2026
Week 6 · Sunday 1:00 PM ET · Lincoln Financial Field
vs
Panthers offensevsEagles defense
Season numbers through Week 8: 7 games for Panthers, 8 for Eagles. Ranks are out of 32; #1 is the best offense or the stingiest defense.
The Panthers won 25–14 and were favored the whole way, never below 60%. The biggest single swing came at Q2 1:56, 9 points for the Panthers.
The plays that swung it
- 1Q2 1:56CARB.Young pass deep left to T.McMillan to CAR 36 for 21 yards (Q.Mitchell).65% → 74%
- 2Q3 11:37CARR.Fitzgerald 52 yard field goal is GOOD71% → 79%
- 3Q4 10:48PHIT.McKee pass deep right to D.Smith for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN.11% → 19%
- 4Q3 4:27CARB.Young pass short middle to J.Coker to CAR 42 for 32 yards (A.Mukuba).78% → 85%
- 5Q1 14:55CART.McKee sacked at PHI 15 for -11 yards (B.Okereke).60% → 67%
Win probability is nflverse's model, which starts from the betting line and updates before every snap with the score, the clock, down, distance, field position and timeouts. A swing is the change in one team's chance across a play, in percentage points. The turning point is the play after which the winner never fell to 50% again.
T.McMillan led the Panthers at +5.7 EPA (6 catches for 86). D.Goedert led the Eagles at +4.4 EPA (6 catches for 61).
Panthers
| Passing | C/A | Yds | TD | INT | Sk | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B.Young100% | 20/39 | 281 | 2 | 2 | +4.0 |
| Rushing | Car | Share | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.Hubbard94% | 28 | 85% | 120 | 1 | +5.1 |
| B.Young100% | 3 | 9% | 6 | -5.4 | |
| M.Evans54% | 1 | 3% | 1 | +0.4 | |
| T.Etienne4% | 1 | 3% | -1 | -1.0 |
| Receiving | Tgt | Share | Rec | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.Coker75% | 13 | 37% | 6 | 97 | +0.9 | |
| T.McMillan76% | 9 | 26% | 6 | 86 | +5.7 | |
| T.Tremble68% | 4 | 11% | 4 | 46 | 2 | +4.8 |
| J.III34% | 3 | 9% | 2 | 24 | +0.6 | |
| D.Waller46% | 2 | 6% | 0 | 0 | -2.9 | |
| C.Hubbard94% | 2 | 6% | 1 | 1 | -1.0 | |
| D.Moore3% | 1 | 3% | 1 | 27 | +2.2 | |
| M.Evans54% | 1 | 3% | 0 | 0 | -0.5 |
Defense B.Okereke 1 sack, D.Lloyd 1 sack, J.Phillips 0.5 sacks, T.Moehrig 0.5 sacks · Kicking R.Fitzgerald 2/2 FG (long 52)
Eagles
| Passing | C/A | Yds | TD | INT | Sk | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.McKee100% | 26/45 | 215 | 1 | 3 | -8.6 |
| Rushing | Car | Share | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.Pierce95% | 12 | 92% | 35 | 1 | -0.3 |
| T.McKee100% | 1 | 8% | 0 | -1.5 |
| Receiving | Tgt | Share | Rec | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.Smith66% | 14 | 32% | 7 | 75 | 1 | -0.5 |
| D.Goedert81% | 8 | 18% | 6 | 61 | +4.4 | |
| M.Lemon81% | 6 | 14% | 3 | 19 | -2.9 | |
| D.Pierce95% | 5 | 11% | 4 | 15 | -2.8 | |
| D.Wicks62% | 4 | 9% | 2 | 24 | +1.8 | |
| E.Moore12% | 2 | 5% | 1 | 4 | -1.2 | |
| C.Steele5% | 2 | 5% | 1 | 4 | -1.0 | |
| D.Cooper61% | 2 | 5% | 1 | 9 | -0.6 | |
| J.Mundt30% | 1 | 2% | 1 | 4 | -0.2 |
Defense N.Smith 1 sack, J.Davis 0.5 sacks, J.Jr. 0.5 sacks
Each player's line for this game from nflverse's weekly stats; the percentage beside his name is his share of the offense's snaps. Share is his part of the team's carries or targets in this game. Defense lists sacks and interceptions; kicking lists field goals.
Wideouts feast
Eagles give up 184 yards a game to wide receivers (29th), against a league average of 147. Panthers' wide receivers produce 181 (5th).
Deep left is open
Eagles are worst against deep left throws, allowing +0.69 EPA per attempt. Panthers send 6% of their throws there. That is a small part of their offense so far.
Checkdowns go nowhere
Eagles give up 19 yards a game to running backs (4th), against a league average of 32. Panthers' running backs produce 30 (18th).
Explosive play rate
Call this one even. Panthers create explosive plays on 9% of snaps (18th). Eagles give them up at 10% (21st).
The Eagles lead the series 8–6 since 1999. This game is the latest meeting.
The last 5
| 2026 · Wk 6 | CAR 25 at PHI 14 |
| 2024 · Wk 14 | CAR 16 at PHI 22 |
| 2021 · Wk 5 | PHI 21 at CAR 18 |
| 2018 · Wk 7 | CAR 21 at PHI 17 |
| 2017 · Wk 6 | PHI 28 at CAR 23 |
2026 records
| Panthers | Eagles | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 3–4 | 2–6 |
| Division | 1–1 | 1–2 |
| Conference | 3–3 | 1–5 |
| Other conference | 0–1 | 1–1 |
| Home | 1–2 | 1–3 |
| Away | 2–2 | 1–3 |
| Last 5 | LWWLL | LLLLL |
| Streak | Lost 2 | Lost 6 |
| Points a game | 25.4 – 27.6 | 17.1 – 25.3 |
Every meeting since 1999, regular season and playoffs, from nflverse's game list, which starts in 1999; the all-time series goes back further. Franchises that moved count as one team (the Raiders, Chargers and Rams). Home and away are from the Panthers' side. Records are this regular season.
| Stat | CAR off | Favors CAR · Favors PHI | PHI def allows | NFL avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | ||||
| EPA per play | +0.04#12 | +0.10#29 | +0.00 | |
| Success rate | 42%#16 | 45%#23 | 44% | |
| Yards per play | 5.6#12 | 5.6#22 | 5.4 | |
| Explosive play rate | 9%#18 | 10%#21 | 9% | |
| Passing | ||||
| Pass EPA per dropback | +0.05#16 | +0.13#26 | +0.03 | |
| Sack rate | 8%#22 | 4%#32 | 7% | |
| Running | ||||
| Run EPA per carry | -0.04#11 | +0.04#32 | -0.08 | |
| Yards per carry | 4.1#16 | 4.2#20 | 4.1 | |
| Money downs | ||||
| 3rd down conversion | 40%#19 | 42%#20 | 41% | |
| Red zone TD rate | 67%#12 | 60%#15 | 61% | |
| Targets by position | ||||
| WR yards per game | 181#5 | 184#29 | 147 | |
| TE yards per game | 70#4 | 42#5 | 55 | |
| TE targets per game | 8.7#8 | 5.9#1 | 7.6 | |
| RB receiving yards per game | 30#18 | 19#4 | 32 | |
Panthers: EPA per throw
Eagles: EPA allowed per throw
Green gains more than expected, red loses value. Cells with fewer than 5 throws are grayed out.