2026
Week 16 · Sunday 1:00 PM ET · U.S. Bank Stadium
vs
Commanders offensevsVikings defense
Season numbers through Week 8: 7 games for Commanders, 7 for Vikings. Ranks are out of 32; #1 is the best offense or the stingiest defense.
Ground game edge
Commanders average 3.9 yards per carry (18th). Vikings allow 4.5 (25th).
Deep middle is open
Vikings are worst against deep middle throws, allowing +1.12 EPA per attempt. Commanders send 2% of their throws there. That is a small part of their offense so far.
Third downs favor Vikings
Commanders convert 32% of third downs (31st). Vikings allow 31% (2nd).
Explosive play rate
Call this one even. Commanders create explosive plays on 9% of snaps (14th). Vikings give them up at 9% (14th).
Players to watch
Commanders
Jayden DanielsQB · 91/145 · 976 yds · 6 TD · 0 INTEPA per dropback +0.04 · 18th
Rachaad WhiteRB · 47 car · 200 yds · 3 TD · 16 recEPA per touch +0.01 · 17th
Stefon DiggsWR · 27 rec · 252 yds · 5 TD · 44 tgtEPA per target +0.23
Antonio WilliamsWR · 23 rec · 259 yds · 1 TD · 33 tgtEPA per target +0.31Rasul DouglasLeft Cornerback · 27 tackles · 2 INT · 6 PD2 INT · T-11th in the NFLOdafe OwehWeakside Linebacker · 16 tackles · 4 sacks4 sacks · T-22nd in the NFL
Vikings
Kyler MurrayQB · 100/154 · 1022 yds · 5 TD · 3 INTEPA per dropback -0.06 · 27th
Jordan MasonRB · 38 car · 147 yds · 1 TD · 0 recEPA per touch -0.26
Justin JeffersonWR · 28 rec · 335 yds · 4 TD · 40 tgtEPA per target +0.54 · 16th
T.J. HockensonTE · 31 rec · 295 yds · 3 TD · 37 tgtEPA per target +0.67 · 3rdAndrew Van GinkelWeakside Linebacker · 21 tackles · 6.5 sacks · 1 INT · 1 PD6.5 sacks · T-5th in the NFLBlake CashmanRight Inside Linebacker · 62 tackles · 4.5 sacks · 5 PD4.5 sacks · T-16th in the NFLThe Vikings lead the series 9–4 since 1999 (they first met in 2004). They have won the last 4. Dec 7, 2025, at U.S. Bank Stadium: the Vikings won 31–0. J.J. McCarthy started at quarterback for the Vikings and Marcus Mariota for the Commanders; Kevin O'Connell and Dan Quinn coached.
The last 5
| 2025 · Wk 14 | WAS 0 at MIN 31 |
| 2022 · Wk 9 | MIN 20 at WAS 17 |
| 2019 · Wk 8 | WAS 9 at MIN 19 |
| 2017 · Wk 10 | MIN 38 at WAS 30 |
| 2016 · Wk 10 | MIN 20 at WAS 26 |
2026 records
| Commanders | Vikings | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 2–4–1 | 6–1 |
| Division | 1–2–1 | 2–1 |
| Conference | 2–3–1 | 4–1 |
| Other conference | 0–1 | 2–0 |
| Home | 2–1–1 | 3–0 |
| Away | 0–3 | 3–1 |
| Last 5 | WLTLW | WWWWL |
| Streak | Won 1 | Lost 1 |
| Points a game | 22.7 – 26.0 | 20.0 – 13.3 |
Every meeting since 1999, regular season and playoffs, from nflverse's game list, which starts in 1999; the all-time series goes back further. Franchises that moved count as one team (the Raiders, Chargers and Rams). Home and away are from the Commanders' side. Records are this regular season.
Commanders offense · 3WR 1TE
- QBJayden Daniels#5 · 91/145 · 976 yds · 6 TD · 0 INT
- RBRachaad White#1 · 47 car · 200 yds · 3 TD · 16 rec
- WRStefon Diggs#3 · 27 rec · 252 yds · 5 TD · 44 tgt
- WRAntonio Williams#14 · 23 rec · 259 yds · 1 TD · 33 tgt
- WRTreylon Burks#13 · 12 rec · 233 yds · 2 TD · 22 tgt
- TEChig Okonkwo#85 · 17 rec · 182 yds · 0 TD · 24 tgt
- LTBrandon Coleman#74
- LGChris Paul#75
- CLucas Patrick#63
- RGSam Cosmi#76
- RTJosh Conerly Jr.#72
Vikings defense · Base 3-4 D
- RDEJalen Redmond#61 · 22 tackles · 0.5 sacks · 3 PD
- NTCaleb Banks#95 · 12 tackles
- LDELevi Drake Rodriguez#50 · 14 tackles · 1 sack
- WLBAndrew Van Ginkel#43 · 21 tackles · 6.5 sacks · 1 INT · 1 PD
- SLBDallas Turner#15 · 18 tackles · 6 sacks
- RILBBlake Cashman#51 · 62 tackles · 4.5 sacks · 5 PD
- LILBEric Wilson#55 · 41 tackles · 3 sacks · 1 PD
- RCBJames Pierre#23 · 24 tackles · 2 INT · 4 PD
- LCBIsaiah Rodgers#2 · 22 tackles · 1 INT · 4 PD
- NBByron Murphy Jr.#7 · 34 tackles · 3 INT · 6 PD
- SSJoshua Metellus#44 · 50 tackles · 0.5 sacks · 4 PD
- FSHarrison Smith#22 · 15 tackles · 0.5 sacks · 1 INT · 4 PD
Starters from each team's current depth chart (nflverse, from ESPN), drawn in the offense's base three-receiver set against the defense's base front. The nickel back, the extra defensive back most teams use against three receivers, is drawn lighter. Left and right are as the offense sees the field. The toggle at the top flips which offense is drawn.
| Stat | WAS off | Favors WAS · Favors MIN | MIN def allows | NFL avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | ||||
| EPA per play | -0.01#18 | -0.17#1 | +0.00 | |
| Success rate | 41%#25 | 37%#2 | 44% | |
| Yards per play | 5.3#21 | 4.7#2 | 5.4 | |
| Explosive play rate | 9%#14 | 9%#14 | 9% | |
| Passing | ||||
| Pass EPA per dropback | -0.01#20 | -0.24#1 | +0.03 | |
| Sack rate | 7%#17 | 11%#1 | 7% | |
| Running | ||||
| Run EPA per carry | -0.12#21 | -0.11#10 | -0.08 | |
| Yards per carry | 3.9#18 | 4.5#25 | 4.1 | |
| Money downs | ||||
| 3rd down conversion | 32%#31 | 31%#2 | 41% | |
| Red zone TD rate | 55%#20 | 27%#1 | 61% | |
| Targets by position | ||||
| WR yards per game | 156#13 | 123#6 | 147 | |
| TE yards per game | 33#27 | 39#4 | 55 | |
| TE targets per game | 5.1#28 | 6.3#6 | 7.6 | |
| RB receiving yards per game | 24#24 | 18#3 | 32 | |
Commanders: EPA per throw
Vikings: EPA allowed per throw
Green gains more than expected, red loses value. Cells with fewer than 5 throws are grayed out.