2025
Week 18 · Sunday 1:00 PM ET · MetLife Stadium
vs
Giants offensevsCowboys defense
Season numbers through Week 22: 17 games for Giants, 17 for Cowboys. Ranks are out of 32; #1 is the best offense or the stingiest defense.
The Giants won 34–17 from as low as 19% (Q2 5:03, down 10–9). The Cowboys had been 60% favorites at kickoff. The game turned for good at Q2 0:31: J.Dart pass short left to D.Bellinger for 29 yards, TOUCHDOWN [J.Houston] (37% → 63%).
The plays that swung it
- 1Q2 0:31NYGJ.Dart pass short left to D.Bellinger for 29 yards, TOUCHDOWN [J.Houston].turning point37% → 63%
- 2Q1 1:17DALJ.Gillan kicks 60 yards from NYG 35 to DAL 5. K.Turpin to NYG 11 for 84 yards (A.Green).55% → 67%
- 3Q4 14:10NYGJ.Dart pass incomplete deep right to I.Hodgins (C.Carson) [S.Thomas]. PENALTY on DAL-C.Carson, Defensive Pass Interference, 33 yards, enforced at…72% → 82%
- 4Q1 10:06NYGD.Prescott FUMBLES (Aborted) at DAL 29, RECOVERED by NYG-B.Okereke at DAL 28.36% → 47%
- 5Q3 1:52DALJ.Milton left end pushed ob at NYG 24 for 23 yards (R.Payton).11% → 20%
Win probability is nflverse's model, which starts from the betting line and updates before every snap with the score, the clock, down, distance, field position and timeouts. A swing is the change in one team's chance across a play, in percentage points. The turning point is the play after which the winner never fell to 50% again.
R.Flournoy led the Cowboys at +3.9 EPA (5 catches for 68). J.Dart led the Giants at +14.8 EPA (22 of 32 for 230).
Cowboys
| Passing | C/A | Yds | TD | INT | Sk | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.III49% | 7/13 | 73 | 1 | -5.2 | ||
| D.Prescott51% | 7/11 | 70 | -1.0 |
| Rushing | Car | Share | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.Blue60% | 16 | 53% | 64 | 1 | -1.2 |
| P.Mafah18% | 5 | 17% | 18 | 1 | +1.1 |
| J.III49% | 4 | 13% | 43 | +3.3 | |
| D.Prescott51% | 2 | 7% | -1 | -5.5 | |
| H.Luepke24% | 2 | 7% | 12 | +1.3 | |
| K.Turpin16% | 1 | 3% | 7 | +0.4 |
| Receiving | Tgt | Share | Rec | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R.Flournoy87% | 7 | 30% | 5 | 68 | +3.9 | |
| G.Pickens45% | 3 | 13% | 1 | 9 | -3.8 | |
| B.Spann-Ford31% | 3 | 13% | 2 | 30 | -2.6 | |
| J.Ferguson60% | 2 | 9% | 1 | 5 | -0.5 | |
| P.Mafah18% | 2 | 9% | 2 | 11 | -0.1 | |
| C.Lamb45% | 1 | 4% | 1 | 4 | +0.4 | |
| J.Tolbert38% | 1 | 4% | 0 | 0 | -1.0 | |
| K.Turpin16% | 1 | 4% | 0 | 0 | -0.6 | |
| L.Schoonmaker29% | 1 | 4% | 1 | 12 | +0.7 | |
| H.Luepke24% | 1 | 4% | 1 | 4 | -1.0 | |
| J.Mingo44% | 1 | 4% | 0 | 0 | -1.2 |
Defense J.Clowney 3 sacks, O.Odighizuwa 0.5 sacks, S.James 0.5 sacks · Kicking B.Aubrey 1/2 FG (long 22)
Giants
| Passing | C/A | Yds | TD | INT | Sk | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.Dart100% | 22/32 | 230 | 2 | 4 | +13.8 | |
| G.Olszewski84% | 0/1 | 0 | -0.8 |
| Rushing | Car | Share | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.Jr.69% | 18 | 56% | 103 | +1.1 | |
| D.Singletary32% | 9 | 28% | 26 | 1 | -1.0 |
| J.Dart100% | 5 | 16% | 32 | +1.1 |
| Receiving | Tgt | Share | Rec | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.Slayton87% | 9 | 28% | 4 | 34 | +2.7 | |
| G.Olszewski84% | 9 | 28% | 8 | 102 | +6.6 | |
| T.Jr.69% | 9 | 28% | 8 | 56 | 1 | -0.4 |
| I.Hodgins96% | 2 | 6% | 0 | 0 | -2.2 | |
| D.Bellinger92% | 2 | 6% | 2 | 38 | 1 | +5.7 |
| C.Manhertz31% | 1 | 3% | 0 | 0 | -0.8 |
Defense B.Okereke 1 INT · Kicking B.Sauls 4/4 FG (long 45)
Each player's line for this game from nflverse's weekly stats; the percentage beside his name is his share of the offense's snaps. Share is his part of the team's carries or targets in this game. Defense lists sacks and interceptions; kicking lists field goals.
Backs catch passes
Cowboys give up 43 yards a game to running backs (31st), against a league average of 32. Giants' running backs produce 38 (5th).
Deep middle is open
Cowboys are worst against deep middle throws, allowing +1.41 EPA per attempt. Giants send 3% of their throws there. That is a small part of their offense so far.
Tight ends go quiet
Cowboys give up 6.8 targets a game to tight ends (12th), against a league average of 7.3. Giants' tight ends produce 6.0 (24th).
Success rate
Call this one even. Giants succeed on 42% of plays (27th) against a defense that allows 49% (32nd).
The Cowboys lead the series 32–24 since 1999. The Giants have won the last 2. Sep 13, 2026, at MetLife Stadium: the Giants won 28–20. Jaxson Dart started at quarterback for the Giants and Dak Prescott for the Cowboys; John Harbaugh and Brian Schottenheimer coached.
The last 5
| 2026 · Wk 1 | DAL 20 at NYG 28 |
| 2025 · Wk 18 | DAL 17 at NYG 34 |
| 2025 · Wk 2 · OT | NYG 37 at DAL 40 |
| 2024 · Wk 13 | NYG 20 at DAL 27 |
| 2024 · Wk 4 | DAL 20 at NYG 15 |
2025 records
| Cowboys | Giants | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7–9–1 | 4–13 |
| Division | 4–2 | 2–4 |
| Conference | 4–7–1 | 2–10 |
| Other conference | 3–2 | 2–3 |
| Home | 4–3–1 | 3–5 |
| Away | 3–6 | 1–8 |
| Last 5 | LLLWL | LLLWW |
| Streak | Lost 1 | Won 2 |
| Points a game | 27.7 – 30.1 | 22.4 – 25.8 |
Every meeting since 1999, regular season and playoffs, from nflverse's game list, which starts in 1999; the all-time series goes back further. Franchises that moved count as one team (the Raiders, Chargers and Rams). Home and away are from the Cowboys' side. Records are this regular season.
| Stat | NYG off | Favors NYG · Favors DAL | DAL def allows | NFL avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | ||||
| EPA per play | +0.01#16 | +0.17#32 | +0.01 | |
| Success rate | 42%#27 | 49%#32 | 44% | |
| Yards per play | 5.3#18 | 6.3#31 | 5.4 | |
| Explosive play rate | 10%#10 | 12%#31 | 10% | |
| Passing | ||||
| Pass EPA per dropback | -0.01#19 | +0.22#31 | +0.01 | |
| Sack rate | 8%#24 | 6%#24 | 7% | |
| Running | ||||
| Run EPA per carry | -0.03#10 | +0.05#30 | -0.05 | |
| Yards per carry | 4.0#22 | 4.7#27 | 4.3 | |
| Money downs | ||||
| 3rd down conversion | 40%#16 | 48%#32 | 40% | |
| Red zone TD rate | 51%#25 | 67%#29 | 59% | |
| Targets by position | ||||
| WR yards per game | 130#21 | 171#32 | 140 | |
| TE yards per game | 48#21 | 52#15 | 53 | |
| TE targets per game | 6.0#24 | 6.8#12 | 7.3 | |
| RB receiving yards per game | 38#5 | 43#31 | 32 | |
Giants: EPA per throw
Cowboys: EPA allowed per throw
Green gains more than expected, red loses value. Cells with fewer than 5 throws are grayed out.