2025
Week 2 · Sunday 1:00 PM ET · Nissan Stadium
vs
Titans offensevsRams defense
Season numbers through Week 22: 17 games for Titans, 20 for Rams. Ranks are out of 32; #1 is the best offense or the stingiest defense.
The Rams won 33–19 and were favored the whole way, never below 51%. The biggest single swing came at Q3 3:37, 12 points for the Titans.
The plays that swung it
- 1Q3 3:37TENJ.Slye 57 yard field goal is GOOD37% → 49%
- 2Q2 0:49TENC.Ward pass short left to E.Ayomanor for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN [J.Stewart].20% → 30%
- 3Q3 12:52LAM.Stafford pass deep left to D.Adams to TEN 19 for 26 yards (L.Sneed). Penalty on TEN-L.Sneed, Defensive Holding, declined.59% → 70%
- 4Q4 11:15LAC.Ward sacked at TEN 21 for -8 yards (B.Young). FUMBLES (B.Young) [B.Young], touched at TEN 19, RECOVERED by LA-N.Landman at TEN 21.78% → 87%
- 5Q3 1:21LAM.Stafford pass short right to D.Allen pushed ob at TEN 1 for 7 yards (J.Brownlee). Los Angeles Rams challenged the short of the goal line ruling,…68% → 78%
Win probability is nflverse's model, which starts from the betting line and updates before every snap with the score, the clock, down, distance, field position and timeouts. A swing is the change in one team's chance across a play, in percentage points. The turning point is the play after which the winner never fell to 50% again.
P.Nacua led the Rams at +12.5 EPA (8 catches for 91). E.Ayomanor led the Titans at +7.3 EPA (4 catches for 56).
Rams
| Passing | C/A | Yds | TD | INT | Sk | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M.Stafford100% | 23/33 | 298 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +9.8 |
| Rushing | Car | Share | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K.Williams70% | 17 | 68% | 66 | -1.4 | |
| B.Corum30% | 5 | 20% | 44 | 1 | +5.0 |
| M.Stafford100% | 2 | 8% | -6 | -3.4 | |
| P.Nacua69% | 1 | 4% | 45 | 1 | +6.2 |
| Receiving | Tgt | Share | Rec | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.Adams80% | 13 | 41% | 6 | 106 | 1 | +3.0 |
| P.Nacua69% | 9 | 28% | 8 | 91 | +6.2 | |
| T.Higbee75% | 4 | 13% | 4 | 37 | +2.0 | |
| K.Williams70% | 2 | 6% | 2 | 14 | -0.5 | |
| J.Whittington64% | 2 | 6% | 2 | 42 | +1.8 | |
| T.Atwell43% | 1 | 3% | 0 | 0 | -2.2 | |
| D.Allen41% | 1 | 3% | 1 | 8 | 1 | +1.6 |
Defense B.Young 2 sacks, K.Curl 1 sack, K.Turner 1 sack, J.Stewart 1 sack · Kicking J.Karty 2/2 FG (long 21)
Titans
| Passing | C/A | Yds | TD | INT | Sk | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.Ward100% | 19/33 | 175 | 1 | 5 | -6.7 |
| Rushing | Car | Share | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.Pollard89% | 20 | 77% | 92 | -0.8 | |
| C.Ward100% | 4 | 15% | 8 | -0.1 | |
| C.Dike42% | 2 | 8% | 9 | -0.3 |
| Receiving | Tgt | Share | Rec | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.Ridley86% | 6 | 19% | 3 | 57 | +1.7 | |
| C.Okonkwo76% | 6 | 19% | 4 | 35 | +0.5 | |
| E.Ayomanor73% | 6 | 19% | 4 | 56 | 1 | +7.3 |
| C.Dike42% | 5 | 16% | 2 | -1 | -3.3 | |
| T.Lockett48% | 3 | 10% | 2 | 9 | -0.7 | |
| V.Jefferson26% | 2 | 6% | 2 | 10 | +1.3 | |
| G.Helm33% | 2 | 6% | 2 | 9 | -0.3 | |
| T.Pollard89% | 1 | 3% | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
Defense C.Barton 1 INT, A.Hooker 1 sack · Kicking J.Slye 4/4 FG (long 57)
Each player's line for this game from nflverse's weekly stats; the percentage beside his name is his share of the offense's snaps. Share is his part of the team's carries or targets in this game. Defense lists sacks and interceptions; kicking lists field goals.
Tight ends feast
Rams give up 7.5 targets a game to tight ends (19th), against a league average of 7.3. Titans' tight ends produce 8.2 (8th).
Deep middle is open
Rams are worst against deep middle throws, allowing +0.60 EPA per attempt. Titans send 4% of their throws there. That is a small part of their offense so far.
Third downs favor Rams
Titans convert 33% of third downs (32nd). Rams allow 38% (10th).
Yards per play
Call this one even. Titans gain 4.4 yards per play (30th). Rams give up 5.3 (14th), with the league at 5.4.
The series is even at 4–4 since 1999. This game is the latest meeting.
The last 5
| 2025 · Wk 2 | LA 33 at TEN 19 |
| 2021 · Wk 9 | TEN 28 at LA 16 |
| 2017 · Wk 16 | LA 27 at TEN 23 |
| 2013 · Wk 9 | TEN 28 at LA 21 |
| 2009 · Wk 14 | LA 7 at TEN 47 |
2025 records
| Rams | Titans | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12–5 | 3–14 |
| Division | 4–2 | 0–6 |
| Conference | 7–5 | 2–10 |
| Other conference | 5–0 | 1–4 |
| Home | 7–1 | 1–8 |
| Away | 5–4 | 2–6 |
| Last 5 | WWLLW | WLWLL |
| Streak | Won 1 | Lost 2 |
| Points a game | 30.5 – 20.4 | 16.7 – 28.1 |
Every meeting since 1999, regular season and playoffs, from nflverse's game list, which starts in 1999; the all-time series goes back further. Franchises that moved count as one team (the Raiders, Chargers and Rams). Home and away are from the Rams' side. Records are this regular season.
| Stat | TEN off | Favors TEN · Favors LA | LA def allows | NFL avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | ||||
| EPA per play | -0.16#30 | -0.05#11 | +0.01 | |
| Success rate | 37%#31 | 43%#12 | 44% | |
| Yards per play | 4.4#30 | 5.3#14 | 5.4 | |
| Explosive play rate | 8%#26 | 8%#9 | 10% | |
| Passing | ||||
| Pass EPA per dropback | -0.22#31 | -0.05#11 | +0.01 | |
| Sack rate | 9%#26 | 7%#15 | 7% | |
| Running | ||||
| Run EPA per carry | -0.09#26 | -0.09#7 | -0.05 | |
| Yards per carry | 4.1#19 | 4.0#11 | 4.3 | |
| Money downs | ||||
| 3rd down conversion | 33%#32 | 38%#10 | 40% | |
| Red zone TD rate | 59%#14 | 57%#13 | 59% | |
| Targets by position | ||||
| WR yards per game | 107#27 | 159#25 | 140 | |
| TE yards per game | 56#13 | 45#7 | 53 | |
| TE targets per game | 8.2#8 | 7.5#19 | 7.3 | |
| RB receiving yards per game | 28#19 | 39#26 | 32 | |
Titans: EPA per throw
Rams: EPA allowed per throw
Green gains more than expected, red loses value. Cells with fewer than 5 throws are grayed out.