2026
Week 16 · Friday 1:00 PM ET · Soldier Field
vs
Bears offensevsPackers defense
Season numbers through Week 8: 7 games for Bears, 8 for Packers. Ranks are out of 32; #1 is the best offense or the stingiest defense.
Third downs favor Bears
Bears convert 44% of third downs (7th). Packers allow 44% (23rd).
Deep left is open
Packers are worst against deep left throws, allowing +0.61 EPA per attempt. Bears send 4% of their throws there. That is a small part of their offense so far.
Tight ends go quiet
Packers give up 35 yards a game to tight ends (3rd), against a league average of 55. Bears' tight ends produce 52 (19th).
EPA per play
Call this one even. Bears average +0.05 EPA per play (10th). Packers allow -0.07 (7th). League average is +0.00.
Players to watch
Packers
Jordan LoveQB · 192/312 · 2246 yds · 16 TD · 6 INTEPA per dropback +0.14 · 13th
Josh JacobsRB · 32 car · 75 yds · 3 TD · 11 recEPA per touch -0.05 · 29th
Matthew GoldenWR · 43 rec · 619 yds · 4 TD · 82 tgtEPA per target +0.09
Christian WatsonWR · 42 rec · 708 yds · 6 TD · 66 tgtEPA per target +0.46 · 23rdXavier McKinneyFree Safety · 34 tackles · 1 sack · 3 INT · 4 PD3 INT · T-2nd in the NFLEvan WilliamsStrong Safety · 70 tackles · 1 sack · 2 INT · 6 PD2 INT · T-11th in the NFL
Bears
Caleb WilliamsQB · 88/124 · 1020 yds · 5 TD · 1 INTEPA per dropback +0.31 · 2nd
D'Andre SwiftRB · 116 car · 476 yds · 7 TD · 22 recEPA per touch -0.02 · 24th
Luther Burden IIIWR · 35 rec · 491 yds · 2 TD · 47 tgtEPA per target +0.31
Colston LovelandTE · 26 rec · 244 yds · 2 TD · 42 tgtEPA per target -0.04Jeffery SimmonsRight Defensive Tackle · 38 tackles · 4 sacks · 3 PD4 sacks · T-22nd in the NFLDillon ThienemanStrong Safety · 46 tackles · 1.5 sacks · 1 INT · 5 PD1 INTThe Packers lead the series 41–16 since 1999. Oct 11, 2026, at Lambeau Field: the Packers won 31–7. Jordan Love started at quarterback for the Packers and Tyson Bagent for the Bears; Matt LaFleur and Ben Johnson coached.
The last 5
| 2026 · Wk 5 | CHI 7 at GB 31 |
| 2025 · Wk 19 · playoffs | GB 27 at CHI 31 |
| 2025 · Wk 16 · OT | GB 16 at CHI 22 |
| 2025 · Wk 14 | CHI 21 at GB 28 |
| 2024 · Wk 18 | CHI 24 at GB 22 |
2026 records
| Packers | Bears | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5–3 | 5–2 |
| Division | 1–2 | 0–2 |
| Conference | 4–3 | 3–2 |
| Other conference | 1–0 | 2–0 |
| Home | 3–1 | 3–1 |
| Away | 2–2 | 2–1 |
| Last 5 | WWWLW | WWLWW |
| Streak | Won 1 | Won 2 |
| Points a game | 21.4 – 20.5 | 25.7 – 20.4 |
Every meeting since 1999, regular season and playoffs, from nflverse's game list, which starts in 1999; the all-time series goes back further. Franchises that moved count as one team (the Raiders, Chargers and Rams). Home and away are from the Packers' side. Records are this regular season.
Bears offense · 3WR 1TE
- QBCaleb Williams#18 · 88/124 · 1020 yds · 5 TD · 1 INT
- RBD'Andre Swift#4 · 116 car · 476 yds · 7 TD · 22 rec
- WRRome Odunze#15 · 24 rec · 381 yds · 0 TD · 38 tgt
- WRLuther Burden III#10 · 35 rec · 491 yds · 2 TD · 47 tgt
- WRKalif Raymond#14 · 26 rec · 244 yds · 1 TD · 31 tgt
- TEColston Loveland#84 · 26 rec · 244 yds · 2 TD · 42 tgt
- LTTheo Benedet#79
- LGJoe Thuney#62
- CGarrett Bradbury#67
- RGJonah Jackson#73
- RTDarnell Wright#58
Packers defense · Base 3-4 D
- RDEDevonte Wyatt#95 · 19 tackles · 3 sacks
- NTChris McClellan#55 · 15 tackles
- LDEKarl Brooks#94 · 14 tackles
- WLBLukas Van Ness#90 · 31 tackles · 4.5 sacks · 1 PD
- SLBBarryn Sorrell#99 · 24 tackles · 1.5 sacks
- RILBTy'Ron Hopper#59 · 27 tackles · 1 sack · 2 INT · 5 PD
- LILBZaire Franklin#44 · 41 tackles · 1 PD
- RCBBrandon Cisse#2 · 33 tackles · 1.5 sacks · 1 INT · 8 PD
- LCBKeisean Nixon#25 · 43 tackles · 0.5 sacks · 1 INT · 6 PD
- NBJavon Bullard#7 · 41 tackles · 7 PD
- SSEvan Williams#33 · 70 tackles · 1 sack · 2 INT · 6 PD
- FSXavier McKinney#29 · 34 tackles · 1 sack · 3 INT · 4 PD
Starters from each team's current depth chart (nflverse, from ESPN), drawn in the offense's base three-receiver set against the defense's base front. The nickel back, the extra defensive back most teams use against three receivers, is drawn lighter. Left and right are as the offense sees the field. The toggle at the top flips which offense is drawn.
| Stat | CHI off | Favors CHI · Favors GB | GB def allows | NFL avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | ||||
| EPA per play | +0.05#10 | -0.07#7 | +0.00 | |
| Success rate | 47%#8 | 44%#15 | 44% | |
| Yards per play | 5.5#15 | 4.8#3 | 5.4 | |
| Explosive play rate | 10%#10 | 6%#3 | 9% | |
| Passing | ||||
| Pass EPA per dropback | +0.11#12 | -0.06#5 | +0.03 | |
| Sack rate | 7%#20 | 7%#13 | 7% | |
| Running | ||||
| Run EPA per carry | -0.06#15 | -0.10#11 | -0.08 | |
| Yards per carry | 4.3#11 | 3.9#14 | 4.1 | |
| Money downs | ||||
| 3rd down conversion | 44%#7 | 44%#23 | 41% | |
| Red zone TD rate | 53%#24 | 60%#13 | 61% | |
| Targets by position | ||||
| WR yards per game | 167#8 | 152#22 | 147 | |
| TE yards per game | 52#19 | 35#3 | 55 | |
| TE targets per game | 8.7#7 | 6.1#4 | 7.6 | |
| RB receiving yards per game | 36#11 | 34#19 | 32 | |
Bears: EPA per throw
Packers: EPA allowed per throw
Green gains more than expected, red loses value. Cells with fewer than 5 throws are grayed out.