2026
2026 season · TE · #87 · 5th season
Jake Ferguson
Age 27 · 6'5" · 250 lb · Wisconsin · Pick 129 overall (2022). Listed TE1 on the 3WR 1TE depth chart. Snap share 59% across 8 games.
- How goodFerguson's -6.8 EPA is 41st of 45 tight ends.
- Where it comes fromThe biggest share comes in the air (+4.5, 68th percentile per target).
- Fantasy3.4 standard points a game, TE32 of 109.4.5 half-PPR points a game, TE34 of 109.5.6 PPR points a game, TE34 of 109.
- How he's usedJake rarely goes deep: 0% of his targets travel 20 yards or more, against 6% for the league's receivers.
- LatelyTargets are steady: 1.3 a game over his last three against 3.1 for the season.
- This weekA middle-of-the-pack matchup: the Colts rank 20th vs TE, allowing +0.27 EPA per target to tight ends.
How good is hehis line against the league at his position
| Stat | Value | Rank | League | Pctl |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target shareof team targets | 9% | 39th of 45 | 14th | |
| Depth of targetair yards per target | 5.0 | 35th of 45 | 23rd | |
| After the catchyards per reception | 2.8 | 43rd of 45 | 6th | |
| Catch ratereceptions per target | 68% | 31st of 45 | 32nd | |
| EPA per target | -0.27 | 42nd of 45 | 8th |
| Stat | Value | Rank | League | Pctl |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| First downsper target | 24% | 42nd of 45 | 8th | |
| Drop ratedrops per target, lower is better | 8% | 41st of 45 | 10th | |
| Yards per game | 14.4 | 41st of 45 | 10th | |
| Success rate | 44% | 36th of 45 | 21st | |
| Total EPA | -6.8 | 41st of 45 | 10th |
How this is measured
Each bar is the league at his position; the marker is him. Right is better, the dashed line is the median. Ranks are out of the qualifying pool, ties shown as T-, and move every week as the pool changes.
Ferguson scores 3.4 standard points a game, TE32 of 109 TEs with enough games. Most weeks land between 0.2 and 4.5; 1 boom week (9+) and 6 busts (under 3). This week the Colts allow the 9th-most standard points to TEs, 9.7 a game.
Ferguson scores 4.5 half-PPR points a game, TE34 of 109 TEs with enough games. Most weeks land between 0.6 and 6.0; 1 boom week (12+) and 6 busts (under 4). This week the Colts allow the 12th-most half-PPR points to TEs, 12.0 a game.
Ferguson scores 5.6 PPR points a game, TE34 of 109 TEs with enough games. Most weeks land between 1.0 and 7.5; 1 boom week (15+) and 6 busts (under 5). This week the Colts allow the 12th-most PPR points to TEs, 14.4 a game.
How this is measured
Fantasy points are nflverse's standard and full-PPR scoring (6 points for a rushing or receiving touchdown, 4 for a passing touchdown, minus 2 for an interception or a lost fumble); half PPR is the average of the two. Ranks are points a game among players at his position with at least half the most games played. Most weeks is his 20th to 80th percentile game. Bars are green on a boom week and red on a bust; the dashed line is the starter line, the points a game of the TE12 in a 12-team league. The format you pick is remembered on this device.
How he's usedhis fingerprint, where the ball finds him and when
Jake rarely goes deep: 0% of his targets travel 20 yards or more, against 6% for the league's receivers. He rarely moves before the snap: 48% of his targets come with motion (league 59%). His share of the team's targets is 8%: on third down it falls to 4%; inside the 20 it holds at 10%.
How this is measured
Every trait is a share of his own targets, so volume does not move it. The marker is him among the league's qualifying tight ends; the dashed line is the median. Styles are not grades: a high or low percentile is a description, not a verdict. Play action, screen, RPO, motion and blitz flags come from FTN charting and read low in a week it has not published.
Ferguson's -6.8 EPA is 41st of 45 tight ends. The biggest share comes in the air (+4.5, 68th percentile per target). Yards after the catch add less than most (+0.9, 6th percentile).
career +0.15 over 2022–2025 · the lowest of his 5 seasons
How this is measured
Every target this season, split by what happened. Catches divide at the catch: the yards in the air and what came after. The percentile is him among the qualifying tight ends, higher is better, so a cost smaller than most ranks high. The parts add up to the totals above; the career strip counts seasons with at least 15 targets.
He is targeted short right 1.6× as often as the league (32% of his targets against 20%) and gains +0.09 EPA a target there.
How this is measured
Every target with a charted depth and direction this season; sacks and throws with no charted direction are left out. Left and right are as the offense sees the field. Cells with fewer than three targets show no EPA.
On the field
By depth of target
Who he works withthe connection, and the rest of the huddle
By depth
Week by weekthe shape of his season, the game log and the defenses behind it
The game
Lucas Oil Stadium
DAL −6 · O/U 51.5
The defense vs TE
a middle-of-the-pack matchup
His history
First meeting this season
His status
A middle-of-the-pack matchup: the Colts rank 20th vs TE, allowing +0.27 EPA per target to tight ends. He has averaged 12 yards a game against middle defenses this season.
| Wk | Opponent | Defense | Snap | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at NYG L 20-288th D | 8th vs TE | 76% | 2 | 2 | 6 | -0.2 | |
| 2 | vs WAS W 37-2030th D | 30th vs TE | 60% | 4 | 4 | 43 | 2 | +6.5 |
| 3 | vs BAL L 31-3416th D | 16th vs TE | 69% | 5 | 3 | 23 | 1 | -4.6 |
| 4 | at HOU W 34-3018th D | 18th vs TE | 71% | 4 | 3 | 11 | -0.1 | |
| 5 | vs TB L 16-249th D | 9th vs TE | 83% | 6 | 3 | 19 | -7.1 | |
| 6 | at GB L 13-2311th D | 11th vs TE | 54% | 3 | 2 | 13 | -0.5 | |
| 7 | at PHI W 38-2119th D | 19th vs TE | 56% | 1 | 0 | 0 | -0.8 | |
| 8 | vs ARI L 30-3323rd D | 23rd vs TE | 5% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | |
| 9 | at INDSun Nov 8 · this week | |||||||
| 10 | vs SFSun Nov 15 | |||||||
| 11 | vs TENSun Nov 22 | |||||||
| 12 | vs PHIThu Nov 26 | |||||||
| 13 | at SEAMon Dec 7 | |||||||
| 14 | Bye week | |||||||
| 15 | at LASun Dec 20 | |||||||
| 16 | vs JAXSun Dec 27 | |||||||
| 17 | vs NYGSun Jan 3 | |||||||
| 18 | at WASSun Jan 10 | |||||||
| 8 games | 59% | 25 | 17 | 115 | 3 | -6.8 |
| Wk | Opponent | Defense | Tgt share | Air share | aDOT | YAC | EPA/tgt | 1D | Drops |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at NYG L 20-288th D | 8th vs TE | 7% | 2% | 3.0 | 0 | -0.11 | 0 | |
| 2 | vs WAS W 37-2030th D | 30th vs TE | 13% | 12% | 7.3 | 14 | +1.62 | 3 | |
| 3 | vs BAL L 31-3416th D | 16th vs TE | 13% | 4% | 2.4 | 10 | -0.93 | 1 | |
| 4 | at HOU W 34-3018th D | 18th vs TE | 9% | 7% | 4.5 | 6 | -0.03 | 1 | |
| 5 | vs TB L 16-249th D | 9th vs TE | 14% | 8% | 4.8 | 16 | -1.18 | 1 | 2 |
| 6 | at GB L 13-2311th D | 11th vs TE | 6% | 6% | 7.7 | 1 | -0.15 | 0 | |
| 7 | at PHI W 38-2119th D | 19th vs TE | 4% | 3% | 9.0 | 0 | -0.76 | 0 | |
| 8 | vs ARI L 30-3323rd D | 23rd vs TE | 0% | 0% | - | 0 | - | 0 | |
| 9 | at INDSun Nov 8 · this week | ||||||||
| 10 | vs SFSun Nov 15 | ||||||||
| 11 | vs TENSun Nov 22 | ||||||||
| 12 | vs PHIThu Nov 26 | ||||||||
| 13 | at SEAMon Dec 7 | ||||||||
| 14 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 15 | at LASun Dec 20 | ||||||||
| 16 | vs JAXSun Dec 27 | ||||||||
| 17 | vs NYGSun Jan 3 | ||||||||
| 18 | at WASSun Jan 10 | ||||||||
| 8 games | 8% | 5% | 5.0 | 47 | -0.27 | 6 | 2 |
| Wk | Opponent | Defense | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | 20+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at NYG L 20-288th D | 8th vs TE | 2 | 6 | 3.0 | ||
| 2 | vs WAS W 37-2030th D | 30th vs TE | 4 | 43 | 10.8 | 2 | |
| 3 | vs BAL L 31-3416th D | 16th vs TE | 3 | 23 | 7.7 | 1 | |
| 4 | at HOU W 34-3018th D | 18th vs TE | 3 | 11 | 3.7 | ||
| 5 | vs TB L 16-249th D | 9th vs TE | 3 | 19 | 6.3 | ||
| 6 | at GB L 13-2311th D | 11th vs TE | 2 | 13 | 6.5 | ||
| 7 | at PHI W 38-2119th D | 19th vs TE | 0 | 0 | - | ||
| 8 | vs ARI L 30-3323rd D | 23rd vs TE | 0 | 0 | - | ||
| 9 | at INDSun Nov 8 · this week | ||||||
| 10 | vs SFSun Nov 15 | ||||||
| 11 | vs TENSun Nov 22 | ||||||
| 12 | vs PHIThu Nov 26 | ||||||
| 13 | at SEAMon Dec 7 | ||||||
| 14 | Bye week | ||||||
| 15 | at LASun Dec 20 | ||||||
| 16 | vs JAXSun Dec 27 | ||||||
| 17 | vs NYGSun Jan 3 | ||||||
| 18 | at WASSun Jan 10 | ||||||
| 8 games | 17 | 115 | 6.8 | 3 | 0 |
Targets are steady: 1.3 a game over his last three against 3.1 for the season. 6 straight games below a starter's median in rec yards. Week 8 was his season low in yards.
How this is measured
Bars are his week. The shaded band is the league's middle half at his position, every qualifying player-game this season, and the dashed line is its median. The solid line is his trailing three games. An × on the baseline is a game his team played without him; a dotted tick is the bye.
He has faced the 16th-toughest slate vs TE: his opponents rank 16.8 of 32 on average (league middle 16.8). Ahead: 6 of his next 9 are top-10 vs TE and 1 is bottom-10, starting with the Colts (20th, away) in Week 9.
The slate · played solid, ahead dashed
His line by defense faced
| Defenses | G | Tgt/g | Yds/g | EPA/tgt |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ranked 1 to 10Top-10 defenses | 2 | 4.0 | 13 | -0.91 |
| 11 to 22Middle | 4 | 3.3 | 12 | -0.46 |
| 23 to 32Bottom-10 | 2 | 2.0 | 22 | +1.62 |
| All games | 8 | 3.1 | 14 | -0.27 |
Yards against the rank of the defense
His production barely moves with the opponent (r = 0.39); it has traveled.
Careerseason by season, back to his rookie year
His best year was 2023, 761 receiving yards in 17 games. This season's 16.4 a game puts him on pace for 279 over 17, short of it.
| Season | Team | G | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | Y/R | Yds/g | EPA/tgt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | DAL | 11 | 22 | 19 | 174 | 2 | 9.2 | 15.8 | +0.36 |
| 2023 | DAL | 17 | 102 | 71 | 761 | 5 | 10.7 | 44.8 | +0.32 |
| 2024 | DAL | 14 | 86 | 59 | 494 | 0 | 8.4 | 35.3 | -0.15 |
| 2025 | DAL | 17 | 102 | 82 | 600 | 8 | 7.3 | 35.3 | +0.19 |
| 2026 | DAL | 7 | 25 | 17 | 115 | 3 | 6.8 | 16.4 | -0.27 |
| Career | 1 tm | 66 | 337 | 248 | 2,144 | 18 | 8.6 | 32.5 | +0.12 |
How this is measured
Regular season only, from nflverse weekly stats back to 1999. This season is partial and drawn hollow; the pace is his per-game rate over 17 games. Bold cells are career highs.
Intel & playsthe report, his best snaps, his teammates
- Depth chart
- TE1 · 3WR 1TE
- Injury report
- clean
- Red zone touches
- …
- Third down
- …
- Explosive plays
- …
- Drops
- 2 on 25 targets
- Broken tackles
- 1
- Passer rating when targeted
- 78.7
- Play action
- …
- Contested
- …
| Player | Touches | Yds | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|
| 158 | 632 · 9 TD | +1.2 | |
| 94 | 703 · 6 TD | +30.3 | |
| 62 | 533 · 2 TD | +25.4 | |
| 45 | 345 · 2 TD | +14.6 | |
| 35 | 109 | -5.0 | |
| 23 | 101 · 1 TD | +3.7 | |
| 18 | 110 | +3.3 | |
| 9 | 49 · 1 TD | +3.4 |