2026
Week 5 · Sunday 9:30 AM ET · Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
vs
Eagles offensevsJaguars defense
Season numbers through Week 8: 8 games for Eagles, 7 for Jaguars. Ranks are out of 32; #1 is the best offense or the stingiest defense.
The Jaguars won 19–17 from as low as 20% (Q4 0:08, down 17–16). The game turned for good at Q4 0:08: J.Elliott kicks 57 yards from PHI 35 to JAX 8. A.Abdullah to PHI 39 for 53 yards (J.Jones) (20% → 55%). The biggest single swing came at Q4 0:01, 45 points for the Jaguars.
The plays that swung it
- 1Q4 0:01JAXC.Little 57 yard field goal is GOOD55% → 100%
- 2Q4 3:26JAXT.Lawrence pass deep right to P.Washington for 27 yards, TOUCHDOWN.37% → 74%
- 3Q4 0:08JAXJ.Elliott kicks 57 yards from PHI 35 to JAX 8. A.Abdullah to PHI 39 for 53 yards (J.Jones).turning point20% → 55%
- 4Q4 0:12PHIJ.Elliott 48 yard field goal is GOOD47% → 80%
- 5Q2 0:01PHIB.Tuten left end to PHI 7 for -6 yards (Z.Baun). PHI-J.Hunt was injured during the play.44% → 63%
Win probability is nflverse's model, which starts from the betting line and updates before every snap with the score, the clock, down, distance, field position and timeouts. A swing is the change in one team's chance across a play, in percentage points. The turning point is the play after which the winner never fell to 50% again.
D.Cooper led the Eagles at +6.4 EPA (2 catches for 71). T.Lawrence led the Jaguars at +11.2 EPA (24 of 39 for 331).
Eagles
| Passing | C/A | Yds | TD | INT | Sk | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.Hurts100% | 21/40 | 220 | 1 | 1 | -0.6 |
| Rushing | Car | Share | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.Pierce77% | 11 | 61% | 14 | -6.6 | |
| W.Shipley21% | 5 | 28% | 6 | 1 | -2.7 |
| J.Hurts100% | 2 | 11% | 2 | -2.1 |
| Receiving | Tgt | Share | Rec | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.Goedert69% | 9 | 24% | 6 | 38 | -0.4 | |
| D.Wicks84% | 8 | 22% | 5 | 63 | +3.7 | |
| M.Lemon81% | 7 | 19% | 5 | 43 | +0.1 | |
| D.Pierce77% | 5 | 14% | 2 | -2 | -4.5 | |
| D.Cooper85% | 3 | 8% | 2 | 71 | 1 | +6.4 |
| Z.Ertz11% | 2 | 5% | 0 | 0 | -2.2 | |
| W.Shipley21% | 2 | 5% | 1 | 7 | -0.5 | |
| J.Mundt32% | 1 | 3% | 0 | 0 | -0.8 |
Defense J.Carter 2 sacks, Q.Mitchell 1 INT · Kicking J.Elliott 1/1 FG (long 48)
Jaguars
| Passing | C/A | Yds | TD | INT | Sk | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.Lawrence100% | 24/39 | 331 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +10.2 |
| Rushing | Car | Share | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B.Tuten68% | 22 | 81% | 72 | -5.4 | |
| T.Lawrence100% | 3 | 11% | 25 | +1.0 | |
| C.Jr.12% | 2 | 7% | 5 | -1.5 |
| Receiving | Tgt | Share | Rec | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P.Washington82% | 9 | 24% | 6 | 124 | 2 | +10.0 |
| B.Strange81% | 8 | 21% | 7 | 68 | +4.9 | |
| J.Cameron31% | 6 | 16% | 3 | 43 | +1.1 | |
| J.Meyers85% | 3 | 8% | 2 | 37 | -0.5 | |
| B.Jr.51% | 3 | 8% | 0 | 0 | -2.4 | |
| B.Tuten68% | 3 | 8% | 2 | 24 | +1.2 | |
| L.Jr.18% | 2 | 5% | 0 | 0 | -2.0 | |
| N.Boerkircher49% | 2 | 5% | 2 | 20 | +1.3 | |
| C.Jr.12% | 1 | 3% | 1 | 6 | +0.0 | |
| T.Hunter8% | 1 | 3% | 1 | 9 | +1.1 |
Defense T.Walker 0.5 sacks, A.Johnson 0.5 sacks · Kicking C.Little 2/2 FG (long 57)
Each player's line for this game from nflverse's weekly stats; the percentage beside his name is his share of the offense's snaps. Share is his part of the team's carries or targets in this game. Defense lists sacks and interceptions; kicking lists field goals.
Wideouts feast
Jaguars give up 196 yards a game to wide receivers (31st), against a league average of 147. Eagles' wide receivers produce 136 (19th).
Deep right is open
Jaguars are worst against deep right throws, allowing +0.87 EPA per attempt. Eagles send 9% of their throws there. That is a small part of their offense so far.
Ground game stalls
Eagles average 3.4 yards per carry (28th). Jaguars allow 3.4 (4th).
Yards per play
Call this one even. Eagles gain 4.4 yards per play (32nd). Jaguars give up 5.6 (23rd), with the league at 5.4.
The Eagles lead the series 5–3 since 1999 (they first met in 2002). This game is the latest meeting.
The last 5
| 2026 · Wk 5 | PHI 17 at JAX 19 |
| 2024 · Wk 9 | JAX 23 at PHI 28 |
| 2022 · Wk 4 | JAX 21 at PHI 29 |
| 2018 · Wk 8 | PHI 24 at JAX 18 |
| 2014 · Wk 1 | JAX 17 at PHI 34 |
2026 records
| Eagles | Jaguars | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 2–6 | 5–2 |
| Division | 1–2 | 1–1 |
| Conference | 1–5 | 4–2 |
| Other conference | 1–1 | 1–0 |
| Home | 1–3 | 4–1 |
| Away | 1–3 | 1–1 |
| Last 5 | LLLLL | WWWLW |
| Streak | Lost 6 | Won 1 |
| Points a game | 17.1 – 25.3 | 28.0 – 15.9 |
Every meeting since 1999, regular season and playoffs, from nflverse's game list, which starts in 1999; the all-time series goes back further. Franchises that moved count as one team (the Raiders, Chargers and Rams). Home and away are from the Eagles' side. Records are this regular season.
| Stat | PHI off | Favors PHI · Favors JAX | JAX def allows | NFL avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | ||||
| EPA per play | -0.13#31 | -0.10#5 | +0.00 | |
| Success rate | 37%#30 | 42%#11 | 44% | |
| Yards per play | 4.4#32 | 5.6#23 | 5.4 | |
| Explosive play rate | 5%#32 | 8%#6 | 9% | |
| Passing | ||||
| Pass EPA per dropback | -0.14#28 | -0.06#7 | +0.03 | |
| Sack rate | 8%#24 | 6%#21 | 7% | |
| Running | ||||
| Run EPA per carry | -0.14#24 | -0.19#1 | -0.08 | |
| Yards per carry | 3.4#28 | 3.4#4 | 4.1 | |
| Money downs | ||||
| 3rd down conversion | 37%#26 | 37%#9 | 41% | |
| Red zone TD rate | 71%#4 | 45%#6 | 61% | |
| Targets by position | ||||
| WR yards per game | 136#19 | 196#31 | 147 | |
| TE yards per game | 44#23 | 32#1 | 55 | |
| TE targets per game | 6.6#24 | 6.7#10 | 7.6 | |
| RB receiving yards per game | 17#31 | 36#23 | 32 | |
Eagles: EPA per throw
Jaguars: EPA allowed per throw
Green gains more than expected, red loses value. Cells with fewer than 5 throws are grayed out.