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Week 10 · Monday 8:15 PM ET · Lambeau Field

GBvsPHI

Packers offensevsEagles defense

Season numbers through Week 22: 18 games for Packers, 18 for Eagles. Ranks are out of 32; #1 is the best offense or the stingiest defense.

How it played out · win probability, snap by snapFinal · PHI 10 · GB 7

The Eagles won 10–7; their low point was 35% at Q2 0:38. The Packers had been 54% favorites at kickoff. The game turned for good at Q4 13:33: D.J.Love pass deep right to C.Watson to PHI 13 for 22 yards (A.Mukuba). PENALTY on GB, Illegal Formation, 5 yards, enforced at PHI 35 - No Play (47% → 53%). The biggest single swing came at Q4 1:30, 23 points for the Eagles.

At kickoffGB 54%GB by 1.5 on the line
PHI low point35%Q2 0:38 · tied 0⁠–⁠0
Swings past 50%21times the favorite changed
Biggest swing23 ptsPHI · Q4 1:30
GB wins50%PHI wins
Q1Q2Q3Q4

The plays that swung it

  1. 1Q4 1:30PHIJ.Jacobs right end to GB 40 for -4 yards (J.Phillips, R.Blankenship). FUMBLES (R.Blankenship), RECOVERED by PHI-R.Blankenship at GB 39. Penalty on…72% → 95%+23
  2. 2Q2 0:31PHIJ.Love sacked at PHI 36 for -9 yards (N.Dean). FUMBLES (N.Dean) [N.Dean], RECOVERED by PHI-J.Phillips at PHI 35.37% → 55%+18
  3. 3Q1 0:59GBJ.Hurts right tackle to GB 14 for 10 yards (X.McKinney, E.Cooper). FUMBLES (E.Cooper), RECOVERED by GB-K.Nixon at GB 14. K.Nixon pushed ob at GB…39% → 57%+18
  4. 4Q4 2:10GBJ.Love pass deep middle to C.Watson to GB 35 for 25 yards (A.Mukuba; R.Blankenship).25% → 40%+15
  5. 5Q4 0:02PHIB.McManus 64 yard field goal is No Good, Short87% → 100%+13
  6. ★Q4 13:33PHID.J.Love pass deep right to C.Watson to PHI 13 for 22 yards (A.Mukuba). PENALTY on GB, Illegal Formation, 5 yards, enforced at PHI 35 - No Play.turning point47% → 53%+6

Win probability is nflverse's model, which starts from the betting line and updates before every snap with the score, the clock, down, distance, field position and timeouts. A swing is the change in one team's chance across a play, in percentage points. The turning point is the play after which the winner never fell to 50% again.

Box score · every offensive player who touched the ballWeek 10

D.Smith led the Eagles at +5.1 EPA (4 catches for 69). D.Wicks led the Packers at +2.2 EPA (4 catches for 38).

PHI Eagles

PassingC/AYdsTDINTSkEPA
J.Hurts100%15/261831+8.5
RushingCarShareYdsTDEPA
S.Barkley70%2265%60-6.2
J.Hurts100%515%27-5.2
W.Shipley19%412%17-0.6
T.Bigsby13%39%7-1.2
ReceivingTgtShareRecYdsTDEPA
D.Smith92%730%4691+5.1
D.Goedert86%626%443+2.7
S.Barkley70%313%341+2.7
A.Brown78%313%213-0.5
W.Shipley19%29%217+1.5
G.Calcaterra40%14%00-0.6
J.Dotson30%14%00-1.5

Defense N.Dean 1 sack, N.Smith 1 sack, J.Hunt 1 sack · Kicking J.Elliott 1/1 FG (long 39)

GB Packers

PassingC/AYdsTDINTSkEPA
J.Love100%20/361763-8.1
RushingCarShareYdsTDEPA
J.Jacobs74%2178%741-4.3
J.Love100%519%28+1.7
E.Wilson21%14%2-0.6
ReceivingTgtShareRecYdsTDEPA
D.Wicks65%824%438+2.2
J.Jacobs74%618%533+1.6
B.Melton515%228-2.0
R.Doubs62%412%15-3.1
C.Watson82%412%245+1.8
L.Musgrave76%39%323-0.4
S.Williams9%26%22-0.8
E.Wilson21%13%12-0.3

Defense no sacks or interceptions · Kicking B.McManus 0/1 FG

Each player's line for this game from nflverse's weekly stats; the percentage beside his name is his share of the offense's snaps. Share is his part of the team's carries or targets in this game. Defense lists sacks and interceptions; kicking lists field goals.

Keys to the game · from the season numbers, not this game alone4 reads
01
Biggest edge

Third downs favor Packers

Packers convert 48% of third downs (2nd). Eagles allow 43% (23rd).

02
Opportunity

Deep middle is open

Eagles are worst against deep middle throws, allowing +0.93 EPA per attempt. Packers send 6% of their throws there. That is a small part of their offense so far.

03
Watch out

Tight ends go quiet

Eagles give up 6.2 targets a game to tight ends (6th), against a league average of 7.3. Packers' tight ends produce 5.6 (28th).

04
Wash

Yards per play

Call this one even. Packers gain 5.7 yards per play (9th). Eagles give up 5.1 (10th), with the league at 5.4.

The series · Eagles and Packers since 1999, and this season's records18 meetings

The Eagles lead the series 11–7 since 1999 (they first met in 2000). They have won the last 4. This game is the latest meeting.

Eagles at home6–3the Eagles' record
In Green Bay4–4the Eagles' record
Most pointsEagles 47 · Packers 532004 · 2014
Biggest winEagles by 30 · Packers by 332004 · 2014
Playoffs2–1the Eagles' record

The last 5

2025 · Wk 10PHI 10 at GB 7
2024 · Wk 19 · playoffsGB 10 at PHI 22
2024 · Wk 1GB 29 at PHI 34
2022 · Wk 12GB 33 at PHI 40
2020 · Wk 13PHI 16 at GB 30

2025 records

EaglesPackers
Overall11–69–7–1
Division3–34–2
Conference8–47–4–1
Other conference3–22–3
Home5–35–3
Away6–34–4–1
Last 5LWWWLWLLLL
StreakLost 1Lost 4
Points a game22.3 – 19.123.0 – 21.2

Every meeting since 1999, regular season and playoffs, from nflverse's game list, which starts in 1999; the all-time series goes back further. Franchises that moved count as one team (the Raiders, Chargers and Rams). Home and away are from the Eagles' side. Records are this regular season.

Head to head · GB offense against PHI defense
StatGB GB offFavors GB · Favors PHIPHI PHI def allowsNFL avg
Overall
EPA per play
+0.12#3
-0.07#9+0.01
Success rate
47%#4
42%#1044%
Yards per play
5.7#9
5.1#105.4
Explosive play rate
12%#3
9%#1810%
Passing
Pass EPA per dropback
+0.24#1
-0.11#8+0.01
Sack rate
5%#8
7%#147%
Running
Run EPA per carry
-0.07#22
-0.10#6-0.05
Yards per carry
4.1#21
4.1#124.3
Money downs
3rd down conversion
48%#2
43%#2340%
Red zone TD rate
60%#12
55%#959%
Targets by position
WR yards per game
150#13
138#17140
TE yards per game
48#22
29#253
TE targets per game
5.6#28
6.2#67.3
RB receiving yards per game
27#20
41#2832
Where the ball goes · EPA per throwDeep is 15+ air yds

Packers: EPA per throw

Left
Middle
Right
Deep
+0.678% of throws
+0.266% of throws
+1.058% of throws
Short
+0.2428% of throws
+0.4014% of throws
+0.1936% of throws

Eagles: EPA allowed per throw

Left
Middle
Right
Deep
+0.3242 throws
+0.9322 throws
+0.1146 throws
Short
+0.04167 throws
-0.31101 throws
-0.05192 throws

Green gains more than expected, red loses value. Cells with fewer than 5 throws are grayed out.