2025
Week 3 · Sunday 1:00 PM ET · Lincoln Financial Field
vs
Eagles offensevsRams defense
Season numbers through Week 22: 18 games for Eagles, 20 for Rams. Ranks are out of 32; #1 is the best offense or the stingiest defense.
The Eagles won 33–26 from as low as 9% (Q3 12:22, down 26–7). The game turned for good at Q4 0:03: J.Karty 44 yard field goal is BLOCKED (J.Davis), RECOVERED by PHI-J.Davis at PHI 39. J.Davis for 61 yards, TOUCHDOWN (33% → 100%).
The plays that swung it
- 1Q4 0:03PHIJ.Karty 44 yard field goal is BLOCKED (J.Davis), RECOVERED by PHI-J.Davis at PHI 39. J.Davis for 61 yards, TOUCHDOWN.turning point33% → 100%
- 2Q4 1:51PHIJ.Hurts pass short right to D.Smith for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.41% → 67%
- 3Q4 4:48PHIJ.Hurts pass short left to A.Brown ran ob at LA 15 for 23 yards (J.McCollough).37% → 53%
- 4Q1 1:28LAM.Stafford pass deep left to D.Adams for 44 yards, TOUCHDOWN.34% → 47%
- 5Q4 1:55LAJ.Hurts pass incomplete short left to A.Brown.46% → 59%
Win probability is nflverse's model, which starts from the betting line and updates before every snap with the score, the clock, down, distance, field position and timeouts. A swing is the change in one team's chance across a play, in percentage points. The turning point is the play after which the winner never fell to 50% again.
P.Nacua led the Rams at +6.7 EPA (11 catches for 112). D.Smith led the Eagles at +7.0 EPA (8 catches for 60).
Rams
| Passing | C/A | Yds | TD | INT | Sk | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M.Stafford100% | 19/33 | 196 | 2 | 1 | 1 | -2.5 |
| J.Karty | 0/1 | 0 | 0.0 |
| Rushing | Car | Share | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K.Williams76% | 20 | 65% | 94 | -2.6 | |
| B.Corum24% | 8 | 26% | 53 | +2.8 | |
| J.Whittington50% | 2 | 6% | 7 | -0.3 | |
| P.Nacua91% | 1 | 3% | 6 | +0.3 |
| Receiving | Tgt | Share | Rec | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P.Nacua91% | 15 | 45% | 11 | 112 | +6.4 | |
| D.Adams86% | 8 | 24% | 3 | 56 | 1 | -5.1 |
| K.Williams76% | 3 | 9% | 2 | 18 | 1 | +2.4 |
| J.Whittington50% | 3 | 9% | 2 | 7 | -1.5 | |
| T.Higbee55% | 2 | 6% | 0 | 0 | -1.4 | |
| T.Atwell38% | 1 | 3% | 0 | 0 | -1.4 | |
| D.Allen38% | 1 | 3% | 1 | 3 | 0.0 |
Defense P.Ford 1 sack, B.Young 1 sack, J.McCollough 1 sack, J.Verse 1 sack · Kicking J.Karty 4/6 FG (long 51)
Eagles
| Passing | C/A | Yds | TD | INT | Sk | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.Hurts100% | 21/32 | 226 | 3 | 4 | -0.2 |
| Rushing | Car | Share | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S.Barkley94% | 18 | 67% | 46 | -4.7 | |
| J.Hurts100% | 9 | 33% | 40 | 1 | +6.0 |
| Receiving | Tgt | Share | Rec | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.Brown93% | 10 | 33% | 6 | 109 | 1 | +6.0 |
| D.Smith96% | 9 | 30% | 8 | 60 | 1 | +7.0 |
| S.Barkley94% | 5 | 17% | 4 | 9 | -2.5 | |
| J.Dotson78% | 3 | 10% | 1 | 7 | -1.6 | |
| D.Goedert91% | 2 | 7% | 1 | 33 | 1 | +2.4 |
| J.III3% | 1 | 3% | 1 | 8 | +0.3 |
Defense Z.Baun 1 INT, J.Davis 1 sack
Each player's line for this game from nflverse's weekly stats; the percentage beside his name is his share of the offense's snaps. Share is his part of the team's carries or targets in this game. Defense lists sacks and interceptions; kicking lists field goals.
Red zone touchdowns
Eagles score a touchdown on 67% of red zone trips (5th). Rams allow 57% (13th).
Deep middle is open
Rams are worst against deep middle throws, allowing +0.60 EPA per attempt. Eagles send 4% of their throws there. That is a small part of their offense so far.
Tight ends go quiet
Rams give up 45 yards a game to tight ends (7th), against a league average of 53. Eagles' tight ends produce 41 (25th).
EPA per play
Call this one even. Eagles average +0.02 EPA per play (15th). Rams allow -0.05 (11th). League average is +0.01.
The Eagles lead the series 12–5 since 1999. Oct 4, 2026, at Lincoln Financial Field: the Rams won 24–20. Jalen Hurts started at quarterback for the Eagles and Matthew Stafford for the Rams; Nick Sirianni and Sean McVay coached.
The last 5
| 2026 · Wk 4 | LA 24 at PHI 20 |
| 2025 · Wk 3 | LA 26 at PHI 33 |
| 2024 · Wk 20 · playoffs | LA 22 at PHI 28 |
| 2024 · Wk 12 | PHI 37 at LA 20 |
| 2023 · Wk 5 | PHI 23 at LA 14 |
2025 records
| Rams | Eagles | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12–5 | 11–6 |
| Division | 4–2 | 3–3 |
| Conference | 7–5 | 8–4 |
| Other conference | 5–0 | 3–2 |
| Home | 7–1 | 5–3 |
| Away | 5–4 | 6–3 |
| Last 5 | WWLLW | LWWWL |
| Streak | Won 1 | Lost 1 |
| Points a game | 30.5 – 20.4 | 22.3 – 19.1 |
Every meeting since 1999, regular season and playoffs, from nflverse's game list, which starts in 1999; the all-time series goes back further. Franchises that moved count as one team (the Raiders, Chargers and Rams). Home and away are from the Rams' side. Records are this regular season.
| Stat | PHI off | Favors PHI · Favors LA | LA def allows | NFL avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | ||||
| EPA per play | +0.02#15 | -0.05#11 | +0.01 | |
| Success rate | 43%#20 | 43%#12 | 44% | |
| Yards per play | 5.3#19 | 5.3#14 | 5.4 | |
| Explosive play rate | 9%#16 | 8%#9 | 10% | |
| Passing | ||||
| Pass EPA per dropback | +0.04#13 | -0.05#11 | +0.01 | |
| Sack rate | 6%#15 | 7%#15 | 7% | |
| Running | ||||
| Run EPA per carry | -0.04#12 | -0.09#7 | -0.05 | |
| Yards per carry | 4.1#20 | 4.0#11 | 4.3 | |
| Money downs | ||||
| 3rd down conversion | 38%#24 | 38%#10 | 40% | |
| Red zone TD rate | 67%#5 | 57%#13 | 59% | |
| Targets by position | ||||
| WR yards per game | 140#17 | 159#25 | 140 | |
| TE yards per game | 41#25 | 45#7 | 53 | |
| TE targets per game | 6.2#21 | 7.5#19 | 7.3 | |
| RB receiving yards per game | 23#26 | 39#26 | 32 | |
Eagles: EPA per throw
Rams: EPA allowed per throw
Green gains more than expected, red loses value. Cells with fewer than 5 throws are grayed out.