2026
Week 4 · Sunday 1:00 PM ET · MetLife Stadium
vs
Giants offensevsCardinals defense
Season numbers through Week 8: 7 games for Giants, 8 for Cardinals. Ranks are out of 32; #1 is the best offense or the stingiest defense.
The Giants won 36–24 from as low as 15% (Q2 15:00, down 14–3). The Cardinals had been 59% favorites at kickoff. The game turned for good at Q3 1:48: J.Winston pass short middle to T.Johnson for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN (43% → 50%). The biggest single swing came at Q4 0:11, 22 points for the Giants.
The plays that swung it
- 1Q4 0:11ARIJ.Brissett pass short left intended for Mi.Wilson INTERCEPTED by D.Banks at NYG 2. D.Banks for 98 yards, TOUCHDOWN.78% → 100%
- 2Q2 3:15ARIJ.Brissett pass short left intended for Mi.Wilson INTERCEPTED by A.Reese (S.Harris) at ARI 34. A.Reese to ARI 26 for 8 yards (I.Adams).32% → 50%
- 3Q3 5:47NYGJ.Winston pass deep left to M.Fields pushed ob at ARI 18 for 40 yards (W.Williams).25% → 41%
- 4Q4 11:14NYGN.Harris left guard to ARI 41 for 2 yards (Ma.Wilson; D.Stills). FUMBLES (Ma.Wilson), RECOVERED by ARI-Z.Collins at ARI 42.31% → 46%
- 5Q4 0:14ARIJ.Brissett pass incomplete short left to T.McBride (D.Banks).64% → 78%
- ★Q3 1:48NYGJ.Winston pass short middle to T.Johnson for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN.turning point43% → 50%
Win probability is nflverse's model, which starts from the betting line and updates before every snap with the score, the clock, down, distance, field position and timeouts. A swing is the change in one team's chance across a play, in percentage points. Each play is tagged with the team that had the ball; the bar names the team it helped. The turning point is the play after which the winner never fell to 50% again.
E.Higgins led the Cardinals at +2.3 EPA (2 catches for 19). M.Nabers led the Giants at +10.9 EPA (6 catches for 112).
Cardinals
| Passing | C/A | Yds | TD | INT | Sk | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.Brissett100% | 21/35 | 166 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -18.2 |
| Rushing | Car | Share | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.Love45% | 14 | 54% | 63 | -0.3 | |
| T.Allgeier55% | 8 | 31% | 42 | 1 | +1.4 |
| J.Brissett100% | 4 | 15% | 18 | +1.3 |
| Receiving | Tgt | Share | Rec | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M.Wilson94% | 13 | 37% | 7 | 95 | -9.4 | |
| T.McBride97% | 12 | 34% | 7 | 31 | -5.2 | |
| M.Jr.65% | 4 | 11% | 1 | 12 | 1 | -1.4 |
| T.Allgeier55% | 2 | 6% | 2 | 7 | -1.8 | |
| E.Higgins36% | 2 | 6% | 2 | 19 | 1 | +2.3 |
| H.Long30% | 1 | 3% | 1 | 10 | +1.3 | |
| J.Love45% | 1 | 3% | 1 | -8 | -0.9 |
Defense B.Baker 1 INT, D.Burke 1 INT, J.Sweat 1 sack, Z.Collins 1 sack · Kicking C.Ryland 1/1 FG, 3/3 XP, 6 pts
Giants
| Passing | C/A | Yds | TD | INT | Sk | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.Winston100% | 18/29 | 250 | 3 | 2 | 4 | +3.9 |
| Rushing | Car | Share | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.Skattebo64% | 18 | 64% | 58 | -3.4 | |
| N.Harris18% | 9 | 32% | 30 | -4.6 | |
| T.Jr.18% | 1 | 4% | -1 | -1.0 |
| Receiving | Tgt | Share | Rec | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I.Likely66% | 12 | 41% | 7 | 66 | -3.9 | |
| M.Nabers76% | 7 | 24% | 6 | 112 | 1 | +10.9 |
| M.Fields66% | 3 | 10% | 2 | 52 | 1 | +4.7 |
| P.Ricard46% | 2 | 7% | 1 | 1 | -1.3 | |
| D.Mooney55% | 2 | 7% | 0 | 0 | -2.3 | |
| B.Berrios3% | 1 | 3% | 0 | 0 | -1.4 | |
| T.Johnson33% | 1 | 3% | 1 | 11 | 1 | +2.2 |
| C.Skattebo64% | 1 | 3% | 1 | 8 | +0.8 |
Defense G.II 1 INT, D.Banks 1 INT, A.Reese 1 INT, T.Edmunds 1 sack · Kicking D.Zvada 3/3 FG, 1/1 XP, 10 pts
Each player's line for this game from nflverse's weekly stats; the percentage beside his name is his share of the offense's snaps. Share is his part of the team's carries or targets in this game. Defense lists sacks and interceptions; kicking lists field goals.
Tight ends feast
Cardinals give up 56 yards a game to tight ends (20th), against a league average of 55. Giants' tight ends produce 68 (5th).
Deep right is open
Cardinals are worst against deep right throws, allowing +0.75 EPA per attempt. Giants send 9% of their throws there. That is a small part of their offense so far.
Pressure problem
Giants take a sack on 8% of dropbacks (25th). Cardinals get home on 8% (9th). League average is 7%.
Explosive play rate
Call this one even. Giants create explosive plays on 9% of snaps (20th). Cardinals give them up at 10% (19th).
The series is even at 9–9 since 1999. The Giants have won the last 2. This game is the latest meeting.
The last 5
| 2026 · Wk 4 | ARI 24 at NYG 36 |
| 2023 · Wk 2 | NYG 31 at ARI 28 |
| 2020 · Wk 14 | ARI 26 at NYG 7 |
| 2019 · Wk 7 | ARI 27 at NYG 21 |
| 2017 · Wk 16 | NYG 0 at ARI 23 |
2026 records
| Cardinals | Giants | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 3–5 | 4–2–1 |
| Division | 1–2 | 1–0–1 |
| Conference | 2–4 | 2–2–1 |
| Other conference | 1–1 | 2–0 |
| Home | 0–3 | 3–1 |
| Away | 3–2 | 1–1–1 |
| Last 5 | LLWLW | WWTLW |
| Streak | Won 1 | Won 1 |
| Points a game | 21.9 – 29.8 | 23.3 – 23.0 |
Every meeting since 1999, regular season and playoffs, from nflverse's game list, which starts in 1999; the all-time series goes back further. Franchises that moved count as one team (the Raiders, Chargers and Rams). Home and away are from the Cardinals' side. Records are this regular season.
| Stat | NYG off | Favors NYG · Favors ARI | ARI def allows | NFL avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | ||||
| EPA per play | +0.01#16 | +0.08#26 | +0.00 | |
| Success rate | 42%#20 | 43%#13 | 44% | |
| Yards per play | 5.4#17 | 5.8#24 | 5.4 | |
| Explosive play rate | 9%#20 | 10%#19 | 9% | |
| Passing | ||||
| Pass EPA per dropback | +0.05#17 | +0.23#31 | +0.03 | |
| Sack rate | 8%#25 | 8%#9 | 7% | |
| Running | ||||
| Run EPA per carry | -0.08#17 | -0.14#6 | -0.08 | |
| Yards per carry | 4.0#17 | 3.9#13 | 4.1 | |
| Money downs | ||||
| 3rd down conversion | 43%#12 | 41%#17 | 41% | |
| Red zone TD rate | 67%#11 | 67%#21 | 61% | |
| Targets by position | ||||
| WR yards per game | 147#16 | 152#21 | 147 | |
| TE yards per game | 68#5 | 56#20 | 55 | |
| TE targets per game | 10.4#3 | 7.0#12 | 7.6 | |
| RB receiving yards per game | 27#21 | 30#13 | 32 | |
Giants: EPA per throw
Cardinals: EPA allowed per throw
Green gains more than expected, red loses value. Cells with fewer than 5 throws are grayed out.