2025
Week 5 · Sunday 1:00 PM ET · MetLife Stadium
vs
Jets offensevsCowboys defense
Season numbers through Week 22: 17 games for Jets, 17 for Cowboys. Ranks are out of 32; #1 is the best offense or the stingiest defense.
The Cowboys won 37–22; their low point was 33% at Q1 8:32. The Jets had been 54% favorites at kickoff. The game turned for good at Q1 2:58: A.McNamara punts 33 yards to DAL 10, fair catch by J.Moreno-Cropper (47% → 52%). The biggest single swing came at Q2 2:27, 15 points for the Cowboys.
The plays that swung it
- 1Q2 2:27DALB.Hall left guard to DAL 13 for 10 yards (M.Liufau). FUMBLES (M.Liufau), RECOVERED by DAL-S.Williams at DAL 9. NYJ-B.Hall was injured during the play.56% → 71%
- 2Q1 6:34DALD.Prescott pass deep right to R.Flournoy to NYJ 20 for 40 yards (A.Cisco) [W.McDonald].44% → 57%
- 3Q2 11:48DALD.Prescott pass short right to J.Ferguson for 26 yards, TOUCHDOWN.60% → 70%
- 4Q2 14:20DALD.Prescott pass short left to H.Luepke to NYJ 37 for 10 yards (J.Sherwood).51% → 58%
- 5Q2 1:20DALD.Prescott pass deep right to R.Flournoy to NYJ 16 for 46 yards (T.Adams). Penalty on NYJ-W.McDonald, Defensive Offside, declined.78% → 85%
- ★Q1 2:58DALA.McNamara punts 33 yards to DAL 10, fair catch by J.Moreno-Cropper.turning point47% → 52%
Win probability is nflverse's model, which starts from the betting line and updates before every snap with the score, the clock, down, distance, field position and timeouts. A swing is the change in one team's chance across a play, in percentage points. The turning point is the play after which the winner never fell to 50% again.
D.Prescott led the Cowboys at +12.6 EPA (18 of 29 for 237). G.Wilson led the Jets at +4.6 EPA (6 catches for 71).
Cowboys
| Passing | C/A | Yds | TD | INT | Sk | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.Prescott100% | 18/29 | 237 | 4 | 1 | +11.9 |
| Rushing | Car | Share | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.Williams77% | 16 | 55% | 135 | 1 | +7.4 |
| D.Prescott100% | 7 | 24% | 28 | +0.8 | |
| J.Blue18% | 4 | 14% | 7 | -1.3 | |
| R.Flournoy57% | 2 | 7% | 10 | -0.1 |
| Receiving | Tgt | Share | Rec | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.Ferguson55% | 9 | 32% | 7 | 49 | 2 | +2.4 |
| R.Flournoy57% | 9 | 32% | 6 | 114 | +5.5 | |
| G.Pickens78% | 4 | 14% | 2 | 57 | 1 | +4.5 |
| J.Williams77% | 2 | 7% | 1 | 4 | 1 | -0.1 |
| L.Schoonmaker55% | 2 | 7% | 1 | 3 | -0.7 | |
| J.Tolbert77% | 1 | 4% | 0 | 0 | -0.5 | |
| H.Luepke33% | 1 | 4% | 1 | 10 | +2.1 |
Defense J.Houston 1.5 sacks, D.Jr. 1 sack, O.Odighizuwa 1 sack, S.Williams 1 sack · Kicking B.Aubrey 1/1 FG (long 35)
Jets
| Passing | C/A | Yds | TD | INT | Sk | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.Fields100% | 32/46 | 283 | 2 | 5 | +3.9 |
| Rushing | Car | Share | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B.Hall62% | 14 | 64% | 113 | -2.2 | |
| J.Fields100% | 7 | 32% | 26 | -1.1 | |
| I.Davis40% | 1 | 5% | 5 | -0.2 |
| Receiving | Tgt | Share | Rec | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M.Taylor84% | 12 | 27% | 9 | 67 | +3.9 | |
| G.Wilson94% | 10 | 23% | 6 | 71 | 1 | +4.6 |
| B.Hall62% | 5 | 11% | 4 | 42 | +4.4 | |
| J.Reynolds74% | 4 | 9% | 3 | 29 | +3.1 | |
| J.Ruckert34% | 4 | 9% | 4 | 28 | +0.9 | |
| I.Davis40% | 4 | 9% | 3 | 28 | +0.2 | |
| A.Lazard | 2 | 5% | 1 | 3 | -1.1 | |
| A.Beck12% | 2 | 5% | 1 | 1 | 1 | -2.9 |
| A.Smith56% | 1 | 2% | 1 | 14 | +1.0 |
Defense B.McGregor 1 sack · Kicking N.Folk 2/2 FG (long 48)
Each player's line for this game from nflverse's weekly stats; the percentage beside his name is his share of the offense's snaps. Share is his part of the team's carries or targets in this game. Defense lists sacks and interceptions; kicking lists field goals.
Backs catch passes
Cowboys give up 43 yards a game to running backs (31st), against a league average of 32. Jets' running backs produce 35 (12th).
Deep middle is open
Cowboys are worst against deep middle throws, allowing +1.41 EPA per attempt. Jets send 2% of their throws there. That is a small part of their offense so far.
Tight ends go quiet
Cowboys give up 52 yards a game to tight ends (15th), against a league average of 53. Jets' tight ends produce 35 (31st).
Yards per play
Call this one even. Jets gain 4.5 yards per play (29th). Cowboys give up 6.3 (31st), with the league at 5.4.
The series is even at 4–4 since 1999. The Cowboys have won the last 2. This game is the latest meeting.
The last 5
| 2025 · Wk 5 | DAL 37 at NYJ 22 |
| 2023 · Wk 2 | NYJ 10 at DAL 30 |
| 2019 · Wk 6 | DAL 22 at NYJ 24 |
| 2015 · Wk 15 | NYJ 19 at DAL 16 |
| 2011 · Wk 1 | DAL 24 at NYJ 27 |
2025 records
| Cowboys | Jets | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7–9–1 | 3–14 |
| Division | 4–2 | 0–6 |
| Conference | 4–7–1 | 2–10 |
| Other conference | 3–2 | 1–4 |
| Home | 4–3–1 | 2–7 |
| Away | 3–6 | 1–7 |
| Last 5 | LLLWL | LLLLL |
| Streak | Lost 1 | Lost 5 |
| Points a game | 27.7 – 30.1 | 17.6 – 29.6 |
Every meeting since 1999, regular season and playoffs, from nflverse's game list, which starts in 1999; the all-time series goes back further. Franchises that moved count as one team (the Raiders, Chargers and Rams). Home and away are from the Cowboys' side. Records are this regular season.
| Stat | NYJ off | Favors NYJ · Favors DAL | DAL def allows | NFL avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | ||||
| EPA per play | -0.13#29 | +0.17#32 | +0.01 | |
| Success rate | 40%#29 | 49%#32 | 44% | |
| Yards per play | 4.5#29 | 6.3#31 | 5.4 | |
| Explosive play rate | 8%#28 | 12%#31 | 10% | |
| Passing | ||||
| Pass EPA per dropback | -0.19#28 | +0.22#31 | +0.01 | |
| Sack rate | 11%#30 | 6%#24 | 7% | |
| Running | ||||
| Run EPA per carry | -0.11#28 | +0.05#30 | -0.05 | |
| Yards per carry | 4.3#15 | 4.7#27 | 4.3 | |
| Money downs | ||||
| 3rd down conversion | 35%#27 | 48%#32 | 40% | |
| Red zone TD rate | 44%#31 | 67%#29 | 59% | |
| Targets by position | ||||
| WR yards per game | 92#31 | 171#32 | 140 | |
| TE yards per game | 35#31 | 52#15 | 53 | |
| TE targets per game | 6.2#20 | 6.8#12 | 7.3 | |
| RB receiving yards per game | 35#12 | 43#31 | 32 | |
Jets: EPA per throw
Cowboys: EPA allowed per throw
Green gains more than expected, red loses value. Cells with fewer than 5 throws are grayed out.