DOWN X DOWN › week 15 › Falcons at Commanders
Updated Nov 3, 9:16 AM ET
2026
2026this season2025final

Week 15 · Sunday 1:00 PM ET · Northwest Stadium

WASvsATL

Commanders offensevsFalcons defense

Season numbers through Week 8: 7 games for Commanders, 8 for Falcons. Ranks are out of 32; #1 is the best offense or the stingiest defense.

ATL offenseWAS offense
Keys to the game · where this matchup tilts, from the season numbers4 reads
01
Biggest edge

Ground game edge

Commanders average 3.9 yards per carry (18th). Falcons allow 4.6 (26th).

02
Opportunity

Deep left is open

Falcons are worst against deep left throws, allowing +0.17 EPA per attempt. Commanders send 9% of their throws there. That is a small part of their offense so far.

03
Watch out

Third downs favor Falcons

Commanders convert 32% of third downs (31st). Falcons allow 42% (18th).

04
Wash

Explosive play rate

Call this one even. Commanders create explosive plays on 9% of snaps (14th). Falcons give them up at 9% (13th).

Players to watch

ATL Falcons

9Michael Penix Jr.QB · 104/168 · 1282 yds · 9 TD · 5 INTEPA per dropback +0.02 · 21st7Bijan RobinsonRB · 150 car · 780 yds · 5 TD · 25 recEPA per touch -0.075Drake LondonWR · 39 rec · 624 yds · 1 TD · 62 tgtEPA per target +0.408Kyle PittsTE · 22 rec · 197 yds · 4 TD · 32 tgtEPA per target +0.0653Kendal DanielsLeft Inside Linebacker · 52 tackles · 1 sack · 1 INT · 2 PD1 INT26C.J. HendersonRight Cornerback · 39 tackles · 8 PD8 passes defended · T-7th in the NFL

WAS Commanders

5Jayden DanielsQB · 91/145 · 976 yds · 6 TD · 0 INTEPA per dropback +0.04 · 18th1Rachaad WhiteRB · 47 car · 200 yds · 3 TD · 16 recEPA per touch +0.01 · 17th3Stefon DiggsWR · 27 rec · 252 yds · 5 TD · 44 tgtEPA per target +0.2314Antonio WilliamsWR · 23 rec · 259 yds · 1 TD · 33 tgtEPA per target +0.3129Rasul DouglasLeft Cornerback · 27 tackles · 2 INT · 6 PD2 INT · T-11th in the NFL98Odafe OwehWeakside Linebacker · 16 tackles · 4 sacks4 sacks · T-23rd in the NFL
The series · Falcons and Commanders since 1999, and this season's records12 meetings

The Falcons lead the series 7–5 since 1999 (they first met in 2003). Sep 28, 2025, at Mercedes-Benz Stadium: the Falcons won 34–27. Michael Penix started at quarterback for the Falcons and Jayden Daniels for the Commanders; Raheem Morris and Dan Quinn coached.

Falcons at home4–3the Falcons' record
In Washington3–2the Falcons' record
Most pointsFalcons 38 · Commanders 342018 · 2021
Biggest winFalcons by 24 · Commanders by 82018 · 2023

The last 5

2025 · Wk 4WAS 27 at ATL 34
2024 · Wk 17 · OTATL 24 at WAS 30
2023 · Wk 6WAS 24 at ATL 16
2022 · Wk 12ATL 13 at WAS 19
2021 · Wk 4WAS 34 at ATL 30

2026 records

FalconsCommanders
Overall3–52–4–1
Division1–21–2–1
Conference3–32–3–1
Other conference0–20–1
Home1–32–1–1
Away2–20–3
Last 5WLLWLWLTLW
StreakLost 1Won 1
Points a game21.4 – 23.622.7 – 26.0

Every meeting since 1999, regular season and playoffs, from nflverse's game list, which starts in 1999; the all-time series goes back further. Franchises that moved count as one team (the Raiders, Chargers and Rams). Home and away are from the Falcons' side. Records are this regular season.

The lineups · Commanders offense against the Falcons defenseDepth charts
Falcons defense · 3-4 DCommanders offense · 3WR 1TE74Coleman75Paul63Patrick76Cosmi72Conerly85Okonkwo5Daniels1White3Diggs13Burks14Williams54Dorlus95Dexter92Smith99Thomas27Pearce0Deablo53Daniels26Henderson24Terrell33Bowman3Bates31Watts

Commanders offense · 3WR 1TE

  • QBJayden Daniels#5 · 91/145 · 976 yds · 6 TD · 0 INT
  • RBRachaad White#1 · 47 car · 200 yds · 3 TD · 16 rec
  • WRStefon Diggs#3 · 27 rec · 252 yds · 5 TD · 44 tgt
  • WRAntonio Williams#14 · 23 rec · 259 yds · 1 TD · 33 tgt
  • WRTreylon Burks#13 · 12 rec · 233 yds · 2 TD · 22 tgt
  • TEChig Okonkwo#85 · 17 rec · 182 yds · 0 TD · 24 tgt
  • LTBrandon Coleman#74
  • LGChris Paul#75
  • CLucas Patrick#63
  • RGSam Cosmi#76
  • RTJosh Conerly Jr.#72

Falcons defense · Base 3-4 D

  • RDEBrandon Dorlus#54 · 13 tackles · 1 sack · 1 PD
  • NTGervon Dexter Sr.#95 · 21 tackles · 1.5 sacks · 1 PD
  • LDEMaason Smith#92 · 15 tackles · 1 sack · 1 PD
  • WLBCameron Thomas#99 · 21 tackles · 2 sacks · 1 PD
  • SLBJames Pearce Jr.#27 · 0 tackles
  • RILBDivine Deablo#0 · 29 tackles · 1 PD
  • LILBKendal Daniels#53 · 52 tackles · 1 sack · 1 INT · 2 PD
  • RCBC.J. Henderson#26 · 39 tackles · 8 PD
  • LCBA.J. Terrell Jr.#24 · 13 tackles · 3 PD
  • NBBilly Bowman Jr.#33 · 6 tackles · 2 PD
  • SSJessie Bates III#3 · 45 tackles · 1 INT · 4 PD
  • FSXavier Watts#31 · 53 tackles · 0.5 sacks · 1 INT · 2 PD

Starters from each team's current depth chart (nflverse, from ESPN), drawn in the offense's base three-receiver set against the defense's base front. The nickel back, the extra defensive back most teams use against three receivers, is drawn lighter. Left and right are as the offense sees the field. The toggle at the top flips which offense is drawn.

Head to head · WAS offense against ATL defense
StatWAS WAS offFavors WAS · Favors ATLATL ATL def allowsNFL avg
Overall
EPA per play
-0.01#18
-0.04#11+0.00
Success rate
41%#24
44%#1844%
Yards per play
5.3#21
5.3#135.4
Explosive play rate
9%#14
9%#139%
Passing
Pass EPA per dropback
-0.01#20
+0.00#15+0.03
Sack rate
7%#18
6%#207%
Running
Run EPA per carry
-0.12#21
-0.08#15-0.08
Yards per carry
3.9#18
4.6#264.1
Money downs
3rd down conversion
32%#31
42%#1841%
Red zone TD rate
55%#21
63%#1861%
Targets by position
WR yards per game
156#13
150#20147
TE yards per game
33#27
55#1855
TE targets per game
5.1#28
7.6#167.6
RB receiving yards per game
24#24
33#1732
Where the ball goes · EPA per throwDeep is 15+ air yds

Commanders: EPA per throw

Left
Middle
Right
Deep
+0.639% of throws
4too few
-0.0313% of throws
Short
+0.1026% of throws
+0.1318% of throws
-0.0233% of throws

Falcons: EPA allowed per throw

Left
Middle
Right
Deep
+0.1727 throws
+1.598 throws
-0.0521 throws
Short
+0.1293 throws
-0.1533 throws
+0.06106 throws

Green gains more than expected, red loses value. Cells with fewer than 5 throws are grayed out.