DOWN X DOWN › week 17 › Bills at Dolphins
Updated Nov 3, 7:02 AM ET
2026
2026this season2025final

Week 17 · Sunday 1:00 PM ET · Hard Rock Stadium

BUFvsMIA

Bills offensevsDolphins defense

Season numbers through Week 8: 7 games for Bills, 7 for Dolphins. Ranks are out of 32; #1 is the best offense or the stingiest defense.

BUF offenseMIA offense
Keys to the game · where this matchup tilts, from the season numbers4 reads
01
Biggest edge

Throw it

Bills gain +0.23 EPA per dropback (4th). Dolphins allow +0.30 (32nd).

02
Opportunity

Deep right is open

Dolphins are worst against deep right throws, allowing +1.34 EPA per attempt. Bills send 5% of their throws there. That is a small part of their offense so far.

03
Watch out

Wideouts get blanketed

Dolphins give up 121 yards a game to wide receivers (4th), against a league average of 147. Bills' wide receivers produce 145 (17th).

04
Wash

Yards per play

Call this one even. Bills gain 6.5 yards per play (2nd). Dolphins give up 5.9 (27th), with the league at 5.4.

Players to watch

BUF Bills

17Josh AllenQB · 135/205 · 1793 yds · 11 TD · 5 INTEPA per dropback +0.27 · 5th4James CookRB · 138 car · 707 yds · 7 TD · 12 recEPA per touch +0.08 · 11th10Khalil ShakirWR · 27 rec · 354 yds · 1 TD · 38 tgtEPA per target +0.4086Dalton KincaidTE · 27 rec · 401 yds · 2 TD · 35 tgtEPA per target +0.50 · 8th15Greg RousseauWeakside Linebacker · 24 tackles · 7 sacks · 7 PD7 sacks · T-3rd in the NFL21Davison IgbinosunRight Cornerback · 28 tackles · 1 INT · 8 PD1 INT

MIA Dolphins

2Malik WillisQB · 108/183 · 1268 yds · 6 TD · 5 INTEPA per dropback -0.07 · 27th0Ollie Gordon IIRB · 91 car · 408 yds · 4 TD · 6 recEPA per touch -0.05 · 29th6Malik WashingtonWR · 31 rec · 329 yds · 1 TD · 45 tgtEPA per target +0.1685Greg DulcichTE · 22 rec · 256 yds · 0 TD · 28 tgtEPA per target +0.47 · 9th44Chop RobinsonLeft Defensive End · 13 tackles · 4 sacks4 sacks · T-23rd in the NFL16Michael TaaffeFree Safety · 38 tackles · 2 INT · 2 PD2 INT · T-11th in the NFL
The series · Bills and Dolphins since 1999, and this season's records55 meetings

The Bills lead the series 35–20 since 1999. Nov 9, 2025, at Hard Rock Stadium: the Dolphins won 30–13. Tua Tagovailoa started at quarterback for the Dolphins and Josh Allen for the Bills; Mike McDaniel and Sean McDermott coached.

Bills at home21–6the Bills' record
In Miami14–13the Bills' record
Most pointsBills 56 · Dolphins 382020 · 2009
Biggest winBills by 35 · Dolphins by 282021 · 2009
Playoffs1–0the Bills' record

The last 5

2025 · Wk 10BUF 13 at MIA 30
2025 · Wk 3MIA 21 at BUF 31
2024 · Wk 9MIA 27 at BUF 30
2024 · Wk 2BUF 31 at MIA 10
2023 · Wk 18BUF 21 at MIA 14

2026 records

BillsDolphins
Overall6–11–6
Division0–11–1
Conference4–11–4
Other conference2–00–2
Home3–10–3
Away3–01–3
Last 5WLWWWLLLWL
StreakWon 3Lost 1
Points a game33.3 – 25.916.7 – 25.9

Every meeting since 1999, regular season and playoffs, from nflverse's game list, which starts in 1999; the all-time series goes back further. Franchises that moved count as one team (the Raiders, Chargers and Rams). Home and away are from the Bills' side. Records are this regular season.

The lineups · Bills offense against the Dolphins defenseDepth charts
Dolphins defense · 4-3 DBills offense · 3WR 1TE73Dawkins70Anderson66McGovern64Torrence79Brown86Kincaid17Allen4Cook2Moore0Coleman10Shakir9Uche92SielerPhillips44Robinson20Brooks10Rodriguez40Gay8Brents4Marshall3Johnson11Trader16Taaffe

Bills offense · 3WR 1TE

  • QBJosh Allen#17 · 135/205 · 1793 yds · 11 TD · 5 INT
  • RBJames Cook III#4 · 138 car · 707 yds · 7 TD · 12 rec
  • WRDJ Moore#2 · 16 rec · 260 yds · 2 TD · 27 tgt
  • WRKhalil Shakir#10 · 27 rec · 354 yds · 1 TD · 38 tgt
  • WRKeon Coleman#0 · 20 rec · 287 yds · 3 TD · 27 tgt
  • TEDalton Kincaid#86 · 27 rec · 401 yds · 2 TD · 35 tgt
  • LTDion Dawkins#73
  • LGAlec Anderson#70
  • CConnor McGovern#66
  • RGO'Cyrus Torrence#64
  • RTSpencer Brown#79

Dolphins defense · Base 4-3 D

  • RDEJosh Uche#9 · 29 tackles · 2 sacks
  • RDTZach Sieler#92 · 23 tackles · 2 sacks
  • LDTJordan Phillips · 0 tackles
  • LDEChop Robinson#44 · 13 tackles · 4 sacks
  • WLBJordyn Brooks#20 · 63 tackles · 1 PD
  • MLBJacob Rodriguez#10 · 68 tackles · 1 INT · 1 PD
  • SLBWillie Gay Jr.#40 · 19 tackles
  • RCBJuJu Brents#8 · 25 tackles · 1 PD
  • LCBJason Marshall Jr.#4 · 22 tackles
  • NBChris Johnson#3 · 39 tackles · 2 PD
  • SSDante Trader Jr.#11 · 37 tackles · 1 INT · 3 PD
  • FSMichael Taaffe#16 · 38 tackles · 2 INT · 2 PD

Starters from each team's current depth chart (nflverse, from ESPN), drawn in the offense's base three-receiver set against the defense's base front. The nickel back, the extra defensive back most teams use against three receivers, is drawn lighter. Left and right are as the offense sees the field. The toggle at the top flips which offense is drawn.

Head to head · BUF offense against MIA defense
StatBUF BUF offFavors BUF · Favors MIAMIA MIA def allowsNFL avg
Overall
EPA per play
+0.18#1
+0.13#32+0.00
Success rate
49%#4
49%#3244%
Yards per play
6.5#2
5.9#275.4
Explosive play rate
15%#1
11%#269%
Passing
Pass EPA per dropback
+0.23#4
+0.30#32+0.03
Sack rate
6%#13
4%#287%
Running
Run EPA per carry
+0.02#6
-0.07#19-0.08
Yards per carry
4.5#7
4.1#184.1
Money downs
3rd down conversion
47%#6
54%#3241%
Red zone TD rate
72%#3
64%#1961%
Targets by position
WR yards per game
145#17
121#4147
TE yards per game
64#9
69#2855
TE targets per game
7.1#19
7.9#187.6
RB receiving yards per game
46#7
41#2532
Where the ball goes · EPA per throwDeep is 15+ air yds

Bills: EPA per throw

Left
Middle
Right
Deep
-0.138% of throws
+1.408% of throws
+1.215% of throws
Short
+0.4627% of throws
-0.1216% of throws
+0.2236% of throws

Dolphins: EPA allowed per throw

Left
Middle
Right
Deep
+0.7211 throws
+0.8011 throws
+1.3415 throws
Short
+0.2455 throws
+0.2233 throws
+0.2770 throws

Green gains more than expected, red loses value. Cells with fewer than 5 throws are grayed out.