2025
Week 2 · Sunday 1:00 PM ET · Nissan Stadium
vs
Rams offensevsTitans defense
Season numbers through Week 22: 20 games for Rams, 17 for Titans. Ranks are out of 32; #1 is the best offense or the stingiest defense.
The Rams won 33–19 and were favored the whole way, never below 51%. The biggest single swing came at Q3 3:37, 12 points for the Titans.
The plays that swung it
- 1Q3 3:37TENJ.Slye 57 yard field goal is GOOD37% → 49%
- 2Q2 0:49TENC.Ward pass short left to E.Ayomanor for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN [J.Stewart].20% → 30%
- 3Q3 12:52LAM.Stafford pass deep left to D.Adams to TEN 19 for 26 yards (L.Sneed). Penalty on TEN-L.Sneed, Defensive Holding, declined.59% → 70%
- 4Q4 11:15TENC.Ward sacked at TEN 21 for -8 yards (B.Young). FUMBLES (B.Young) [B.Young], touched at TEN 19, RECOVERED by LA-N.Landman at TEN 21.78% → 87%
- 5Q3 1:21LAM.Stafford pass short right to D.Allen pushed ob at TEN 1 for 7 yards (J.Brownlee). Los Angeles Rams challenged the short of the goal line ruling,…68% → 78%
Win probability is nflverse's model, which starts from the betting line and updates before every snap with the score, the clock, down, distance, field position and timeouts. A swing is the change in one team's chance across a play, in percentage points. Each play is tagged with the team that had the ball; the bar names the team it helped. The turning point is the play after which the winner never fell to 50% again.
P.Nacua led the Rams at +12.5 EPA (8 catches for 91). E.Ayomanor led the Titans at +7.3 EPA (4 catches for 56).
Rams
| Passing | C/A | Yds | TD | INT | Sk | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M.Stafford100% | 23/33 | 298 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +9.8 |
| Rushing | Car | Share | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K.Williams70% | 17 | 68% | 66 | -1.4 | |
| B.Corum30% | 5 | 20% | 44 | 1 | +5.0 |
| M.Stafford100% | 2 | 8% | -6 | -3.4 | |
| P.Nacua69% | 1 | 4% | 45 | 1 | +6.2 |
| Receiving | Tgt | Share | Rec | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.Adams80% | 13 | 41% | 6 | 106 | 1 | +3.0 |
| P.Nacua69% | 9 | 28% | 8 | 91 | +6.2 | |
| T.Higbee75% | 4 | 13% | 4 | 37 | +2.0 | |
| K.Williams70% | 2 | 6% | 2 | 14 | -0.5 | |
| J.Whittington64% | 2 | 6% | 2 | 42 | +1.8 | |
| T.Atwell43% | 1 | 3% | 0 | 0 | -2.2 | |
| D.Allen41% | 1 | 3% | 1 | 8 | 1 | +1.6 |
Defense B.Young 2 sacks, K.Curl 1 sack, K.Turner 1 sack, J.Stewart 1 sack · Kicking J.Karty 2/2 FG (long 21)
Titans
| Passing | C/A | Yds | TD | INT | Sk | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.Ward100% | 19/33 | 175 | 1 | 5 | -6.7 |
| Rushing | Car | Share | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.Pollard89% | 20 | 77% | 92 | -0.8 | |
| C.Ward100% | 4 | 15% | 8 | -0.1 | |
| C.Dike42% | 2 | 8% | 9 | -0.3 |
| Receiving | Tgt | Share | Rec | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.Ridley86% | 6 | 19% | 3 | 57 | +1.7 | |
| C.Okonkwo76% | 6 | 19% | 4 | 35 | +0.5 | |
| E.Ayomanor73% | 6 | 19% | 4 | 56 | 1 | +7.3 |
| C.Dike42% | 5 | 16% | 2 | -1 | -3.3 | |
| T.Lockett48% | 3 | 10% | 2 | 9 | -0.7 | |
| V.Jefferson26% | 2 | 6% | 2 | 10 | +1.3 | |
| G.Helm33% | 2 | 6% | 2 | 9 | -0.3 | |
| T.Pollard89% | 1 | 3% | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
Defense C.Barton 1 INT, A.Hooker 1 sack · Kicking J.Slye 4/4 FG (long 57)
Each player's line for this game from nflverse's weekly stats; the percentage beside his name is his share of the offense's snaps. Share is his part of the team's carries or targets in this game. Defense lists sacks and interceptions; kicking lists field goals.
Throw it
Rams gain +0.22 EPA per dropback (2nd). Titans allow +0.17 (29th).
Deep middle is open
Titans are worst against deep middle throws, allowing +1.30 EPA per attempt. Rams send 4% of their throws there. That is a small part of their offense so far.
Checkdowns go nowhere
Titans give up 27 yards a game to running backs (7th), against a league average of 32. Rams' running backs produce 21 (30th).
Explosive play rate
Call this one even. Rams create explosive plays on 12% of snaps (6th). Titans give them up at 11% (22nd).
The series is even at 4–4 since 1999. This game is the latest meeting.
The last 5
| 2025 · Wk 2 | LA 33 at TEN 19 |
| 2021 · Wk 9 | TEN 28 at LA 16 |
| 2017 · Wk 16 | LA 27 at TEN 23 |
| 2013 · Wk 9 | TEN 28 at LA 21 |
| 2009 · Wk 14 | LA 7 at TEN 47 |
2025 records
| Rams | Titans | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12–5 | 3–14 |
| Division | 4–2 | 0–6 |
| Conference | 7–5 | 2–10 |
| Other conference | 5–0 | 1–4 |
| Home | 7–1 | 1–8 |
| Away | 5–4 | 2–6 |
| Last 5 | WWLLW | WLWLL |
| Streak | Won 1 | Lost 2 |
| Points a game | 30.5 – 20.4 | 16.7 – 28.1 |
Every meeting since 1999, regular season and playoffs, from nflverse's game list, which starts in 1999; the all-time series goes back further. Franchises that moved count as one team (the Raiders, Chargers and Rams). Home and away are from the Rams' side. Records are this regular season.
| Stat | LA off | Favors LA · Favors TEN | TEN def allows | NFL avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | ||||
| EPA per play | +0.14#1 | +0.10#28 | +0.01 | |
| Success rate | 51%#1 | 45%#22 | 44% | |
| Yards per play | 6.3#1 | 6.0#28 | 5.4 | |
| Explosive play rate | 12%#6 | 11%#22 | 10% | |
| Passing | ||||
| Pass EPA per dropback | +0.22#2 | +0.17#29 | +0.01 | |
| Sack rate | 4%#3 | 8%#9 | 7% | |
| Running | ||||
| Run EPA per carry | +0.04#4 | -0.02#22 | -0.05 | |
| Yards per carry | 4.9#2 | 4.2#18 | 4.3 | |
| Money downs | ||||
| 3rd down conversion | 39%#21 | 42%#19 | 40% | |
| Red zone TD rate | 65%#7 | 67%#31 | 59% | |
| Targets by position | ||||
| WR yards per game | 192#2 | 166#28 | 140 | |
| TE yards per game | 69#4 | 56#21 | 53 | |
| TE targets per game | 8.8#6 | 7.1#15 | 7.3 | |
| RB receiving yards per game | 21#30 | 27#7 | 32 | |
Rams: EPA per throw
Titans: EPA allowed per throw
Green gains more than expected, red loses value. Cells with fewer than 5 throws are grayed out.