DOWN X DOWN › week 11 › Dolphins at Bills
Updated Nov 3, 9:16 AM ET
2026

Week 11 · Sunday 1:00 PM ET · Highmark Stadium

MIAvsBUF

Dolphins offensevsBills defense

Season numbers through Week 8: 7 games for Dolphins, 7 for Bills. Ranks are out of 32; #1 is the best offense or the stingiest defense.

Keys to the game · where this matchup tilts, from the season numbers4 reads
01
Biggest edge

Third downs favor Dolphins

Dolphins convert 44% of third downs (8th). Bills allow 42% (21st).

02
Opportunity

Deep right is open

Bills are worst against deep right throws, allowing +0.64 EPA per attempt. Dolphins send 9% of their throws there. That is a small part of their offense so far.

03
Watch out

Ground game stalls

Dolphins average 3.9 yards per carry (19th). Bills allow 3.6 (9th).

04
Wash

EPA per play

Call this one even. Dolphins average -0.05 EPA per play (23rd). Bills allow +0.06 (23rd). League average is +0.00.

Players to watch

The series · Dolphins and Bills since 1999, and this season's records55 meetings

The Bills lead the series 35–20 since 1999. Nov 9, 2025, at Hard Rock Stadium: the Dolphins won 30–13. Tua Tagovailoa started at quarterback for the Dolphins and Josh Allen for the Bills; Mike McDaniel and Sean McDermott coached.

Dolphins at home13–14the Dolphins' record
In Buffalo6–21the Dolphins' record
Most pointsDolphins 38 · Bills 562009 · 2020
Biggest winDolphins by 28 · Bills by 352009 · 2021
Playoffs0–1the Dolphins' record

The last 5

2025 · Wk 10BUF 13 at MIA 30
2025 · Wk 3MIA 21 at BUF 31
2024 · Wk 9MIA 27 at BUF 30
2024 · Wk 2BUF 31 at MIA 10
2023 · Wk 18BUF 21 at MIA 14

2026 records

DolphinsBills
Overall1–66–1
Division1–10–1
Conference1–44–1
Other conference0–22–0
Home0–33–1
Away1–33–0
Last 5LLLWLWLWWW
StreakLost 1Won 3
Points a game16.7 – 25.933.3 – 25.9

Every meeting since 1999, regular season and playoffs, from nflverse's game list, which starts in 1999; the all-time series goes back further. Franchises that moved count as one team (the Raiders, Chargers and Rams). Home and away are from the Dolphins' side. Records are this regular season.

The lineups · Dolphins offense against the Bills defenseDepth charts
Bills defense · 3-4 DDolphins offense · 3WR 1TE52Paul74Proctor55Brewer71Savaiinaea73Jackson85Dulcich2Willis0Gordon6Washington18Bell7Douglas91Oliver96Walker98Sanders15Rousseau9Chubb8Bernard42Williams21Igbinosun47Benford23Alford24Bishop22Gardner-Johnson

Dolphins offense · 3WR 1TE

  • QBMalik Willis#2 · 108/183 · 1268 yds · 6 TD · 5 INT
  • RBOllie Gordon II#0 · 91 car · 408 yds · 4 TD · 6 rec
  • WRMalik Washington#6 · 31 rec · 329 yds · 1 TD · 45 tgt
  • WRCaleb Douglas#7 · 13 rec · 226 yds · 2 TD · 19 tgt
  • WRChris Bell#18 · 12 rec · 148 yds · 0 TD · 24 tgt
  • TEGreg Dulcich#85 · 22 rec · 256 yds · 0 TD · 28 tgt
  • LTPatrick Paul#52
  • LGKadyn Proctor#74
  • CAaron Brewer#55
  • RGJonah Savaiinaea#71
  • RTAustin Jackson#73

Bills defense · Base 3-4 D

  • RDEEd Oliver#91 · 9 tackles · 0.5 sacks
  • NTDeone Walker#96 · 22 tackles · 1 sack · 5 PD
  • LDET.J. Sanders#98 · 8 tackles
  • WLBGreg Rousseau#15 · 24 tackles · 7 sacks · 7 PD
  • SLBBradley Chubb#9 · 17 tackles · 1.5 sacks
  • RILBTerrel Bernard#8 · 50 tackles · 1 PD
  • LILBDorian Williams#42 · 46 tackles · 1 INT · 2 PD
  • RCBDavison Igbinosun#21 · 28 tackles · 1 INT · 8 PD
  • LCBChristian Benford#47 · 29 tackles · 6 PD
  • NBDee Alford#23 · 15 tackles · 1 INT · 3 PD
  • SSCole Bishop#24 · 45 tackles · 1 sack · 2 PD
  • FSC.J. Gardner-Johnson#22 · 26 tackles · 1 INT · 2 PD

Starters from each team's current depth chart (nflverse, from ESPN), drawn in the offense's base three-receiver set against the defense's base front. The nickel back, the extra defensive back most teams use against three receivers, is drawn lighter. Left and right are as the offense sees the field. The toggle at the top flips which offense is drawn.

Head to head · MIA offense against BUF defense
StatMIA MIA offFavors MIA · Favors BUFBUF BUF def allowsNFL avg
Overall
EPA per play
-0.05#23
+0.06#23+0.00
Success rate
40%#28
46%#2644%
Yards per play
5.1#22
5.4#165.4
Explosive play rate
11%#6
10%#239%
Passing
Pass EPA per dropback
-0.09#25
+0.12#24+0.03
Sack rate
10%#31
5%#267%
Running
Run EPA per carry
-0.12#20
-0.08#17-0.08
Yards per carry
3.9#19
3.6#94.1
Money downs
3rd down conversion
44%#8
42%#2141%
Red zone TD rate
59%#17
68%#2461%
Targets by position
WR yards per game
130#22
154#24147
TE yards per game
40#24
71#2955
TE targets per game
5.1#29
9.1#297.6
RB receiving yards per game
12#32
44#2932
Where the ball goes · EPA per throwDeep is 15+ air yds

Dolphins: EPA per throw

Left
Middle
Right
Deep
+0.198% of throws
-0.057% of throws
+0.749% of throws
Short
+0.1627% of throws
+0.1113% of throws
-0.0736% of throws

Bills: EPA allowed per throw

Left
Middle
Right
Deep
+0.6118 throws
+0.4613 throws
+0.6425 throws
Short
+0.0477 throws
+0.3850 throws
+0.1785 throws

Green gains more than expected, red loses value. Cells with fewer than 5 throws are grayed out.