2025
Week 4 · Sunday 1:00 PM ET · MetLife Stadium
vs
Giants offensevsChargers defense
Season numbers through Week 22: 17 games for Giants, 18 for Chargers. Ranks are out of 32; #1 is the best offense or the stingiest defense.
The Giants won 21–18; their low point was 26% at Q1 15:00. The Chargers had been 73% favorites at kickoff. The game turned for good at Q3 3:47: J.Herbert pass short right intended for L.McConkey INTERCEPTED by A.Phillips [B.Burns] at NYG 41. A.Phillips to LAC 3 for 56 yards (K.Allen).… (48% → 73%).
The plays that swung it
- 1Q3 3:47LACJ.Herbert pass short right intended for L.McConkey INTERCEPTED by A.Phillips [B.Burns] at NYG 41. A.Phillips to LAC 3 for 56 yards (K.Allen).…turning point48% → 73%
- 2Q1 0:43LACJ.Herbert pass short right intended for T.Harris INTERCEPTED by D.Lawrence at LAC 40. D.Lawrence to LAC 3 for 37 yards (J.Herbert).49% → 66%
- 3Q4 3:46LACJ.Herbert sacked at LAC 30 for -16 yards (B.Burns).62% → 78%
- 4Q4 2:38NYGJ.Dart pass short middle to T.Johnson to NYG 41 for 10 yards (D.Henley).68% → 82%
- 5Q4 5:44NYGJ.Dart pass incomplete short right to W.Robinson (A.Gilman).22% → 35%
Win probability is nflverse's model, which starts from the betting line and updates before every snap with the score, the clock, down, distance, field position and timeouts. A swing is the change in one team's chance across a play, in percentage points. Each play is tagged with the team that had the ball; the bar names the team it helped. The turning point is the play after which the winner never fell to 50% again.
O.Hampton led the Chargers at +7.5 EPA (12 carries for 128). D.Slayton led the Giants at +3.7 EPA (3 catches for 44).
Chargers
| Passing | C/A | Yds | TD | INT | Sk | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.Herbert100% | 23/41 | 203 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -21.1 |
| Rushing | Car | Share | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O.Hampton89% | 12 | 92% | 128 | 1 | +7.2 |
| J.Herbert100% | 1 | 8% | 24 | +4.4 |
| Receiving | Tgt | Share | Rec | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q.Johnston92% | 13 | 34% | 8 | 98 | 1 | +2.5 |
| K.Allen78% | 7 | 18% | 5 | 37 | +0.4 | |
| L.McConkey92% | 6 | 16% | 1 | 11 | -10.2 | |
| O.Hampton89% | 5 | 13% | 5 | 37 | +0.3 | |
| O.II48% | 3 | 8% | 2 | 16 | +1.0 | |
| T.Conklin19% | 1 | 3% | 1 | 3 | -0.6 | |
| T.Fisk21% | 1 | 3% | 0 | 0 | -0.6 | |
| S.Matlock21% | 1 | 3% | 1 | 1 | -0.6 | |
| T.Harris19% | 1 | 3% | 0 | 0 | -7.9 |
Defense T.Tuipulotu 4 sacks, J.Eboigbe 1 sack, D.James 0.5 sacks, C.Murphy 0.5 sacks · Kicking C.Dicker 1/1 FG (long 43)
Giants
| Passing | C/A | Yds | TD | INT | Sk | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.Dart97% | 13/20 | 111 | 1 | 5 | -4.5 | |
| R.Wilson3% | 1/1 | 8 | 1 | -2.2 |
| Rushing | Car | Share | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.Skattebo75% | 25 | 60% | 79 | -4.1 | |
| J.Dart97% | 10 | 24% | 54 | 1 | +0.7 |
| D.Singletary25% | 7 | 17% | 28 | -0.1 |
| Receiving | Tgt | Share | Rec | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W.Robinson97% | 5 | 25% | 3 | 14 | -4.9 | |
| T.Johnson70% | 5 | 25% | 3 | 17 | 1 | +0.8 |
| D.Slayton87% | 4 | 20% | 3 | 44 | +3.7 | |
| M.Nabers33% | 3 | 15% | 2 | 20 | +0.6 | |
| C.Skattebo75% | 2 | 10% | 2 | 11 | +0.1 | |
| D.Bellinger32% | 1 | 5% | 1 | 13 | +2.3 |
Defense D.Lawrence 1 INT, A.Phillips 1 INT, B.Burns 1 sack, K.Thibodeaux 1 sack · Kicking J.McAtamney 2/2 FG (long 31)
Each player's line for this game from nflverse's weekly stats; the percentage beside his name is his share of the offense's snaps. Share is his part of the team's carries or targets in this game. Defense lists sacks and interceptions; kicking lists field goals.
Backs catch passes
Chargers give up 29 yards a game to running backs (15th), against a league average of 32. Giants' running backs produce 38 (5th).
Deep left is open
Chargers are worst against deep left throws, allowing +0.49 EPA per attempt. Giants send 8% of their throws there. That is a small part of their offense so far.
Field goals, not touchdowns
Giants score a touchdown on 51% of red zone trips (25th). Chargers allow 44% (1st).
Yards per play
Call this one even. Giants gain 5.3 yards per play (18th). Chargers give up 5.2 (12th), with the league at 5.4.
The Chargers lead the series 5–1 since 1999 (they first met in 2005). This game is the latest meeting.
The last 5
| 2025 · Wk 4 | LAC 18 at NYG 21 |
| 2021 · Wk 14 | NYG 21 at LAC 37 |
| 2017 · Wk 5 | LAC 27 at NYG 22 |
| 2013 · Wk 14 | NYG 14 at LAC 37 |
| 2009 · Wk 9 | LAC 21 at NYG 20 |
2025 records
| Chargers | Giants | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11–6 | 4–13 |
| Division | 5–1 | 2–4 |
| Conference | 8–4 | 2–10 |
| Other conference | 3–2 | 2–3 |
| Home | 6–3 | 3–5 |
| Away | 5–3 | 1–8 |
| Last 5 | WWWLL | LLLWW |
| Streak | Lost 2 | Won 2 |
| Points a game | 21.6 – 20.0 | 22.4 – 25.8 |
Every meeting since 1999, regular season and playoffs, from nflverse's game list, which starts in 1999; the all-time series goes back further. Franchises that moved count as one team (the Raiders, Chargers and Rams). Home and away are from the Chargers' side. Records are this regular season.
| Stat | NYG off | Favors NYG · Favors LAC | LAC def allows | NFL avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | ||||
| EPA per play | +0.01#16 | -0.08#7 | +0.01 | |
| Success rate | 42%#27 | 41%#6 | 44% | |
| Yards per play | 5.3#18 | 5.2#12 | 5.4 | |
| Explosive play rate | 10%#10 | 9%#17 | 10% | |
| Passing | ||||
| Pass EPA per dropback | -0.01#19 | -0.09#10 | +0.01 | |
| Sack rate | 8%#24 | 9%#5 | 7% | |
| Running | ||||
| Run EPA per carry | -0.03#10 | -0.12#3 | -0.05 | |
| Yards per carry | 4.0#22 | 4.1#14 | 4.3 | |
| Money downs | ||||
| 3rd down conversion | 40%#16 | 35%#3 | 40% | |
| Red zone TD rate | 51%#25 | 44%#1 | 59% | |
| Targets by position | ||||
| WR yards per game | 130#21 | 127#8 | 140 | |
| TE yards per game | 48#21 | 43#6 | 53 | |
| TE targets per game | 6.0#24 | 5.7#2 | 7.3 | |
| RB receiving yards per game | 38#5 | 29#15 | 32 | |
Giants: EPA per throw
Chargers: EPA allowed per throw
Green gains more than expected, red loses value. Cells with fewer than 5 throws are grayed out.