2026
Week 8 · Sunday 8:20 PM ET · Northwest Stadium
vs
Eagles offensevsCommanders defense
Season numbers through Week 8: 8 games for Eagles, 7 for Commanders. Ranks are out of 32; #1 is the best offense or the stingiest defense.
The Commanders won 27–10; their low point was 36% at Q1 0:33. The game turned for good at Q2 7:33: J.Daniels pass short left to A.Williams to PHI 43 for 10 yards (Z.Baun) (47% → 51%). The biggest single swing came at Q1 5:34, 12 points for the Eagles.
The plays that swung it
- 1Q1 5:34PHIJ.Daniels pass short middle to C.Okonkwo to WAS 21 for 11 yards (A.Mukuba). FUMBLES (A.Mukuba), RECOVERED by PHI-Z.Baun at WAS 26.42% → 54%
- 2Q3 2:59WAST.McKee sacked at WAS 44 for -7 yards (D.Armstrong). FUMBLES (D.Armstrong), RECOVERED by WAS-C.Omenihu at WAS 40.68% → 78%
- 3Q1 0:33WASD.Stevens 56 yard field goal is GOOD36% → 44%
- 4Q3 2:51WASJ.Daniels pass deep right to T.Burks to PHI 7 for 53 yards (Q.Mitchell). Penalty on PHI-Q.Mitchell, Illegal Contact, declined.78% → 86%
- 5Q3 4:51PHIT.McKee pass short middle to D.Goedert to WAS 43 for 16 yards (J.Reaves).27% → 34%
- ★Q2 7:33WASJ.Daniels pass short left to A.Williams to PHI 43 for 10 yards (Z.Baun).turning point47% → 51%
Win probability is nflverse's model, which starts from the betting line and updates before every snap with the score, the clock, down, distance, field position and timeouts. A swing is the change in one team's chance across a play, in percentage points. The turning point is the play after which the winner never fell to 50% again.
M.Brown led the Eagles at +2.5 EPA (2 catches for 17). T.Burks led the Commanders at +4.7 EPA (3 catches for 81).
Eagles
| Passing | C/A | Yds | TD | INT | Sk | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.McKee100% | 23/34 | 212 | 1 | 5 | -10.6 |
| Rushing | Car | Share | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S.Barkley32% | 13 | 45% | 30 | 1 | -2.1 |
| E.Mitchell57% | 11 | 38% | 34 | -2.2 | |
| T.McKee100% | 4 | 14% | 25 | +1.4 | |
| D.Goedert80% | 1 | 3% | 2 | +0.5 |
| Receiving | Tgt | Share | Rec | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M.Lemon94% | 9 | 28% | 6 | 57 | +1.0 | |
| E.Mitchell57% | 6 | 19% | 4 | 3 | -5.0 | |
| D.Cooper96% | 6 | 19% | 2 | 19 | -4.3 | |
| D.Goedert80% | 4 | 13% | 4 | 30 | +1.9 | |
| E.Stowers19% | 3 | 9% | 3 | 53 | +0.6 | |
| M.Brown46% | 2 | 6% | 2 | 17 | +2.5 | |
| S.Barkley32% | 1 | 3% | 1 | 24 | +2.0 | |
| J.Blue12% | 1 | 3% | 1 | 9 | +0.3 |
Defense J.Carter 1 sack, N.Smith 1 sack · Kicking J.Elliott 1/2 FG (long 40)
Commanders
| Passing | C/A | Yds | TD | INT | Sk | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.Daniels100% | 16/29 | 217 | 1 | 2 | +2.5 |
| Rushing | Car | Share | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R.White47% | 11 | 42% | 55 | 1 | +1.8 |
| A.Ekeler33% | 8 | 31% | 36 | -0.2 | |
| J.McNichols20% | 5 | 19% | 21 | -0.1 | |
| J.Daniels100% | 2 | 8% | 23 | +1.9 |
| Receiving | Tgt | Share | Rec | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.Williams83% | 7 | 26% | 5 | 54 | +0.9 | |
| S.Diggs65% | 6 | 22% | 3 | 38 | 1 | +1.1 |
| T.Burks67% | 5 | 19% | 3 | 81 | +4.7 | |
| C.Okonkwo77% | 4 | 15% | 2 | 32 | -3.2 | |
| R.White47% | 3 | 11% | 2 | 5 | -0.3 | |
| J.McNichols20% | 1 | 4% | 1 | 7 | +0.3 | |
| V.Jefferson12% | 1 | 4% | 0 | 0 | -0.7 |
Defense R.Douglas 1 INT, D.Armstrong 1 sack, C.Omenihu 1 sack, S.Tuttle 1 sack · Kicking D.Stevens 4/5 FG (long 56)
Each player's line for this game from nflverse's weekly stats; the percentage beside his name is his share of the offense's snaps. Share is his part of the team's carries or targets in this game. Defense lists sacks and interceptions; kicking lists field goals.
Red zone touchdowns
Eagles score a touchdown on 71% of red zone trips (4th). Commanders allow 79% (29th).
Deep right is open
Commanders are worst against deep right throws, allowing +1.19 EPA per attempt. Eagles send 9% of their throws there. That is a small part of their offense so far.
Ground game stalls
Eagles average 3.4 yards per carry (28th). Commanders allow 3.5 (5th).
Success rate
Call this one even. Eagles succeed on 37% of plays (30th) against a defense that allows 46% (27th).
The Eagles lead the series 35–22 since 1999. This game is the latest meeting.
The last 5
| 2026 · Wk 8 | PHI 10 at WAS 27 |
| 2026 · Wk 1 | WAS 22 at PHI 24 |
| 2025 · Wk 18 | WAS 24 at PHI 17 |
| 2025 · Wk 16 | PHI 29 at WAS 18 |
| 2024 · Wk 21 · playoffs | WAS 23 at PHI 55 |
2026 records
| Eagles | Commanders | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 2–6 | 2–4–1 |
| Division | 1–2 | 1–2–1 |
| Conference | 1–5 | 2–3–1 |
| Other conference | 1–1 | 0–1 |
| Home | 1–3 | 2–1–1 |
| Away | 1–3 | 0–3 |
| Last 5 | LLLLL | WLTLW |
| Streak | Lost 6 | Won 1 |
| Points a game | 17.1 – 25.3 | 22.7 – 26.0 |
Every meeting since 1999, regular season and playoffs, from nflverse's game list, which starts in 1999; the all-time series goes back further. Franchises that moved count as one team (the Raiders, Chargers and Rams). Home and away are from the Eagles' side. Records are this regular season.
| Stat | PHI off | Favors PHI · Favors WAS | WAS def allows | NFL avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | ||||
| EPA per play | -0.13#31 | +0.03#21 | +0.00 | |
| Success rate | 37%#30 | 46%#27 | 44% | |
| Yards per play | 4.4#32 | 5.4#17 | 5.4 | |
| Explosive play rate | 5%#32 | 8%#8 | 9% | |
| Passing | ||||
| Pass EPA per dropback | -0.14#28 | +0.02#17 | +0.03 | |
| Sack rate | 8%#24 | 6%#19 | 7% | |
| Running | ||||
| Run EPA per carry | -0.14#24 | -0.08#16 | -0.08 | |
| Yards per carry | 3.4#28 | 3.5#5 | 4.1 | |
| Money downs | ||||
| 3rd down conversion | 37%#26 | 44%#26 | 41% | |
| Red zone TD rate | 71%#4 | 79%#29 | 61% | |
| Targets by position | ||||
| WR yards per game | 136#19 | 149#18 | 147 | |
| TE yards per game | 44#23 | 75#30 | 55 | |
| TE targets per game | 6.6#24 | 8.0#22 | 7.6 | |
| RB receiving yards per game | 17#31 | 36#22 | 32 | |
Eagles: EPA per throw
Commanders: EPA allowed per throw
Green gains more than expected, red loses value. Cells with fewer than 5 throws are grayed out.