2025
Week 15 · Sunday 4:25 PM ET · Levi's Stadium
vs
49ers offensevsTitans defense
Season numbers through Week 22: 19 games for 49ers, 17 for Titans. Ranks are out of 32; #1 is the best offense or the stingiest defense.
The 49ers won 37–24 and were favored the whole way, never below 87%. The biggest single swing came at Q1 13:51, 4 points for the 49ers.
The plays that swung it
- 1Q1 13:51SFB.Purdy pass short left to R.Pearsall to SF 38 for 8 yards (K.Winston).87% → 91%
- 2Q2 7:52TENC.Ward pass deep right to G.Helm for 34 yards, TOUCHDOWN.5% → 9%
- 3Q1 13:59TENJ.Hekker punts 36 yards to SF 30, out of bounds.10% → 13%
- 4Q1 14:07SFC.Ward pass incomplete short right [K.White].88% → 90%
- 5Q1 0:39SFB.Purdy pass deep right to D.Robinson ran ob at TEN 33 for 30 yards.90% → 93%
Win probability is nflverse's model, which starts from the betting line and updates before every snap with the score, the clock, down, distance, field position and timeouts. A swing is the change in one team's chance across a play, in percentage points. The turning point is the play after which the winner never fell to 50% again.
T.Pollard led the Titans at +5.9 EPA (14 carries for 104). B.Purdy led the 49ers at +22.1 EPA (23 of 30 for 295).
Titans
| Passing | C/A | Yds | TD | INT | Sk | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.Ward100% | 18/29 | 170 | 2 | +1.7 |
| Rushing | Car | Share | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.Pollard53% | 14 | 70% | 104 | 1 | +5.4 |
| T.Spears42% | 3 | 15% | 34 | +3.5 | |
| K.Mullings4% | 1 | 5% | 3 | +0.5 | |
| C.Ward100% | 1 | 5% | 2 | +1.8 | |
| C.Dike70% | 1 | 5% | -7 | -1.5 |
| Receiving | Tgt | Share | Rec | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.Okonkwo57% | 6 | 22% | 4 | 33 | +0.7 | |
| V.Jefferson58% | 5 | 19% | 1 | 43 | +0.9 | |
| C.Dike70% | 5 | 19% | 4 | 17 | -1.3 | |
| G.Helm49% | 4 | 15% | 4 | 49 | 1 | +3.2 |
| T.Pollard53% | 2 | 7% | 1 | 8 | +0.5 | |
| T.Spears42% | 2 | 7% | 2 | 2 | -1.6 | |
| J.Simmons | 1 | 4% | 1 | 1 | 1 | +0.6 |
| J.Proche38% | 1 | 4% | 0 | 0 | -0.3 | |
| E.Ayomanor81% | 1 | 4% | 1 | 17 | +1.2 |
Defense J.Simmons 1 sack, J.Harrell 1 sack · Kicking J.Slye 1/2 FG (long 25)
49ers
| Passing | C/A | Yds | TD | INT | Sk | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B.Purdy100% | 23/30 | 295 | 3 | 2 | +17.9 |
| Rushing | Car | Share | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.McCaffrey84% | 22 | 58% | 73 | 1 | -2.3 |
| B.Robinson16% | 9 | 24% | 21 | -2.4 | |
| B.Purdy100% | 7 | 18% | 44 | +4.2 |
| Receiving | Tgt | Share | Rec | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G.Kittle96% | 9 | 32% | 8 | 88 | 1 | +5.5 |
| R.Pearsall58% | 7 | 25% | 6 | 96 | +8.8 | |
| J.Jennings81% | 5 | 18% | 3 | 37 | 2 | +4.1 |
| K.Bourne45% | 3 | 11% | 2 | 17 | +0.1 | |
| D.Robinson31% | 2 | 7% | 2 | 36 | +4.0 | |
| K.Juszczyk62% | 1 | 4% | 1 | 7 | +0.8 | |
| C.McCaffrey84% | 1 | 4% | 1 | 14 | +0.9 |
Defense no sacks or interceptions · Kicking E.Pineiro 3/3 FG (long 40)
Each player's line for this game from nflverse's weekly stats; the percentage beside his name is his share of the offense's snaps. Share is his part of the team's carries or targets in this game. Defense lists sacks and interceptions; kicking lists field goals.
Red zone touchdowns
49ers score a touchdown on 69% of red zone trips (2nd). Titans allow 67% (31st).
Deep middle is open
Titans are worst against deep middle throws, allowing +1.30 EPA per attempt. 49ers send 5% of their throws there. That is a small part of their offense so far.
Ground game stalls
49ers average 3.7 yards per carry (29th). Titans allow 4.2 (18th).
Explosive play rate
Call this one even. 49ers create explosive plays on 9% of snaps (22nd). Titans give them up at 11% (22nd).
The 49ers lead the series 4–3 since 1999. This game is the latest meeting.
The last 5
| 2025 · Wk 15 | TEN 24 at SF 37 |
| 2021 · Wk 16 | SF 17 at TEN 20 |
| 2017 · Wk 15 | TEN 23 at SF 25 |
| 2013 · Wk 7 | SF 31 at TEN 17 |
| 2009 · Wk 9 | TEN 34 at SF 27 |
2025 records
| Titans | 49ers | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 3–14 | 12–5 |
| Division | 0–6 | 4–2 |
| Conference | 2–10 | 9–3 |
| Other conference | 1–4 | 3–2 |
| Home | 1–8 | 5–3 |
| Away | 2–6 | 7–2 |
| Last 5 | WLWLL | WWWWL |
| Streak | Lost 2 | Lost 1 |
| Points a game | 16.7 – 28.1 | 25.7 – 21.8 |
Every meeting since 1999, regular season and playoffs, from nflverse's game list, which starts in 1999; the all-time series goes back further. Franchises that moved count as one team (the Raiders, Chargers and Rams). Home and away are from the Titans' side. Records are this regular season.
| Stat | SF off | Favors SF · Favors TEN | TEN def allows | NFL avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | ||||
| EPA per play | +0.06#9 | +0.10#28 | +0.01 | |
| Success rate | 48%#3 | 45%#22 | 44% | |
| Yards per play | 5.6#11 | 6.0#28 | 5.4 | |
| Explosive play rate | 9%#22 | 11%#22 | 10% | |
| Passing | ||||
| Pass EPA per dropback | +0.13#8 | +0.17#29 | +0.01 | |
| Sack rate | 5%#4 | 8%#9 | 7% | |
| Running | ||||
| Run EPA per carry | -0.04#13 | -0.02#22 | -0.05 | |
| Yards per carry | 3.7#29 | 4.2#18 | 4.3 | |
| Money downs | ||||
| 3rd down conversion | 51%#1 | 42%#19 | 40% | |
| Red zone TD rate | 69%#2 | 67%#31 | 59% | |
| Targets by position | ||||
| WR yards per game | 124#24 | 166#28 | 140 | |
| TE yards per game | 57#12 | 56#21 | 53 | |
| TE targets per game | 7.6#13 | 7.1#15 | 7.3 | |
| RB receiving yards per game | 69#1 | 27#7 | 32 | |
49ers: EPA per throw
Titans: EPA allowed per throw
Green gains more than expected, red loses value. Cells with fewer than 5 throws are grayed out.