2025
Wild Card · Monday 8:00 PM ET · Acrisure Stadium
Steelers offensevsTexans defense
Season numbers through Week 22: 18 games for Steelers, 19 for Texans. Ranks are out of 32; #1 is the best offense or the stingiest defense.
C.Kirk led the Texans at +13.5 EPA (8 catches for 144). A.Thielen led the Steelers at +3.6 EPA (2 catches for 25).
Texans
| Passing | C/A | Yds | TD | INT | Sk | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.Stroud | 21/32 | 250 | 1 | 1 | 3 | +0.4 |
| Rushing | Car | Share | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W.Marks | 19 | 61% | 112 | 1 | +4.0 |
| N.Chubb | 10 | 32% | 48 | +2.7 | |
| C.Stroud | 1 | 3% | 0 | -1.4 | |
| C.Stover | 1 | 3% | 4 | +0.1 |
| Receiving | Tgt | Share | Rec | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.Kirk | 9 | 28% | 8 | 144 | 1 | +13.5 |
| N.Collins | 7 | 22% | 3 | 21 | -1.7 | |
| X.Hutchinson | 4 | 13% | 2 | 21 | -2.8 | |
| D.Schultz | 4 | 13% | 3 | 12 | +0.3 | |
| J.Higgins | 4 | 13% | 3 | 39 | +2.0 | |
| C.Stover | 2 | 6% | 2 | 13 | +0.7 | |
| W.Marks | 1 | 3% | 0 | 0 | -0.2 | |
| J.Noel | 1 | 3% | 0 | 0 | -0.3 |
Defense S.Rankins 1.5 sacks, C.Bullock 1 INT, D.Hunter 1 sack, W.Anderson 0.5 sacks · Kicking K.Fairbairn 1/1 FG (long 51)
Steelers
| Passing | C/A | Yds | TD | INT | Sk | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.Rodgers | 17/33 | 146 | 1 | 4 | -26.6 | |
| M.Rudolph | 1/1 | 2 | +1.3 |
| Rushing | Car | Share | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.Warren | 12 | 67% | 43 | -3.7 | |
| K.Gainwell | 6 | 33% | 20 | -1.4 |
| Receiving | Tgt | Share | Rec | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K.Gainwell | 6 | 19% | 4 | 26 | -3.9 | |
| C.III | 6 | 19% | 3 | 8 | -1.6 | |
| D.Metcalf | 5 | 16% | 2 | 42 | +0.3 | |
| M.Valdes-Scantling | 5 | 16% | 3 | 26 | -1.8 | |
| J.Smith | 3 | 10% | 2 | -1 | -1.5 | |
| P.Freiermuth | 3 | 10% | 1 | 18 | -4.8 | |
| A.Thielen | 2 | 6% | 2 | 25 | +3.6 | |
| J.Warren | 1 | 3% | 1 | 4 | -0.4 |
Defense B.Echols 1 INT, J.Sawyer 1 sack, K.Benton 1 sack, D.Harmon 1 sack · Kicking C.Boswell 2/2 FG (long 35)
Each player's line for this game counted from the play-by-play, since nflverse's weekly stats for it haven't posted yet; they replace these lines with the next build once they do. The percentage beside his name is his share of the offense's snaps. Share is his part of the team's carries or targets in this game. Defense lists sacks and interceptions; kicking lists field goals.
Backs catch passes
Texans give up 31 yards a game to running backs (18th), against a league average of 32. Steelers' running backs produce 48 (3rd).
Deep left is open
Texans are worst against deep left throws, allowing +0.68 EPA per attempt. Steelers send 6% of their throws there. That is a small part of their offense so far.
Passing lanes are closed
Steelers gain -0.01 EPA per dropback (21st). Texans allow -0.22 (1st).
Explosive play rate
Call this one even. Steelers create explosive plays on 9% of snaps (23rd). Texans give them up at 8% (8th).
The Steelers lead the series 5–4 since 1999 (they first met in 2002). The Texans have won the last 2. This game is the latest meeting.
The last 5
| 2025 · Wk 19 · playoffs | HOU 30 at PIT 6 |
| 2023 · Wk 4 | PIT 6 at HOU 30 |
| 2020 · Wk 3 | HOU 21 at PIT 28 |
| 2017 · Wk 16 | PIT 34 at HOU 6 |
| 2014 · Wk 7 | HOU 23 at PIT 30 |
2025 records
| Texans | Steelers | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12–5 | 10–7 |
| Division | 5–1 | 4–2 |
| Conference | 10–2 | 8–4 |
| Other conference | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| Home | 7–2 | 6–3 |
| Away | 5–3 | 4–4 |
| Last 5 | WWWWW | WWWLW |
| Streak | Won 9 | Won 1 |
| Points a game | 23.8 – 17.4 | 23.4 – 22.8 |
Every meeting since 1999, regular season and playoffs, from nflverse's game list, which starts in 1999; the all-time series goes back further. Franchises that moved count as one team (the Raiders, Chargers and Rams). Home and away are from the Texans' side. Records are this regular season.
| Stat | Favors PIT · Favors HOU | NFL avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | ||||
| EPA per play | 0.00#18 | -0.16#1 | +0.01 | |
| Success rate | 43%#19 | 37%#2 | 44% | |
| Yards per play | 5.2#21 | 4.7#2 | 5.4 | |
| Explosive play rate | 9%#23 | 8%#8 | 10% | |
| Passing | ||||
| Pass EPA per dropback | -0.01#21 | -0.22#1 | +0.01 | |
| Sack rate | 6%#12 | 9%#6 | 7% | |
| Running | ||||
| Run EPA per carry | 0.00#7 | -0.16#2 | -0.05 | |
| Yards per carry | 4.4#12 | 3.5#2 | 4.3 | |
| Money downs | ||||
| 3rd down conversion | 40%#17 | 36%#6 | 40% | |
| Red zone TD rate | 59%#15 | 60%#21 | 59% | |
| Targets by position | ||||
| WR yards per game | 101#29 | 128#10 | 140 | |
| TE yards per game | 62#7 | 43#5 | 53 | |
| TE targets per game | 8.9#4 | 7.0#13 | 7.3 | |
| RB receiving yards per game | 48#3 | 31#18 | 32 | |
Steelers: EPA per throw
Texans: EPA allowed per throw
Green gains more than expected, red loses value. Cells with fewer than 5 throws are grayed out.