DOWN X DOWN › week 4 › Seahawks at Cardinals

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2025

2025 season · final Every snap of the 2025 season, kept as it ended.Back to 2026 →

Week 4 · Thursday 8:15 PM ET · State Farm Stadium

Seahawks offensevsCardinals defense

Season numbers through Week 22: 20 games for Seahawks, 17 for Cardinals. Ranks are out of 32; #1 is the best offense or the stingiest defense.

SEA offense ARI offense

How it played out · win probability, snap by snapFinal · SEA 23 · ARI 20

The Seahawks won 23–20; their low point was 48% at Q1 7:47. The game turned for good at Q1 6:21: PENALTY on ARI-J.Williams, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at SEA 10 - No Play (49% → 52%). The biggest single swing came at Q4 0:23, 22 points for the Seahawks.

At kickoffSEA 54%SEA by 1.5 on the line

SEA low point48%Q1 7:47 · tied 0⁠–⁠0

Swings past 50%2times the favorite changed

Biggest swing22 ptsSEA · Q4 0:23

ARI wins50%SEA wins

12345Turning pointSEA low 48%

Q1Q2Q3Q4

The plays that swung it

1Q4 0:23SEAS.Darnold pass deep left to J.Smith-Njigba to ARI 38 for 22 yards (M.Melton). The Replay Official reviewed the runner was inbounds ruling, and the…65% → 87%+22
2Q4 0:04SEAJ.Myers 52 yard field goal is GOOD83% → 100%+17
3Q4 0:33ARIK.Murray pass short left to E.Demercado for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.25% → 36%+11
4Q4 1:16ARIK.Murray pass deep left to M.Harrison to SEA 7 for 18 yards (D.Witherspoon).14% → 24%+11
5Q4 3:01ARIK.Murray pass short left to Mi.Wilson to SEA 46 for 5 yards (J.Jobe).8% → 16%+8
★Q1 6:21SEAPENALTY on ARI-J.Williams, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at SEA 10 - No Play.turning point49% → 52%+3

Win probability is nflverse's model, which starts from the betting line and updates before every snap with the score, the clock, down, distance, field position and timeouts. A swing is the change in one team's chance across a play, in percentage points. The turning point is the play after which the winner never fell to 50% again.

Box score · every offensive player who touched the ballWeek 4

S.Darnold led the Seahawks at +11.4 EPA (18 of 26 for 242). E.Demercado led the Cardinals at +2.5 EPA (2 carries for 8).

Seahawks

Passing	C/A	Yds	TD	INT	Sk	EPA
S.Darnold100%	18/26	242	1		3	+9.9

Rushing	Car	Share	Yds	TD	EPA
K.III50%	19	54%	81		-5.5
Z.Charbonnet47%	12	34%	39	1	-2.2
J.Smith-Njigba80%	3	9%	11		-0.2
S.Darnold100%	1	3%	24		+1.5

Receiving	Tgt	Share	Rec	Yds	TD	EPA
C.Kupp74%	5	21%	4	26		-0.1
J.Smith-Njigba80%	5	21%	4	79		+7.3
E.Arroyo55%	4	17%	2	44		+1.8
A.Barner86%	3	13%	3	32	1	+3.2
K.III50%	2	8%	1	29		+2.0
Z.Charbonnet47%	2	8%	2	5		-1.3
T.Horton36%	2	8%	1	10		-0.4
J.Bobo15%	1	4%	1	17		+1.6

Defense U.Nwosu 2 sacks, E.Jones 0.5 sacks and 1 INT, L.Williams 1.5 sacks, C.Bryant 1 INT · Kicking J.Myers 3/4 FG (long 52)

Cardinals

Passing	C/A	Yds	TD	INT	Sk	EPA
K.Murray100%	27/41	200	2	2	6	-3.3

Rushing	Car	Share	Yds	EPA
T.Benson55%	8	47%	35	-0.4
K.Murray100%	5	29%	41	+0.1
E.Demercado39%	2	12%	8	-0.2
G.Dortch64%	1	6%	4	-0.3
M.Carter6%	1	6%	1	-1.1

Receiving	Tgt	Share	Rec	Yds	TD	EPA
T.McBride96%	11	28%	7	52		+1.5
M.Jr.100%	10	25%	6	66	1	+1.2
M.Wilson97%	6	15%	3	15		+0.5
G.Dortch64%	5	13%	4	35		+0.4
T.Benson55%	5	13%	5	19		+0.1
E.Demercado39%	2	5%	2	13	1	+2.7
X.Weaver21%	1	3%	0	0		-0.4

Defense C.Campbell 1 sack, J.Sweat 1 sack, D.Robinson 1 sack · Kicking C.Ryland 2/2 FG (long 57)

Each player's line for this game from nflverse's weekly stats; the percentage beside his name is his share of the offense's snaps. Share is his part of the team's carries or targets in this game. Defense lists sacks and interceptions; kicking lists field goals.

Keys to the game · from the season numbers, not this game alone4 reads

Biggest edge

Throw it

Seahawks gain +0.13 EPA per dropback (7th). Cardinals allow +0.15 (27th).

Opportunity

Deep middle is open

Cardinals are worst against deep middle throws, allowing +0.78 EPA per attempt. Seahawks send 3% of their throws there. That is a small part of their offense so far.

Watch out

Tight ends go quiet

Cardinals give up 8.4 targets a game to tight ends (30th), against a league average of 7.3. Seahawks' tight ends produce 5.5 (30th).

Wash

EPA per play

Call this one even. Seahawks average +0.04 EPA per play (10th). Cardinals allow +0.09 (27th). League average is +0.01.

The series · Seahawks and Cardinals since 1999, and this season's records49 meetings

The Seahawks lead the series 31–17–1 since 1999 (they first met in 2002). They have won the last 10. Sep 20, 2026, at State Farm Stadium: the Seahawks won 31–7. Jacoby Brissett started at quarterback for the Cardinals and Drew Lock for the Seahawks; Jonathan Gannon and Mike Macdonald coached.

Seahawks at home15–9the Seahawks' record

In Arizona16–8–1the Seahawks' record

Most pointsSeahawks 58 · Cardinals 392012 · 2015

Biggest winSeahawks by 58 · Cardinals by 242012 · 2009

The last 5

2026 · Wk 2	SEA 31 at ARI 7
2025 · Wk 10	ARI 22 at SEA 44
2025 · Wk 4	SEA 23 at ARI 20
2024 · Wk 14	SEA 30 at ARI 18
2024 · Wk 12	ARI 6 at SEA 16

2025 records

	Seahawks	Cardinals
Overall	14–3	3–14
Division	4–2	0–6
Conference	9–3	3–9
Other conference	5–0	0–5
Home	6–2	1–7
Away	8–1	2–7
Last 5	WWWWW	LLLLL
Streak	Won 7	Lost 9
Points a game	28.4 – 17.2	20.9 – 28.7

Every meeting since 1999, regular season and playoffs, from nflverse's game list, which starts in 1999; the all-time series goes back further. Franchises that moved count as one team (the Raiders, Chargers and Rams). Home and away are from the Seahawks' side. Records are this regular season.

Head to head · SEA offense against ARI defense

Stat	SEA off	ARI def allows	NFL avg
Overall
EPA per play	+0.04#10	+0.09#27	+0.01
Success rate	46%#8	49%#31	44%
Yards per play	5.9#7	5.8#25	5.4
Explosive play rate	11%#7	11%#24	10%
Passing
Pass EPA per dropback	+0.13#7	+0.15#27	+0.01
Sack rate	5%#11	5%#28	7%
Running
Run EPA per carry	-0.06#21	-0.02#25	-0.05
Yards per carry	4.2#17	4.7#26	4.3
Money downs
3rd down conversion	43%#10	46%#29	40%
Red zone TD rate	57%#21	66%#28	59%
Targets by position
WR yards per game	168#4	137#16	140
TE yards per game	40#27	69#30	53
TE targets per game	5.5#30	8.4#30	7.3
RB receiving yards per game	29#16	36#24	32

Where the ball goes · EPA per throwDeep is 15+ air yds

Seahawks: EPA per throw

Left

Middle

Right

Deep

+0.277% of throws

+0.163% of throws

+1.288% of throws

Short

+0.2032% of throws

+0.2319% of throws

+0.0830% of throws

Cardinals: EPA allowed per throw

Left

Middle

Right

Deep

+0.3139 throws

+0.7819 throws

+0.5142 throws