2025
Wild Card · Monday 8:00 PM ET · Acrisure Stadium
Texans offensevsSteelers defense
Season numbers through Week 22: 19 games for Texans, 18 for Steelers. Ranks are out of 32; #1 is the best offense or the stingiest defense.
C.Kirk led the Texans at +13.5 EPA (8 catches for 144). A.Thielen led the Steelers at +3.6 EPA (2 catches for 25).
Texans
| Passing | C/A | Yds | TD | INT | Sk | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.Stroud | 21/32 | 250 | 1 | 1 | 3 | +0.4 |
| Rushing | Car | Share | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W.Marks | 19 | 61% | 112 | 1 | +4.0 |
| N.Chubb | 10 | 32% | 48 | +2.7 | |
| C.Stroud | 1 | 3% | 0 | -1.4 | |
| C.Stover | 1 | 3% | 4 | +0.1 |
| Receiving | Tgt | Share | Rec | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.Kirk | 9 | 28% | 8 | 144 | 1 | +13.5 |
| N.Collins | 7 | 22% | 3 | 21 | -1.7 | |
| X.Hutchinson | 4 | 13% | 2 | 21 | -2.8 | |
| D.Schultz | 4 | 13% | 3 | 12 | +0.3 | |
| J.Higgins | 4 | 13% | 3 | 39 | +2.0 | |
| C.Stover | 2 | 6% | 2 | 13 | +0.7 | |
| W.Marks | 1 | 3% | 0 | 0 | -0.2 | |
| J.Noel | 1 | 3% | 0 | 0 | -0.3 |
Defense S.Rankins 1.5 sacks, C.Bullock 1 INT, D.Hunter 1 sack, W.Anderson 0.5 sacks · Kicking K.Fairbairn 1/1 FG (long 51)
Steelers
| Passing | C/A | Yds | TD | INT | Sk | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.Rodgers | 17/33 | 146 | 1 | 4 | -26.6 | |
| M.Rudolph | 1/1 | 2 | +1.3 |
| Rushing | Car | Share | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.Warren | 12 | 67% | 43 | -3.7 | |
| K.Gainwell | 6 | 33% | 20 | -1.4 |
| Receiving | Tgt | Share | Rec | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K.Gainwell | 6 | 19% | 4 | 26 | -3.9 | |
| C.III | 6 | 19% | 3 | 8 | -1.6 | |
| D.Metcalf | 5 | 16% | 2 | 42 | +0.3 | |
| M.Valdes-Scantling | 5 | 16% | 3 | 26 | -1.8 | |
| J.Smith | 3 | 10% | 2 | -1 | -1.5 | |
| P.Freiermuth | 3 | 10% | 1 | 18 | -4.8 | |
| A.Thielen | 2 | 6% | 2 | 25 | +3.6 | |
| J.Warren | 1 | 3% | 1 | 4 | -0.4 |
Defense B.Echols 1 INT, J.Sawyer 1 sack, K.Benton 1 sack, D.Harmon 1 sack · Kicking C.Boswell 2/2 FG (long 35)
Each player's line for this game counted from the play-by-play, since nflverse's weekly stats for it haven't posted yet; they replace these lines with the next build once they do. The percentage beside his name is his share of the offense's snaps. Share is his part of the team's carries or targets in this game. Defense lists sacks and interceptions; kicking lists field goals.
Wideouts feast
Steelers give up 167 yards a game to wide receivers (29th), against a league average of 140. Texans' wide receivers produce 160 (8th).
Deep middle is open
Steelers are worst against deep middle throws, allowing +1.12 EPA per attempt. Texans send 3% of their throws there. That is a small part of their offense so far.
Field goals, not touchdowns
Texans score a touchdown on 46% of red zone trips (30th). Steelers allow 54% (7th).
EPA per play
Call this one even. Texans average -0.03 EPA per play (24th). Steelers allow +0.02 (18th). League average is +0.01.
The Steelers lead the series 5–4 since 1999 (they first met in 2002). The Texans have won the last 2. This game is the latest meeting.
The last 5
| 2025 · Wk 19 · playoffs | HOU 30 at PIT 6 |
| 2023 · Wk 4 | PIT 6 at HOU 30 |
| 2020 · Wk 3 | HOU 21 at PIT 28 |
| 2017 · Wk 16 | PIT 34 at HOU 6 |
| 2014 · Wk 7 | HOU 23 at PIT 30 |
2025 records
| Texans | Steelers | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12–5 | 10–7 |
| Division | 5–1 | 4–2 |
| Conference | 10–2 | 8–4 |
| Other conference | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| Home | 7–2 | 6–3 |
| Away | 5–3 | 4–4 |
| Last 5 | WWWWW | WWWLW |
| Streak | Won 9 | Won 1 |
| Points a game | 23.8 – 17.4 | 23.4 – 22.8 |
Every meeting since 1999, regular season and playoffs, from nflverse's game list, which starts in 1999; the all-time series goes back further. Franchises that moved count as one team (the Raiders, Chargers and Rams). Home and away are from the Texans' side. Records are this regular season.
| Stat | Favors HOU · Favors PIT | NFL avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | ||||
| EPA per play | -0.03#24 | +0.02#18 | +0.01 | |
| Success rate | 41%#28 | 44%#15 | 44% | |
| Yards per play | 5.1#25 | 5.6#19 | 5.4 | |
| Explosive play rate | 8%#25 | 9%#15 | 10% | |
| Passing | ||||
| Pass EPA per dropback | +0.00#16 | +0.03#17 | +0.01 | |
| Sack rate | 5%#9 | 7%#10 | 7% | |
| Running | ||||
| Run EPA per carry | -0.11#30 | -0.01#26 | -0.05 | |
| Yards per carry | 3.8#28 | 4.3#19 | 4.3 | |
| Money downs | ||||
| 3rd down conversion | 40%#18 | 44%#28 | 40% | |
| Red zone TD rate | 46%#30 | 54%#7 | 59% | |
| Targets by position | ||||
| WR yards per game | 160#8 | 167#29 | 140 | |
| TE yards per game | 51#16 | 64#28 | 53 | |
| TE targets per game | 7.7#11 | 8.3#28 | 7.3 | |
| RB receiving yards per game | 21#29 | 30#16 | 32 | |
Texans: EPA per throw
Steelers: EPA allowed per throw
Green gains more than expected, red loses value. Cells with fewer than 5 throws are grayed out.