2026
Week 2 · Sunday 4:25 PM ET · State Farm Stadium
vs
Cardinals offensevsSeahawks defense
Season numbers through Week 8: 8 games for Cardinals, 7 for Seahawks. Ranks are out of 32; #1 is the best offense or the stingiest defense.
The Seahawks won 31–7 and were favored the whole way, never below 58%. The biggest single swing came at Q1 12:38, 14 points for the Seahawks.
The plays that swung it
- 1Q1 12:38SEAD.Lock pass deep right to J.Smith-Njigba for 82 yards, TOUCHDOWN.65% → 79%
- 2Q2 15:00ARIJ.Brissett pass short left to T.McBride for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.24% → 34%
- 3Q3 15:00SEAC.Ryland kicks 64 yards from ARI 35 to SEA 1. R.Shaheed to SEA 28 for 27 yards (E.Higgins). FUMBLES (E.Higgins), touched at SEA 28, recovered by…62% → 70%
- 4Q3 12:31SEAD.Lock pass short middle to J.Smith-Njigba for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.73% → 81%
- 5Q2 0:35ARIB.Gillikin punts 43 yards to SEA 23 R.Shaheed to SEA 26 for 3 yards (Z.Collins; H.Long).32% → 39%
Win probability is nflverse's model, which starts from the betting line and updates before every snap with the score, the clock, down, distance, field position and timeouts. A swing is the change in one team's chance across a play, in percentage points. The turning point is the play after which the winner never fell to 50% again.
J.Smith-Njigba led the Seahawks at +17.9 EPA (9 catches for 155). T.McBride led the Cardinals at +5.1 EPA (8 catches for 41).
Seahawks
| Passing | C/A | Yds | TD | INT | Sk | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.Lock100% | 19/26 | 235 | 3 | 1 | +16.1 |
| Rushing | Car | Share | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E.Wilson41% | 21 | 53% | 92 | -3.9 | |
| J.Price34% | 13 | 33% | 52 | -7.5 | |
| G.Holani26% | 4 | 10% | 13 | +2.2 | |
| R.Shaheed56% | 1 | 3% | 4 | -0.4 | |
| A.Barner80% | 1 | 3% | 1 | 1 | +2.5 |
| Receiving | Tgt | Share | Rec | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.Smith-Njigba67% | 11 | 42% | 9 | 155 | 3 | +17.9 |
| R.Shaheed56% | 6 | 23% | 3 | 35 | -1.6 | |
| C.Kupp43% | 2 | 8% | 2 | 20 | +0.2 | |
| J.Price34% | 2 | 8% | 1 | 8 | +0.5 | |
| E.Saubert24% | 1 | 4% | 1 | -10 | -1.6 | |
| E.Wilson41% | 1 | 4% | 0 | 0 | -0.5 | |
| G.Holani26% | 1 | 4% | 1 | 2 | -0.4 | |
| A.Barner80% | 1 | 4% | 1 | 8 | +0.5 | |
| E.Arroyo21% | 1 | 4% | 1 | 17 | +1.4 |
Defense J.Love 1 INT, L.Williams 1 sack, J.Reed 1 sack · Kicking J.Myers 1/1 FG (long 33)
Cardinals
| Passing | C/A | Yds | TD | INT | Sk | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.Brissett100% | 17/28 | 95 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -8.1 |
| Rushing | Car | Share | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.Love40% | 9 | 53% | 29 | -2.5 | |
| T.Allgeier64% | 5 | 29% | 10 | -2.8 | |
| B.Knight6% | 2 | 12% | 24 | -1.1 | |
| J.Brissett100% | 1 | 6% | 7 | -0.8 |
| Receiving | Tgt | Share | Rec | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.McBride88% | 10 | 38% | 8 | 41 | 1 | +5.1 |
| M.Wilson94% | 7 | 27% | 2 | 18 | -5.0 | |
| K.Bourne60% | 3 | 12% | 2 | 11 | -1.7 | |
| J.Love40% | 3 | 12% | 3 | 16 | +0.1 | |
| T.Allgeier64% | 2 | 8% | 2 | 9 | -0.4 | |
| M.Jr.74% | 1 | 4% | 0 | 0 | -0.3 |
Defense B.Baker 1 sack
Each player's line for this game from nflverse's weekly stats; the percentage beside his name is his share of the offense's snaps. Share is his part of the team's carries or targets in this game. Defense lists sacks and interceptions; kicking lists field goals.
Tight ends feast
Seahawks give up 6.6 targets a game to tight ends (8th), against a league average of 7.6. Cardinals' tight ends produce 13.5 (2nd).
Short left is open
Seahawks are worst against short left throws, allowing +0.14 EPA per attempt. Cardinals send 29% of their throws there.
Wideouts get blanketed
Seahawks give up 92 yards a game to wide receivers (1st), against a league average of 147. Cardinals' wide receivers produce 123 (26th).
Success rate
Call this one even. Cardinals succeed on 44% of plays (13th) against a defense that allows 37% (1st).
The Seahawks lead the series 31–17–1 since 1999 (they first met in 2002). They have won the last 10. This game is the latest meeting.
The last 5
| 2026 · Wk 2 | SEA 31 at ARI 7 |
| 2025 · Wk 10 | ARI 22 at SEA 44 |
| 2025 · Wk 4 | SEA 23 at ARI 20 |
| 2024 · Wk 14 | SEA 30 at ARI 18 |
| 2024 · Wk 12 | ARI 6 at SEA 16 |
2026 records
| Seahawks | Cardinals | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4–3 | 3–5 |
| Division | 1–1 | 1–2 |
| Conference | 1–2 | 2–4 |
| Other conference | 3–1 | 1–1 |
| Home | 3–1 | 0–3 |
| Away | 1–2 | 3–2 |
| Last 5 | LWLLW | LLWLW |
| Streak | Won 1 | Won 1 |
| Points a game | 24.0 – 17.9 | 21.9 – 29.8 |
Every meeting since 1999, regular season and playoffs, from nflverse's game list, which starts in 1999; the all-time series goes back further. Franchises that moved count as one team (the Raiders, Chargers and Rams). Home and away are from the Seahawks' side. Records are this regular season.
| Stat | ARI off | Favors ARI · Favors SEA | SEA def allows | NFL avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | ||||
| EPA per play | -0.02#19 | -0.13#3 | +0.00 | |
| Success rate | 44%#13 | 37%#1 | 44% | |
| Yards per play | 4.9#27 | 4.1#1 | 5.4 | |
| Explosive play rate | 6%#31 | 5%#2 | 9% | |
| Passing | ||||
| Pass EPA per dropback | -0.02#21 | -0.14#3 | +0.03 | |
| Sack rate | 6%#12 | 7%#12 | 7% | |
| Running | ||||
| Run EPA per carry | -0.05#12 | -0.18#3 | -0.08 | |
| Yards per carry | 4.2#14 | 3.3#1 | 4.1 | |
| Money downs | ||||
| 3rd down conversion | 40%#17 | 32%#4 | 41% | |
| Red zone TD rate | 50%#30 | 85%#32 | 61% | |
| Targets by position | ||||
| WR yards per game | 123#26 | 92#1 | 147 | |
| TE yards per game | 91#2 | 34#2 | 55 | |
| TE targets per game | 13.5#2 | 6.6#8 | 7.6 | |
| RB receiving yards per game | 25#23 | 32#15 | 32 | |
Cardinals: EPA per throw
Seahawks: EPA allowed per throw
Green gains more than expected, red loses value. Cells with fewer than 5 throws are grayed out.