2025
Week 2 · Sunday 1:00 PM ET · Acrisure Stadium
Seahawks offensevsSteelers defense
Season numbers through Week 22: 20 games for Seahawks, 18 for Steelers. Ranks are out of 32; #1 is the best offense or the stingiest defense.
The Seahawks won 31–17 from as low as 15% (Q2 0:27, down 14–7). The Steelers had been 63% favorites at kickoff. The game turned for good at Q4 12:51: J.Myers 54 yard field goal is GOOD (49% → 58%). The biggest single swing came at Q4 12:46, 24 points for the Seahawks.
The plays that swung it
- 1Q4 12:46PITJ.Myers kicks 65 yards from SEA 35 to PIT 0. RECOVERED by SEA-G.Holani, TOUCHDOWN. ** Injury Update: PIT-J.Pierre has returned to the game.58% → 82%
- 2Q2 3:41SEAS.Darnold pass short middle intended for A.Barner INTERCEPTED by N.Herbig (Ca.Heyward) at PIT 38. N.Herbig to SEA 21 for 41 yards (R.Ouzts; A.Barner).49% → 70%
- 3Q3 4:17PITA.Rodgers pass short left intended for P.Freiermuth INTERCEPTED by D.Kendrick at SEA -7. Touchback.28% → 44%
- 4Q3 6:05PITA.Rodgers pass short left to J.Warren to SEA 5 for 65 yards (T.Woolen).61% → 76%
- 5Q1 4:41SEAS.Darnold pass deep left intended for C.Kupp INTERCEPTED by J.Ramsey at SEA 46. J.Ramsey to SEA 44 for 2 yards (R.Ouzts).46% → 59%
- ★Q4 12:51SEAJ.Myers 54 yard field goal is GOODturning point49% → 58%
Win probability is nflverse's model, which starts from the betting line and updates before every snap with the score, the clock, down, distance, field position and timeouts. A swing is the change in one team's chance across a play, in percentage points. Each play is tagged with the team that had the ball; the bar names the team it helped. The turning point is the play after which the winner never fell to 50% again.
K.III led the Seahawks at +9.1 EPA (13 carries for 105). J.Warren led the Steelers at +5.0 EPA (14 carries for 48).
Seahawks
| Passing | C/A | Yds | TD | INT | Sk | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S.Darnold100% | 22/33 | 295 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +2.9 |
| Rushing | Car | Share | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Z.Charbonnet55% | 15 | 52% | 10 | -8.7 | |
| K.III35% | 13 | 45% | 105 | 1 | +8.9 |
| A.Barner89% | 1 | 3% | 2 | +1.7 |
| Receiving | Tgt | Share | Rec | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.Smith-Njigba65% | 10 | 33% | 8 | 103 | +5.9 | |
| C.Kupp69% | 9 | 30% | 7 | 90 | +1.7 | |
| T.Horton40% | 4 | 13% | 2 | 32 | 1 | +1.9 |
| A.Barner89% | 3 | 10% | 2 | 26 | 1 | -2.4 |
| E.Arroyo40% | 3 | 10% | 2 | 31 | +1.3 | |
| K.III35% | 1 | 3% | 1 | 13 | +0.2 |
Defense D.Kendrick 1 INT, C.Bryant 1 INT, B.II 1.5 sacks, J.Reed 1 sack · Kicking J.Myers 1/2 FG (long 54)
Steelers
| Passing | C/A | Yds | TD | INT | Sk | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.Rodgers95% | 18/33 | 203 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -6.2 |
| M.Rudolph5% | 2/2 | 12 | -0.1 |
| Rushing | Car | Share | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.Warren58% | 14 | 67% | 48 | -0.2 | |
| K.Gainwell42% | 5 | 24% | 20 | -2.1 | |
| A.Rodgers95% | 1 | 5% | 3 | -1.1 | |
| K.Johnson3% | 1 | 5% | 1 | -0.7 |
| Receiving | Tgt | Share | Rec | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.Metcalf90% | 6 | 19% | 3 | 20 | 1 | +2.0 |
| K.Gainwell42% | 5 | 16% | 3 | 16 | -2.6 | |
| J.Smith56% | 4 | 13% | 4 | 27 | +0.2 | |
| P.Freiermuth50% | 4 | 13% | 3 | 31 | -3.4 | |
| J.Warren58% | 4 | 13% | 4 | 86 | +5.2 | |
| C.III92% | 4 | 13% | 1 | 22 | -2.3 | |
| R.Wilson35% | 2 | 6% | 1 | 7 | -1.4 | |
| C.Heyward15% | 1 | 3% | 1 | 6 | +0.0 | |
| D.Washington37% | 1 | 3% | 0 | 0 | +0.6 |
Defense J.Ramsey 1 INT, N.Herbig 1 INT, P.Wilson 1 sack, J.Sawyer 1 sack · Kicking C.Boswell 3/3 FG (long 48)
Each player's line for this game from nflverse's weekly stats; the percentage beside his name is his share of the offense's snaps. Share is his part of the team's carries or targets in this game. Defense lists sacks and interceptions; kicking lists field goals.
Wideouts feast
Steelers give up 167 yards a game to wide receivers (29th), against a league average of 140. Seahawks' wide receivers produce 168 (4th).
Deep middle is open
Steelers are worst against deep middle throws, allowing +1.12 EPA per attempt. Seahawks send 3% of their throws there. That is a small part of their offense so far.
Field goals, not touchdowns
Seahawks score a touchdown on 57% of red zone trips (21st). Steelers allow 54% (7th).
Success rate
Call this one even. Seahawks succeed on 46% of plays (8th) against a defense that allows 44% (15th).
The series is even at 5–5 since 1999. This game is the latest meeting.
The last 5
| 2025 · Wk 2 | SEA 31 at PIT 17 |
| 2023 · Wk 17 | PIT 30 at SEA 23 |
| 2021 · Wk 6 · OT | SEA 20 at PIT 23 |
| 2019 · Wk 2 | SEA 28 at PIT 26 |
| 2015 · Wk 12 | PIT 30 at SEA 39 |
2025 records
| Seahawks | Steelers | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14–3 | 10–7 |
| Division | 4–2 | 4–2 |
| Conference | 9–3 | 8–4 |
| Other conference | 5–0 | 2–3 |
| Home | 6–2 | 6–3 |
| Away | 8–1 | 4–4 |
| Last 5 | WWWWW | WWWLW |
| Streak | Won 7 | Won 1 |
| Points a game | 28.4 – 17.2 | 23.4 – 22.8 |
Every meeting since 1999, regular season and playoffs, from nflverse's game list, which starts in 1999; the all-time series goes back further. Franchises that moved count as one team (the Raiders, Chargers and Rams). Home and away are from the Seahawks' side. Records are this regular season.
| Stat | Favors SEA · Favors PIT | NFL avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | ||||
| EPA per play | +0.04#10 | +0.02#18 | +0.01 | |
| Success rate | 46%#8 | 44%#15 | 44% | |
| Yards per play | 5.9#7 | 5.6#19 | 5.4 | |
| Explosive play rate | 11%#7 | 9%#15 | 10% | |
| Passing | ||||
| Pass EPA per dropback | +0.13#7 | +0.03#17 | +0.01 | |
| Sack rate | 5%#11 | 7%#10 | 7% | |
| Running | ||||
| Run EPA per carry | -0.06#21 | -0.01#26 | -0.05 | |
| Yards per carry | 4.2#17 | 4.3#19 | 4.3 | |
| Money downs | ||||
| 3rd down conversion | 43%#10 | 44%#28 | 40% | |
| Red zone TD rate | 57%#21 | 54%#7 | 59% | |
| Targets by position | ||||
| WR yards per game | 168#4 | 167#29 | 140 | |
| TE yards per game | 40#27 | 64#28 | 53 | |
| TE targets per game | 5.5#30 | 8.3#28 | 7.3 | |
| RB receiving yards per game | 29#16 | 30#16 | 32 | |
Seahawks: EPA per throw
Steelers: EPA allowed per throw
Green gains more than expected, red loses value. Cells with fewer than 5 throws are grayed out.