2026
2026 season · QB · #15 · 10th season
Patrick Mahomes
Age 31 · 6'2" · 225 lb · Texas Tech · Pick 10 overall (2017). Listed QB1 on the 3WR 1TE depth chart. Snap share 100% across 7 games.
- How goodMahomes's +35.1 EPA is 13th of 38 quarterbacks.
- Where it comes fromThe biggest share comes after the catch (+137.6, 99th percentile per dropback).
- Fantasy17.9 standard points a game, QB15 of 34.17.9 half-PPR points a game, QB15 of 34.17.9 PPR points a game, QB15 of 34.
- How he's usedPlay action is a staple: 27% of his attempts come off a fake (league 20%).
- LatelyDropbacks are steady: 35.7 a game over his last three against 34.4 for the season.
- This weekA soft matchup: the Jets rank 25th vs the pass, allowing +0.12 EPA per dropback.
How good is hehis line against the league at his position
| Stat | Value | Rank | League | Pctl |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPA per dropback | +0.14 | 14th of 38 | 64th | |
| CPOEcompletion over expected | +1.5 | 13th of 38 | 67th | |
| Sack rateper dropback, lower is better | 4% | 4th of 38 | 91st | |
| Yards per attempt | 7.7 | 10th of 38 | 75th | |
| TD rateper attempt | 5% | 12th of 38 | 70th | |
| INT rateper attempt, lower is better | 2% | 12th of 38 | 70th |
| Stat | Value | Rank | League | Pctl |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Depth of targetair yards per attempt | 5.8 | 37th of 38 | 4th | |
| Rush EPA per game | +0.27 | 19th of 38 | 51st | |
| Success rate | 50% | 9th of 38 | 78th | |
| ANY/A | 7.48 | 9th of 38 | 78th | |
| Total EPA | +35.1 | 13th of 38 | 67th |
How this is measured
Each bar is the league at his position; the marker is him. Right is better, the dashed line is the median. Ranks are out of the qualifying pool, ties shown as T-, and move every week as the pool changes.
Mahomes scores 17.9 standard points a game, QB15 of 34 QBs with enough games. Most weeks land between 11.6 and 24.7; 2 boom weeks (25+) and 2 busts (under 12). This week the Jets allow the 15th-most standard points to QBs, 18.0 a game.
Mahomes scores 17.9 half-PPR points a game, QB15 of 34 QBs with enough games. Most weeks land between 11.6 and 24.7; 2 boom weeks (25+) and 2 busts (under 12). This week the Jets allow the 15th-most half-PPR points to QBs, 18.0 a game.
Mahomes scores 17.9 PPR points a game, QB15 of 34 QBs with enough games. Most weeks land between 11.6 and 24.7; 2 boom weeks (25+) and 2 busts (under 12). This week the Jets allow the 15th-most PPR points to QBs, 18.0 a game.
How this is measured
Fantasy points are nflverse's standard and full-PPR scoring (6 points for a rushing or receiving touchdown, 4 for a passing touchdown, minus 2 for an interception or a lost fumble); half PPR is the average of the two. Ranks are points a game among players at his position with at least half the most games played. Most weeks is his 20th to 80th percentile game. Bars are green on a boom week and red on a bust; the dashed line is the starter line, the points a game of the QB12 in a 12-team league. The format you pick is remembered on this device.
How he's usedhis fingerprint, where the ball finds him and when
Play action is a staple: 27% of his attempts come off a fake (league 20%). The RPO is part of his offense: 3% of his dropbacks (league 1%). He works under center more than most: 75% of his dropbacks come from the gun (league 79%).
How this is measured
Every trait is a share of his own dropbacks, so volume does not move it. The marker is him among the league's qualifying quarterbacks; the dashed line is the median. Styles are not grades: a high or low percentile is a description, not a verdict. Play action, screen, RPO, motion and blitz flags come from FTN charting and read low in a week it has not published.
Mahomes's +35.1 EPA is 13th of 38 quarterbacks. The biggest share comes after the catch (+137.6, 99th percentile per dropback). Air yards cost him more than most (-4.8, 14th percentile).
career +0.22 over 2018–2025 · his 6th best of 9
How this is measured
Every dropback and run this season, split by what happened. Completions divide at the catch: the yards in the air, and his credited share of what came after (nflverse's air EPA and QB EPA). Per dropback counts scrambles as dropbacks. The percentile is him among the qualifying quarterbacks, higher is better, so a cost smaller than most ranks high. The parts add up to the totals above; the career strip counts seasons with at least 50 attempts.
He throws behind right 1.8× as often as the league (16% of his attempts against 9%) but averages -0.12 EPA a throw there.
How this is measured
Every pass attempt with a charted depth and direction this season; sacks and throws with no charted direction are left out. Left and right are as the offense sees the field. Cells with fewer than three throws show no EPA.
On the field
By depth of target
Who he works withthe connection, and the rest of the huddle
By depth
Week by weekthe shape of his season, the game log and the defenses behind it
The game
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
KC −9.5 · O/U 46.5
His history
First meeting this season
His status
A soft matchup: the Jets rank 25th vs the pass, allowing +0.12 EPA per dropback. He has averaged 236 yards a game against bottom-10 defenses this season.
| Wk | Opponent | Defense | Snap | Cmp/Att | Yds | TD | INT | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs DEN W 31-106th D | 6th vs the pass | 100% | 15/27 | 184 | 2 | 1 | -2.3 |
| 2 | vs IND W 33-3019th D | 19th vs the pass | 100% | 32/47 | 382 | 3 | +13.4 | |
| 3 | at MIA W 24-1032nd D | 32nd vs the pass | 100% | 20/24 | 246 | 2 | 1 | +12.9 |
| 4 | at LV W 30-2727th D | 27th vs the pass | 100% | 15/30 | 225 | 2 | +1.7 | |
| 5 | Bye week | |||||||
| 6 | vs LAC W 22-611th D | 11th vs the pass | 100% | 23/30 | 272 | 1 | +2.8 | |
| 7 | at SEA L 3-204th D | 4th vs the pass | 100% | 19/33 | 165 | 1 | -6.0 | |
| 8 | at DEN L 24-286th D | 6th vs the pass | 100% | 30/41 | 321 | 3 | +10.8 | |
| 9 | vs NYJSun Nov 8 · this week | |||||||
| 10 | at ATLSun Nov 15 | |||||||
| 11 | vs ARISun Nov 22 | |||||||
| 12 | at BUFThu Nov 26 | |||||||
| 13 | at LAThu Dec 3 | |||||||
| 14 | at CINSun Dec 13 | |||||||
| 15 | vs NEMon Dec 21 | |||||||
| 16 | vs SFSun Dec 27 | |||||||
| 17 | at LACSun Jan 3 | |||||||
| 18 | vs LVSun Jan 10 | |||||||
| 7 games | 100% | 154/232 | 1795 | 12 | 4 | +33.3 |
| Wk | Opponent | Defense | EPA/DB | CPOE | aDOT | Sk | Sk % | Rush EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs DEN W 31-106th D | 6th vs the pass | -0.08 | -11.9 | 4.9 | 2 | 7% | -1.1 |
| 2 | vs IND W 33-3019th D | 19th vs the pass | +0.27 | +3.7 | 5.6 | 2 | 4% | +0.5 |
| 3 | at MIA W 24-1032nd D | 32nd vs the pass | +0.54 | +18.7 | 6.7 | 0% | -0.6 | |
| 4 | at LV W 30-2727th D | 27th vs the pass | +0.05 | -7.3 | 11.2 | 2 | 6% | +0.5 |
| 5 | Bye week | |||||||
| 6 | vs LAC W 22-611th D | 11th vs the pass | +0.09 | +9.4 | 3.6 | 0% | +0.7 | |
| 7 | at SEA L 3-204th D | 4th vs the pass | -0.18 | -9.8 | 4.7 | 1 | 3% | +1.9 |
| 8 | at DEN L 24-286th D | 6th vs the pass | +0.25 | +7.8 | 4.7 | 2 | 5% | +0.0 |
| 9 | vs NYJSun Nov 8 · this week | |||||||
| 10 | at ATLSun Nov 15 | |||||||
| 11 | vs ARISun Nov 22 | |||||||
| 12 | at BUFThu Nov 26 | |||||||
| 13 | at LAThu Dec 3 | |||||||
| 14 | at CINSun Dec 13 | |||||||
| 15 | vs NEMon Dec 21 | |||||||
| 16 | vs SFSun Dec 27 | |||||||
| 17 | at LACSun Jan 3 | |||||||
| 18 | vs LVSun Jan 10 | |||||||
| 7 games | +0.14 | +1.5 | 5.8 | 9 | 4% | +1.9 |
| Wk | Opponent | Defense | Cmp | Att | Pct | Yds | Y/A | TD | INT | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs DEN W 31-106th D | 6th vs the pass | 15 | 27 | 56% | 184 | 6.8 | 2 | 1 | 86.0 |
| 2 | vs IND W 33-3019th D | 19th vs the pass | 32 | 47 | 68% | 382 | 8.1 | 3 | 114.0 | |
| 3 | at MIA W 24-1032nd D | 32nd vs the pass | 20 | 24 | 83% | 246 | 10.3 | 2 | 1 | 119.8 |
| 4 | at LV W 30-2727th D | 27th vs the pass | 15 | 30 | 50% | 225 | 7.5 | 2 | 97.2 | |
| 5 | Bye week | |||||||||
| 6 | vs LAC W 22-611th D | 11th vs the pass | 23 | 30 | 77% | 272 | 9.1 | 1 | 89.9 | |
| 7 | at SEA L 3-204th D | 4th vs the pass | 19 | 33 | 58% | 165 | 5.0 | 1 | 58.3 | |
| 8 | at DEN L 24-286th D | 6th vs the pass | 30 | 41 | 73% | 321 | 7.8 | 3 | 120.1 | |
| 9 | vs NYJSun Nov 8 · this week | |||||||||
| 10 | at ATLSun Nov 15 | |||||||||
| 11 | vs ARISun Nov 22 | |||||||||
| 12 | at BUFThu Nov 26 | |||||||||
| 13 | at LAThu Dec 3 | |||||||||
| 14 | at CINSun Dec 13 | |||||||||
| 15 | vs NEMon Dec 21 | |||||||||
| 16 | vs SFSun Dec 27 | |||||||||
| 17 | at LACSun Jan 3 | |||||||||
| 18 | vs LVSun Jan 10 | |||||||||
| 7 games | 154 | 232 | 66% | 1795 | 7.7 | 12 | 4 | 99.7 |
Dropbacks are steady: 35.7 a game over his last three against 34.4 for the season. At or above a starter's median in yards in 5 of 7 games.
How this is measured
Bars are his week. The shaded band is the league's middle half at his position, every qualifying player-game this season, and the dashed line is its median. The solid line is his trailing three games. An × on the baseline is a game his team played without him; a dotted tick is the bye.
He has faced the 10th-toughest slate vs the pass: his opponents rank 15.0 of 32 on average (league middle 16.4). Ahead: 1 of his next 10 is top-10 vs the pass and 4 are bottom-10, starting with the Jets (25th) in Week 9.
The slate · played solid, ahead dashed
His line by defense faced
| Defenses | G | Att/g | Yds/g | EPA/db |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ranked 1 to 10Top-10 defenses | 3 | 33.7 | 223 | +0.02 |
| 11 to 22Middle | 2 | 38.5 | 327 | +0.21 |
| 23 to 32Bottom-10 | 2 | 27.0 | 236 | +0.26 |
| All games | 7 | 33.1 | 256 | +0.14 |
Yards against the rank of the defense
His production barely moves with the opponent (r = 0.19); it has traveled.
Careerseason by season, back to his rookie year
His best year was 2022, 5,250 passing yards in 17 games. This season's 256.4 a game puts him on pace for 4,359 over 17, short of it.
| Season | Team | G | Cmp/Att | Pct | Yds | TD | INT | Y/A | Rating | EPA/db |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | KC | 1 | 22/35 | 63% | 284 | 0 | 1 | 8.1 | 76.4 | +0.21 |
| 2018 | KC | 16 | 383/580 | 66% | 5,097 | 50 | 12 | 8.8 | 113.8 | +0.37 |
| 2019 | KC | 14 | 319/484 | 66% | 4,031 | 26 | 5 | 8.3 | 105.3 | +0.28 |
| 2020 | KC | 15 | 390/588 | 66% | 4,740 | 38 | 6 | 8.1 | 108.2 | +0.30 |
| 2021 | KC | 17 | 436/658 | 66% | 4,839 | 37 | 13 | 7.4 | 98.5 | +0.20 |
| 2022 | KC | 17 | 435/648 | 67% | 5,250 | 41 | 12 | 8.1 | 105.2 | +0.29 |
| 2023 | KC | 16 | 401/597 | 67% | 4,183 | 27 | 14 | 7.0 | 92.6 | +0.08 |
| 2024 | KC | 16 | 392/581 | 67% | 3,928 | 26 | 11 | 6.8 | 93.5 | +0.12 |
| 2025 | KC | 14 | 315/502 | 63% | 3,587 | 22 | 11 | 7.1 | 89.6 | +0.13 |
| 2026 | KC | 7 | 154/232 | 66% | 1,795 | 12 | 4 | 7.7 | 99.7 | +0.14 |
| Career | 1 tm | 133 | 3,247/4,905 | 66% | 37,734 | 279 | 89 | 7.7 | 100.7 | +0.22 |
How this is measured
Regular season only, from nflverse weekly stats back to 1999. This season is partial and drawn hollow; the pace is his per-game rate over 17 games. Bold cells are career highs.
Intel & playsthe report, his best snaps, his teammates
- Depth chart
- QB1 · 3WR 1TE
- Injury report
- Knee, full participation in practice
- Red zone touches
- …
- Third down
- …
- Explosive plays
- …
- CPOE
- +1.5 pts over expected
- Sack rate
- 4%
- Play action
- …
- Blitzed
- …
| Player | Touches | Yds | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|
| 173 | 901 · 8 TD | +8.4 | |
| 42 | 410 · 2 TD | +21.6 | |
| 41 | 230 · 1 TD | -2.4 | |
| 36 | 314 · 1 TD | +13.3 | |
| 25 | 243 · 2 TD | +6.5 | |
| 16 | 173 · 1 TD | +10.3 | |
| 15 | 219 · 2 TD | +19.0 | |
| 12 | 45 · 1 TD | -4.2 |