2025
Week 5 · Sunday 1:00 PM ET · Mercedes-Benz Superdome
vs
Giants offensevsSaints defense
Season numbers through Week 22: 17 games for Giants, 17 for Saints. Ranks are out of 32; #1 is the best offense or the stingiest defense.
The Saints won 26–14 from as low as 19% (Q2 12:17, down 14–3). The game turned for good at Q3 11:01: J.Dart sacked at NO 46 for -3 yards. FUMBLES, RECOVERED by NO-C.Jordan at NO 46 (50% → 69%). The biggest single swing came at Q4 15:00, 38 points for the Saints.
The plays that swung it
- 1Q4 15:00NOC.Skattebo up the middle to NO 13 for -1 yards (B.Bresee). FUMBLES (B.Bresee), RECOVERED by NO-J.Howden at NO 14. J.Howden for 86 yards, TOUCHDOWN.53% → 91%
- 2Q2 1:13NOJ.Dart pass short right to D.Slayton to NO 35 for 9 yards (D.Davis). FUMBLES (D.Davis), RECOVERED by NO-J.Sanker at NO 32. J.Sanker pushed ob at…34% → 58%
- 3Q3 11:01NOJ.Dart sacked at NO 46 for -3 yards. FUMBLES, RECOVERED by NO-C.Jordan at NO 46.turning point50% → 69%
- 4Q2 5:27NOS.Rattler pass deep right to R.Shaheed for 87 yards, TOUCHDOWN.26% → 40%
- 5Q2 1:30NYGB.Grupe 52 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left50% → 63%
Win probability is nflverse's model, which starts from the betting line and updates before every snap with the score, the clock, down, distance, field position and timeouts. A swing is the change in one team's chance across a play, in percentage points. The turning point is the play after which the winner never fell to 50% again.
D.Bellinger led the Giants at +5.4 EPA (4 catches for 52). R.Shaheed led the Saints at +10.3 EPA (4 catches for 114).
Giants
| Passing | C/A | Yds | TD | INT | Sk | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.Dart100% | 26/40 | 202 | 2 | 2 | 1 | -12.7 |
| Rushing | Car | Share | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.Skattebo68% | 15 | 52% | 59 | -12.6 | |
| J.Dart100% | 7 | 24% | 55 | +6.5 | |
| D.Singletary32% | 6 | 21% | 20 | +1.6 | |
| W.Robinson95% | 1 | 3% | 2 | +2.6 |
| Receiving | Tgt | Share | Rec | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W.Robinson95% | 7 | 18% | 5 | 30 | -4.0 | |
| T.Johnson82% | 7 | 18% | 6 | 33 | 2 | +1.9 |
| C.Skattebo68% | 7 | 18% | 6 | 45 | +0.7 | |
| D.Slayton75% | 6 | 15% | 3 | 31 | -6.9 | |
| D.Bellinger52% | 4 | 10% | 4 | 52 | +5.4 | |
| J.Hyatt47% | 3 | 8% | 0 | 0 | -1.6 | |
| B.Collins38% | 3 | 8% | 1 | 7 | -6.1 | |
| D.Singletary32% | 2 | 5% | 1 | 4 | -1.7 |
Defense no sacks or interceptions
Saints
| Passing | C/A | Yds | TD | INT | Sk | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S.Rattler94% | 21/31 | 225 | 1 | +7.5 | ||
| T.Hill14% | 1/1 | 19 | +1.8 |
| Rushing | Car | Share | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K.Miller39% | 10 | 33% | 41 | -1.1 | |
| A.Kamara56% | 8 | 27% | 27 | -1.8 | |
| T.Hill14% | 6 | 20% | -1 | -3.5 | |
| S.Rattler94% | 6 | 20% | 21 | +0.1 |
| Receiving | Tgt | Share | Rec | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.Olave73% | 11 | 35% | 7 | 59 | +0.3 | |
| A.Kamara56% | 6 | 19% | 4 | 28 | -1.2 | |
| R.Shaheed67% | 5 | 16% | 4 | 114 | 1 | +10.3 |
| J.Johnson85% | 4 | 13% | 2 | 17 | -0.6 | |
| D.Vele38% | 2 | 6% | 2 | 13 | +1.5 | |
| B.Cooks45% | 1 | 3% | 1 | 5 | +0.2 | |
| K.Miller39% | 1 | 3% | 1 | 8 | +0.0 | |
| S.Rattler94% | 1 | 3% | 1 | 0 | -1.5 |
Defense K.McKinstry 2 INT · Kicking B.Grupe 4/6 FG (long 53)
Each player's line for this game from nflverse's weekly stats; the percentage beside his name is his share of the offense's snaps. Share is his part of the team's carries or targets in this game. Defense lists sacks and interceptions; kicking lists field goals.
Backs catch passes
Saints give up 24 yards a game to running backs (3rd), against a league average of 32. Giants' running backs produce 38 (5th).
Deep middle is open
Saints are worst against deep middle throws, allowing +1.24 EPA per attempt. Giants send 3% of their throws there. That is a small part of their offense so far.
Pressure problem
Giants take a sack on 8% of dropbacks (24th). Saints get home on 8% (7th). League average is 7%.
EPA per play
Call this one even. Giants average +0.01 EPA per play (16th). Saints allow -0.06 (10th). League average is +0.01.
The Saints lead the series 10–6 since 1999. They have won the last 4. Oct 18, 2026, at MetLife Stadium: the Saints won 34–27. Jameis Winston started at quarterback for the Giants and Tyler Shough for the Saints; John Harbaugh and Kellen Moore coached.
The last 5
| 2026 · Wk 6 | NO 34 at NYG 27 |
| 2025 · Wk 5 | NYG 14 at NO 26 |
| 2024 · Wk 14 | NO 14 at NYG 11 |
| 2023 · Wk 15 | NYG 6 at NO 24 |
| 2021 · Wk 4 · OT | NYG 27 at NO 21 |
2025 records
| Giants | Saints | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4–13 | 6–11 |
| Division | 2–4 | 3–3 |
| Conference | 2–10 | 4–8 |
| Other conference | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| Home | 3–5 | 3–5 |
| Away | 1–8 | 3–6 |
| Last 5 | LLLWW | WWWWL |
| Streak | Won 2 | Lost 1 |
| Points a game | 22.4 – 25.8 | 18.0 – 22.5 |
Every meeting since 1999, regular season and playoffs, from nflverse's game list, which starts in 1999; the all-time series goes back further. Franchises that moved count as one team (the Raiders, Chargers and Rams). Home and away are from the Giants' side. Records are this regular season.
| Stat | NYG off | Favors NYG · Favors NO | NO def allows | NFL avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | ||||
| EPA per play | +0.01#16 | -0.06#10 | +0.01 | |
| Success rate | 42%#27 | 42%#7 | 44% | |
| Yards per play | 5.3#18 | 5.0#7 | 5.4 | |
| Explosive play rate | 10%#10 | 9%#16 | 10% | |
| Passing | ||||
| Pass EPA per dropback | -0.01#19 | -0.05#12 | +0.01 | |
| Sack rate | 8%#24 | 8%#7 | 7% | |
| Running | ||||
| Run EPA per carry | -0.03#10 | -0.12#4 | -0.05 | |
| Yards per carry | 4.0#22 | 3.9#9 | 4.3 | |
| Money downs | ||||
| 3rd down conversion | 40%#16 | 36%#4 | 40% | |
| Red zone TD rate | 51%#25 | 55%#11 | 59% | |
| Targets by position | ||||
| WR yards per game | 130#21 | 122#6 | 140 | |
| TE yards per game | 48#21 | 51#13 | 53 | |
| TE targets per game | 6.0#24 | 7.4#17 | 7.3 | |
| RB receiving yards per game | 38#5 | 24#3 | 32 | |
Giants: EPA per throw
Saints: EPA allowed per throw
Green gains more than expected, red loses value. Cells with fewer than 5 throws are grayed out.