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DOWN X DOWN › week 17 › Giants at Raiders

Season over · final

2025

2025 season · final Every snap of the 2025 season, kept as it ended.Back to 2026 →

Week 17 · Sunday 4:05 PM ET · Allegiant Stadium

Giants offensevsRaiders defense

Season numbers through Week 22: 17 games for Giants, 17 for Raiders. Ranks are out of 32; #1 is the best offense or the stingiest defense.

NYG offense LV offense

How it played out · win probability, snap by snapFinal · NYG 34 · LV 10

The Giants won 34–10; their low point was 46% at Q1 2:50. The game turned for good at Q1 2:50: G.Smith pass short right intended for M.Mayer INTERCEPTED by B.Okereke [D.Alexander] at NYG 9. B.Okereke to LV 44 for 47 yards (A.Jeanty) (46% → 66%).

At kickoffNYG 61%NYG by 3 on the line

NYG low point46%Q1 2:50 · tied 0⁠–⁠0

Swings past 50%2times the favorite changed

Biggest swing21 ptsNYG · Q1 2:50

LV wins50%NYG wins

12345Turning pointNYG low 46%

Q1Q2Q3Q4

The plays that swung it

1Q1 2:50NYGG.Smith pass short right intended for M.Mayer INTERCEPTED by B.Okereke [D.Alexander] at NYG 9. B.Okereke to LV 44 for 47 yards (A.Jeanty).turning point46% → 66%+21
2Q1 12:10LVJ.Dart sacked at NYG 41 for -14 yards (T.Hemingway).35% → 44%+9
3Q1 0:49NYGD.Singletary left tackle to LV 1 for 29 yards (L.Johnson).67% → 75%+8
4Q3 0:31NYGD.Carlson kicks 60 yards from LV 35 to NYG 5. D.Banks for 95 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on NYG, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 yards, enforced between…90% → 98%+8
5Q1 12:36NYGJ.Dart pass short left to W.Robinson ran ob at LV 45 for 17 yards (G.Vance).58% → 65%+7

Win probability is nflverse's model, which starts from the betting line and updates before every snap with the score, the clock, down, distance, field position and timeouts. A swing is the change in one team's chance across a play, in percentage points. The turning point is the play after which the winner never fell to 50% again.

Box score · every offensive player who touched the ballWeek 17

J.Dart led the Giants at +11.5 EPA (22 of 30 for 207). D.Jr. led the Raiders at +1.5 EPA (2 catches for 12).

Giants

Passing	C/A	Yds	TD	INT	Sk	EPA
J.Dart100%	22/30	207			2	+3.0

Rushing	Car	Share	Yds	TD	EPA
T.Jr.66%	14	45%	62		+0.8
J.Dart100%	9	29%	48	2	+8.5
D.Singletary30%	8	26%	45	1	+2.0

Receiving	Tgt	Share	Rec	Yds	EPA
W.Robinson75%	14	48%	11	113	+4.3
D.Singletary30%	4	14%	4	25	+0.7
D.Slayton88%	3	10%	2	36	+1.6
D.Bellinger97%	3	10%	2	11	-0.6
I.Hodgins81%	2	7%	1	8	+0.1
T.Jr.66%	2	7%	1	-5	-1.1
G.Olszewski16%	1	3%	1	19	+1.8

Defense B.Okereke 1 INT, B.Burns 1.5 sacks, D.Belton 1 INT, D.Flannigan-Fowles 1 sack · Kicking B.Sauls 2/2 FG (long 32)

Raiders

Passing	C/A	Yds	TD	INT	Sk	EPA
G.Smith90%	20/28	176	1	2	3	-4.8
K.Pickett10%	2/2	16			1	-1.3

Rushing	Car	Share	Yds	EPA
A.Jeanty81%	16	80%	60	-3.1
T.Tucker100%	2	10%	0	-0.9
G.Smith90%	1	5%	1	-0.8
Z.White19%	1	5%	2	-0.6

Receiving	Tgt	Share	Rec	Yds	TD	EPA
M.Mayer93%	10	36%	9	89		-0.3
T.Tucker100%	6	21%	5	49		+0.8
D.Jr.78%	4	14%	2	12		+1.5
T.Lockett56%	3	11%	2	9	1	+0.8
S.Jackson14%	3	11%	2	20		-1.0
A.Jeanty81%	2	7%	2	13		+0.7

Defense M.Koonce 1 sack, T.Hemingway 1 sack · Kicking D.Carlson 1/1 FG (long 42)

Each player's line for this game from nflverse's weekly stats; the percentage beside his name is his share of the offense's snaps. Share is his part of the team's carries or targets in this game. Defense lists sacks and interceptions; kicking lists field goals.

Keys to the game · from the season numbers, not this game alone4 reads

Biggest edge

Third downs favor Giants

Giants convert 40% of third downs (16th). Raiders allow 47% (31st).

Opportunity

Deep middle is open

Raiders are worst against deep middle throws, allowing +0.56 EPA per attempt. Giants send 3% of their throws there. That is a small part of their offense so far.

Watch out

Tight ends go quiet

Raiders give up 5.7 targets a game to tight ends (3rd), against a league average of 7.3. Giants' tight ends produce 6.0 (24th).

Wash

Explosive play rate

Call this one even. Giants create explosive plays on 10% of snaps (10th). Raiders give them up at 8% (7th).

The series · Giants and Raiders since 1999, and this season's records8 meetings

The Giants lead the series 5–3 since 1999 (they first met in 2001). This game is the latest meeting.

Giants at home3–1the Giants' record

In Las Vegas2–2the Giants' record

Most pointsGiants 44 · Raiders 302009 · 2023

Biggest winGiants by 37 · Raiders by 242009 · 2023

The last 5

2025 · Wk 17	NYG 34 at LV 10
2023 · Wk 9	NYG 6 at LV 30
2021 · Wk 9	LV 16 at NYG 23
2017 · Wk 13	NYG 17 at LV 24
2013 · Wk 10	LV 20 at NYG 24

2025 records

	Giants	Raiders
Overall	4–13	3–14
Division	2–4	1–5
Conference	2–10	3–9
Other conference	2–3	0–5
Home	3–5	2–7
Away	1–8	1–7
Last 5	LLLWW	LLLLW
Streak	Won 2	Won 1
Points a game	22.4 – 25.8	14.2 – 25.4

Every meeting since 1999, regular season and playoffs, from nflverse's game list, which starts in 1999; the all-time series goes back further. Franchises that moved count as one team (the Raiders, Chargers and Rams). Home and away are from the Giants' side. Records are this regular season.

Head to head · NYG offense against LV defense

Stat	NYG off	LV def allows	NFL avg
Overall
EPA per play	+0.01#16	+0.03#19	+0.01
Success rate	42%#27	45%#21	44%
Yards per play	5.3#18	5.2#11	5.4
Explosive play rate	10%#10	8%#7	10%
Passing
Pass EPA per dropback	-0.01#19	+0.08#22	+0.01
Sack rate	8%#24	7%#18	7%
Running
Run EPA per carry	-0.03#10	-0.07#14	-0.05
Yards per carry	4.0#22	4.0#10	4.3
Money downs
3rd down conversion	40%#16	47%#31	40%
Red zone TD rate	51%#25	59%#18	59%
Targets by position
WR yards per game	130#21	147#21	140
TE yards per game	48#21	39#3	53
TE targets per game	6.0#24	5.7#3	7.3
RB receiving yards per game	38#5	28#10	32

Where the ball goes · EPA per throwDeep is 15+ air yds

Giants: EPA per throw

Left

Middle

Right

Deep

+0.278% of throws

+0.433% of throws

+0.669% of throws

Short

+0.0830% of throws

+0.1818% of throws

-0.0832% of throws

Raiders: EPA allowed per throw

Left

Middle

Right

Deep

+0.4143 throws

+0.5612 throws

+0.0431 throws