2025
Week 17 · Sunday 4:05 PM ET · Allegiant Stadium
vs
Raiders offensevsGiants defense
Season numbers through Week 22: 17 games for Raiders, 17 for Giants. Ranks are out of 32; #1 is the best offense or the stingiest defense.
The Giants won 34–10; their low point was 46% at Q1 2:50. The game turned for good at Q1 2:50: G.Smith pass short right intended for M.Mayer INTERCEPTED by B.Okereke [D.Alexander] at NYG 9. B.Okereke to LV 44 for 47 yards (A.Jeanty) (46% → 66%).
The plays that swung it
- 1Q1 2:50NYGG.Smith pass short right intended for M.Mayer INTERCEPTED by B.Okereke [D.Alexander] at NYG 9. B.Okereke to LV 44 for 47 yards (A.Jeanty).turning point46% → 66%
- 2Q1 12:10LVJ.Dart sacked at NYG 41 for -14 yards (T.Hemingway).35% → 44%
- 3Q1 0:49NYGD.Singletary left tackle to LV 1 for 29 yards (L.Johnson).67% → 75%
- 4Q3 0:31NYGD.Carlson kicks 60 yards from LV 35 to NYG 5. D.Banks for 95 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on NYG, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 yards, enforced between…90% → 98%
- 5Q1 12:36NYGJ.Dart pass short left to W.Robinson ran ob at LV 45 for 17 yards (G.Vance).58% → 65%
Win probability is nflverse's model, which starts from the betting line and updates before every snap with the score, the clock, down, distance, field position and timeouts. A swing is the change in one team's chance across a play, in percentage points. The turning point is the play after which the winner never fell to 50% again.
J.Dart led the Giants at +11.5 EPA (22 of 30 for 207). D.Jr. led the Raiders at +1.5 EPA (2 catches for 12).
Giants
| Passing | C/A | Yds | TD | INT | Sk | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.Dart100% | 22/30 | 207 | 2 | +3.0 |
| Rushing | Car | Share | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.Jr.66% | 14 | 45% | 62 | +0.8 | |
| J.Dart100% | 9 | 29% | 48 | 2 | +8.5 |
| D.Singletary30% | 8 | 26% | 45 | 1 | +2.0 |
| Receiving | Tgt | Share | Rec | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W.Robinson75% | 14 | 48% | 11 | 113 | +4.3 | |
| D.Singletary30% | 4 | 14% | 4 | 25 | +0.7 | |
| D.Slayton88% | 3 | 10% | 2 | 36 | +1.6 | |
| D.Bellinger97% | 3 | 10% | 2 | 11 | -0.6 | |
| I.Hodgins81% | 2 | 7% | 1 | 8 | +0.1 | |
| T.Jr.66% | 2 | 7% | 1 | -5 | -1.1 | |
| G.Olszewski16% | 1 | 3% | 1 | 19 | +1.8 |
Defense B.Okereke 1 INT, B.Burns 1.5 sacks, D.Belton 1 INT, D.Flannigan-Fowles 1 sack · Kicking B.Sauls 2/2 FG (long 32)
Raiders
| Passing | C/A | Yds | TD | INT | Sk | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G.Smith90% | 20/28 | 176 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -4.8 |
| K.Pickett10% | 2/2 | 16 | 1 | -1.3 |
| Rushing | Car | Share | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.Jeanty81% | 16 | 80% | 60 | -3.1 | |
| T.Tucker100% | 2 | 10% | 0 | -0.9 | |
| G.Smith90% | 1 | 5% | 1 | -0.8 | |
| Z.White19% | 1 | 5% | 2 | -0.6 |
| Receiving | Tgt | Share | Rec | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M.Mayer93% | 10 | 36% | 9 | 89 | -0.3 | |
| T.Tucker100% | 6 | 21% | 5 | 49 | +0.8 | |
| D.Jr.78% | 4 | 14% | 2 | 12 | +1.5 | |
| T.Lockett56% | 3 | 11% | 2 | 9 | 1 | +0.8 |
| S.Jackson14% | 3 | 11% | 2 | 20 | -1.0 | |
| A.Jeanty81% | 2 | 7% | 2 | 13 | +0.7 |
Defense M.Koonce 1 sack, T.Hemingway 1 sack · Kicking D.Carlson 1/1 FG (long 42)
Each player's line for this game from nflverse's weekly stats; the percentage beside his name is his share of the offense's snaps. Share is his part of the team's carries or targets in this game. Defense lists sacks and interceptions; kicking lists field goals.
Tight ends feast
Giants give up 6.7 targets a game to tight ends (9th), against a league average of 7.3. Raiders' tight ends produce 9.2 (3rd).
Deep left is open
Giants are worst against deep left throws, allowing +0.69 EPA per attempt. Raiders send 5% of their throws there. That is a small part of their offense so far.
Pressure problem
Raiders take a sack on 11% of dropbacks (32nd). Giants get home on 7% (17th). League average is 7%.
Yards per play
Call this one even. Raiders gain 4.4 yards per play (31st). Giants give up 6.0 (29th), with the league at 5.4.
The Giants lead the series 5–3 since 1999 (they first met in 2001). This game is the latest meeting.
The last 5
| 2025 · Wk 17 | NYG 34 at LV 10 |
| 2023 · Wk 9 | NYG 6 at LV 30 |
| 2021 · Wk 9 | LV 16 at NYG 23 |
| 2017 · Wk 13 | NYG 17 at LV 24 |
| 2013 · Wk 10 | LV 20 at NYG 24 |
2025 records
| Giants | Raiders | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4–13 | 3–14 |
| Division | 2–4 | 1–5 |
| Conference | 2–10 | 3–9 |
| Other conference | 2–3 | 0–5 |
| Home | 3–5 | 2–7 |
| Away | 1–8 | 1–7 |
| Last 5 | LLLWW | LLLLW |
| Streak | Won 2 | Won 1 |
| Points a game | 22.4 – 25.8 | 14.2 – 25.4 |
Every meeting since 1999, regular season and playoffs, from nflverse's game list, which starts in 1999; the all-time series goes back further. Franchises that moved count as one team (the Raiders, Chargers and Rams). Home and away are from the Giants' side. Records are this regular season.
| Stat | LV off | Favors LV · Favors NYG | NYG def allows | NFL avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | ||||
| EPA per play | -0.22#32 | +0.08#25 | +0.01 | |
| Success rate | 38%#30 | 47%#26 | 44% | |
| Yards per play | 4.4#31 | 6.0#29 | 5.4 | |
| Explosive play rate | 7%#31 | 12%#32 | 10% | |
| Passing | ||||
| Pass EPA per dropback | -0.19#29 | +0.02#16 | +0.01 | |
| Sack rate | 11%#32 | 7%#17 | 7% | |
| Running | ||||
| Run EPA per carry | -0.30#32 | +0.13#32 | -0.05 | |
| Yards per carry | 3.5#32 | 5.4#32 | 4.3 | |
| Money downs | ||||
| 3rd down conversion | 35%#28 | 40%#14 | 40% | |
| Red zone TD rate | 49%#28 | 63%#23 | 59% | |
| Targets by position | ||||
| WR yards per game | 100#30 | 152#23 | 140 | |
| TE yards per game | 68#5 | 47#10 | 53 | |
| TE targets per game | 9.2#3 | 6.7#9 | 7.3 | |
| RB receiving yards per game | 27#21 | 31#19 | 32 | |
Raiders: EPA per throw
Giants: EPA allowed per throw
Green gains more than expected, red loses value. Cells with fewer than 5 throws are grayed out.