2026
2026 season · QB · #11 · 15th season
Case Keenum
Age 38 · 6'1" · 220 lb · Houston · Undrafted (2012). Listed QB3 on the 3WR 1TE depth chart. Snap share 45% across 3 games.
- How goodKeenum's -3.3 EPA is 24th of 38 quarterbacks.
- Where it comes fromThe biggest share comes after the catch (+21.2, 41st percentile per dropback).
- Fantasy8.4 standard points a game.8.4 half-PPR points a game.8.4 PPR points a game.
- How he's usedHe attacks the middle of the field: 40% of his attempts go between the numbers (league 20%).
- LatelyDropbacks are steady: 18.3 a game over his last three against 18.3 for the season.
- This weekA tough matchup: the Seahawks rank 3rd vs the pass, allowing -0.14 EPA per dropback.
How good is hehis line against the league at his position
| Stat | Value | Rank | League | Pctl |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPA per dropback | +0.01 | 22nd of 38 | 43rd | |
| CPOEcompletion over expected | -0.9 | 22nd of 38 | 43rd | |
| Sack rateper dropback, lower is better | 4% | 3rd of 38 | 93rd | |
| Yards per attempt | 6.7 | 22nd of 38 | 43rd | |
| TD rateper attempt | 4% | 25th of 38 | 36th | |
| INT rateper attempt, lower is better | 2% | 17th of 38 | 57th |
| Stat | Value | Rank | League | Pctl |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Depth of targetair yards per attempt | 7.4 | 23rd of 38 | 41st | |
| Rush EPA per game | -1.38 | 35th of 38 | 9th | |
| Success rate | 46% | 19th of 38 | 51st | |
| ANY/A | 6.13 | 20th of 38 | 49th | |
| Total EPA | -3.3 | 24th of 38 | 38th |
How this is measured
Each bar is the league at his position; the marker is him. Right is better, the dashed line is the median. Ranks are out of the qualifying pool, ties shown as T-, and move every week as the pool changes.
Keenum scores 8.4 standard points a game, not enough games to rank yet. Most weeks land between 0.3 and 15.0; 0 boom weeks (25+) and 2 busts (under 12). This week the Seahawks allow the 2nd-fewest standard points to QBs, 10.4 a game.
Keenum scores 8.4 half-PPR points a game, not enough games to rank yet. Most weeks land between 0.3 and 15.0; 0 boom weeks (25+) and 2 busts (under 12). This week the Seahawks allow the 2nd-fewest half-PPR points to QBs, 10.4 a game.
Keenum scores 8.4 PPR points a game, not enough games to rank yet. Most weeks land between 0.3 and 15.0; 0 boom weeks (25+) and 2 busts (under 12). This week the Seahawks allow the 2nd-fewest PPR points to QBs, 10.4 a game.
How this is measured
Fantasy points are nflverse's standard and full-PPR scoring (6 points for a rushing or receiving touchdown, 4 for a passing touchdown, minus 2 for an interception or a lost fumble); half PPR is the average of the two. Ranks are points a game among players at his position with at least half the most games played. Most weeks is his 20th to 80th percentile game. Bars are green on a boom week and red on a bust; the dashed line is the starter line, the points a game of the QB12 in a 12-team league. The format you pick is remembered on this device.
How he's usedhis fingerprint, where the ball finds him and when
He attacks the middle of the field: 40% of his attempts go between the numbers (league 20%). He beats the blitz: +1.34 EPA a dropback better when blitzed than not (league -0.10). Almost no RPOs: 0% of his dropbacks (league 1%).
How this is measured
Every trait is a share of his own dropbacks, so volume does not move it. The marker is him among the league's qualifying quarterbacks; the dashed line is the median. Styles are not grades: a high or low percentile is a description, not a verdict. Play action, screen, RPO, motion and blitz flags come from FTN charting and read low in a week it has not published.
Keenum's -3.3 EPA is 24th of 38 quarterbacks. The biggest share comes after the catch (+21.2, 41st percentile per dropback). Scrambles cost him more than most (-1.1, 4th percentile).
career -0.03 over 2013–2023 · his 3rd best of 10
How this is measured
Every dropback and run this season, split by what happened. Completions divide at the catch: the yards in the air, and his credited share of what came after (nflverse's air EPA and QB EPA). Per dropback counts scrambles as dropbacks. The percentile is him among the qualifying quarterbacks, higher is better, so a cost smaller than most ranks high. The parts add up to the totals above; the career strip counts seasons with at least 50 attempts.
He throws short middle 2.6× as often as the league (28% of his attempts against 11%) but averages -0.16 EPA a throw there.
How this is measured
Every pass attempt with a charted depth and direction this season; sacks and throws with no charted direction are left out. Left and right are as the offense sees the field. Cells with fewer than three throws show no EPA.
On the field
By depth of target
Who he works withthe connection, and the rest of the huddle
By depth
Week by weekthe shape of his season, the game log and the defenses behind it
The game
at SeahawksLumen Field
SEA −3 · O/U 46.5
His history
First meeting this season
His status
A tough matchup: the Seahawks rank 3rd vs the pass, allowing -0.14 EPA per dropback. He has averaged 108 yards a game against top-10 defenses this season.
| Wk | Opponent | Defense | Snap | Cmp/Att | Yds | TD | INT | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at CAR W 59-37Did not play | |||||||
| 2 | vs MIN L 3-9Did not play | |||||||
| 3 | vs PHI W 27-726th D | 26th vs the pass | 100% | 24/34 | 247 | 2 | +7.3 | |
| 4 | vs NYJ W 23-1225th D | 25th vs the pass | 1% | 0/0 | 0 | 0.0 | ||
| 5 | at GB L 7-315th D | 5th vs the pass | 33% | 11/19 | 108 | 1 | -6.4 | |
| 6 | at ATL W 31-23Did not play | |||||||
| 7 | vs NE W 30-24Did not play | |||||||
| 8 | at SEAMon Nov 2 · this week | |||||||
| 9 | vs TBSun Nov 8 | |||||||
| 10 | Bye week | |||||||
| 11 | vs NOSun Nov 22 | |||||||
| 12 | at DETThu Nov 26 | |||||||
| 13 | vs JAXSun Dec 6 | |||||||
| 14 | at MIASun Dec 13 | |||||||
| 15 | at BUFSat Dec 19 | |||||||
| 16 | vs GBFri Dec 25 | |||||||
| 17 | vs DETSun Jan 3 | |||||||
| 18 | at MINSun Jan 10 | |||||||
| 3 games | 45% | 35/53 | 355 | 2 | 1 | +0.8 |
| Wk | Opponent | Defense | EPA/DB | CPOE | aDOT | Sk | Sk % | Rush EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at CAR W 59-37Did not play | |||||||
| 2 | vs MIN L 3-9Did not play | |||||||
| 3 | vs PHI W 27-726th D | 26th vs the pass | +0.21 | +2.8 | 6.1 | 0% | -3.8 | |
| 4 | vs NYJ W 23-1225th D | 25th vs the pass | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | |
| 5 | at GB L 7-315th D | 5th vs the pass | -0.31 | -4.5 | 9.6 | 2 | 10% | -0.3 |
| 6 | at ATL W 31-23Did not play | |||||||
| 7 | vs NE W 30-24Did not play | |||||||
| 8 | at SEAMon Nov 2 · this week | |||||||
| 9 | vs TBSun Nov 8 | |||||||
| 10 | Bye week | |||||||
| 11 | vs NOSun Nov 22 | |||||||
| 12 | at DETThu Nov 26 | |||||||
| 13 | vs JAXSun Dec 6 | |||||||
| 14 | at MIASun Dec 13 | |||||||
| 15 | at BUFSat Dec 19 | |||||||
| 16 | vs GBFri Dec 25 | |||||||
| 17 | vs DETSun Jan 3 | |||||||
| 18 | at MINSun Jan 10 | |||||||
| 3 games | +0.01 | -0.9 | 7.4 | 2 | 4% | -4.1 |
| Wk | Opponent | Defense | Cmp | Att | Pct | Yds | Y/A | TD | INT | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at CAR W 59-37Did not play | |||||||||
| 2 | vs MIN L 3-9Did not play | |||||||||
| 3 | vs PHI W 27-726th D | 26th vs the pass | 24 | 34 | 71% | 247 | 7.3 | 2 | 110.8 | |
| 4 | vs NYJ W 23-1225th D | 25th vs the pass | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | - | - | ||
| 5 | at GB L 7-315th D | 5th vs the pass | 11 | 19 | 58% | 108 | 5.7 | 1 | 52.1 | |
| 6 | at ATL W 31-23Did not play | |||||||||
| 7 | vs NE W 30-24Did not play | |||||||||
| 8 | at SEAMon Nov 2 · this week | |||||||||
| 9 | vs TBSun Nov 8 | |||||||||
| 10 | Bye week | |||||||||
| 11 | vs NOSun Nov 22 | |||||||||
| 12 | at DETThu Nov 26 | |||||||||
| 13 | vs JAXSun Dec 6 | |||||||||
| 14 | at MIASun Dec 13 | |||||||||
| 15 | at BUFSat Dec 19 | |||||||||
| 16 | vs GBFri Dec 25 | |||||||||
| 17 | vs DETSun Jan 3 | |||||||||
| 18 | at MINSun Jan 10 | |||||||||
| 3 games | 35 | 53 | 66% | 355 | 6.7 | 2 | 1 | 89.7 |
Dropbacks are steady: 18.3 a game over his last three against 18.3 for the season. At or above a starter's median in yards in 1 of 3 games.
How this is measured
Bars are his week. The shaded band is the league's middle half at his position, every qualifying player-game this season, and the dashed line is its median. The solid line is his trailing three games. An × on the baseline is a game his team played without him; a dotted tick is the bye.
He has faced the 25th-toughest slate vs the pass: his opponents rank 18.7 of 32 on average (league middle 16.6). Ahead: 5 of his next 10 are top-10 vs the pass and 5 are bottom-10, starting with the Seahawks (3rd, away) in Week 8.
The slate · played solid, ahead dashed
His line by defense faced
| Defenses | G | Att/g | Yds/g | EPA/db |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ranked 1 to 10Top-10 defenses | 1 | 19.0 | 108 | -0.31 |
| 11 to 22Middle | – | – | – | – |
| 23 to 32Bottom-10 | 2 | 17.0 | 124 | +0.21 |
| All games | 3 | 17.7 | 118 | +0.01 |
Yards against the rank of the defense
Too few games to read a pattern yet.
Careerseason by season, back to his rookie year
His best year was 2018, 3,890 passing yards in 16 games with DEN. This season's 177.5 a game puts him on pace for 3,018 over 17, short of it.
| Season | Team | G | Cmp/Att | Pct | Yds | TD | INT | Y/A | Rating | EPA/db |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | HOU | 8 | 137/253 | 54% | 1,760 | 9 | 6 | 7.0 | 78.2 | -0.12 |
| 2014 | HOU | 2 | 45/77 | 58% | 435 | 2 | 2 | 5.6 | 72.2 | -0.22 |
| 2015 | LA | 5 | 76/125 | 61% | 828 | 4 | 1 | 6.6 | 87.7 | +0.08 |
| 2016 | LA | 10 | 196/322 | 61% | 2,201 | 9 | 11 | 6.8 | 76.4 | -0.10 |
| 2017 | MIN | 15 | 325/481 | 68% | 3,547 | 22 | 7 | 7.4 | 98.3 | +0.12 |
| 2018 | DEN | 16 | 365/586 | 62% | 3,890 | 18 | 15 | 6.6 | 81.2 | -0.03 |
| 2019 | WAS | 10 | 160/247 | 65% | 1,707 | 11 | 5 | 6.9 | 91.3 | -0.02 |
| 2020 | CLE | 1 | 5/10 | 50% | 46 | 0 | 0 | 4.6 | 62.9 | -0.42 |
| 2021 | CLE | 5 | 47/72 | 65% | 462 | 3 | 1 | 6.4 | 91.3 | -0.11 |
| 2022 | BUF | 2 | 2/7 | 29% | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1.1 | 39.6 | -0.83 |
| 2023 | HOU | 2 | 34/53 | 64% | 291 | 1 | 3 | 5.5 | 61.1 | -0.35 |
| 2026 | CHI | 2 | 35/53 | 66% | 355 | 2 | 1 | 6.7 | 89.7 | +0.01 |
| Career | 8 tm | 78 | 1,427/2,286 | 62% | 15,530 | 81 | 52 | 6.8 | 84.7 | -0.03 |
How this is measured
Regular season only, from nflverse weekly stats back to 1999. This season is partial and drawn hollow; the pace is his per-game rate over 17 games. Bold cells are career highs.
Intel & playsthe report, his best snaps, his teammates
- Depth chart
- QB3 · 3WR 1TE
- Injury report
- clean
- Red zone touches
- …
- Third down
- …
- Explosive plays
- …
- CPOE
- -0.9 pts over expected
- Sack rate
- 4%
- Play action
- …
- Blitzed
- …
| Player | Touches | Yds | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|
 D'Andre SwiftRB | 141 | 628 · 7 TD | -3.1 |
 Kyle MonangaiRB | 65 | 363 · 3 TD | +6.3 |
 Luther Burden IIIWR | 55 | 520 · 2 TD | +13.0 |
 Colston LovelandTE | 42 | 244 · 2 TD | -1.7 |
 Rome OdunzeWR | 38 | 381 | +16.5 |
 Roschon JohnsonRB | 34 | 161 · 1 TD | -2.1 |
 Kalif RaymondWR | 32 | 242 · 1 TD | +14.0 |
 Caleb WilliamsQB | 24 | 128 · 2 TD | -2.4 |