his targets are screens (league 4%). Much of his damage comes after the catch: 52% of his yards (league 30%). His share of the team's targets is 12%: on third down it holds at 11%; inside the 20 it holds at 8%. Play action finds him: 28% of his targets come off a fake (league 19%).
How this is measured
Every trait is a share of his own targets, so volume does not move it. The marker is him among the league's qualifying wide receivers; the dashed line is the median. Styles are not grades: a high or low percentile is a description, not a verdict. Play action, screen, RPO, motion and blitz flags come from FTN charting and read low in a week it has not published.
Burden III's +30.1 EPA is 24th of 146 wide receivers. The biggest share comes after the catch (+39.3, 97th percentile per target). His incompletions rank in the 93rd percentile (-10.1). Air yards add less than most (+0.8, 10th percentile).
How this is measured
Every target this season, split by what happened. Catches divide at the catch: the yards in the air and what came after. The percentile is him among the qualifying wide receivers, higher is better, so a cost smaller than most ranks high. The parts add up to the totals above; the career strip counts seasons with at least 15 targets.
He is targeted behind right 1.8× as often as the league (15% of his targets against 8%) but averages -0.03 EPA a target there.
How this is measured
Every target with a charted depth and direction this season; sacks and throws with no charted direction are left out. Left and right are as the offense sees the field. Cells with fewer than three targets show no EPA.
On the field
By depth of target
Who he works withthe connection, and the rest of the huddle
By depth
Week by weekthe shape of his season, the game log and the defenses behind it
| Wk | Opponent | Defense | Snap | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs MIN L 24-2716th D | 16th vs WR | 27% | 1 | 1 | -3 | -1.0 | |
| 2 | at DET L 21-5222nd D | 22nd vs WR | 18% | 2 | 1 | 5 | -1.2 | |
| 3 | vs DAL W 31-1432nd D | 32nd vs WR | 29% | 3 | 3 | 101 | 1 | +5.3 |
| 4 | at LV W 25-2425th D | 25th vs WR | 28% | 2 | 2 | -4 | -2.4 | |
| 5 | Bye week | |||||||
| 6 | at WAS W 25-2428th D | 28th vs WR | 23% | 4 | 4 | 51 | +2.7 | |
| 7 | vs NO W 26-1415th D | 15th vs WR | 28% | 2 | 1 | 22 | +0.8 | |
| 8 | at BAL L 16-3024th D | 24th vs WR | 17% | 1 | 1 | -1 | -0.9 | |
| 9 | at CIN W 47-42Did not play · Out (concussion) | |||||||
| 10 | vs NYG W 24-2020th D | 20th vs WR | 49% | 3 | 3 | 51 | +3.3 | |
| 11 | at MIN W 19-1716th D | 16th vs WR | 44% | 5 | 3 | 27 | +0.2 | |
| 12 | vs PIT W 31-2821st D | 21st vs WR | 51% | 5 | 3 | 46 | +2.2 | |
| 13 | at PHI W 24-155th D | 5th vs WR | 51% | 6 | 4 | 33 | -1.7 | |
| 14 | at GB L 21-2829th D | 29th vs WR | 71% | 6 | 4 | 67 | +6.0 | |
| 15 | vs CLE W 31-38th D | 8th vs WR | 39% | 7 | 6 | 84 | +2.9 | |
| 16 | vs GB W 22-16Did not play · Out (ankle) | |||||||
| 17 | at SF L 38-4226th D | 26th vs WR | 58% | 9 | 8 | 138 | 1 | +11.1 |
| 18 | vs DET L 16-1922nd D | 22nd vs WR | 62% | 4 | 3 | 35 | +2.8 | |
| 19 | vs GB W 31-27Stats not posted yet | |||||||
| 20 | vs LA L 17-20Stats not posted yet | |||||||
| 21 | Bye week | |||||||
| 22 | Bye week | |||||||
| 15 games | 40% | 60 | 47 | 652 | 2 | +30.1 |
| Wk | Opponent | Defense | Tgt share | Air share | aDOT | YAC | EPA/tgt | 1D | Drops |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs MIN L 24-2716th D | 16th vs WR | 3% | -2% | -5.0 | 2 | -0.98 | 0 | |
| 2 | at DET L 21-5222nd D | 22nd vs WR | 6% | 2% | 3.0 | 4 | -0.60 | 0 | |
| 3 | vs DAL W 31-1432nd D | 32nd vs WR | 11% | 26% | 21.3 | 37 | +1.77 | 2 | |
| 4 | at LV W 25-2425th D | 25th vs WR | 6% | -3% | -3.5 | 3 | -1.20 | 0 | |
| 5 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 6 | at WAS W 25-2428th D | 28th vs WR | 14% | 6% | 3.8 | 36 | +0.66 | 1 | |
| 7 | vs NO W 26-1415th D | 15th vs WR | 8% | 18% | 19.5 | 5 | +0.40 | 1 | |
| 8 | at BAL L 16-3024th D | 24th vs WR | 3% | -1% | -3.0 | 2 | -0.88 | 0 | |
| 9 | at CIN W 47-42Did not play · Out (concussion) | ||||||||
| 10 | vs NYG W 24-2020th D | 20th vs WR | 8% | 10% | 11.3 | 17 | +1.11 | 2 | |
| 11 | at MIN W 19-1716th D | 16th vs WR | 18% | 10% | 7.4 | 17 | +0.05 | 2 | 1 |
| 12 | vs PIT W 31-2821st D | 21st vs WR | 17% | 12% | 7.6 | 30 | +0.43 | 3 | |
| 13 | at PHI W 24-155th D | 5th vs WR | 19% | 13% | 5.3 | 24 | -0.29 | 1 | |
| 14 | at GB L 21-2829th D | 29th vs WR | 21% | 20% | 10.0 | 27 | +1.00 | 4 | |
| 15 | vs CLE W 31-38th D | 8th vs WR | 26% | 18% | 7.1 | 48 | +0.41 | 2 | 1 |
| 16 | vs GB W 22-16Did not play · Out (ankle) | ||||||||
| 17 | at SF L 38-4226th D | 26th vs WR | 23% | 29% | 9.8 | 55 | +1.23 | 6 | 1 |
| 18 | vs DET L 16-1922nd D | 22nd vs WR | 14% | 5% | 3.0 | 27 | +0.69 | 3 | 1 |
| 19 | vs GB W 31-27Stats not posted yet | ||||||||
| 20 | vs LA L 17-20Stats not posted yet | ||||||||
| 21 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 22 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 15 games | 13% | 11% | 7.7 | 334 | +0.50 | 27 | 5 |
| Wk | Opponent | Defense | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | 20+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs MIN L 24-2716th D | 16th vs WR | 1 | -3 | -3.0 | ||
| 2 | at DET L 21-5222nd D | 22nd vs WR | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | ||
| 3 | vs DAL W 31-1432nd D | 32nd vs WR | 3 | 101 | 33.7 | 1 | 2 |
| 4 | at LV W 25-2425th D | 25th vs WR | 2 | -4 | -2.0 | ||
| 5 | Bye week | ||||||
| 6 | at WAS W 25-2428th D | 28th vs WR | 4 | 51 | 12.8 | 1 | |
| 7 | vs NO W 26-1415th D | 15th vs WR | 1 | 22 | 22.0 | 1 | |
| 8 | at BAL L 16-3024th D | 24th vs WR | 1 | -1 | -1.0 | ||
| 9 | at CIN W 47-42Did not play · Out (concussion) | ||||||
| 10 | vs NYG W 24-2020th D | 20th vs WR | 3 | 51 | 17.0 | 1 | |
| 11 | at MIN W 19-1716th D | 16th vs WR | 3 | 27 | 9.0 | ||
| 12 | vs PIT W 31-2821st D | 21st vs WR | 3 | 46 | 15.3 | ||
| 13 | at PHI W 24-155th D | 5th vs WR | 4 | 33 | 8.3 | ||
| 14 | at GB L 21-2829th D | 29th vs WR | 4 | 67 | 16.8 | 1 | |
| 15 | vs CLE W 31-38th D | 8th vs WR | 6 | 84 | 14.0 | 1 | |
| 16 | vs GB W 22-16Did not play · Out (ankle) | ||||||
| 17 | at SF L 38-4226th D | 26th vs WR | 8 | 138 | 17.3 | 1 | 4 |
| 18 | vs DET L 16-1922nd D | 22nd vs WR | 3 | 35 | 11.7 | ||
| 19 | vs GB W 31-27Stats not posted yet | ||||||
| 20 | vs LA L 17-20Stats not posted yet | ||||||
| 21 | Bye week | ||||||
| 22 | Bye week | ||||||
| 15 games | 47 | 652 | 13.9 | 2 | 11 |
Targets are climbing: 6.7 a game over his last three against 4 for the season. The role and the production are both growing: 86 yards a game lately against 43. 8 straight games above a starter's median in rec yards.
How this is measured
Bars are his week. The shaded band is the league's middle half at his position, every qualifying player-game this season, and the dashed line is its median. The solid line is his trailing three games. An × on the baseline is a game his team played without him; a dotted tick is the bye.
He has faced the 31st-toughest slate vs WR: his opponents rank 20.6 of 32 on average (league middle 16.2).
The slate · played solid, ahead dashed
His line by defense faced
| Defenses | G | Tgt/g | Yds/g | EPA/tgt |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ranked 1 to 10Top-10 defenses | 2 | 6.5 | 59 | +0.09 |
| 11 to 22Middle | 7 | 3.1 | 26 | +0.32 |
| 23 to 32Bottom-10 | 6 | 4.2 | 59 | +0.87 |
| All games | 15 | 4.0 | 43 | +0.50 |
Yards against the rank of the defense
His production barely moves with the opponent (r = 0.24); it has traveled.
Careerseason by season, back to his rookie year
First season: 15 games in, 652 receiving yards, a 17-game pace of 739.
| Season | Team | G | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | Y/R | Yds/g | EPA/tgt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | CHI | 15 | 60 | 47 | 652 | 2 | 13.9 | 43.5 | +0.50 |
| Career | 1 tm | 15 | 60 | 47 | 652 | 2 | 13.9 | 43.5 | +0.50 |
How this is measured
Regular season only, from nflverse weekly stats back to 1999. This season is partial and drawn hollow; the pace is his per-game rate over 17 games. Bold cells are career highs.
Intel & playsthe report, his best snaps, his teammates
- Depth chart
- not listed
- Injury report
- clean
- Red zone touches
- …
- Third down
- …
- Explosive plays
- …
- Drops
- 5 on 60 targets
- Broken tackles
- 2
- Passer rating when targeted
- 90.5
- Play action
- …
- Contested
- …
| Player | Touches | Yds | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|
 D'Andre SwiftRB | 271 | 1386 · 10 TD | +13.9 |
 Kyle MonangaiRB | 199 | 947 · 5 TD | -3.6 |
 DJ MooreWR | 100 | 761 · 7 TD | +17.8 |
 Rome OdunzeWR | 90 | 661 · 6 TD | +20.9 |
 Colston LovelandTE | 83 | 711 · 6 TD | +46.6 |
 Caleb WilliamsQB | 79 | 410 · 4 TD | +10.7 |
 Olamide ZaccheausWR | 69 | 338 · 2 TD | -3.2 |
 Cole KmetTE | 48 | 347 · 2 TD | +13.4 |