2026
Week 9 · Monday 8:15 PM ET · U.S. Bank Stadium
vs
Vikings offensevsBills defense
Season numbers through Week 8: 7 games for Vikings, 7 for Bills. Ranks are out of 32; #1 is the best offense or the stingiest defense.
Tight ends feast
Bills give up 71 yards a game to tight ends (29th), against a league average of 55. Vikings' tight ends produce 61 (13th).
Deep right is open
Bills are worst against deep right throws, allowing +0.64 EPA per attempt. Vikings send 7% of their throws there. That is a small part of their offense so far.
Ground game stalls
Vikings average 3.8 yards per carry (21st). Bills allow 3.6 (9th).
EPA per play
Call this one even. Vikings average -0.10 EPA per play (28th). Bills allow +0.06 (23rd). League average is +0.00.
Players to watch
Bills
Josh AllenQB · 135/205 · 1793 yds · 11 TD · 5 INTEPA per dropback +0.27 · 5th
James CookRB · 138 car · 707 yds · 7 TD · 12 recEPA per touch +0.08 · 11th
Khalil ShakirWR · 27 rec · 354 yds · 1 TD · 38 tgtEPA per target +0.40
Dalton KincaidTE · 27 rec · 401 yds · 2 TD · 35 tgtEPA per target +0.50 · 8thGreg RousseauWeakside Linebacker · 24 tackles · 7 sacks · 7 PD7 sacks · T-3rd in the NFLDavison IgbinosunRight Cornerback · 28 tackles · 1 INT · 8 PD1 INT
Vikings
Kyler MurrayQB · 100/154 · 1022 yds · 5 TD · 3 INTEPA per dropback -0.06 · 27th
Jordan MasonRB · 38 car · 147 yds · 1 TD · 0 recEPA per touch -0.26
Justin JeffersonWR · 28 rec · 335 yds · 4 TD · 40 tgtEPA per target +0.54 · 16th
T.J. HockensonTE · 31 rec · 295 yds · 3 TD · 37 tgtEPA per target +0.67 · 3rdAndrew Van GinkelWeakside Linebacker · 21 tackles · 6.5 sacks · 1 INT · 1 PD6.5 sacks · T-5th in the NFLBlake CashmanRight Inside Linebacker · 62 tackles · 4.5 sacks · 5 PD4.5 sacks · T-16th in the NFLThe Bills lead the series 4–3 since 1999 (they first met in 2000). Nov 13, 2022, at New Era Field: the Vikings won 33–30 in overtime. Josh Allen started at quarterback for the Bills and Kirk Cousins for the Vikings; Sean McDermott and Kevin O'Connell coached.
The last 5
| 2022 · Wk 10 · OT | MIN 33 at BUF 30 |
| 2018 · Wk 3 | BUF 27 at MIN 6 |
| 2014 · Wk 7 | MIN 16 at BUF 17 |
| 2010 · Wk 13 | BUF 14 at MIN 38 |
| 2006 · Wk 4 | MIN 12 at BUF 17 |
2026 records
| Bills | Vikings | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6–1 | 6–1 |
| Division | 0–1 | 2–1 |
| Conference | 4–1 | 4–1 |
| Other conference | 2–0 | 2–0 |
| Home | 3–1 | 3–0 |
| Away | 3–0 | 3–1 |
| Last 5 | WLWWW | WWWWL |
| Streak | Won 3 | Lost 1 |
| Points a game | 33.3 – 25.9 | 20.0 – 13.3 |
Every meeting since 1999, regular season and playoffs, from nflverse's game list, which starts in 1999; the all-time series goes back further. Franchises that moved count as one team (the Raiders, Chargers and Rams). Home and away are from the Bills' side. Records are this regular season.
Vikings offense · 3WR 1TE
- QBKyler Murray#1 · 100/154 · 1022 yds · 5 TD · 3 INT
- RBJordan Mason#27 · 38 car · 147 yds · 1 TD · 0 rec
- WRJustin Jefferson#18 · 28 rec · 335 yds · 4 TD · 40 tgt
- WRJordan Addison#3 · 16 rec · 249 yds · 1 TD · 33 tgt
- WRJauan Jennings#14 · 6 rec · 54 yds · 0 TD · 10 tgt
- TET.J. Hockenson#87 · 31 rec · 295 yds · 3 TD · 37 tgt
- LTChristian Darrisaw#71
- LGJoe Huber#60
- CBlake Brandel#64
- RGWill Fries#76
- RTBrian O'Neill#75
Bills defense · Base 3-4 D
- RDEEd Oliver#91 · 9 tackles · 0.5 sacks
- NTDeone Walker#96 · 22 tackles · 1 sack · 5 PD
- LDET.J. Sanders#98 · 8 tackles
- WLBGreg Rousseau#15 · 24 tackles · 7 sacks · 7 PD
- SLBBradley Chubb#9 · 17 tackles · 1.5 sacks
- RILBTerrel Bernard#8 · 50 tackles · 1 PD
- LILBDorian Williams#42 · 46 tackles · 1 INT · 2 PD
- RCBDavison Igbinosun#21 · 28 tackles · 1 INT · 8 PD
- LCBChristian Benford#47 · 29 tackles · 6 PD
- NBDee Alford#23 · 15 tackles · 1 INT · 3 PD
- SSCole Bishop#24 · 45 tackles · 1 sack · 2 PD
- FSC.J. Gardner-Johnson#22 · 26 tackles · 1 INT · 2 PD
Starters from each team's current depth chart (nflverse, from ESPN), drawn in the offense's base three-receiver set against the defense's base front. The nickel back, the extra defensive back most teams use against three receivers, is drawn lighter. Left and right are as the offense sees the field. The toggle at the top flips which offense is drawn.
| Stat | MIN off | Favors MIN · Favors BUF | BUF def allows | NFL avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | ||||
| EPA per play | -0.10#28 | +0.06#23 | +0.00 | |
| Success rate | 37%#31 | 46%#26 | 44% | |
| Yards per play | 4.9#24 | 5.4#16 | 5.4 | |
| Explosive play rate | 9%#16 | 10%#23 | 9% | |
| Passing | ||||
| Pass EPA per dropback | -0.08#24 | +0.12#24 | +0.03 | |
| Sack rate | 10%#29 | 5%#26 | 7% | |
| Running | ||||
| Run EPA per carry | -0.21#28 | -0.08#17 | -0.08 | |
| Yards per carry | 3.8#21 | 3.6#9 | 4.1 | |
| Money downs | ||||
| 3rd down conversion | 39%#21 | 42%#21 | 41% | |
| Red zone TD rate | 59%#16 | 68%#23 | 61% | |
| Targets by position | ||||
| WR yards per game | 105#30 | 154#24 | 147 | |
| TE yards per game | 61#13 | 71#29 | 55 | |
| TE targets per game | 7.6#14 | 9.1#29 | 7.6 | |
| RB receiving yards per game | 19#28 | 44#29 | 32 | |
Vikings: EPA per throw
Bills: EPA allowed per throw
Green gains more than expected, red loses value. Cells with fewer than 5 throws are grayed out.