DOWN X DOWN › week 5 › Giants at Saints
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Week 5 · Sunday 1:00 PM ET · Mercedes-Benz Superdome

NOvsNYG

Saints offensevsGiants defense

Season numbers through Week 22: 17 games for Saints, 17 for Giants. Ranks are out of 32; #1 is the best offense or the stingiest defense.

NYG offenseNO offense
How it played out · win probability, snap by snapFinal · NYG 14 · NO 26

The Saints won 26–14 from as low as 19% (Q2 12:17, down 14⁠–⁠3). The game turned for good at Q3 11:01: J.Dart sacked at NO 46 for -3 yards. FUMBLES, RECOVERED by NO-C.Jordan at NO 46 (50% → 69%). The biggest single swing came at Q4 15:00, 38 points for the Saints.

At kickoffNO 54%NO by 1.5 on the line
NO low point19%Q2 12:17 · down 14⁠–⁠3
Swings past 50%6times the favorite changed
Biggest swing38 ptsNO · Q4 15:00
NO wins50%NYG wins
Q1Q2Q3Q4

The plays that swung it

  1. 1Q4 15:00NYGC.Skattebo up the middle to NO 13 for -1 yards (B.Bresee). FUMBLES (B.Bresee), RECOVERED by NO-J.Howden at NO 14. J.Howden for 86 yards, TOUCHDOWN.53% → 91%+38 NO
  2. 2Q2 1:13NYGJ.Dart pass short right to D.Slayton to NO 35 for 9 yards (D.Davis). FUMBLES (D.Davis), RECOVERED by NO-J.Sanker at NO 32. J.Sanker pushed ob at…34% → 58%+24 NO
  3. 3Q3 11:01NYGJ.Dart sacked at NO 46 for -3 yards. FUMBLES, RECOVERED by NO-C.Jordan at NO 46.turning point50% → 69%+19 NO
  4. 4Q2 5:27NOS.Rattler pass deep right to R.Shaheed for 87 yards, TOUCHDOWN.26% → 40%+14 NO
  5. 5Q2 1:30NOB.Grupe 52 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left50% → 63%+13 NYG

Win probability is nflverse's model, which starts from the betting line and updates before every snap with the score, the clock, down, distance, field position and timeouts. A swing is the change in one team's chance across a play, in percentage points. Each play is tagged with the team that had the ball; the bar names the team it helped. The turning point is the play after which the winner never fell to 50% again.

Box score · every offensive player who touched the ballWeek 5

D.Bellinger led the Giants at +5.4 EPA (4 catches for 52). R.Shaheed led the Saints at +10.3 EPA (4 catches for 114).

NYG Giants

PassingC/AYdsTDINTSkEPA
J.Dart100%26/40202221-12.7
RushingCarShareYdsTDEPA
C.Skattebo68%1552%59-12.6
J.Dart100%724%55+6.5
D.Singletary32%621%20+1.6
W.Robinson95%13%2+2.6
ReceivingTgtShareRecYdsTDEPA
W.Robinson95%718%530-4.0
T.Johnson82%718%6332+1.9
C.Skattebo68%718%645+0.7
D.Slayton75%615%331-6.9
D.Bellinger52%410%452+5.4
J.Hyatt47%38%00-1.6
B.Collins38%38%17-6.1
D.Singletary32%25%14-1.7

Defense no sacks or interceptions

NO Saints

PassingC/AYdsTDINTSkEPA
S.Rattler94%21/312251+7.5
T.Hill14%1/119+1.8
RushingCarShareYdsTDEPA
K.Miller39%1033%41-1.1
A.Kamara56%827%27-1.8
T.Hill14%620%-1-3.5
S.Rattler94%620%21+0.1
ReceivingTgtShareRecYdsTDEPA
C.Olave73%1135%759+0.3
A.Kamara56%619%428-1.2
R.Shaheed67%516%41141+10.3
J.Johnson85%413%217-0.6
D.Vele38%26%213+1.5
B.Cooks45%13%15+0.2
K.Miller39%13%18+0.0
S.Rattler94%13%10-1.5

Defense K.McKinstry 2 INT · Kicking B.Grupe 4/6 FG (long 53)

Each player's line for this game from nflverse's weekly stats; the percentage beside his name is his share of the offense's snaps. Share is his part of the team's carries or targets in this game. Defense lists sacks and interceptions; kicking lists field goals.

Keys to the game · from the season numbers, not this game alone4 reads
01
Biggest edge

Wideouts feast

Giants give up 152 yards a game to wide receivers (23rd), against a league average of 140. Saints' wide receivers produce 146 (15th).

02
Opportunity

Deep left is open

Giants are worst against deep left throws, allowing +0.69 EPA per attempt. Saints send 9% of their throws there. That is a small part of their offense so far.

03
Watch out

Passing lanes are closed

Saints gain -0.07 EPA per dropback (27th). Giants allow +0.02 (16th).

04
Wash

EPA per play

Call this one even. Saints average -0.09 EPA per play (27th). Giants allow +0.08 (25th). League average is +0.01.

The series · Giants and Saints since 1999, and this season's records16 meetings

The Saints lead the series 10–6 since 1999. They have won the last 4. Oct 18, 2026, at MetLife Stadium: the Saints won 34–27. Jameis Winston started at quarterback for the Giants and Tyler Shough for the Saints; John Harbaugh and Kellen Moore coached.

Giants at home4–4the Giants' record
In New Orleans2–6the Giants' record
Most pointsGiants 52 · Saints 522012 · 2015
Biggest winGiants by 28 · Saints by 381999 · 2003

The last 5

2026 · Wk 6NO 34 at NYG 27
2025 · Wk 5NYG 14 at NO 26
2024 · Wk 14NO 14 at NYG 11
2023 · Wk 15NYG 6 at NO 24
2021 · Wk 4 · OTNYG 27 at NO 21

2025 records

GiantsSaints
Overall4–136–11
Division2–43–3
Conference2–104–8
Other conference2–32–3
Home3–53–5
Away1–83–6
Last 5LLLWWWWWWL
StreakWon 2Lost 1
Points a game22.4 – 25.818.0 – 22.5

Every meeting since 1999, regular season and playoffs, from nflverse's game list, which starts in 1999; the all-time series goes back further. Franchises that moved count as one team (the Raiders, Chargers and Rams). Home and away are from the Giants' side. Records are this regular season.

Head to head · NO offense against NYG defense
StatNO NO offFavors NO · Favors NYGNYG NYG def allowsNFL avg
Overall
EPA per play
-0.09#27
+0.08#25+0.01
Success rate
42%#25
47%#2644%
Yards per play
5.0#27
6.0#295.4
Explosive play rate
6%#32
12%#3210%
Passing
Pass EPA per dropback
-0.07#27
+0.02#16+0.01
Sack rate
8%#22
7%#177%
Running
Run EPA per carry
-0.15#31
+0.13#32-0.05
Yards per carry
3.5#31
5.4#324.3
Money downs
3rd down conversion
40%#19
40%#1440%
Red zone TD rate
43%#32
63%#2359%
Targets by position
WR yards per game
146#15
152#23140
TE yards per game
60#9
47#1053
TE targets per game
7.4#15
6.7#97.3
RB receiving yards per game
25#24
31#1932
Where the ball goes · EPA per throwDeep is 15+ air yds

Saints: EPA per throw

Left
Middle
Right
Deep
+0.069% of throws
+1.372% of throws
+0.468% of throws
Short
-0.0927% of throws
+0.2818% of throws
-0.0735% of throws

Giants: EPA allowed per throw

Left
Middle
Right
Deep
+0.6942 throws
+0.5123 throws
+0.4648 throws
Short
+0.02146 throws
+0.3092 throws
-0.06196 throws

Green gains more than expected, red loses value. Cells with fewer than 5 throws are grayed out.