2026
Week 8 · Sunday 8:20 PM ET · Northwest Stadium
vs
Commanders offensevsEagles defense
Season numbers through Week 8: 7 games for Commanders, 8 for Eagles. Ranks are out of 32; #1 is the best offense or the stingiest defense.
The Commanders won 27–10; their low point was 36% at Q1 0:33. The game turned for good at Q2 7:33: J.Daniels pass short left to A.Williams to PHI 43 for 10 yards (Z.Baun) (47% → 51%). The biggest single swing came at Q1 5:34, 12 points for the Eagles.
The plays that swung it
- 1Q1 5:34PHIJ.Daniels pass short middle to C.Okonkwo to WAS 21 for 11 yards (A.Mukuba). FUMBLES (A.Mukuba), RECOVERED by PHI-Z.Baun at WAS 26.42% → 54%
- 2Q3 2:59WAST.McKee sacked at WAS 44 for -7 yards (D.Armstrong). FUMBLES (D.Armstrong), RECOVERED by WAS-C.Omenihu at WAS 40.68% → 78%
- 3Q1 0:33WASD.Stevens 56 yard field goal is GOOD36% → 44%
- 4Q3 2:51WASJ.Daniels pass deep right to T.Burks to PHI 7 for 53 yards (Q.Mitchell). Penalty on PHI-Q.Mitchell, Illegal Contact, declined.78% → 86%
- 5Q3 4:51PHIT.McKee pass short middle to D.Goedert to WAS 43 for 16 yards (J.Reaves).27% → 34%
- ★Q2 7:33WASJ.Daniels pass short left to A.Williams to PHI 43 for 10 yards (Z.Baun).turning point47% → 51%
Win probability is nflverse's model, which starts from the betting line and updates before every snap with the score, the clock, down, distance, field position and timeouts. A swing is the change in one team's chance across a play, in percentage points. The turning point is the play after which the winner never fell to 50% again.
M.Brown led the Eagles at +2.5 EPA (2 catches for 17). T.Burks led the Commanders at +4.7 EPA (3 catches for 81).
Eagles
| Passing | C/A | Yds | TD | INT | Sk | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.McKee100% | 23/34 | 212 | 1 | 5 | -10.6 |
| Rushing | Car | Share | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S.Barkley32% | 13 | 45% | 30 | 1 | -2.1 |
| E.Mitchell57% | 11 | 38% | 34 | -2.2 | |
| T.McKee100% | 4 | 14% | 25 | +1.4 | |
| D.Goedert80% | 1 | 3% | 2 | +0.5 |
| Receiving | Tgt | Share | Rec | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M.Lemon94% | 9 | 28% | 6 | 57 | +1.0 | |
| E.Mitchell57% | 6 | 19% | 4 | 3 | -5.0 | |
| D.Cooper96% | 6 | 19% | 2 | 19 | -4.3 | |
| D.Goedert80% | 4 | 13% | 4 | 30 | +1.9 | |
| E.Stowers19% | 3 | 9% | 3 | 53 | +0.6 | |
| M.Brown46% | 2 | 6% | 2 | 17 | +2.5 | |
| S.Barkley32% | 1 | 3% | 1 | 24 | +2.0 | |
| J.Blue12% | 1 | 3% | 1 | 9 | +0.3 |
Defense J.Carter 1 sack, N.Smith 1 sack · Kicking J.Elliott 1/2 FG (long 40)
Commanders
| Passing | C/A | Yds | TD | INT | Sk | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.Daniels100% | 16/29 | 217 | 1 | 2 | +2.5 |
| Rushing | Car | Share | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R.White47% | 11 | 42% | 55 | 1 | +1.8 |
| A.Ekeler33% | 8 | 31% | 36 | -0.2 | |
| J.McNichols20% | 5 | 19% | 21 | -0.1 | |
| J.Daniels100% | 2 | 8% | 23 | +1.9 |
| Receiving | Tgt | Share | Rec | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.Williams83% | 7 | 26% | 5 | 54 | +0.9 | |
| S.Diggs65% | 6 | 22% | 3 | 38 | 1 | +1.1 |
| T.Burks67% | 5 | 19% | 3 | 81 | +4.7 | |
| C.Okonkwo77% | 4 | 15% | 2 | 32 | -3.2 | |
| R.White47% | 3 | 11% | 2 | 5 | -0.3 | |
| J.McNichols20% | 1 | 4% | 1 | 7 | +0.3 | |
| V.Jefferson12% | 1 | 4% | 0 | 0 | -0.7 |
Defense R.Douglas 1 INT, D.Armstrong 1 sack, C.Omenihu 1 sack, S.Tuttle 1 sack · Kicking D.Stevens 4/5 FG (long 56)
Each player's line for this game from nflverse's weekly stats; the percentage beside his name is his share of the offense's snaps. Share is his part of the team's carries or targets in this game. Defense lists sacks and interceptions; kicking lists field goals.
Wideouts feast
Eagles give up 184 yards a game to wide receivers (29th), against a league average of 147. Commanders' wide receivers produce 156 (13th).
Deep left is open
Eagles are worst against deep left throws, allowing +0.69 EPA per attempt. Commanders send 9% of their throws there. That is a small part of their offense so far.
Tight ends go quiet
Eagles give up 5.9 targets a game to tight ends (1st), against a league average of 7.6. Commanders' tight ends produce 5.1 (28th).
Success rate
Call this one even. Commanders succeed on 41% of plays (25th) against a defense that allows 45% (23rd).
The Eagles lead the series 35–22 since 1999. This game is the latest meeting.
The last 5
| 2026 · Wk 8 | PHI 10 at WAS 27 |
| 2026 · Wk 1 | WAS 22 at PHI 24 |
| 2025 · Wk 18 | WAS 24 at PHI 17 |
| 2025 · Wk 16 | PHI 29 at WAS 18 |
| 2024 · Wk 21 · playoffs | WAS 23 at PHI 55 |
2026 records
| Eagles | Commanders | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 2–6 | 2–4–1 |
| Division | 1–2 | 1–2–1 |
| Conference | 1–5 | 2–3–1 |
| Other conference | 1–1 | 0–1 |
| Home | 1–3 | 2–1–1 |
| Away | 1–3 | 0–3 |
| Last 5 | LLLLL | WLTLW |
| Streak | Lost 6 | Won 1 |
| Points a game | 17.1 – 25.3 | 22.7 – 26.0 |
Every meeting since 1999, regular season and playoffs, from nflverse's game list, which starts in 1999; the all-time series goes back further. Franchises that moved count as one team (the Raiders, Chargers and Rams). Home and away are from the Eagles' side. Records are this regular season.
| Stat | WAS off | Favors WAS · Favors PHI | PHI def allows | NFL avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | ||||
| EPA per play | -0.01#18 | +0.10#29 | +0.00 | |
| Success rate | 41%#25 | 45%#23 | 44% | |
| Yards per play | 5.3#21 | 5.6#22 | 5.4 | |
| Explosive play rate | 9%#14 | 10%#21 | 9% | |
| Passing | ||||
| Pass EPA per dropback | -0.01#20 | +0.13#26 | +0.03 | |
| Sack rate | 7%#17 | 4%#32 | 7% | |
| Running | ||||
| Run EPA per carry | -0.12#21 | +0.04#32 | -0.08 | |
| Yards per carry | 3.9#18 | 4.2#20 | 4.1 | |
| Money downs | ||||
| 3rd down conversion | 32%#31 | 42%#20 | 41% | |
| Red zone TD rate | 55%#20 | 60%#15 | 61% | |
| Targets by position | ||||
| WR yards per game | 156#13 | 184#29 | 147 | |
| TE yards per game | 33#27 | 42#5 | 55 | |
| TE targets per game | 5.1#28 | 5.9#1 | 7.6 | |
| RB receiving yards per game | 24#24 | 19#4 | 32 | |
Commanders: EPA per throw
Eagles: EPA allowed per throw
Green gains more than expected, red loses value. Cells with fewer than 5 throws are grayed out.