DOWN X DOWN › week 14 › Bills at Packers
Updated Nov 3, 9:16 AM ET
2026
2026this season2025final

Week 14 · Sunday 8:20 PM ET · Lambeau Field

GBvsBUF

Packers offensevsBills defense

Season numbers through Week 8: 8 games for Packers, 7 for Bills. Ranks are out of 32; #1 is the best offense or the stingiest defense.

BUF offenseGB offense
Keys to the game · where this matchup tilts, from the season numbers4 reads
01
Biggest edge

Wideouts feast

Bills give up 154 yards a game to wide receivers (24th), against a league average of 147. Packers' wide receivers produce 193 (3rd).

02
Opportunity

Deep right is open

Bills are worst against deep right throws, allowing +0.64 EPA per attempt. Packers send 8% of their throws there. That is a small part of their offense so far.

03
Watch out

Ground game stalls

Packers average 3.1 yards per carry (32nd). Bills allow 3.6 (9th).

04
Wash

Success rate

Call this one even. Packers succeed on 40% of plays (27th) against a defense that allows 46% (26th).

Players to watch

BUF Bills

17Josh AllenQB · 135/205 · 1793 yds · 11 TD · 5 INTEPA per dropback +0.27 · 5th4James CookRB · 138 car · 707 yds · 7 TD · 12 recEPA per touch +0.08 · 11th10Khalil ShakirWR · 27 rec · 354 yds · 1 TD · 38 tgtEPA per target +0.4086Dalton KincaidTE · 27 rec · 401 yds · 2 TD · 35 tgtEPA per target +0.50 · 8th15Greg RousseauWeakside Linebacker · 24 tackles · 7 sacks · 7 PD7 sacks · T-3rd in the NFL21Davison IgbinosunRight Cornerback · 28 tackles · 1 INT · 8 PD1 INT

GB Packers

10Jordan LoveQB · 192/312 · 2246 yds · 16 TD · 6 INTEPA per dropback +0.14 · 13th8Josh JacobsRB · 32 car · 75 yds · 3 TD · 11 recEPA per touch -0.05 · 30th0Matthew GoldenWR · 43 rec · 619 yds · 4 TD · 82 tgtEPA per target +0.099Christian WatsonWR · 42 rec · 708 yds · 6 TD · 66 tgtEPA per target +0.46 · 23rd29Xavier McKinneyFree Safety · 34 tackles · 1 sack · 3 INT · 4 PD3 INT · T-2nd in the NFL33Evan WilliamsStrong Safety · 70 tackles · 1 sack · 2 INT · 6 PD2 INT · T-11th in the NFL
The series · Bills and Packers since 1999, and this season's records7 meetings

The Bills lead the series 4–3 since 1999 (they first met in 2000). Oct 30, 2022, at New Era Field: the Bills won 27–17. Josh Allen started at quarterback for the Bills and Aaron Rodgers for the Packers; Sean McDermott and Matt LaFleur coached.

Bills at home4–0the Bills' record
In Green Bay0–3the Bills' record
Most pointsBills 27 · Packers 342000 · 2010
Biggest winBills by 14 · Packers by 272006 · 2010

The last 5

2022 · Wk 8GB 17 at BUF 27
2018 · Wk 4BUF 0 at GB 22
2014 · Wk 15GB 13 at BUF 21
2010 · Wk 2BUF 7 at GB 34
2006 · Wk 9GB 10 at BUF 24

2026 records

BillsPackers
Overall6–15–3
Division0–11–2
Conference4–14–3
Other conference2–01–0
Home3–13–1
Away3–02–2
Last 5WLWWWWWWLW
StreakWon 3Won 1
Points a game33.3 – 25.921.4 – 20.5

Every meeting since 1999, regular season and playoffs, from nflverse's game list, which starts in 1999; the all-time series goes back further. Franchises that moved count as one team (the Raiders, Chargers and Rams). Home and away are from the Bills' side. Records are this regular season.

The lineups · Packers offense against the Bills defenseDepth charts
Bills defense · 3-4 DPackers offense · 3WR 1TE77Morgan65Banks75Rhyan79Glover71Belton85Kraft10Love8Jacobs9Watson83Williams0Golden91Oliver96Walker98Sanders15Rousseau9Chubb8Bernard42Williams21Igbinosun47Benford23Alford24Bishop22Gardner-Johnson

Packers offense · 3WR 1TE

  • QBJordan Love#10 · 192/312 · 2246 yds · 16 TD · 6 INT
  • RBJosh Jacobs#8 · 32 car · 75 yds · 3 TD · 11 rec
  • WRChristian Watson#9 · 42 rec · 708 yds · 6 TD · 66 tgt
  • WRMatthew Golden#0 · 43 rec · 619 yds · 4 TD · 82 tgt
  • WRSavion Williams#83 · 8 rec · 84 yds · 0 TD · 9 tgt
  • TETucker Kraft#85 · 35 rec · 350 yds · 3 TD · 49 tgt
  • LTJordan Morgan#77
  • LGAaron Banks#65
  • CSean Rhyan#75
  • RGTravis Glover#79
  • RTAnthony Belton#71

Bills defense · Base 3-4 D

  • RDEEd Oliver#91 · 9 tackles · 0.5 sacks
  • NTDeone Walker#96 · 22 tackles · 1 sack · 5 PD
  • LDET.J. Sanders#98 · 8 tackles
  • WLBGreg Rousseau#15 · 24 tackles · 7 sacks · 7 PD
  • SLBBradley Chubb#9 · 17 tackles · 1.5 sacks
  • RILBTerrel Bernard#8 · 50 tackles · 1 PD
  • LILBDorian Williams#42 · 46 tackles · 1 INT · 2 PD
  • RCBDavison Igbinosun#21 · 28 tackles · 1 INT · 8 PD
  • LCBChristian Benford#47 · 29 tackles · 6 PD
  • NBDee Alford#23 · 15 tackles · 1 INT · 3 PD
  • SSCole Bishop#24 · 45 tackles · 1 sack · 2 PD
  • FSC.J. Gardner-Johnson#22 · 26 tackles · 1 INT · 2 PD

Starters from each team's current depth chart (nflverse, from ESPN), drawn in the offense's base three-receiver set against the defense's base front. The nickel back, the extra defensive back most teams use against three receivers, is drawn lighter. Left and right are as the offense sees the field. The toggle at the top flips which offense is drawn.

Head to head · GB offense against BUF defense
StatGB GB offFavors GB · Favors BUFBUF BUF def allowsNFL avg
Overall
EPA per play
+0.00#17
+0.06#23+0.00
Success rate
40%#27
46%#2644%
Yards per play
5.5#16
5.4#165.4
Explosive play rate
9%#19
10%#239%
Passing
Pass EPA per dropback
+0.12#11
+0.12#24+0.03
Sack rate
4%#7
5%#267%
Running
Run EPA per carry
-0.24#32
-0.08#17-0.08
Yards per carry
3.1#32
3.6#94.1
Money downs
3rd down conversion
39%#23
42%#2141%
Red zone TD rate
54%#23
68%#2461%
Targets by position
WR yards per game
193#3
154#24147
TE yards per game
59#15
71#2955
TE targets per game
7.5#16
9.1#297.6
RB receiving yards per game
28#20
44#2932
Where the ball goes · EPA per throwDeep is 15+ air yds

Packers: EPA per throw

Left
Middle
Right
Deep
+0.357% of throws
+1.607% of throws
+0.098% of throws
Short
+0.0925% of throws
+0.2120% of throws
-0.0433% of throws

Bills: EPA allowed per throw

Left
Middle
Right
Deep
+0.6118 throws
+0.4613 throws
+0.6425 throws
Short
+0.0477 throws
+0.3850 throws
+0.1785 throws

Green gains more than expected, red loses value. Cells with fewer than 5 throws are grayed out.