2026
Week 5 · Sunday 9:30 AM ET · Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
vs
Jaguars offensevsEagles defense
Season numbers through Week 8: 7 games for Jaguars, 8 for Eagles. Ranks are out of 32; #1 is the best offense or the stingiest defense.
The Jaguars won 19–17 from as low as 20% (Q4 0:08, down 17–16). The game turned for good at Q4 0:08: J.Elliott kicks 57 yards from PHI 35 to JAX 8. A.Abdullah to PHI 39 for 53 yards (J.Jones) (20% → 55%). The biggest single swing came at Q4 0:01, 45 points for the Jaguars.
The plays that swung it
- 1Q4 0:01JAXC.Little 57 yard field goal is GOOD55% → 100%
- 2Q4 3:26JAXT.Lawrence pass deep right to P.Washington for 27 yards, TOUCHDOWN.37% → 74%
- 3Q4 0:08JAXJ.Elliott kicks 57 yards from PHI 35 to JAX 8. A.Abdullah to PHI 39 for 53 yards (J.Jones).turning point20% → 55%
- 4Q4 0:12PHIJ.Elliott 48 yard field goal is GOOD47% → 80%
- 5Q2 0:01PHIB.Tuten left end to PHI 7 for -6 yards (Z.Baun). PHI-J.Hunt was injured during the play.44% → 63%
Win probability is nflverse's model, which starts from the betting line and updates before every snap with the score, the clock, down, distance, field position and timeouts. A swing is the change in one team's chance across a play, in percentage points. The turning point is the play after which the winner never fell to 50% again.
D.Cooper led the Eagles at +6.4 EPA (2 catches for 71). T.Lawrence led the Jaguars at +11.2 EPA (24 of 39 for 331).
Eagles
| Passing | C/A | Yds | TD | INT | Sk | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.Hurts100% | 21/40 | 220 | 1 | 1 | -0.6 |
| Rushing | Car | Share | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.Pierce77% | 11 | 61% | 14 | -6.6 | |
| W.Shipley21% | 5 | 28% | 6 | 1 | -2.7 |
| J.Hurts100% | 2 | 11% | 2 | -2.1 |
| Receiving | Tgt | Share | Rec | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.Goedert69% | 9 | 24% | 6 | 38 | -0.4 | |
| D.Wicks84% | 8 | 22% | 5 | 63 | +3.7 | |
| M.Lemon81% | 7 | 19% | 5 | 43 | +0.1 | |
| D.Pierce77% | 5 | 14% | 2 | -2 | -4.5 | |
| D.Cooper85% | 3 | 8% | 2 | 71 | 1 | +6.4 |
| Z.Ertz11% | 2 | 5% | 0 | 0 | -2.2 | |
| W.Shipley21% | 2 | 5% | 1 | 7 | -0.5 | |
| J.Mundt32% | 1 | 3% | 0 | 0 | -0.8 |
Defense J.Carter 2 sacks, Q.Mitchell 1 INT · Kicking J.Elliott 1/1 FG (long 48)
Jaguars
| Passing | C/A | Yds | TD | INT | Sk | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.Lawrence100% | 24/39 | 331 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +10.2 |
| Rushing | Car | Share | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B.Tuten68% | 22 | 81% | 72 | -5.4 | |
| T.Lawrence100% | 3 | 11% | 25 | +1.0 | |
| C.Jr.12% | 2 | 7% | 5 | -1.5 |
| Receiving | Tgt | Share | Rec | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P.Washington82% | 9 | 24% | 6 | 124 | 2 | +10.0 |
| B.Strange81% | 8 | 21% | 7 | 68 | +4.9 | |
| J.Cameron31% | 6 | 16% | 3 | 43 | +1.1 | |
| J.Meyers85% | 3 | 8% | 2 | 37 | -0.5 | |
| B.Jr.51% | 3 | 8% | 0 | 0 | -2.4 | |
| B.Tuten68% | 3 | 8% | 2 | 24 | +1.2 | |
| L.Jr.18% | 2 | 5% | 0 | 0 | -2.0 | |
| N.Boerkircher49% | 2 | 5% | 2 | 20 | +1.3 | |
| C.Jr.12% | 1 | 3% | 1 | 6 | +0.0 | |
| T.Hunter8% | 1 | 3% | 1 | 9 | +1.1 |
Defense T.Walker 0.5 sacks, A.Johnson 0.5 sacks · Kicking C.Little 2/2 FG (long 57)
Each player's line for this game from nflverse's weekly stats; the percentage beside his name is his share of the offense's snaps. Share is his part of the team's carries or targets in this game. Defense lists sacks and interceptions; kicking lists field goals.
Run it at them
Jaguars' run game is 3rd in EPA per carry (+0.03). Eagles allow +0.04 (32nd).
Deep left is open
Eagles are worst against deep left throws, allowing +0.69 EPA per attempt. Jaguars send 11% of their throws there.
Tight ends go quiet
Eagles give up 5.9 targets a game to tight ends (1st), against a league average of 7.6. Jaguars' tight ends produce 6.7 (23rd).
Success rate
Call this one even. Jaguars succeed on 48% of plays (7th) against a defense that allows 45% (23rd).
The Eagles lead the series 5–3 since 1999 (they first met in 2002). This game is the latest meeting.
The last 5
| 2026 · Wk 5 | PHI 17 at JAX 19 |
| 2024 · Wk 9 | JAX 23 at PHI 28 |
| 2022 · Wk 4 | JAX 21 at PHI 29 |
| 2018 · Wk 8 | PHI 24 at JAX 18 |
| 2014 · Wk 1 | JAX 17 at PHI 34 |
2026 records
| Eagles | Jaguars | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 2–6 | 5–2 |
| Division | 1–2 | 1–1 |
| Conference | 1–5 | 4–2 |
| Other conference | 1–1 | 1–0 |
| Home | 1–3 | 4–1 |
| Away | 1–3 | 1–1 |
| Last 5 | LLLLL | WWWLW |
| Streak | Lost 6 | Won 1 |
| Points a game | 17.1 – 25.3 | 28.0 – 15.9 |
Every meeting since 1999, regular season and playoffs, from nflverse's game list, which starts in 1999; the all-time series goes back further. Franchises that moved count as one team (the Raiders, Chargers and Rams). Home and away are from the Eagles' side. Records are this regular season.
| Stat | JAX off | Favors JAX · Favors PHI | PHI def allows | NFL avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | ||||
| EPA per play | +0.16#3 | +0.10#29 | +0.00 | |
| Success rate | 48%#7 | 45%#23 | 44% | |
| Yards per play | 6.0#5 | 5.6#22 | 5.4 | |
| Explosive play rate | 11%#4 | 10%#21 | 9% | |
| Passing | ||||
| Pass EPA per dropback | +0.28#1 | +0.13#26 | +0.03 | |
| Sack rate | 6%#15 | 4%#32 | 7% | |
| Running | ||||
| Run EPA per carry | +0.03#3 | +0.04#32 | -0.08 | |
| Yards per carry | 4.4#10 | 4.2#20 | 4.1 | |
| Money downs | ||||
| 3rd down conversion | 49%#4 | 42%#20 | 41% | |
| Red zone TD rate | 68%#7 | 60%#15 | 61% | |
| Targets by position | ||||
| WR yards per game | 150#14 | 184#29 | 147 | |
| TE yards per game | 62#11 | 42#5 | 55 | |
| TE targets per game | 6.7#23 | 5.9#1 | 7.6 | |
| RB receiving yards per game | 31#16 | 19#4 | 32 | |
Jaguars: EPA per throw
Eagles: EPA allowed per throw
Green gains more than expected, red loses value. Cells with fewer than 5 throws are grayed out.