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Season over · final

2025

2025 season · final Every snap of the 2025 season, kept as it ended.Back to 2026 →

Week 2 · Sunday 1:00 PM ET · Acrisure Stadium

Steelers offensevsSeahawks defense

Season numbers through Week 22: 18 games for Steelers, 20 for Seahawks. Ranks are out of 32; #1 is the best offense or the stingiest defense.

SEA offense PIT offense

How it played out · win probability, snap by snapFinal · SEA 31 · PIT 17

The Seahawks won 31–17 from as low as 15% (Q2 0:27, down 14⁠–⁠7). The Steelers had been 63% favorites at kickoff. The game turned for good at Q4 12:51: J.Myers 54 yard field goal is GOOD (49% → 58%). The biggest single swing came at Q4 12:46, 24 points for the Seahawks.

At kickoffPIT 63%PIT by 3.5 on the line

SEA low point15%Q2 0:27 · down 14⁠–⁠7

Swings past 50%15times the favorite changed

Biggest swing24 ptsSEA · Q4 12:46

PIT wins50%SEA wins

12345Turning pointSEA low 15%

Q1Q2Q3Q4

The plays that swung it

1Q4 12:46PITJ.Myers kicks 65 yards from SEA 35 to PIT 0. RECOVERED by SEA-G.Holani, TOUCHDOWN. ** Injury Update: PIT-J.Pierre has returned to the game.58% → 82%+24 SEA
2Q2 3:41SEAS.Darnold pass short middle intended for A.Barner INTERCEPTED by N.Herbig (Ca.Heyward) at PIT 38. N.Herbig to SEA 21 for 41 yards (R.Ouzts; A.Barner).49% → 70%+20 PIT
3Q3 4:17PITA.Rodgers pass short left intended for P.Freiermuth INTERCEPTED by D.Kendrick at SEA -7. Touchback.28% → 44%+16 SEA
4Q3 6:05PITA.Rodgers pass short left to J.Warren to SEA 5 for 65 yards (T.Woolen).61% → 76%+16 PIT
5Q1 4:41SEAS.Darnold pass deep left intended for C.Kupp INTERCEPTED by J.Ramsey at SEA 46. J.Ramsey to SEA 44 for 2 yards (R.Ouzts).46% → 59%+12 PIT
★Q4 12:51SEAJ.Myers 54 yard field goal is GOODturning point49% → 58%+8 SEA

Win probability is nflverse's model, which starts from the betting line and updates before every snap with the score, the clock, down, distance, field position and timeouts. A swing is the change in one team's chance across a play, in percentage points. Each play is tagged with the team that had the ball; the bar names the team it helped. The turning point is the play after which the winner never fell to 50% again.

Box score · every offensive player who touched the ballWeek 2

K.III led the Seahawks at +9.1 EPA (13 carries for 105). J.Warren led the Steelers at +5.0 EPA (14 carries for 48).

Seahawks

Passing	C/A	Yds	TD	INT	Sk	EPA
S.Darnold100%	22/33	295	2	2	2	+2.9

Rushing	Car	Share	Yds	TD	EPA
Z.Charbonnet55%	15	52%	10		-8.7
K.III35%	13	45%	105	1	+8.9
A.Barner89%	1	3%	2		+1.7

Receiving	Tgt	Share	Rec	Yds	TD	EPA
J.Smith-Njigba65%	10	33%	8	103		+5.9
C.Kupp69%	9	30%	7	90		+1.7
T.Horton40%	4	13%	2	32	1	+1.9
A.Barner89%	3	10%	2	26	1	-2.4
E.Arroyo40%	3	10%	2	31		+1.3
K.III35%	1	3%	1	13		+0.2

Defense D.Kendrick 1 INT, C.Bryant 1 INT, B.II 1.5 sacks, J.Reed 1 sack · Kicking J.Myers 1/2 FG (long 54)

Steelers

Passing	C/A	Yds	TD	INT	Sk	EPA
A.Rodgers95%	18/33	203	1	2	3	-6.2
M.Rudolph5%	2/2	12				-0.1

Rushing	Car	Share	Yds	EPA
J.Warren58%	14	67%	48	-0.2
K.Gainwell42%	5	24%	20	-2.1
A.Rodgers95%	1	5%	3	-1.1
K.Johnson3%	1	5%	1	-0.7

Receiving	Tgt	Share	Rec	Yds	TD	EPA
D.Metcalf90%	6	19%	3	20	1	+2.0
K.Gainwell42%	5	16%	3	16		-2.6
J.Smith56%	4	13%	4	27		+0.2
P.Freiermuth50%	4	13%	3	31		-3.4
J.Warren58%	4	13%	4	86		+5.2
C.III92%	4	13%	1	22		-2.3
R.Wilson35%	2	6%	1	7		-1.4
C.Heyward15%	1	3%	1	6		+0.0
D.Washington37%	1	3%	0	0		+0.6

Defense J.Ramsey 1 INT, N.Herbig 1 INT, P.Wilson 1 sack, J.Sawyer 1 sack · Kicking C.Boswell 3/3 FG (long 48)

Each player's line for this game from nflverse's weekly stats; the percentage beside his name is his share of the offense's snaps. Share is his part of the team's carries or targets in this game. Defense lists sacks and interceptions; kicking lists field goals.

Keys to the game · from the season numbers, not this game alone4 reads

Biggest edge

Backs catch passes

Seahawks give up 41 yards a game to running backs (27th), against a league average of 32. Steelers' running backs produce 48 (3rd).

Opportunity

Deep middle is open

Seahawks are worst against deep middle throws, allowing +0.37 EPA per attempt. Steelers send 3% of their throws there. That is a small part of their offense so far.

Watch out

Wideouts get blanketed

Seahawks give up 118 yards a game to wide receivers (5th), against a league average of 140. Steelers' wide receivers produce 101 (29th).

Wash

EPA per play

Call this one even. Steelers average 0.00 EPA per play (18th). Seahawks allow -0.12 (2nd). League average is +0.01.

The series · Seahawks and Steelers since 1999, and this season's records10 meetings

The series is even at 5–5 since 1999. This game is the latest meeting.

Seahawks at home2–1the Seahawks' record

In Pittsburgh3–3the Seahawks' record

Most pointsSeahawks 39 · Steelers 302015 · 2015

Biggest winSeahawks by 19 · Steelers by 241999 · 2011

Playoffs0–1the Seahawks' record

The last 5

2025 · Wk 2	SEA 31 at PIT 17
2023 · Wk 17	PIT 30 at SEA 23
2021 · Wk 6 · OT	SEA 20 at PIT 23
2019 · Wk 2	SEA 28 at PIT 26
2015 · Wk 12	PIT 30 at SEA 39

2025 records

	Seahawks	Steelers
Overall	14–3	10–7
Division	4–2	4–2
Conference	9–3	8–4
Other conference	5–0	2–3
Home	6–2	6–3
Away	8–1	4–4
Last 5	WWWWW	WWWLW
Streak	Won 7	Won 1
Points a game	28.4 – 17.2	23.4 – 22.8

Every meeting since 1999, regular season and playoffs, from nflverse's game list, which starts in 1999; the all-time series goes back further. Franchises that moved count as one team (the Raiders, Chargers and Rams). Home and away are from the Seahawks' side. Records are this regular season.

Head to head · PIT offense against SEA defense

Stat	PIT off	SEA def allows	NFL avg
Overall
EPA per play	0.00#18	-0.12#2	+0.01
Success rate	43%#19	40%#3	44%
Yards per play	5.2#21	4.8#4	5.4
Explosive play rate	9%#23	8%#2	10%
Passing
Pass EPA per dropback	-0.01#21	-0.12#5	+0.01
Sack rate	6%#12	7%#11	7%
Running
Run EPA per carry	0.00#7	-0.19#1	-0.05
Yards per carry	4.4#12	3.5#1	4.3
Money downs
3rd down conversion	40%#17	34%#1	40%
Red zone TD rate	59%#15	54%#6	59%
Targets by position
WR yards per game	101#29	118#5	140
TE yards per game	62#7	63#27	53
TE targets per game	8.9#4	8.3#27	7.3
RB receiving yards per game	48#3	41#27	32

Where the ball goes · EPA per throwDeep is 15+ air yds

Steelers: EPA per throw

Left

Middle

Right

Deep

-0.046% of throws

+0.363% of throws

+0.236% of throws

Short

+0.0433% of throws

+0.3017% of throws

+0.0735% of throws

Seahawks: EPA allowed per throw

Left

Middle

Right

Deep

+0.3452 throws

+0.3722 throws

+0.0958 throws