2025
Week 2 · Sunday 1:00 PM ET · AT&T Stadium
vs
Cowboys offensevsGiants defense
Season numbers through Week 22: 17 games for Cowboys, 17 for Giants. Ranks are out of 32; #1 is the best offense or the stingiest defense.
The Cowboys won 40–37 from as low as 19% (Q4 0:14, down 37–34). Tied 37–37 after regulation, they won it in overtime at OT 0:04: B.Aubrey 46 yard field goal is GOOD. The biggest single swing came at Q4 0:33, 59 points for the Giants.
The plays that swung it
- 1Q4 0:33NYGR.Wilson pass deep right to M.Nabers for 48 yards, TOUCHDOWN.14% → 73%
- 2Q4 2:50NYGR.Wilson pass deep right to W.Robinson for 32 yards, TOUCHDOWN.24% → 62%
- 3Q4 0:05DALB.Aubrey 64 yard field goal is GOOD28% → 50%
- 4Q4 2:06DALD.Prescott pass short middle to J.Tolbert to DAL 47 for 11 yards (A.Phillips). Penalty on NYG-A.Phillips, Defensive Pass Interference, declined.28% → 48%
- 5Q4 1:34DALD.Prescott pass short middle to G.Pickens to NYG 34 for 14 yards (P.Adebo).38% → 55%
Win probability is nflverse's model, which starts from the betting line and updates before every snap with the score, the clock, down, distance, field position and timeouts. A swing is the change in one team's chance across a play, in percentage points. The turning point is the play after which the winner never fell to 50% again. The model does not hold together under the current overtime rules, so the chart covers regulation and overtime shows its scoring plays.
R.Wilson led the Giants at +17.4 EPA (30 of 41 for 450). D.Prescott led the Cowboys at +8.8 EPA (38 of 52 for 361).
Giants
| Passing | C/A | Yds | TD | INT | Sk | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R.Wilson96% | 30/41 | 450 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +17.1 |
| Rushing | Car | Share | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.Skattebo52% | 11 | 52% | 45 | 1 | -0.4 |
| T.Jr.42% | 5 | 24% | 15 | -1.4 | |
| R.Wilson96% | 3 | 14% | 23 | +0.4 | |
| D.Singletary6% | 1 | 5% | 4 | -0.3 | |
| J.Dart4% | 1 | 5% | -3 | -1.0 |
| Receiving | Tgt | Share | Rec | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M.Nabers99% | 13 | 33% | 9 | 167 | 2 | +10.7 |
| W.Robinson70% | 10 | 25% | 8 | 142 | 1 | +10.5 |
| T.Jr.42% | 5 | 13% | 4 | 36 | +0.1 | |
| T.Johnson84% | 5 | 13% | 4 | 34 | +1.6 | |
| D.Slayton99% | 3 | 8% | 2 | 61 | +3.4 | |
| C.Skattebo52% | 3 | 8% | 2 | 14 | -2.3 | |
| D.Singletary6% | 1 | 3% | 1 | -4 | -0.8 |
Defense A.Phillips 1 INT, B.Burns 1 sack, E.Garcia 1 sack, K.Thibodeaux 1 sack · Kicking G.Gano 3/3 FG (long 38)
Cowboys
| Passing | C/A | Yds | TD | INT | Sk | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.Prescott100% | 38/52 | 361 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +10.1 |
| Rushing | Car | Share | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.Williams72% | 18 | 64% | 97 | 1 | +2.0 |
| M.Sanders22% | 5 | 18% | 15 | 1 | +0.2 |
| D.Prescott100% | 3 | 11% | 17 | -1.3 | |
| K.Turpin16% | 2 | 7% | 6 | +0.1 |
| Receiving | Tgt | Share | Rec | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.Ferguson73% | 12 | 23% | 9 | 78 | +0.6 | |
| C.Lamb92% | 11 | 21% | 9 | 112 | +6.0 | |
| G.Pickens89% | 9 | 17% | 5 | 68 | 1 | +4.6 |
| J.Williams72% | 7 | 13% | 6 | 33 | -0.9 | |
| J.Tolbert65% | 4 | 8% | 2 | 16 | -0.8 | |
| K.Turpin16% | 4 | 8% | 4 | 47 | 1 | +7.4 |
| M.Sanders22% | 2 | 4% | 2 | 4 | -1.0 | |
| L.Schoonmaker29% | 2 | 4% | 0 | 0 | -0.8 | |
| B.Spann-Ford12% | 1 | 2% | 1 | 3 | -0.3 |
Defense D.Wilson 1 INT, K.Clark 1 sack, J.Houston 1 sack · Kicking B.Aubrey 4/4 FG (long 64)
Each player's line for this game from nflverse's weekly stats; the percentage beside his name is his share of the offense's snaps. Share is his part of the team's carries or targets in this game. Defense lists sacks and interceptions; kicking lists field goals.
Ground game edge
Cowboys average 4.6 yards per carry (6th). Giants allow 5.4 (32nd).
Deep left is open
Giants are worst against deep left throws, allowing +0.69 EPA per attempt. Cowboys send 7% of their throws there. That is a small part of their offense so far.
Checkdowns go nowhere
Giants give up 31 yards a game to running backs (19th), against a league average of 32. Cowboys' running backs produce 18 (32nd).
Explosive play rate
Call this one even. Cowboys create explosive plays on 9% of snaps (17th). Giants give them up at 12% (32nd).
The Cowboys lead the series 32–24 since 1999. The Giants have won the last 2. Sep 13, 2026, at MetLife Stadium: the Giants won 28–20. Jaxson Dart started at quarterback for the Giants and Dak Prescott for the Cowboys; John Harbaugh and Brian Schottenheimer coached.
The last 5
| 2026 · Wk 1 | DAL 20 at NYG 28 |
| 2025 · Wk 18 | DAL 17 at NYG 34 |
| 2025 · Wk 2 · OT | NYG 37 at DAL 40 |
| 2024 · Wk 13 | NYG 20 at DAL 27 |
| 2024 · Wk 4 | DAL 20 at NYG 15 |
2025 records
| Giants | Cowboys | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4–13 | 7–9–1 |
| Division | 2–4 | 4–2 |
| Conference | 2–10 | 4–7–1 |
| Other conference | 2–3 | 3–2 |
| Home | 3–5 | 4–3–1 |
| Away | 1–8 | 3–6 |
| Last 5 | LLLWW | LLLWL |
| Streak | Won 2 | Lost 1 |
| Points a game | 22.4 – 25.8 | 27.7 – 30.1 |
Every meeting since 1999, regular season and playoffs, from nflverse's game list, which starts in 1999; the all-time series goes back further. Franchises that moved count as one team (the Raiders, Chargers and Rams). Home and away are from the Giants' side. Records are this regular season.
| Stat | DAL off | Favors DAL · Favors NYG | NYG def allows | NFL avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | ||||
| EPA per play | +0.10#4 | +0.08#25 | +0.01 | |
| Success rate | 47%#5 | 47%#26 | 44% | |
| Yards per play | 6.1#2 | 6.0#29 | 5.4 | |
| Explosive play rate | 9%#17 | 12%#32 | 10% | |
| Passing | ||||
| Pass EPA per dropback | +0.16#6 | +0.02#16 | +0.01 | |
| Sack rate | 5%#6 | 7%#17 | 7% | |
| Running | ||||
| Run EPA per carry | 0.00#8 | +0.13#32 | -0.05 | |
| Yards per carry | 4.6#6 | 5.4#32 | 4.3 | |
| Money downs | ||||
| 3rd down conversion | 43%#8 | 40%#14 | 40% | |
| Red zone TD rate | 58%#18 | 63%#23 | 59% | |
| Targets by position | ||||
| WR yards per game | 212#1 | 152#23 | 140 | |
| TE yards per game | 48#20 | 47#10 | 53 | |
| TE targets per game | 8.1#10 | 6.7#9 | 7.3 | |
| RB receiving yards per game | 18#32 | 31#19 | 32 | |
Cowboys: EPA per throw
Giants: EPA allowed per throw
Green gains more than expected, red loses value. Cells with fewer than 5 throws are grayed out.