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DOWN X DOWN › week 14 › Bills at Packers
Updated Nov 2, 5:48 PM ET
2026
2026this season2025final

Week 14 · Sunday 8:20 PM ET · Lambeau Field

BUFvsGB

Bills offensevsPackers defense

Season numbers through Week 8: 7 games for Bills, 8 for Packers. Ranks are out of 32; #1 is the best offense or the stingiest defense.

BUF offenseGB offense
Keys to the game · where this matchup tilts, from the season numbers4 reads
01
Biggest edge

Third downs favor Bills

Bills convert 47% of third downs (6th). Packers allow 44% (23rd).

02
Opportunity

Deep left is open

Packers are worst against deep left throws, allowing +0.61 EPA per attempt. Bills send 8% of their throws there. That is a small part of their offense so far.

03
Watch out

Tight ends go quiet

Packers give up 6.1 targets a game to tight ends (4th), against a league average of 7.6. Bills' tight ends produce 7.1 (19th).

04
Wash

Yards per play

Call this one even. Bills gain 6.5 yards per play (2nd). Packers give up 4.8 (3rd), with the league at 5.4.

Players to watch

BUF Bills

17Josh AllenQB · 135/205 · 1793 yds · 11 TD · 5 INTEPA per dropback +0.27 · 5th4James CookRB · 138 car · 707 yds · 7 TD · 12 recEPA per touch +0.08 · 11th10Khalil ShakirWR · 27 rec · 354 yds · 1 TD · 38 tgtEPA per target +0.4086Dalton KincaidTE · 27 rec · 401 yds · 2 TD · 35 tgtEPA per target +0.50 · 8th15Greg RousseauWeakside Linebacker · 24 tackles · 7 sacks · 7 PD7 sacks · T-3rd in the NFL21Davison IgbinosunRight Cornerback · 28 tackles · 1 INT · 8 PD1 INT

GB Packers

10Jordan LoveQB · 192/312 · 2246 yds · 16 TD · 6 INTEPA per dropback +0.14 · 13th8Josh JacobsRB · 32 car · 75 yds · 3 TD · 11 recEPA per touch -0.05 · 29th0Matthew GoldenWR · 43 rec · 619 yds · 4 TD · 82 tgtEPA per target +0.099Christian WatsonWR · 42 rec · 708 yds · 6 TD · 66 tgtEPA per target +0.46 · 23rd29Xavier McKinneyFree Safety · 34 tackles · 1 sack · 3 INT · 4 PD3 INT · T-2nd in the NFL33Evan WilliamsStrong Safety · 70 tackles · 1 sack · 2 INT · 6 PD2 INT · T-11th in the NFL
The series · Bills and Packers since 1999, and this season's records7 meetings

The Bills lead the series 4–3 since 1999 (they first met in 2000). Oct 30, 2022, at New Era Field: the Bills won 27–17. Josh Allen started at quarterback for the Bills and Aaron Rodgers for the Packers; Sean McDermott and Matt LaFleur coached.

Bills at home4–0the Bills' record
In Green Bay0–3the Bills' record
Most pointsBills 27 · Packers 342000 · 2010
Biggest winBills by 14 · Packers by 272006 · 2010

The last 5

2022 · Wk 8GB 17 at BUF 27
2018 · Wk 4BUF 0 at GB 22
2014 · Wk 15GB 13 at BUF 21
2010 · Wk 2BUF 7 at GB 34
2006 · Wk 9GB 10 at BUF 24

2026 records

BillsPackers
Overall6–15–3
Division0–11–2
Conference4–14–3
Other conference2–01–0
Home3–13–1
Away3–02–2
Last 5WLWWWWWWLW
StreakWon 3Won 1
Points a game33.3 – 25.921.4 – 20.5

Every meeting since 1999, regular season and playoffs, from nflverse's game list, which starts in 1999; the all-time series goes back further. Franchises that moved count as one team (the Raiders, Chargers and Rams). Home and away are from the Bills' side. Records are this regular season.

The lineups · Bills offense against the Packers defenseDepth charts
Packers defense · 3-4 DBills offense · 3WR 1TE73Dawkins70Anderson66McGovern64Torrence79Brown86Kincaid17Allen4Cook2Moore0Coleman10Shakir95Wyatt55McClellan94Brooks90Ness99Sorrell59Hopper44Franklin2Cisse25Nixon7Bullard33Williams29McKinney

Bills offense · 3WR 1TE

  • QBJosh Allen#17 · 135/205 · 1793 yds · 11 TD · 5 INT
  • RBJames Cook III#4 · 138 car · 707 yds · 7 TD · 12 rec
  • WRDJ Moore#2 · 16 rec · 260 yds · 2 TD · 27 tgt
  • WRKhalil Shakir#10 · 27 rec · 354 yds · 1 TD · 38 tgt
  • WRKeon Coleman#0 · 20 rec · 287 yds · 3 TD · 27 tgt
  • TEDalton Kincaid#86 · 27 rec · 401 yds · 2 TD · 35 tgt
  • LTDion Dawkins#73
  • LGAlec Anderson#70
  • CConnor McGovern#66
  • RGO'Cyrus Torrence#64
  • RTSpencer Brown#79

Packers defense · Base 3-4 D

  • RDEDevonte Wyatt#95 · 19 tackles · 3 sacks
  • NTChris McClellan#55 · 15 tackles
  • LDEKarl Brooks#94 · 14 tackles
  • WLBLukas Van Ness#90 · 31 tackles · 4.5 sacks · 1 PD
  • SLBBarryn Sorrell#99 · 24 tackles · 1.5 sacks
  • RILBTy'Ron Hopper#59 · 27 tackles · 1 sack · 2 INT · 5 PD
  • LILBZaire Franklin#44 · 41 tackles · 1 PD
  • RCBBrandon Cisse#2 · 33 tackles · 1.5 sacks · 1 INT · 8 PD
  • LCBKeisean Nixon#25 · 43 tackles · 0.5 sacks · 1 INT · 6 PD
  • NBJavon Bullard#7 · 41 tackles · 7 PD
  • SSEvan Williams#33 · 70 tackles · 1 sack · 2 INT · 6 PD
  • FSXavier McKinney#29 · 34 tackles · 1 sack · 3 INT · 4 PD

Starters from each team's current depth chart (nflverse, from ESPN), drawn in the offense's base three-receiver set against the defense's base front. The nickel back, the extra defensive back most teams use against three receivers, is drawn lighter. Left and right are as the offense sees the field. The toggle at the top flips which offense is drawn.

Head to head · BUF offense against GB defense
StatBUF BUF offFavors BUF · Favors GBGB GB def allowsNFL avg
Overall
EPA per play
+0.18#1
-0.07#7+0.00
Success rate
49%#4
44%#1544%
Yards per play
6.5#2
4.8#35.4
Explosive play rate
15%#1
6%#39%
Passing
Pass EPA per dropback
+0.23#4
-0.06#5+0.03
Sack rate
6%#13
7%#137%
Running
Run EPA per carry
+0.02#6
-0.10#11-0.08
Yards per carry
4.5#7
3.9#144.1
Money downs
3rd down conversion
47%#6
44%#2341%
Red zone TD rate
72%#3
60%#1361%
Targets by position
WR yards per game
145#17
152#22147
TE yards per game
64#9
35#355
TE targets per game
7.1#19
6.1#47.6
RB receiving yards per game
46#7
34#1932
Where the ball goes · EPA per throwDeep is 15+ air yds

Bills: EPA per throw

Left
Middle
Right
Deep
-0.138% of throws
+1.408% of throws
+1.215% of throws
Short
+0.4627% of throws
-0.1216% of throws
+0.2236% of throws

Packers: EPA allowed per throw

Left
Middle
Right
Deep
+0.6117 throws
+0.3710 throws
-0.4315 throws
Short
-0.0282 throws
+0.0165 throws
+0.0593 throws

Green gains more than expected, red loses value. Cells with fewer than 5 throws are grayed out.