2026
2026 season · WR · #14 · 4th season
Michael Wilson
Age 26 · 6'2" · 213 lb · Stanford · Pick 94 overall (2023). Listed WR1 on the 3WR 1TE depth chart. Snap share 89% across 8 games.
- How goodWilson's -0.7 EPA is 82nd of 100 wide receivers.
- Where it comes fromThe biggest share comes in the air (+23.4, 36th percentile per target).
- Fantasy8.0 standard points a game, WR32 of 171.10.8 half-PPR points a game, WR25 of 171.13.6 PPR points a game, WR24 of 171.
- How he's usedHe lives outside the numbers: only 10% of his targets come over the middle (league 21%).
- LatelyTargets are steady: 10 a game over his last three against 10.1 for the season.
- This weekA tough matchup: the Seahawks rank 3rd vs WR, allowing +0.03 EPA per target to wide receivers.
How good is hehis line against the league at his position
| Stat | Value | Rank | League | Pctl |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target shareof team targets | 26% | 15th of 100 | 86th | |
| Depth of targetair yards per target | 11.4 | 52nd of 100 | 49th | |
| After the catchyards per reception | 2.3 | 89th of 100 | 12th | |
| Catch ratereceptions per target | 56% | 72nd of 100 | 28th | |
| EPA per target | -0.01 | 80th of 100 | 21st |
| Stat | Value | Rank | League | Pctl |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| First downsper target | 37% | 54th of 100 | 47th | |
| Drop ratedrops per target, lower is better | 0% | 1st of 100 | 89th | |
| Yards per game | 60.8 | 24th of 100 | 77th | |
| Success rate | 48% | 64th of 100 | 36th | |
| Total EPA | -0.7 | 82nd of 100 | 18th |
How this is measured
Each bar is the league at his position; the marker is him. Right is better, the dashed line is the median. Ranks are out of the qualifying pool, ties shown as T-, and move every week as the pool changes.
Wilson scores 8.0 standard points a game, WR32 of 171 WRs with enough games. Most weeks land between 3.2 and 12.7; 2 boom weeks (12+) and 3 busts (under 5). This week the Seahawks allow the 1st-fewest standard points to WRs, 14.3 a game.
Wilson scores 10.8 half-PPR points a game, WR25 of 171 WRs with enough games. Most weeks land between 5.2 and 17.4; 2 boom weeks (16+) and 3 busts (under 6.5). This week the Seahawks allow the 1st-fewest half-PPR points to WRs, 19.0 a game.
Wilson scores 13.6 PPR points a game, WR24 of 171 WRs with enough games. Most weeks land between 7.2 and 22.1; 2 boom weeks (20+) and 3 busts (under 8). This week the Seahawks allow the 1st-fewest PPR points to WRs, 23.8 a game.
How this is measured
Fantasy points are nflverse's standard and full-PPR scoring (6 points for a rushing or receiving touchdown, 4 for a passing touchdown, minus 2 for an interception or a lost fumble); half PPR is the average of the two. Ranks are points a game among players at his position with at least half the most games played. Most weeks is his 20th to 80th percentile game. Bars are green on a boom week and red on a bust; the dashed line is the starter line, the points a game of the WR24 in a 12-team league. The format you pick is remembered on this device.
How he's usedhis fingerprint, where the ball finds him and when
He lives outside the numbers: only 10% of his targets come over the middle (league 21%). He wins before the catch rather than after it: 22% of his yards come after the catch (league 30%). His share of the team's targets is 26%: on third down it holds at 25%; inside the 20 it holds at 26%.
How this is measured
Every trait is a share of his own targets, so volume does not move it. The marker is him among the league's qualifying wide receivers; the dashed line is the median. Styles are not grades: a high or low percentile is a description, not a verdict. Play action, screen, RPO, motion and blitz flags come from FTN charting and read low in a week it has not published.
Wilson's -0.7 EPA is 82nd of 100 wide receivers. The biggest share comes in the air (+23.4, 36th percentile per target). Interceptions cost him more than most (-17.3, 20th percentile).
career +0.22 over 2023–2025 · the lowest of his 4 seasons
How this is measured
Every target this season, split by what happened. Catches divide at the catch: the yards in the air and what came after. The percentile is him among the qualifying wide receivers, higher is better, so a cost smaller than most ranks high. The parts add up to the totals above; the career strip counts seasons with at least 15 targets.
He is targeted intermediate right 2.9× as often as the league (21% of his targets against 7%) and gains +0.53 EPA a target there.
How this is measured
Every target with a charted depth and direction this season; sacks and throws with no charted direction are left out. Left and right are as the offense sees the field. Cells with fewer than three targets show no EPA.
On the field
By depth of target
Who he works withthe connection, and the rest of the huddle
By depth
Week by weekthe shape of his season, the game log and the defenses behind it
The game
Lumen Field
SEA −11.5 · O/U 44.5
His history
Week 2 vs SEA: 2 catches, 18 yards
His status
A tough matchup: the Seahawks rank 3rd vs WR, allowing +0.03 EPA per target to wide receivers. He has averaged 50 yards a game against top-10 defenses this season, and he went 2 catches, 18 yards against them in Week 2.
| Wk | Opponent | Defense | Snap | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at LAC W 26-1414th D | 14th vs WR | 85% | 7 | 5 | 56 | +1.9 | |
| 2 | vs SEA L 7-313rd D | 3rd vs WR | 94% | 7 | 2 | 18 | -5.0 | |
| 3 | at SF L 30-3617th D | 17th vs WR | 93% | 17 | 11 | 89 | 1 | +5.9 |
| 4 | at NYG L 24-367th D | 7th vs WR | 94% | 13 | 7 | 95 | -9.4 | |
| 5 | vs DET L 21-4524th D | 24th vs WR | 84% | 7 | 4 | 30 | -0.5 | |
| 6 | at LA W 18-166th D | 6th vs WR | 92% | 7 | 4 | 32 | +0.4 | |
| 7 | vs DEN L 16-305th D | 5th vs WR | 90% | 8 | 4 | 55 | +0.2 | |
| 8 | at DAL W 33-3027th D | 27th vs WR | 79% | 15 | 8 | 111 | 1 | +5.8 |
| 9 | at SEASun Nov 8 · this week | |||||||
| 10 | vs LASun Nov 15 | |||||||
| 11 | at KCSun Nov 22 | |||||||
| 12 | vs WASSun Nov 29 | |||||||
| 13 | vs PHISun Dec 6 | |||||||
| 14 | Bye week | |||||||
| 15 | vs NYJSun Dec 20 | |||||||
| 16 | at NOSun Dec 27 | |||||||
| 17 | vs LVSun Jan 3 | |||||||
| 18 | vs SFSun Jan 10 | |||||||
| 8 games | 89% | 81 | 45 | 486 | 2 | -0.7 |
| Wk | Opponent | Defense | Tgt share | Air share | aDOT | YAC | EPA/tgt | 1D | Drops |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at LAC W 26-1414th D | 14th vs WR | 19% | 29% | 11.9 | 3 | +0.28 | 3 | |
| 2 | vs SEA L 7-313rd D | 3rd vs WR | 27% | 46% | 7.1 | 11 | -0.71 | 1 | |
| 3 | at SF L 30-3617th D | 17th vs WR | 34% | 51% | 9.5 | 28 | +0.35 | 7 | |
| 4 | at NYG L 24-367th D | 7th vs WR | 37% | 53% | 9.5 | 26 | -0.72 | 6 | |
| 5 | vs DET L 21-4524th D | 24th vs WR | 15% | 21% | 14.4 | 3 | -0.07 | 2 | |
| 6 | at LA W 18-166th D | 6th vs WR | 21% | 46% | 12.3 | 23 | +0.06 | 2 | |
| 7 | vs DEN L 16-305th D | 5th vs WR | 18% | 24% | 9.5 | 1 | +0.02 | 4 | |
| 8 | at DAL W 33-3027th D | 27th vs WR | 37% | 60% | 16.0 | 10 | +0.38 | 5 | |
| 9 | at SEASun Nov 8 · this week | ||||||||
| 10 | vs LASun Nov 15 | ||||||||
| 11 | at KCSun Nov 22 | ||||||||
| 12 | vs WASSun Nov 29 | ||||||||
| 13 | vs PHISun Dec 6 | ||||||||
| 14 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 15 | vs NYJSun Dec 20 | ||||||||
| 16 | at NOSun Dec 27 | ||||||||
| 17 | vs LVSun Jan 3 | ||||||||
| 18 | vs SFSun Jan 10 | ||||||||
| 8 games | 26% | 41% | 11.4 | 105 | -0.01 | 30 |
| Wk | Opponent | Defense | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | 20+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at LAC W 26-1414th D | 14th vs WR | 5 | 56 | 11.2 | ||
| 2 | vs SEA L 7-313rd D | 3rd vs WR | 2 | 18 | 9.0 | ||
| 3 | at SF L 30-3617th D | 17th vs WR | 11 | 89 | 8.1 | 1 | |
| 4 | at NYG L 24-367th D | 7th vs WR | 7 | 95 | 13.6 | 2 | |
| 5 | vs DET L 21-4524th D | 24th vs WR | 4 | 30 | 7.5 | ||
| 6 | at LA W 18-166th D | 6th vs WR | 4 | 32 | 8.0 | ||
| 7 | vs DEN L 16-305th D | 5th vs WR | 4 | 55 | 13.8 | ||
| 8 | at DAL W 33-3027th D | 27th vs WR | 8 | 111 | 13.9 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | at SEASun Nov 8 · this week | ||||||
| 10 | vs LASun Nov 15 | ||||||
| 11 | at KCSun Nov 22 | ||||||
| 12 | vs WASSun Nov 29 | ||||||
| 13 | vs PHISun Dec 6 | ||||||
| 14 | Bye week | ||||||
| 15 | vs NYJSun Dec 20 | ||||||
| 16 | at NOSun Dec 27 | ||||||
| 17 | vs LVSun Jan 3 | ||||||
| 18 | vs SFSun Jan 10 | ||||||
| 8 games | 45 | 486 | 10.8 | 2 | 5 |
Targets are steady: 10 a game over his last three against 10.1 for the season. 8 straight games above a starter's median in targets. Week 8 was his season high in yards.
How this is measured
Bars are his week. The shaded band is the league's middle half at his position, every qualifying player-game this season, and the dashed line is its median. The solid line is his trailing three games. An × on the baseline is a game his team played without him; a dotted tick is the bye.
He has faced the 3rd-toughest slate vs WR: his opponents rank 12.9 of 32 on average (league middle 16.4). Ahead: 3 of his next 9 are top-10 vs WR and 1 is bottom-10, starting with the Seahawks (3rd, away) in Week 9.
The slate · played solid, ahead dashed
His line by defense faced
| Defenses | G | Tgt/g | Yds/g | EPA/tgt |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ranked 1 to 10Top-10 defenses | 4 | 8.8 | 50 | -0.39 |
| 11 to 22Middle | 2 | 12.0 | 73 | +0.33 |
| 23 to 32Bottom-10 | 2 | 11.0 | 71 | +0.24 |
| All games | 8 | 10.1 | 61 | -0.01 |
Yards against the rank of the defense
How this is measured
His yards climb as the defense gets softer (r = 0.43): the schedule has been doing some of the work.
Careerseason by season, back to his rookie year
His best year was 2025, 1,006 receiving yards in 17 games. This season's 60.8 a game puts him on pace for 1,033 over 17, a career high.
| Season | Team | G | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | Y/R | Yds/g | EPA/tgt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | ARI | 13 | 58 | 38 | 565 | 3 | 14.9 | 43.5 | +0.33 |
| 2024 | ARI | 16 | 71 | 47 | 548 | 4 | 11.7 | 34.3 | +0.14 |
| 2025 | ARI | 17 | 126 | 78 | 1,006 | 7 | 12.9 | 59.2 | +0.20 |
| 2026 | ARI | 8 | 81 | 45 | 486 | 2 | 10.8 | 60.8 | -0.01 |
| Career | 1 tm | 54 | 336 | 208 | 2,605 | 16 | 12.5 | 48.2 | +0.16 |
How this is measured
Regular season only, from nflverse weekly stats back to 1999. This season is partial and drawn hollow; the pace is his per-game rate over 17 games. Bold cells are career highs.
Intel & playsthe report, his best snaps, his teammates
- Depth chart
- WR1 · 3WR 1TE
- Injury report
- Ribs, limited participation in practice
- Red zone touches
- …
- Third down
- …
- Explosive plays
- …
- Drops
- 0 on 81 targets
- Broken tackles
- 0
- Passer rating when targeted
- 57.0
- Play action
- …
- Contested
- …
| Player | Touches | Yds | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|
| 94 | 451 · 3 TD | -3.9 | |
| 90 | 304 · 2 TD | -12.9 | |
| 86 | 544 · 5 TD | +25.2 | |
| 38 | 263 | +6.8 | |
| 37 | 211 | -8.2 | |
| 30 | 94 · 1 TD | +16.2 | |
| 18 | 151 · 1 TD | +2.7 | |
| 17 | 81 | -3.6 |