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DOWN X DOWN › week 15 › Falcons at Commanders
Updated Nov 2, 5:48 PM ET
2026
2026this season2025final

Week 15 · Sunday 1:00 PM ET · Northwest Stadium

ATLvsWAS

Falcons offensevsCommanders defense

Season numbers through Week 8: 8 games for Falcons, 7 for Commanders. Ranks are out of 32; #1 is the best offense or the stingiest defense.

ATL offenseWAS offense
Keys to the game · where this matchup tilts, from the season numbers4 reads
01
Biggest edge

Red zone touchdowns

Falcons score a touchdown on 64% of red zone trips (14th). Commanders allow 79% (29th).

02
Opportunity

Deep right is open

Commanders are worst against deep right throws, allowing +1.19 EPA per attempt. Falcons send 7% of their throws there. That is a small part of their offense so far.

03
Watch out

Passing lanes are closed

Falcons gain -0.18 EPA per dropback (29th). Commanders allow +0.02 (17th).

04
Wash

Yards per play

Call this one even. Falcons gain 5.6 yards per play (13th). Commanders give up 5.4 (17th), with the league at 5.4.

Players to watch

ATL Falcons

9Michael Penix Jr.QB · 104/168 · 1282 yds · 9 TD · 5 INTEPA per dropback +0.02 · 21st7Bijan RobinsonRB · 150 car · 780 yds · 5 TD · 25 recEPA per touch -0.075Drake LondonWR · 39 rec · 624 yds · 1 TD · 62 tgtEPA per target +0.408Kyle PittsTE · 22 rec · 197 yds · 4 TD · 32 tgtEPA per target +0.0653Kendal DanielsLeft Inside Linebacker · 52 tackles · 1 sack · 1 INT · 2 PD1 INT26C.J. HendersonRight Cornerback · 39 tackles · 8 PD8 passes defended · T-7th in the NFL

WAS Commanders

5Jayden DanielsQB · 91/145 · 976 yds · 6 TD · 0 INTEPA per dropback +0.04 · 18th1Rachaad WhiteRB · 47 car · 200 yds · 3 TD · 16 recEPA per touch +0.01 · 17th3Stefon DiggsWR · 27 rec · 252 yds · 5 TD · 44 tgtEPA per target +0.2314Antonio WilliamsWR · 23 rec · 259 yds · 1 TD · 33 tgtEPA per target +0.3129Rasul DouglasLeft Cornerback · 27 tackles · 2 INT · 6 PD2 INT · T-11th in the NFL98Odafe OwehWeakside Linebacker · 16 tackles · 4 sacks4 sacks · T-22nd in the NFL
The series · Falcons and Commanders since 1999, and this season's records12 meetings

The Falcons lead the series 7–5 since 1999 (they first met in 2003). Sep 28, 2025, at Mercedes-Benz Stadium: the Falcons won 34–27. Michael Penix started at quarterback for the Falcons and Jayden Daniels for the Commanders; Raheem Morris and Dan Quinn coached.

Falcons at home4–3the Falcons' record
In Washington3–2the Falcons' record
Most pointsFalcons 38 · Commanders 342018 · 2021
Biggest winFalcons by 24 · Commanders by 82018 · 2023

The last 5

2025 · Wk 4WAS 27 at ATL 34
2024 · Wk 17 · OTATL 24 at WAS 30
2023 · Wk 6WAS 24 at ATL 16
2022 · Wk 12ATL 13 at WAS 19
2021 · Wk 4WAS 34 at ATL 30

2026 records

FalconsCommanders
Overall3–52–4–1
Division1–21–2–1
Conference3–32–3–1
Other conference0–20–1
Home1–32–1–1
Away2–20–3
Last 5WLLWLWLTLW
StreakLost 1Won 1
Points a game21.4 – 23.622.7 – 26.0

Every meeting since 1999, regular season and playoffs, from nflverse's game list, which starts in 1999; the all-time series goes back further. Franchises that moved count as one team (the Raiders, Chargers and Rams). Home and away are from the Falcons' side. Records are this regular season.

The lineups · Falcons offense against the Commanders defenseDepth charts
Commanders defense · 3-4 DFalcons offense · 3WR 1TE70Matthews65Bergeron64Neuzil63Lindstrom71Taylor8Pitts9Penix7Robinson5London14Zaccheaus4Dotson99Kinlaw97Settle90Omenihu98Oweh92Armstrong52Styles4Luvu23Amos29Douglas2Robertson25Cross39Reaves

Falcons offense · 3WR 1TE

  • QBMichael Penix Jr.#9 · 104/168 · 1282 yds · 9 TD · 5 INT
  • RBBijan Robinson#7 · 150 car · 780 yds · 5 TD · 25 rec
  • WRDrake London#5 · 39 rec · 624 yds · 1 TD · 62 tgt
  • WRJahan Dotson#4 · 14 rec · 337 yds · 2 TD · 30 tgt
  • WROlamide Zaccheaus#14 · 5 rec · 21 yds · 0 TD · 13 tgt
  • TEKyle Pitts Sr.#8 · 22 rec · 197 yds · 4 TD · 32 tgt
  • LTJake Matthews#70
  • LGMatthew Bergeron#65
  • CRyan Neuzil#64
  • RGChris Lindstrom#63
  • RTJawaan Taylor#71

Commanders defense · Base 3-4 D

  • RDEJavon Kinlaw#99 · 13 tackles · 1 sack · 2 PD
  • NTTim Settle#97 · 11 tackles · 0.5 sacks · 1 PD
  • LDECharles Omenihu#90 · 5 tackles · 1 sack · 1 PD
  • WLBOdafe Oweh#98 · 16 tackles · 4 sacks
  • SLBDorance Armstrong#92 · 19 tackles · 1 sack
  • RILBSonny Styles#52 · 52 tackles · 1 sack · 1 INT · 4 PD
  • LILBFrankie Luvu#4 · 34 tackles · 1 sack · 1 PD
  • RCBTrey Amos#23 · 6 tackles · 2 PD
  • LCBRasul Douglas#29 · 27 tackles · 2 INT · 6 PD
  • NBAmik Robertson#2 · 46 tackles · 8 PD
  • SSNick Cross#25 · 22 tackles
  • FSJeremy Reaves#39 · 47 tackles · 3 PD

Starters from each team's current depth chart (nflverse, from ESPN), drawn in the offense's base three-receiver set against the defense's base front. The nickel back, the extra defensive back most teams use against three receivers, is drawn lighter. Left and right are as the offense sees the field. The toggle at the top flips which offense is drawn.

Head to head · ATL offense against WAS defense
StatATL ATL offFavors ATL · Favors WASWAS WAS def allowsNFL avg
Overall
EPA per play
-0.10#29
+0.03#21+0.00
Success rate
43%#15
46%#2744%
Yards per play
5.6#13
5.4#175.4
Explosive play rate
9%#17
8%#89%
Passing
Pass EPA per dropback
-0.18#29
+0.02#17+0.03
Sack rate
7%#18
6%#197%
Running
Run EPA per carry
-0.02#9
-0.08#16-0.08
Yards per carry
4.7#5
3.5#54.1
Money downs
3rd down conversion
35%#29
44%#2641%
Red zone TD rate
64%#14
79%#2961%
Targets by position
WR yards per game
133#21
149#18147
TE yards per game
37#26
75#3055
TE targets per game
6.5#25
8.0#227.6
RB receiving yards per game
30#19
36#2232
Where the ball goes · EPA per throwDeep is 15+ air yds

Falcons: EPA per throw

Left
Middle
Right
Deep
+1.227% of throws
-0.333% of throws
+0.387% of throws
Short
+0.1335% of throws
-0.5216% of throws
-0.3732% of throws

Commanders: EPA allowed per throw

Left
Middle
Right
Deep
+0.2712 throws
+0.5911 throws
+1.1920 throws
Short
-0.0481 throws
+0.4146 throws
-0.0983 throws

Green gains more than expected, red loses value. Cells with fewer than 5 throws are grayed out.