2026
2026 season · WR · #7 · 3rd season
Brian Thomas Jr.
Age 24 · 6'2" · 209 lb · LSU · Pick 23 overall (2024). Listed WR4 on the 3WR 1TE depth chart. Snap share 45% across 7 games.
- How goodThomas Jr.'s +4.6 EPA is 68th of 99 wide receivers.
- Where it comes fromThe biggest share comes in the air (+12.0, 77th percentile per target).
- Fantasy3.4 standard points a game, WR82 of 171.4.1 half-PPR points a game, WR85 of 171.4.8 PPR points a game, WR87 of 171.
- How he's usedHe wins before the catch rather than after it: 6% of his yards come after the catch (league 30%).
- LatelyTargets are steady: 2.3 a game over his last three against 3 for the season.
- This weekA soft matchup: the Ravens rank 28th vs WR, allowing +0.44 EPA per target to wide receivers.
How good is hehis line against the league at his position
| Stat | Value | Rank | League | Pctl |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target shareof team targets | 11% | 82nd of 99 | 18th | |
| Depth of targetair yards per target | 12.2 | 46th of 99 | 54th | |
| After the catchyards per reception | 0.7 | 99th of 99 | 1st | |
| Catch ratereceptions per target | 48% | 86th of 99 | 13th | |
| EPA per target | +0.22 | 55th of 99 | 45th |
| Stat | Value | Rank | League | Pctl |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| First downsper target | 38% | 48th of 99 | 52nd | |
| Drop ratedrops per target, lower is better | 10% | 84th of 99 | 15th | |
| Yards per game | 16.7 | 92nd of 99 | 8th | |
| Success rate | 52% | 45th of 99 | 55th | |
| Total EPA | +4.6 | 68th of 99 | 32nd |
How this is measured
Each bar is the league at his position; the marker is him. Right is better, the dashed line is the median. Ranks are out of the qualifying pool, ties shown as T-, and move every week as the pool changes.
Thomas scores 3.4 standard points a game, WR82 of 171 WRs with enough games. Most weeks land between 0.2 and 6.6; 0 boom weeks (12+) and 5 busts (under 5). Next up, in Week 9, the Ravens allow the 10th-most standard points to WRs, 22.2 a game.
Thomas scores 4.1 half-PPR points a game, WR85 of 171 WRs with enough games. Most weeks land between 0.3 and 7.3; 0 boom weeks (16+) and 5 busts (under 6.5). Next up, in Week 9, the Ravens allow the 9th-most half-PPR points to WRs, 28.6 a game.
Thomas scores 4.8 PPR points a game, WR87 of 171 WRs with enough games. Most weeks land between 0.4 and 8.0; 0 boom weeks (20+) and 5 busts (under 8). Next up, in Week 9, the Ravens allow the 9th-most PPR points to WRs, 35.0 a game.
How this is measured
Fantasy points are nflverse's standard and full-PPR scoring (6 points for a rushing or receiving touchdown, 4 for a passing touchdown, minus 2 for an interception or a lost fumble); half PPR is the average of the two. Ranks are points a game among players at his position with at least half the most games played. Most weeks is his 20th to 80th percentile game. Bars are green on a boom week and red on a bust; the dashed line is the starter line, the points a game of the WR24 in a 12-team league. The format you pick is remembered on this device.
How he's usedhis fingerprint, where the ball finds him and when
He wins before the catch rather than after it: 6% of his yards come after the catch (league 30%). He is a straight-dropback target: 5% of his targets come off play action (league 16%). His share of the team's targets is 11%: on third down it holds at 10%; inside the 20 it holds at 14%. He lives outside the numbers: only 10% of his targets come over the middle (league 21%).
How this is measured
Every trait is a share of his own targets, so volume does not move it. The marker is him among the league's qualifying wide receivers; the dashed line is the median. Styles are not grades: a high or low percentile is a description, not a verdict. Play action, screen, RPO, motion and blitz flags come from FTN charting and read low in a week it has not published.
Thomas Jr.'s +4.6 EPA is 68th of 99 wide receivers. The biggest share comes in the air (+12.0, 77th percentile per target). Yards after the catch add less than most (+1.0, 4th percentile).
career +0.32 over 2024–2025 · his 2nd best of 3
How this is measured
Every target this season, split by what happened. Catches divide at the catch: the yards in the air and what came after. The percentile is him among the qualifying wide receivers, higher is better, so a cost smaller than most ranks high. The parts add up to the totals above; the career strip counts seasons with at least 15 targets.
He is targeted intermediate right 3.3× as often as the league (24% of his targets against 7%) and gains +0.30 EPA a target there.
How this is measured
Every target with a charted depth and direction this season; sacks and throws with no charted direction are left out. Left and right are as the offense sees the field. Cells with fewer than three targets show no EPA.
On the field
By depth of target
Who he works withthe connection, and the rest of the huddle
By depth
Week by weekthe shape of his season, the game log and the defenses behind it
The game
M&T Bank Stadium
JAX −8.5 · O/U 42.5
His history
First meeting this season
His status
A soft matchup: the Ravens rank 28th vs WR, allowing +0.44 EPA per target to wide receivers. He has averaged 4 yards a game against bottom-10 defenses this season.
| Wk | Opponent | Defense | Snap | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs CLE W 34-1016th D | 16th vs WR | 35% | 3 | 3 | 40 | +3.0 | |
| 2 | at DEN L 13-205th D | 5th vs WR | 54% | 8 | 3 | 40 | -1.2 | |
| 3 | vs NE W 35-630th D | 30th vs WR | 37% | 1 | 1 | 8 | +0.5 | |
| 4 | at CIN W 22-1718th D | 18th vs WR | 62% | 2 | 2 | 17 | 1 | +2.8 |
| 5 | vs PHI W 19-1721st D | 21st vs WR | 51% | 3 | 0 | 0 | -2.4 | |
| 6 | vs HOU L 31-3425th D | 25th vs WR | 21% | 2 | 0 | 0 | -0.9 | |
| 7 | Bye week | |||||||
| 8 | vs IND W 42-715th D | 15th vs WR | 52% | 2 | 1 | 12 | 1 | +2.8 |
| 9 | at BALThu Nov 5 · next up | |||||||
| 10 | at TENSun Nov 15 | |||||||
| 11 | at NYGSun Nov 22 | |||||||
| 12 | vs TENSun Nov 29 | |||||||
| 13 | at CHISun Dec 6 | |||||||
| 14 | vs PITMon Dec 14 | |||||||
| 15 | at HOUSun Dec 20 | |||||||
| 16 | at DALSun Dec 27 | |||||||
| 17 | vs WASSun Jan 3 | |||||||
| 18 | at INDSun Jan 10 | |||||||
| 7 games | 45% | 21 | 10 | 117 | 2 | +4.6 |
| Wk | Opponent | Defense | Tgt share | Air share | aDOT | YAC | EPA/tgt | 1D | Drops |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs CLE W 34-1016th D | 16th vs WR | 14% | 18% | 14.7 | -4 | +0.99 | 3 | |
| 2 | at DEN L 13-205th D | 5th vs WR | 29% | 27% | 10.3 | 7 | -0.15 | 3 | 1 |
| 3 | vs NE W 35-630th D | 30th vs WR | 4% | 2% | 4.0 | 4 | +0.50 | 0 | |
| 4 | at CIN W 22-1718th D | 18th vs WR | 9% | 10% | 8.5 | 0 | +1.38 | 1 | |
| 5 | vs PHI W 19-1721st D | 21st vs WR | 8% | 16% | 12.7 | 0 | -0.79 | 0 | |
| 6 | vs HOU L 31-3425th D | 25th vs WR | 5% | 9% | 17.0 | 0 | -0.47 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 8 | vs IND W 42-715th D | 15th vs WR | 12% | 22% | 19.0 | 0 | +1.41 | 1 | |
| 9 | at BALThu Nov 5 · next up | ||||||||
| 10 | at TENSun Nov 15 | ||||||||
| 11 | at NYGSun Nov 22 | ||||||||
| 12 | vs TENSun Nov 29 | ||||||||
| 13 | at CHISun Dec 6 | ||||||||
| 14 | vs PITMon Dec 14 | ||||||||
| 15 | at HOUSun Dec 20 | ||||||||
| 16 | at DALSun Dec 27 | ||||||||
| 17 | vs WASSun Jan 3 | ||||||||
| 18 | at INDSun Jan 10 | ||||||||
| 7 games | 11% | 15% | 12.2 | 7 | +0.22 | 8 | 2 |
| Wk | Opponent | Defense | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | 20+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs CLE W 34-1016th D | 16th vs WR | 3 | 40 | 13.3 | ||
| 2 | at DEN L 13-205th D | 5th vs WR | 3 | 40 | 13.3 | 1 | |
| 3 | vs NE W 35-630th D | 30th vs WR | 1 | 8 | 8.0 | ||
| 4 | at CIN W 22-1718th D | 18th vs WR | 2 | 17 | 8.5 | 1 | |
| 5 | vs PHI W 19-1721st D | 21st vs WR | 0 | 0 | - | ||
| 6 | vs HOU L 31-3425th D | 25th vs WR | 0 | 0 | - | ||
| 7 | Bye week | ||||||
| 8 | vs IND W 42-715th D | 15th vs WR | 1 | 12 | 12.0 | 1 | |
| 9 | at BALThu Nov 5 · next up | ||||||
| 10 | at TENSun Nov 15 | ||||||
| 11 | at NYGSun Nov 22 | ||||||
| 12 | vs TENSun Nov 29 | ||||||
| 13 | at CHISun Dec 6 | ||||||
| 14 | vs PITMon Dec 14 | ||||||
| 15 | at HOUSun Dec 20 | ||||||
| 16 | at DALSun Dec 27 | ||||||
| 17 | vs WASSun Jan 3 | ||||||
| 18 | at INDSun Jan 10 | ||||||
| 7 games | 10 | 117 | 11.7 | 2 | 1 |
Targets are steady: 2.3 a game over his last three against 3 for the season. 5 straight games below a starter's median in targets.
How this is measured
Bars are his week. The shaded band is the league's middle half at his position, every qualifying player-game this season, and the dashed line is its median. The solid line is his trailing three games. An × on the baseline is a game his team played without him; a dotted tick is the bye.
He has faced the 25th-toughest slate vs WR: his opponents rank 18.6 of 32 on average (league middle 16.4). Ahead: 2 of his next 10 are top-10 vs WR and 5 are bottom-10, starting with the Ravens (28th, away) in Week 9.
The slate · played solid, ahead dashed
His line by defense faced
| Defenses | G | Tgt/g | Yds/g | EPA/tgt |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ranked 1 to 10Top-10 defenses | 1 | 8.0 | 40 | -0.15 |
| 11 to 22Middle | 4 | 2.5 | 17 | +0.62 |
| 23 to 32Bottom-10 | 2 | 1.5 | 4 | -0.15 |
| All games | 7 | 3.0 | 17 | +0.22 |
Yards against the rank of the defense
He has done more against the better defenses (r = -0.74).
Careerseason by season, back to his rookie year
His best year was 2024, 1,282 receiving yards in 17 games. This season's 16.7 a game puts him on pace for 284 over 17, short of it.
| Season | Team | G | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | Y/R | Yds/g | EPA/tgt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | JAX | 17 | 133 | 87 | 1,282 | 10 | 14.7 | 75.4 | +0.41 |
| 2025 | JAX | 14 | 91 | 48 | 707 | 2 | 14.7 | 50.5 | +0.19 |
| 2026 | JAX | 7 | 21 | 10 | 117 | 2 | 11.7 | 16.7 | +0.22 |
| Career | 1 tm | 38 | 245 | 145 | 2,106 | 14 | 14.5 | 55.4 | +0.31 |
How this is measured
Regular season only, from nflverse weekly stats back to 1999. This season is partial and drawn hollow; the pace is his per-game rate over 17 games. Bold cells are career highs.
Intel & playsthe report, his best snaps, his teammates
- Depth chart
- WR4 · 3WR 1TE
- Injury report
- clean
- Red zone touches
- …
- Third down
- …
- Explosive plays
- …
- Drops
- 2 on 21 targets
- Broken tackles
- 0
- Passer rating when targeted
- 75.7
- Play action
- …
- Contested
- …
| Player | Touches | Yds | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|
| 126 | 673 · 6 TD | +13.8 | |
| 50 | 445 · 4 TD | +22.5 | |
| 48 | 232 · 3 TD | +5.8 | |
| 35 | 334 · 1 TD | +14.2 | |
| 32 | 311 · 2 TD | +17.4 | |
| 20 | 80 | +5.4 | |
| 19 | 60 | -3.8 | |
| 13 | 117 · 2 TD | +7.8 |