2025
Week 9 · Sunday 1:00 PM ET · MetLife Stadium
vs
Giants offensevs49ers defense
Season numbers through Week 22: 17 games for Giants, 19 for 49ers. Ranks are out of 32; #1 is the best offense or the stingiest defense.
The 49ers won 34–24; their low point was 40% at Q1 9:01. The game turned for good at Q1 7:06: M.Jones pass deep middle to J.Watkins to NYG 28 for 19 yards (D.Banks) (44% → 52%).
The plays that swung it
- 1Q1 7:06SFM.Jones pass deep middle to J.Watkins to NYG 28 for 19 yards (D.Banks).turning point44% → 52%
- 2Q2 13:14SFM.Jones pass short left to J.Jennings for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN.70% → 78%
- 3Q2 0:38NYGM.Jones sacked at SF 17 for -11 yards (B.Burns). FUMBLES (B.Burns) [B.Burns], RECOVERED by NYG-A.Carter at SF 23. A.Carter to SF 27 for -4 yards…15% → 21%
- 4Q1 9:01SFM.Jones up the middle to SF 43 for 2 yards (D.Muasau).40% → 46%
- 5Q2 2:00SFE.Pineiro 54 yard field goal is GOOD82% → 87%
Win probability is nflverse's model, which starts from the betting line and updates before every snap with the score, the clock, down, distance, field position and timeouts. A swing is the change in one team's chance across a play, in percentage points. The turning point is the play after which the winner never fell to 50% again.
M.Jones led the 49ers at +14.4 EPA (19 of 24 for 235). J.Dart led the Giants at +8.7 EPA (24 of 33 for 191).
49ers
| Passing | C/A | Yds | TD | INT | Sk | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M.Jones98% | 19/24 | 235 | 2 | 2 | +13.5 |
| Rushing | Car | Share | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.McCaffrey86% | 28 | 72% | 106 | 1 | +2.2 |
| B.Robinson14% | 5 | 13% | 53 | 1 | +5.2 |
| M.Jones98% | 4 | 10% | 4 | +0.9 | |
| G.Kittle86% | 1 | 3% | -3 | -1.0 | |
| A.Martinez2% | 1 | 3% | -1 | -2.3 |
| Receiving | Tgt | Share | Rec | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.McCaffrey86% | 6 | 26% | 5 | 67 | 1 | +4.0 |
| J.Jennings79% | 5 | 22% | 4 | 41 | 1 | +3.6 |
| G.Kittle86% | 4 | 17% | 4 | 32 | +2.8 | |
| K.Juszczyk67% | 2 | 9% | 1 | 12 | -0.1 | |
| K.Bourne73% | 2 | 9% | 2 | 34 | +2.5 | |
| D.Robinson33% | 1 | 4% | 0 | 0 | -0.8 | |
| L.Farrell32% | 1 | 4% | 1 | 9 | +1.3 | |
| S.Moore12% | 1 | 4% | 1 | 21 | +2.1 | |
| J.Watkins12% | 1 | 4% | 1 | 19 | +2.3 |
Defense C.Ferrell 1 sack, S.Okuayinonu 1 sack · Kicking E.Pineiro 2/2 FG (long 54)
Giants
| Passing | C/A | Yds | TD | INT | Sk | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.Dart100% | 24/33 | 191 | 2 | 2 | +1.7 |
| Rushing | Car | Share | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.Singletary56% | 8 | 38% | 43 | +1.5 | |
| J.Dart100% | 8 | 38% | 56 | 1 | +7.0 |
| T.Jr.44% | 5 | 24% | 18 | -0.6 |
| Receiving | Tgt | Share | Rec | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W.Robinson100% | 11 | 34% | 9 | 46 | -0.7 | |
| D.Slayton89% | 7 | 22% | 5 | 62 | +1.6 | |
| T.Johnson86% | 6 | 19% | 3 | 27 | 1 | +0.4 |
| T.Jr.44% | 4 | 13% | 3 | 19 | +1.2 | |
| D.Singletary56% | 2 | 6% | 2 | 8 | -1.5 | |
| R.McCloud | 1 | 3% | 1 | 5 | +0.2 | |
| G.Olszewski7% | 1 | 3% | 1 | 24 | 1 | +3.1 |
Defense R.Nunez-Roches 1 sack, B.Burns 1 sack · Kicking G.Gano 1/2 FG (long 22)
Each player's line for this game from nflverse's weekly stats; the percentage beside his name is his share of the offense's snaps. Share is his part of the team's carries or targets in this game. Defense lists sacks and interceptions; kicking lists field goals.
Backs catch passes
49ers give up 35 yards a game to running backs (23rd), against a league average of 32. Giants' running backs produce 38 (5th).
Deep middle is open
49ers are worst against deep middle throws, allowing +1.29 EPA per attempt. Giants send 3% of their throws there. That is a small part of their offense so far.
Field goals, not touchdowns
Giants score a touchdown on 51% of red zone trips (25th). 49ers allow 59% (20th).
Success rate
Call this one even. Giants succeed on 42% of plays (27th) against a defense that allows 49% (30th).
The 49ers lead the series 8–7 since 1999 (they first met in 2002). They have won the last 3. This game is the latest meeting.
The last 5
| 2025 · Wk 9 | SF 34 at NYG 24 |
| 2023 · Wk 3 | NYG 12 at SF 30 |
| 2020 · Wk 3 | SF 36 at NYG 9 |
| 2018 · Wk 10 | NYG 27 at SF 23 |
| 2017 · Wk 10 | NYG 21 at SF 31 |
2025 records
| 49ers | Giants | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12–5 | 4–13 |
| Division | 4–2 | 2–4 |
| Conference | 9–3 | 2–10 |
| Other conference | 3–2 | 2–3 |
| Home | 5–3 | 3–5 |
| Away | 7–2 | 1–8 |
| Last 5 | WWWWL | LLLWW |
| Streak | Lost 1 | Won 2 |
| Points a game | 25.7 – 21.8 | 22.4 – 25.8 |
Every meeting since 1999, regular season and playoffs, from nflverse's game list, which starts in 1999; the all-time series goes back further. Franchises that moved count as one team (the Raiders, Chargers and Rams). Home and away are from the 49ers' side. Records are this regular season.
| Stat | NYG off | Favors NYG · Favors SF | SF def allows | NFL avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | ||||
| EPA per play | +0.01#16 | +0.07#24 | +0.01 | |
| Success rate | 42%#27 | 49%#30 | 44% | |
| Yards per play | 5.3#18 | 5.6#21 | 5.4 | |
| Explosive play rate | 10%#10 | 8%#4 | 10% | |
| Passing | ||||
| Pass EPA per dropback | -0.01#19 | +0.11#25 | +0.01 | |
| Sack rate | 8%#24 | 4%#32 | 7% | |
| Running | ||||
| Run EPA per carry | -0.03#10 | -0.02#23 | -0.05 | |
| Yards per carry | 4.0#22 | 4.4#22 | 4.3 | |
| Money downs | ||||
| 3rd down conversion | 40%#16 | 41%#18 | 40% | |
| Red zone TD rate | 51%#25 | 59%#20 | 59% | |
| Targets by position | ||||
| WR yards per game | 130#21 | 144#19 | 140 | |
| TE yards per game | 48#21 | 53#17 | 53 | |
| TE targets per game | 6.0#24 | 8.1#23 | 7.3 | |
| RB receiving yards per game | 38#5 | 35#23 | 32 | |
Giants: EPA per throw
49ers: EPA allowed per throw
Green gains more than expected, red loses value. Cells with fewer than 5 throws are grayed out.