2025
Week 15 · Sunday 1:00 PM ET · Lincoln Financial Field
vs
Raiders offensevsEagles defense
Season numbers through Week 22: 17 games for Raiders, 18 for Eagles. Ranks are out of 32; #1 is the best offense or the stingiest defense.
The Eagles won 31–0 and were favored the whole way, never below 82%. The biggest single swing came at Q1 13:32, 4 points for the Eagles.
The plays that swung it
- 1Q1 13:32PHIJ.Hurts pass incomplete deep right to A.Brown. PENALTY on LV-E.Stokes, Defensive Pass Interference, 20 yards, enforced at PHI 40 - No Play.84% → 88%
- 2Q1 13:27PHIS.Barkley left tackle to LV 34 for 6 yards (A.Butler).88% → 91%
- 3Q1 14:54LVS.Barkley right end to PHI 34 for 1 yard (C.Snowden; D.White).15% → 18%
- 4Q2 12:53LVJ.Elliott 27 yard field goal is GOOD6% → 9%
- 5Q2 11:59PHIA.Cole punts 41 yards to PHI 25, out of bounds.92% → 95%
Win probability is nflverse's model, which starts from the betting line and updates before every snap with the score, the clock, down, distance, field position and timeouts. A swing is the change in one team's chance across a play, in percentage points. The turning point is the play after which the winner never fell to 50% again.
D.Laube led the Raiders at +0.2 EPA (2 carries for 4). J.Hurts led the Eagles at +18.9 EPA (12 of 15 for 175).
Raiders
| Passing | C/A | Yds | TD | INT | Sk | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K.Pickett100% | 15/25 | 64 | 1 | 4 | -16.7 |
| Rushing | Car | Share | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.Jeanty71% | 9 | 69% | 35 | -0.8 | |
| K.Pickett100% | 2 | 15% | 7 | +0.2 | |
| D.Laube5% | 2 | 15% | 4 | +0.2 |
| Receiving | Tgt | Share | Rec | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B.Bowers90% | 8 | 32% | 6 | 28 | -4.2 | |
| A.Jeanty71% | 6 | 24% | 4 | 7 | -3.2 | |
| T.Lockett76% | 4 | 16% | 2 | 10 | -3.0 | |
| T.Tucker93% | 3 | 12% | 0 | 0 | -1.6 | |
| J.Bech81% | 3 | 12% | 2 | 17 | -0.5 | |
| R.Mostert24% | 1 | 4% | 1 | 2 | -0.5 |
Defense M.Crosby 1 sack
Eagles
| Passing | C/A | Yds | TD | INT | Sk | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.Hurts75% | 12/15 | 175 | 3 | 1 | +12.8 | |
| T.McKee25% | 3/3 | 33 | +3.7 |
| Rushing | Car | Share | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S.Barkley57% | 22 | 47% | 78 | 1 | -2.9 |
| T.Bigsby39% | 17 | 36% | 57 | -5.3 | |
| J.Hurts75% | 7 | 15% | 39 | +6.1 | |
| T.McKee25% | 1 | 2% | 9 | +1.9 |
| Receiving | Tgt | Share | Rec | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.Goedert74% | 7 | 39% | 6 | 70 | 2 | +5.1 |
| S.Barkley57% | 3 | 17% | 2 | 14 | +0.1 | |
| A.Brown72% | 2 | 11% | 2 | 41 | 1 | +5.9 |
| D.Smith52% | 2 | 11% | 2 | 50 | +4.7 | |
| D.Cooper30% | 2 | 11% | 2 | 29 | +2.5 | |
| G.Calcaterra54% | 1 | 6% | 1 | 4 | +1.2 | |
| T.Bigsby39% | 1 | 6% | 0 | 0 | -1.3 |
Defense B.Graham 2 sacks, Z.Baun 1 INT, M.Ojomo 1 sack, N.Smith 1 sack · Kicking J.Elliott 1/1 FG (long 27)
Each player's line for this game from nflverse's weekly stats; the percentage beside his name is his share of the offense's snaps. Share is his part of the team's carries or targets in this game. Defense lists sacks and interceptions; kicking lists field goals.
Backs catch passes
Eagles give up 41 yards a game to running backs (28th), against a league average of 32. Raiders' running backs produce 27 (21st).
Deep middle is open
Eagles are worst against deep middle throws, allowing +0.93 EPA per attempt. Raiders send 2% of their throws there. That is a small part of their offense so far.
Nowhere to run
Raiders' run game is 32nd in EPA per carry (-0.30). Eagles allow -0.10 (6th).
Explosive play rate
Call this one even. Raiders create explosive plays on 7% of snaps (31st). Eagles give them up at 9% (18th).
The Eagles lead the series 4–3 since 1999 (they first met in 2001). This game is the latest meeting.
The last 5
| 2025 · Wk 15 | LV 0 at PHI 31 |
| 2021 · Wk 7 | PHI 22 at LV 33 |
| 2017 · Wk 16 | LV 10 at PHI 19 |
| 2013 · Wk 9 | PHI 49 at LV 20 |
| 2009 · Wk 6 | PHI 9 at LV 13 |
2025 records
| Raiders | Eagles | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 3–14 | 11–6 |
| Division | 1–5 | 3–3 |
| Conference | 3–9 | 8–4 |
| Other conference | 0–5 | 3–2 |
| Home | 2–7 | 5–3 |
| Away | 1–7 | 6–3 |
| Last 5 | LLLLW | LWWWL |
| Streak | Won 1 | Lost 1 |
| Points a game | 14.2 – 25.4 | 22.3 – 19.1 |
Every meeting since 1999, regular season and playoffs, from nflverse's game list, which starts in 1999; the all-time series goes back further. Franchises that moved count as one team (the Raiders, Chargers and Rams). Home and away are from the Raiders' side. Records are this regular season.
| Stat | LV off | Favors LV · Favors PHI | PHI def allows | NFL avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | ||||
| EPA per play | -0.22#32 | -0.07#9 | +0.01 | |
| Success rate | 38%#30 | 42%#10 | 44% | |
| Yards per play | 4.4#31 | 5.1#10 | 5.4 | |
| Explosive play rate | 7%#31 | 9%#18 | 10% | |
| Passing | ||||
| Pass EPA per dropback | -0.19#29 | -0.11#8 | +0.01 | |
| Sack rate | 11%#32 | 7%#14 | 7% | |
| Running | ||||
| Run EPA per carry | -0.30#32 | -0.10#6 | -0.05 | |
| Yards per carry | 3.5#32 | 4.1#12 | 4.3 | |
| Money downs | ||||
| 3rd down conversion | 35%#28 | 43%#23 | 40% | |
| Red zone TD rate | 49%#28 | 55%#9 | 59% | |
| Targets by position | ||||
| WR yards per game | 100#30 | 138#17 | 140 | |
| TE yards per game | 68#5 | 29#2 | 53 | |
| TE targets per game | 9.2#3 | 6.2#6 | 7.3 | |
| RB receiving yards per game | 27#21 | 41#28 | 32 | |
Raiders: EPA per throw
Eagles: EPA allowed per throw
Green gains more than expected, red loses value. Cells with fewer than 5 throws are grayed out.