DOWN X DOWN › week 15 › Browns at Bears

Season over · final

2025

2025 season · final Every snap of the 2025 season, kept as it ended.Back to 2026 →

Week 15 · Sunday 1:00 PM ET · Soldier Field

Bears offensevsBrowns defense

Season numbers through Week 22: 19 games for Bears, 17 for Browns. Ranks are out of 32; #1 is the best offense or the stingiest defense.

CLE offense CHI offense

How it played out · win probability, snap by snapFinal · CLE 3 · CHI 31

The Bears won 31–3 and were favored the whole way, never below 70%. The biggest single swing came at Q1 14:02, 8 points for the Bears.

At kickoffCHI 74%CHI by 7.5 on the line

CHI low point70%Q1 14:02 · tied 0⁠–⁠0

Swings past 50%0times the favorite changed

Biggest swing8 ptsCHI · Q1 14:02

CHI wins50%CLE wins

12345CHI low 70%

Q1Q2Q3Q4

The plays that swung it

1Q1 14:02CHIT.Taylor punts 45 yards to CLE 1, downed by CHI-J.Jones. ** Injury Update: CHI-J.Jones has returned to the game. Cleveland challenged the kick…70% → 78%+8 CHI
2Q1 6:02CLEC.Bojorquez punts 61 yards to end zone, Touchback.85% → 89%+5 CHI
3Q1 14:05CHIC.Williams pass incomplete short right to K.Monangai.26% → 30%+4 CLE
4Q3 8:53CLES.Sanders pass short left intended for H.Fannin INTERCEPTED by D.Jackson at CLE 22. D.Jackson to CLE 22 for no gain (J.Jeudy).93% → 97%+4 CHI
5Q1 15:00CHIA.Szmyt kicks 64 yards from CLE 35 to CHI 1. D.Duvernay pushed ob at CLE 47 for 52 yards (A.Szmyt). CHI-J.Jones was injured during the play.74% → 77%+3 CHI

Win probability is nflverse's model, which starts from the betting line and updates before every snap with the score, the clock, down, distance, field position and timeouts. A swing is the change in one team's chance across a play, in percentage points. Each play is tagged with the team that had the ball; the bar names the team it helped. The turning point is the play after which the winner never fell to 50% again.

Box score · every offensive player who touched the ballWeek 15

I.Bond led the Browns at +5.0 EPA (2 catches for 89). D.Moore led the Bears at +5.8 EPA (4 catches for 69).

Browns

Passing	C/A	Yds	TD	INT	Sk	EPA
S.Sanders100%	18/35	177		3	5	-23.0

Rushing	Car	Share	Yds	EPA
Q.Judkins67%	12	75%	21	-4.9
S.Sanders100%	2	13%	24	+1.3
T.Williams33%	1	6%	3	+0.7
H.Jr.96%	1	6%	2	-0.3

Receiving	Tgt	Share	Rec	Yds	EPA
H.Jr.96%	14	45%	7	48	-11.6
J.Jeudy96%	4	13%	2	22	-2.2
I.Bond68%	4	13%	2	89	+5.0
Q.Judkins67%	4	13%	3	-4	-2.7
T.Williams33%	2	6%	2	4	-0.4
G.Larvadain54%	2	6%	1	8	-0.5
M.Corley26%	1	3%	1	10	+1.8

Defense M.Garrett 1.5 sacks, A.Wright 1 sack, S.Harris 0.5 sacks · Kicking A.Szmyt 1/1 FG (long 50)

Bears

Passing	C/A	Yds	TD	INT	Sk	EPA
C.Williams100%	17/28	242	2		3	+3.3

Rushing	Car	Share	Yds	TD	EPA
D.Swift56%	18	55%	98	2	+3.5
K.Monangai42%	11	33%	33		-2.6
C.Williams100%	3	9%	13		-0.1
C.Loveland65%	1	3%	-2		-0.9

Receiving	Tgt	Share	Rec	Yds	TD	EPA
L.III39%	7	26%	6	84		+2.9
D.Moore88%	5	19%	4	69	2	+5.8
C.Loveland65%	5	19%	4	63		+5.7
C.Kmet73%	4	15%	2	28		+0.5
O.Zaccheaus82%	3	11%	0	0		-1.6
K.Monangai42%	2	7%	0	0		-2.1
D.Swift56%	1	4%	1	-2		-1.0

Defense D.Jackson 1 sack and 1 INT, A.Booker 2 sacks, C.Gardner-Johnson 1 INT, J.Johnson 1 INT · Kicking C.Santos 1/2 FG (long 41)

Each player's line for this game from nflverse's weekly stats; the percentage beside his name is his share of the offense's snaps. Share is his part of the team's carries or targets in this game. Defense lists sacks and interceptions; kicking lists field goals.

Keys to the game · from the season numbers, not this game alone4 reads

Biggest edge

Tight ends feast

Browns give up 52 yards a game to tight ends (16th), against a league average of 53. Bears' tight ends produce 70 (3rd).

Opportunity

Deep middle is open

Browns are worst against deep middle throws, allowing +0.50 EPA per attempt. Bears send 6% of their throws there. That is a small part of their offense so far.

Watch out

Wideouts get blanketed

Browns give up 110 yards a game to wide receivers (1st), against a league average of 140. Bears' wide receivers produce 143 (16th).

Wash

EPA per play

Call this one even. Bears average +0.07 EPA per play (8th). Browns allow -0.09 (4th). League average is +0.01.

The series · Browns and Bears since 1999, and this season's records8 meetings

The Bears lead the series 5–3 since 1999 (they first met in 2001). This game is the latest meeting.

Browns at home3–1the Browns' record

In Chicago0–4the Browns' record

Most pointsBrowns 31 · Bears 382013 · 2013

Biggest winBrowns by 20 · Bears by 282021 · 2025

The last 5

2025 · Wk 15	CLE 3 at CHI 31
2023 · Wk 15	CHI 17 at CLE 20
2021 · Wk 3	CHI 6 at CLE 26
2017 · Wk 16	CLE 3 at CHI 20
2013 · Wk 15	CHI 38 at CLE 31

2025 records

	Browns	Bears
Overall	5–12	11–6
Division	2–4	2–4
Conference	4–8	7–5
Other conference	1–4	4–1
Home	3–6	6–2
Away	2–6	5–4
Last 5	LLLWW	LWWLL
Streak	Won 2	Lost 2
Points a game	16.4 – 22.3	25.9 – 24.4

Every meeting since 1999, regular season and playoffs, from nflverse's game list, which starts in 1999; the all-time series goes back further. Franchises that moved count as one team (the Raiders, Chargers and Rams). Home and away are from the Browns' side. Records are this regular season.

Head to head · CHI offense against CLE defense

Stat	CHI off	CLE def allows	NFL avg
Overall
EPA per play	+0.07#8	-0.09#4	+0.01
Success rate	45%#11	40%#4	44%
Yards per play	5.7#10	4.9#5	5.4
Explosive play rate	12%#5	9%#13	10%
Passing
Pass EPA per dropback	+0.09#9	-0.13#3	+0.01
Sack rate	4%#2	10%#3	7%
Running
Run EPA per carry	0.00#6	-0.07#15	-0.05
Yards per carry	4.5#10	4.2#17	4.3
Money downs
3rd down conversion	44%#6	37%#8	40%
Red zone TD rate	58%#17	63%#22	59%
Targets by position
WR yards per game	143#16	110#1	140
TE yards per game	70#3	52#16	53
TE targets per game	8.9#5	7.1#14	7.3
RB receiving yards per game	29#17	27#8	32

Where the ball goes · EPA per throwDeep is 15+ air yds

Bears: EPA per throw

Left

Middle

Right

Deep

+0.507% of throws

+0.876% of throws

+0.0511% of throws

Short

+0.0924% of throws

+0.1017% of throws

+0.0836% of throws

Browns: EPA allowed per throw

Left

Middle

Right

Deep

-0.0837 throws

+0.5016 throws

+0.2633 throws