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DOWN X DOWN › week 9 › Packers at Patriots
Updated Nov 2, 5:48 PM ET
2026
2026this season2025final

Week 9 · Sunday 4:25 PM ET · Gillette Stadium

NEvsGB

Patriots offensevsPackers defense

Season numbers through Week 8: 8 games for Patriots, 8 for Packers. Ranks are out of 32; #1 is the best offense or the stingiest defense.

GB offenseNE offense
Keys to the game · where this matchup tilts, from the season numbers4 reads
01
Biggest edge

Third downs favor Patriots

Patriots convert 43% of third downs (11th). Packers allow 44% (23rd).

02
Opportunity

Deep left is open

Packers are worst against deep left throws, allowing +0.61 EPA per attempt. Patriots send 9% of their throws there. That is a small part of their offense so far.

03
Watch out

Tight ends go quiet

Packers give up 6.1 targets a game to tight ends (4th), against a league average of 7.6. Patriots' tight ends produce 6.8 (22nd).

04
Wash

EPA per play

Call this one even. Patriots average +0.06 EPA per play (8th). Packers allow -0.07 (7th). League average is +0.00.

Players to watch

GB Packers

10Jordan LoveQB · 192/312 · 2246 yds · 16 TD · 6 INTEPA per dropback +0.14 · 13th8Josh JacobsRB · 32 car · 75 yds · 3 TD · 11 recEPA per touch -0.05 · 29th0Matthew GoldenWR · 43 rec · 619 yds · 4 TD · 82 tgtEPA per target +0.099Christian WatsonWR · 42 rec · 708 yds · 6 TD · 66 tgtEPA per target +0.46 · 23rd29Xavier McKinneyFree Safety · 34 tackles · 1 sack · 3 INT · 4 PD3 INT · T-2nd in the NFL33Evan WilliamsStrong Safety · 70 tackles · 1 sack · 2 INT · 6 PD2 INT · T-11th in the NFL

NE Patriots

10Drake MayeQB · 157/234 · 1983 yds · 15 TD · 8 INTEPA per dropback +0.21 · 9th38Rhamondre StevensonRB · 96 car · 367 yds · 3 TD · 23 recEPA per touch 0.00 · 18th3DeMario DouglasWR · 26 rec · 332 yds · 4 TD · 37 tgtEPA per target +0.57 · 13th85Hunter HenryTE · 29 rec · 326 yds · 2 TD · 34 tgtEPA per target +0.55 · 5th91Elijah PonderWeakside Linebacker · 23 tackles · 6 sacks · 1 PD6 sacks · T-7th in the NFL25Marcus JonesNickel Back · 39 tackles · 1 sack · 1 INT · 6 PD1 INT
The series · Packers and Patriots since 1999, and this season's records6 meetings

The series is even at 3–3 since 1999 (they first met in 2002). Oct 2, 2022, at Lambeau Field: the Packers won 27–24 in overtime. Aaron Rodgers started at quarterback for the Packers and Brian Hoyer for the Patriots; Matt LaFleur and Bill Belichick coached.

Packers at home2–1the Packers' record
In New England1–2the Packers' record
Most pointsPackers 28 · Patriots 352002 · 2006
Biggest winPackers by 18 · Patriots by 352002 · 2006

The last 5

2022 · Wk 4 · OTNE 24 at GB 27
2018 · Wk 9GB 17 at NE 31
2014 · Wk 13NE 21 at GB 26
2010 · Wk 15GB 27 at NE 31
2006 · Wk 11NE 35 at GB 0

2026 records

PackersPatriots
Overall5–35–3
Division1–23–0
Conference4–35–1
Other conference1–00–2
Home3–13–0
Away2–22–3
Last 5WWWLWWWWLW
StreakWon 1Won 1
Points a game21.4 – 20.523.0 – 20.3

Every meeting since 1999, regular season and playoffs, from nflverse's game list, which starts in 1999; the all-time series goes back further. Franchises that moved count as one team (the Raiders, Chargers and Rams). Home and away are from the Packers' side. Records are this regular season.

The lineups · Patriots offense against the Packers defenseDepth charts
Packers defense · 3-4 DPatriots offense · 3WR 1TE66Campbell72Rouse55Wilson65Pryor76Moses85Henry10Maye38Stevenson1Brown86Chism3Douglas95Wyatt55McClellan94Brooks90Ness99Sorrell59Hopper44Franklin2Cisse25Nixon7Bullard33Williams29McKinney

Patriots offense · 3WR 1TE

  • QBDrake Maye#10 · 157/234 · 1983 yds · 15 TD · 8 INT
  • RBRhamondre Stevenson#38 · 96 car · 367 yds · 3 TD · 23 rec
  • WRA.J. Brown#1 · 9 rec · 101 yds · 0 TD · 20 tgt
  • WRDeMario Douglas#3 · 26 rec · 332 yds · 4 TD · 37 tgt
  • WREfton Chism III#86 · 15 rec · 151 yds · 1 TD · 20 tgt
  • TEHunter Henry#85 · 29 rec · 326 yds · 2 TD · 34 tgt
  • LTWill Campbell#66
  • LGWalter Rouse#72
  • CJared Wilson#55
  • RGMatt Pryor#65
  • RTMorgan Moses#76

Packers defense · Base 3-4 D

  • RDEDevonte Wyatt#95 · 19 tackles · 3 sacks
  • NTChris McClellan#55 · 15 tackles
  • LDEKarl Brooks#94 · 14 tackles
  • WLBLukas Van Ness#90 · 31 tackles · 4.5 sacks · 1 PD
  • SLBBarryn Sorrell#99 · 24 tackles · 1.5 sacks
  • RILBTy'Ron Hopper#59 · 27 tackles · 1 sack · 2 INT · 5 PD
  • LILBZaire Franklin#44 · 41 tackles · 1 PD
  • RCBBrandon Cisse#2 · 33 tackles · 1.5 sacks · 1 INT · 8 PD
  • LCBKeisean Nixon#25 · 43 tackles · 0.5 sacks · 1 INT · 6 PD
  • NBJavon Bullard#7 · 41 tackles · 7 PD
  • SSEvan Williams#33 · 70 tackles · 1 sack · 2 INT · 6 PD
  • FSXavier McKinney#29 · 34 tackles · 1 sack · 3 INT · 4 PD

Starters from each team's current depth chart (nflverse, from ESPN), drawn in the offense's base three-receiver set against the defense's base front. The nickel back, the extra defensive back most teams use against three receivers, is drawn lighter. Left and right are as the offense sees the field. The toggle at the top flips which offense is drawn.

Head to head · NE offense against GB defense
StatNE NE offFavors NE · Favors GBGB GB def allowsNFL avg
Overall
EPA per play
+0.06#8
-0.07#7+0.00
Success rate
46%#10
44%#1544%
Yards per play
6.1#4
4.8#35.4
Explosive play rate
11%#8
6%#39%
Passing
Pass EPA per dropback
+0.15#8
-0.06#5+0.03
Sack rate
6%#16
7%#137%
Running
Run EPA per carry
-0.14#23
-0.10#11-0.08
Yards per carry
3.9#20
3.9#144.1
Money downs
3rd down conversion
43%#11
44%#2341%
Red zone TD rate
52%#26
60%#1361%
Targets by position
WR yards per game
157#11
152#22147
TE yards per game
62#10
35#355
TE targets per game
6.8#22
6.1#47.6
RB receiving yards per game
34#12
34#1932
Where the ball goes · EPA per throwDeep is 15+ air yds

Patriots: EPA per throw

Left
Middle
Right
Deep
+0.169% of throws
+0.752% of throws
+0.9911% of throws
Short
-0.1532% of throws
+0.4814% of throws
+0.3932% of throws

Packers: EPA allowed per throw

Left
Middle
Right
Deep
+0.6117 throws
+0.3710 throws
-0.4315 throws
Short
-0.0282 throws
+0.0165 throws
+0.0593 throws

Green gains more than expected, red loses value. Cells with fewer than 5 throws are grayed out.