2026
2026 season · QB · #18 · 3rd season
Caleb Williams
Age 24 · 6'1" · 226 lb · USC; Oklahoma · Pick 1 overall (2024). Listed QB1 on the 3WR 1TE depth chart. Snap share 97% across 4 games.
- How goodWilliams's +39.3 EPA is 12th of 38 quarterbacks.
- Where it comes fromThe biggest share comes after the catch (+78.9, 96th percentile per dropback).
- Fantasy20.9 standard points a game, QB3 of 34.20.9 half-PPR points a game, QB3 of 34.20.9 PPR points a game, QB3 of 34.
- How he's usedPlay action is a staple: 34% of his attempts come off a fake (league 21%).
- LatelyDropbacks are steady: 35 a game over his last three against 34 for the season.
- This weekA tough matchup: the Seahawks rank 3rd vs the pass, allowing -0.14 EPA per dropback.
How good is hehis line against the league at his position
| Stat | Value | Rank | League | Pctl |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPA per dropback | +0.31 | 2nd of 38 | 96th | |
| CPOEcompletion over expected | +8.3 | 2nd of 38 | 96th | |
| Sack rateper dropback, lower is better | 9% | 32nd of 38 | 17th | |
| Yards per attempt | 8.2 | 6th of 38 | 86th | |
| TD rateper attempt | 4% | 24th of 38 | 38th | |
| INT rateper attempt, lower is better | 1% | 5th of 38 | 88th |
| Stat | Value | Rank | League | Pctl |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Depth of targetair yards per attempt | 7.0 | 31st of 38 | 20th | |
| Rush EPA per game | -0.61 | 31st of 38 | 20th | |
| Success rate | 51% | 5th of 38 | 88th | |
| ANY/A | 7.30 | 12th of 38 | 70th | |
| Total EPA | +39.3 | 12th of 38 | 70th |
How this is measured
Each bar is the league at his position; the marker is him. Right is better, the dashed line is the median. Ranks are out of the qualifying pool, ties shown as T-, and move every week as the pool changes.
Williams scores 20.9 standard points a game, QB3 of 34 QBs with enough games. Most weeks land between 13.0 and 28.2; 1 boom week (25+) and 1 bust (under 12). This week the Seahawks allow the 2nd-fewest standard points to QBs, 10.4 a game.
Williams scores 20.9 half-PPR points a game, QB3 of 34 QBs with enough games. Most weeks land between 13.0 and 28.2; 1 boom week (25+) and 1 bust (under 12). This week the Seahawks allow the 2nd-fewest half-PPR points to QBs, 10.4 a game.
Williams scores 20.9 PPR points a game, QB3 of 34 QBs with enough games. Most weeks land between 13.0 and 28.2; 1 boom week (25+) and 1 bust (under 12). This week the Seahawks allow the 2nd-fewest PPR points to QBs, 10.4 a game.
How this is measured
Fantasy points are nflverse's standard and full-PPR scoring (6 points for a rushing or receiving touchdown, 4 for a passing touchdown, minus 2 for an interception or a lost fumble); half PPR is the average of the two. Ranks are points a game among players at his position with at least half the most games played. Most weeks is his 20th to 80th percentile game. Bars are green on a boom week and red on a bust; the dashed line is the starter line, the points a game of the QB12 in a 12-team league. The format you pick is remembered on this device.
How he's usedhis fingerprint, where the ball finds him and when
Play action is a staple: 34% of his attempts come off a fake (league 21%). He works under center more than most: 69% of his dropbacks come from the gun (league 79%). He runs when it breaks down: 9% of his dropbacks end in a scramble (league 4%).
How this is measured
Every trait is a share of his own dropbacks, so volume does not move it. The marker is him among the league's qualifying quarterbacks; the dashed line is the median. Styles are not grades: a high or low percentile is a description, not a verdict. Play action, screen, RPO, motion and blitz flags come from FTN charting and read low in a week it has not published.
Williams's +39.3 EPA is 12th of 38 quarterbacks. The biggest share comes after the catch (+78.9, 96th percentile per dropback). His incompletions rank in the 93rd percentile (-27.8). Runs cost him more than most (-13.0, 4th percentile).
career 0.00 over 2024–2025 · the best of his 3 seasons so far
How this is measured
Every dropback and run this season, split by what happened. Completions divide at the catch: the yards in the air, and his credited share of what came after (nflverse's air EPA and QB EPA). Per dropback counts scrambles as dropbacks. The percentile is him among the qualifying quarterbacks, higher is better, so a cost smaller than most ranks high. The parts add up to the totals above; the career strip counts seasons with at least 50 attempts.
He throws behind right 1.5× as often as the league (14% of his attempts against 9%) and gains +0.42 EPA a throw there.
How this is measured
Every pass attempt with a charted depth and direction this season; sacks and throws with no charted direction are left out. Left and right are as the offense sees the field. Cells with fewer than three throws show no EPA.
On the field
By depth of target
Who he works withthe connection, and the rest of the huddle
By depth
Week by weekthe shape of his season, the game log and the defenses behind it
The game
at SeahawksLumen Field
SEA −3 · O/U 46.5
His history
First meeting this season
His status
A tough matchup: the Seahawks rank 3rd vs the pass, allowing -0.14 EPA per dropback. He has averaged 138 yards a game against top-10 defenses this season.
| Wk | Opponent | Defense | Snap | Cmp/Att | Yds | TD | INT | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at CAR W 59-3716th D | 16th vs the pass | 100% | 21/29 | 269 | 2 | +18.6 | |
| 2 | vs MIN L 3-91st D | 1st vs the pass | 86% | 15/26 | 138 | 1 | -1.0 | |
| 3 | vs PHI W 27-7Did not play · Out (hamstring) | |||||||
| 4 | vs NYJ W 23-12Did not play · Out (hamstring) | |||||||
| 5 | at GB L 7-31Did not play · Questionable (hamstring) | |||||||
| 6 | at ATL W 31-2314th D | 14th vs the pass | 100% | 30/36 | 305 | 1 | +10.6 | |
| 7 | vs NE W 30-2422nd D | 22nd vs the pass | 100% | 22/33 | 308 | 2 | +13.6 | |
| 8 | at SEAMon Nov 2 · this week | |||||||
| 9 | vs TBSun Nov 8 | |||||||
| 10 | Bye week | |||||||
| 11 | vs NOSun Nov 22 | |||||||
| 12 | at DETThu Nov 26 | |||||||
| 13 | vs JAXSun Dec 6 | |||||||
| 14 | at MIASun Dec 13 | |||||||
| 15 | at BUFSat Dec 19 | |||||||
| 16 | vs GBFri Dec 25 | |||||||
| 17 | vs DETSun Jan 3 | |||||||
| 18 | at MINSun Jan 10 | |||||||
| 4 games | 97% | 88/124 | 1020 | 5 | 1 | +41.7 |
| Wk | Opponent | Defense | EPA/DB | CPOE | aDOT | Sk | Sk % | Rush EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at CAR W 59-3716th D | 16th vs the pass | +0.60 | +16.6 | 11.0 | 2 | 6% | +3.4 |
| 2 | vs MIN L 3-91st D | 1st vs the pass | -0.04 | -5.6 | 4.5 | 3 | 10% | +3.0 |
| 3 | vs PHI W 27-7Did not play · Out (hamstring) | |||||||
| 4 | vs NYJ W 23-12Did not play · Out (hamstring) | |||||||
| 5 | at GB L 7-31Did not play · Questionable (hamstring) | |||||||
| 6 | at ATL W 31-2314th D | 14th vs the pass | +0.27 | +15.3 | 3.9 | 4 | 10% | -7.8 |
| 7 | vs NE W 30-2422nd D | 22nd vs the pass | +0.38 | +6.7 | 8.7 | 3 | 8% | -1.0 |
| 8 | at SEAMon Nov 2 · this week | |||||||
| 9 | vs TBSun Nov 8 | |||||||
| 10 | Bye week | |||||||
| 11 | vs NOSun Nov 22 | |||||||
| 12 | at DETThu Nov 26 | |||||||
| 13 | vs JAXSun Dec 6 | |||||||
| 14 | at MIASun Dec 13 | |||||||
| 15 | at BUFSat Dec 19 | |||||||
| 16 | vs GBFri Dec 25 | |||||||
| 17 | vs DETSun Jan 3 | |||||||
| 18 | at MINSun Jan 10 | |||||||
| 4 games | +0.31 | +8.3 | 7.0 | 12 | 9% | -2.4 |
| Wk | Opponent | Defense | Cmp | Att | Pct | Yds | Y/A | TD | INT | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at CAR W 59-3716th D | 16th vs the pass | 21 | 29 | 72% | 269 | 9.3 | 2 | 124.1 | |
| 2 | vs MIN L 3-91st D | 1st vs the pass | 15 | 26 | 58% | 138 | 5.3 | 1 | 56.2 | |
| 3 | vs PHI W 27-7Did not play · Out (hamstring) | |||||||||
| 4 | vs NYJ W 23-12Did not play · Out (hamstring) | |||||||||
| 5 | at GB L 7-31Did not play · Questionable (hamstring) | |||||||||
| 6 | at ATL W 31-2314th D | 14th vs the pass | 30 | 36 | 83% | 305 | 8.5 | 1 | 111.2 | |
| 7 | vs NE W 30-2422nd D | 22nd vs the pass | 22 | 33 | 67% | 308 | 9.3 | 2 | 116.7 | |
| 8 | at SEAMon Nov 2 · this week | |||||||||
| 9 | vs TBSun Nov 8 | |||||||||
| 10 | Bye week | |||||||||
| 11 | vs NOSun Nov 22 | |||||||||
| 12 | at DETThu Nov 26 | |||||||||
| 13 | vs JAXSun Dec 6 | |||||||||
| 14 | at MIASun Dec 13 | |||||||||
| 15 | at BUFSat Dec 19 | |||||||||
| 16 | vs GBFri Dec 25 | |||||||||
| 17 | vs DETSun Jan 3 | |||||||||
| 18 | at MINSun Jan 10 | |||||||||
| 4 games | 88 | 124 | 71% | 1020 | 8.2 | 5 | 1 | 105.6 |
Dropbacks are steady: 35 a game over his last three against 34 for the season. At or above a starter's median in yards in 3 of 4 games. Week 7 was his season high in yards.
How this is measured
Bars are his week. The shaded band is the league's middle half at his position, every qualifying player-game this season, and the dashed line is its median. The solid line is his trailing three games. An × on the baseline is a game his team played without him; a dotted tick is the bye.
He has faced the 3rd-toughest slate vs the pass: his opponents rank 13.3 of 32 on average (league middle 16.6). Ahead: 5 of his next 10 are top-10 vs the pass and 5 are bottom-10, starting with the Seahawks (3rd, away) in Week 8.
The slate · played solid, ahead dashed
His line by defense faced
| Defenses | G | Att/g | Yds/g | EPA/db |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ranked 1 to 10Top-10 defenses | 1 | 26.0 | 138 | -0.04 |
| 11 to 22Middle | 3 | 32.7 | 294 | +0.40 |
| 23 to 32Bottom-10 | – | – | – | – |
| All games | 4 | 31.0 | 255 | +0.31 |
Yards against the rank of the defense
How this is measured
His yards climb as the defense gets softer (r = 0.93): the schedule has been doing some of the work.
Careerseason by season, back to his rookie year
His best year was 2025, 3,942 passing yards in 17 games. This season's 255.0 a game puts him on pace for 4,335 over 17, a career high.
| Season | Team | G | Cmp/Att | Pct | Yds | TD | INT | Y/A | Rating | EPA/db |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | CHI | 17 | 351/562 | 62% | 3,541 | 20 | 6 | 6.3 | 87.8 | -0.08 |
| 2025 | CHI | 17 | 330/568 | 58% | 3,942 | 27 | 7 | 6.9 | 90.1 | +0.07 |
| 2026 | CHI | 4 | 88/124 | 71% | 1,020 | 5 | 1 | 8.2 | 105.6 | +0.31 |
| Career | 1 tm | 38 | 769/1,254 | 61% | 8,503 | 52 | 14 | 6.8 | 90.6 | +0.03 |
How this is measured
Regular season only, from nflverse weekly stats back to 1999. This season is partial and drawn hollow; the pace is his per-game rate over 17 games. Bold cells are career highs.
Intel & playsthe report, his best snaps, his teammates
- Depth chart
- QB1 · 3WR 1TE
- Injury report
- clean
- Red zone touches
- …
- Third down
- …
- Explosive plays
- …
- CPOE
- +8.3 pts over expected
- Sack rate
- 9%
- Play action
- …
- Blitzed
- …
| Player | Touches | Yds | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|
 D'Andre SwiftRB | 141 | 628 · 7 TD | -3.1 |
 Kyle MonangaiRB | 65 | 363 · 3 TD | +6.3 |
 Luther Burden IIIWR | 55 | 520 · 2 TD | +13.0 |
 Colston LovelandTE | 42 | 244 · 2 TD | -1.7 |
 Rome OdunzeWR | 38 | 381 | +16.5 |
 Roschon JohnsonRB | 34 | 161 · 1 TD | -2.1 |
 Kalif RaymondWR | 32 | 242 · 1 TD | +14.0 |
 Cole KmetTE | 14 | 87 · 1 TD | +6.0 |