2025
Divisional · Sunday 3:00 PM ET · Gillette Stadium
Patriots offensevsTexans defense
Season numbers through Week 22: 21 games for Patriots, 19 for Texans. Ranks are out of 32; #1 is the best offense or the stingiest defense.
D.Schultz led the Texans at +4.9 EPA (2 catches for 47). K.Boutte led the Patriots at +6.2 EPA (3 catches for 75).
Texans
| Passing | C/A | Yds | TD | INT | Sk | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.Stroud | 20/47 | 212 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -23.5 |
| Rushing | Car | Share | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W.Marks | 14 | 64% | 17 | -10.3 | |
| N.Chubb | 4 | 18% | 14 | +2.3 | |
| C.Stroud | 2 | 9% | 11 | +1.2 | |
| C.Stover | 2 | 9% | 6 | +1.1 |
| Receiving | Tgt | Share | Rec | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| X.Hutchinson | 13 | 29% | 4 | 44 | -17.3 | |
| J.Higgins | 10 | 22% | 6 | 59 | +1.6 | |
| C.Kirk | 6 | 13% | 2 | 20 | 1 | -2.7 |
| H.Bryant | 6 | 13% | 3 | 21 | -0.5 | |
| W.Marks | 3 | 7% | 2 | 19 | -0.3 | |
| C.Stover | 3 | 7% | 1 | 2 | -2.0 | |
| D.Schultz | 2 | 4% | 2 | 47 | +4.9 | |
| N.Chubb | 1 | 2% | 0 | 0 | -0.6 | |
| J.Noel | 1 | 2% | 0 | 0 | -0.4 |
Defense W.Anderson 3 sacks, D.Hunter 2 sacks, J.Ingram 1 INT · Kicking K.Fairbairn 3/3 FG (long 51)
Patriots
| Passing | C/A | Yds | TD | INT | Sk | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.Maye | 16/27 | 179 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -8.0 |
| Rushing | Car | Share | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R.Stevenson | 16 | 50% | 70 | -1.8 | |
| T.Henderson | 12 | 38% | 25 | -4.5 | |
| D.Maye | 4 | 13% | 10 | -4.5 |
| Receiving | Tgt | Share | Rec | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S.Diggs | 6 | 23% | 4 | 40 | 1 | +2.5 |
| K.Boutte | 5 | 19% | 3 | 75 | 1 | +6.2 |
| R.Stevenson | 4 | 15% | 4 | 11 | -2.3 | |
| K.Williams | 3 | 12% | 0 | 0 | -3.3 | |
| H.Henry | 2 | 8% | 1 | 5 | -1.7 | |
| T.Henderson | 2 | 8% | 1 | -2 | -2.5 | |
| D.Douglas | 2 | 8% | 2 | 36 | 1 | +4.4 |
| A.Hooper | 2 | 8% | 1 | 14 | 0.0 |
Defense C.Davis 2 INT, M.Jones 1 INT, C.Woodson 1 INT, K.Chaisson 1 sack
Each player's line for this game counted from the play-by-play, since nflverse's weekly stats for it haven't posted yet; they replace these lines with the next build once they do. The percentage beside his name is his share of the offense's snaps. Share is his part of the team's carries or targets in this game. Defense lists sacks and interceptions; kicking lists field goals.
Red zone touchdowns
Patriots score a touchdown on 61% of red zone trips (11th). Texans allow 60% (21st).
Deep left is open
Texans are worst against deep left throws, allowing +0.68 EPA per attempt. Patriots send 10% of their throws there.
Nowhere to run
Patriots' run game is 27th in EPA per carry (-0.10). Texans allow -0.16 (2nd).
Yards per play
Call this one even. Patriots gain 6.1 yards per play (3rd). Texans give up 4.7 (2nd), with the league at 5.4.
The Patriots lead the series 12–4 since 1999 (they first met in 2003). This game is the latest meeting.
The last 5
| 2025 · Wk 20 · playoffs | HOU 16 at NE 28 |
| 2024 · Wk 6 | HOU 41 at NE 21 |
| 2021 · Wk 5 | NE 25 at HOU 22 |
| 2020 · Wk 11 | NE 20 at HOU 27 |
| 2019 · Wk 13 | NE 22 at HOU 28 |
2025 records
| Texans | Patriots | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12–5 | 14–3 |
| Division | 5–1 | 5–1 |
| Conference | 10–2 | 9–3 |
| Other conference | 2–3 | 5–0 |
| Home | 7–2 | 6–3 |
| Away | 5–3 | 8–0 |
| Last 5 | WWWWW | WLWWW |
| Streak | Won 9 | Won 3 |
| Points a game | 23.8 – 17.4 | 28.8 – 18.8 |
Every meeting since 1999, regular season and playoffs, from nflverse's game list, which starts in 1999; the all-time series goes back further. Franchises that moved count as one team (the Raiders, Chargers and Rams). Home and away are from the Texans' side. Records are this regular season.
| Stat | Favors NE · Favors HOU | NFL avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | ||||
| EPA per play | +0.09#5 | -0.16#1 | +0.01 | |
| Success rate | 46%#7 | 37%#2 | 44% | |
| Yards per play | 6.1#3 | 4.7#2 | 5.4 | |
| Explosive play rate | 12%#4 | 8%#8 | 10% | |
| Passing | ||||
| Pass EPA per dropback | +0.17#5 | -0.22#1 | +0.01 | |
| Sack rate | 10%#29 | 9%#6 | 7% | |
| Running | ||||
| Run EPA per carry | -0.10#27 | -0.16#2 | -0.05 | |
| Yards per carry | 4.3#16 | 3.5#2 | 4.3 | |
| Money downs | ||||
| 3rd down conversion | 41%#13 | 36%#6 | 40% | |
| Red zone TD rate | 61%#11 | 60%#21 | 59% | |
| Targets by position | ||||
| WR yards per game | 160#7 | 128#10 | 140 | |
| TE yards per game | 56#14 | 43#5 | 53 | |
| TE targets per game | 6.4#19 | 7.0#13 | 7.3 | |
| RB receiving yards per game | 36#10 | 31#18 | 32 | |
Patriots: EPA per throw
Texans: EPA allowed per throw
Green gains more than expected, red loses value. Cells with fewer than 5 throws are grayed out.